Snappy-Burn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.55K

Unrealized P&L

-$115

Hit rate

22.3%

Resolved

186

Trades

639

lifetime

Volume

$27.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 09-30 12:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 90 days

Categories

Other

37% 18% -$1,392

Politics

34% 24% -$17

Tech

19% 11% -$6

Crypto

6% 45% -$130

Sports

4% 33% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+1,000	$110	1¢	$7	-$104	07-17 14:17
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?	Yes	+49	$14	3¢	$2	-$12	05-03 14:10
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	+0	$0	99¢	$0	+$0	05-27 08:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	19	$3.2K	1,643	1,643	+0	Yes	-$3	04-28 07:43
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	5	$1.4K	730	730	+0	No	-$2	04-17 10:52
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	5	$1.2K	630	630	+0	Yes	$0	04-09 09:12
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	6	$1.2K	600	600	+0	Yes	+$2	04-06 05:54
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	6	$1.1K	540	540	+0	No	-$1	04-27 12:10
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$1.1K	580	580	+0	No	+$0	04-09 05:32
Trump out as President by April 30?	5	$1.1K	530	530	+0	No	+$0	04-17 08:24
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$1.0K	700	700	+0	No	-$7	04-17 03:47
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	2	$1.0K	520	520	+0	No	-$1	04-28 05:39
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$974	700	700	+0	Yes	-$18	05-10 11:29
Ben Pasternak jailed?	7	$930	491	491	+0	open	—	04-28 16:18
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	7	$711	420	420	+0	No	-$4	05-26 12:06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	4	$575	292	292	+0	No	$0	04-28 07:16
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$472	1,211	1,211	+0	No	+$12	07-14 20:52
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	3	$444	390	390	-0	No	+$0	04-27 10:18
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	1	$404	660	0	+660	No	-$404	06-25 14:12
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	6	$395	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-27 10:40
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	2	$387	200	200	+0	No	+$0	04-02 07:35
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$378	270	270	+0	Yes	-$22	07-15 21:18
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage	8	$374	500	500	+0	TDK	-$1	05-10 13:15
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$348	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	05-27 07:16
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	2	$328	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-07 15:31
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	1	$310	575	0	+575	Yes	+$264	07-04 07:11
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	1	$307	640	0	+640	No	-$307	06-27 07:46
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	1	$307	465	0	+465	Yes	+$158	06-23 13:01
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	8	$295	148	148	+0	No	+$0	03-30 05:57
Will England win on 2026-06-17?	1	$294	700	0	+700	Yes	-$294	06-17 19:30
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	1	$276	600	0	+600	No	-$276	07-01 05:46
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	1	$249	580	0	+580	No	-$249	07-07 16:28
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$195	100	100	+0	No	+$0	04-06 07:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 12:45:59	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	19	6¢	$1	0x8e3aed…
09-30 12:44:08	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xe71307…
09-30 12:43:02	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	12¢	$1	0x9e3957…
09-30 12:42:56	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0xae9a18…
09-30 12:42:56	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xadf9a5…
09-30 12:42:56	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	12¢	$0	0x0bf9e9…
09-30 12:21:02	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 30?	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x0dac3c…
09-30 12:16:18	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 27.5 and 28.25 million views on day 4?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xe61688…
09-30 12:16:03	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26.75 and 27.5 million views on day 4?	No	SELL	60	3¢	$2	0xfb7a56…
09-30 12:04:18	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x72c29b…
09-30 12:03:59	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26.75 and 27.5 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xc7387e…
09-30 12:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 30?	No	SELL	41	0¢	$0	0xb75625…
09-30 12:03:38	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xa96c6f…
09-30 12:03:29	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 30?	No	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x00d8c4…
09-30 12:01:39	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 27.5 and 28.25 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xe87947…
09-30 12:01:39	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26.75 and 27.5 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x2713e7…
09-30 12:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 30?	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x282849…
09-30 12:00:14	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26.75 and 27.5 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	19	17¢	$3	0x57bb47…
09-30 11:59:20	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 30?	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x0aa4f8…
09-30 11:59:06	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26.75 and 27.5 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xbdf3fc…
09-30 11:55:35	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 30?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x487d7c…
09-30 11:41:03	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26.75 and 27.5 million views on day 4?	No	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0xf63926…
09-30 11:39:35	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 30?	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xb2347b…
09-30 11:39:00	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26.75 and 27.5 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x2b6009…
09-30 11:37:09	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 30?	No	SELL	33	4¢	$1	0xfb17d9…
09-30 11:33:15	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x013a0d…
09-30 11:32:59	kimberly guilfoyle out as us ambassador to greece by october 31	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xfbc01d…
09-30 11:31:32	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 27.5 and 28.25 million views on day 4?	Yes	SELL	17	15¢	$3	0x168c64…
09-30 11:31:17	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26.75 and 27.5 million views on day 4?	No	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x907ab4…
09-30 11:31:17	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 27.5 and 28.25 million views on day 4?	Yes	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0x8230a0…
09-30 11:31:00	kimberly guilfoyle out as us ambassador to greece by october 31	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x8e4cf3…
09-30 11:28:30	kimberly guilfoyle out as us ambassador to greece by october 31	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x5f63ff…
09-30 11:28:29	kimberly guilfoyle out as us ambassador to greece by october 31	Yes	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0x68d6fc…
09-30 11:28:00	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 27.5 and 28.25 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x57cb31…
09-30 11:27:12	will dustin wolf record 4 shutouts	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x23d55b…
09-30 11:25:48	will dustin wolf record 4 shutouts	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x11eb71…
09-30 11:24:54	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 30?	No	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x08e410…
09-30 11:23:53	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 30?	No	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x784963…
09-30 11:18:24	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 27.5 and 28.25 million views on day 4?	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x74f3f9…
09-30 11:17:48	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 27.5 and 28.25 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x7f4e78…
09-30 11:16:00	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26.75 and 27.5 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xb0b46e…
09-30 11:14:35	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	23	23¢	$5	0x2bea1e…
09-30 11:12:48	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26.75 and 27.5 million views on day 4?	No	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x04d2fd…
09-30 11:12:35	kimberly guilfoyle out as us ambassador to greece by october 31	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xcde9a1…
09-30 11:12:12	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26.75 and 27.5 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xf4cb31…
09-30 11:10:08	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	27	25¢	$7	0x8ef1c7…
09-30 11:09:32	will karel vejmelka record 4 shutouts	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x84f098…
09-30 11:06:14	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 30?	No	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0x9f5582…
09-30 11:05:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 30?	No	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x77af30…
09-30 11:05:32	will karel vejmelka record 4 shutouts	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xf2784c…
09-30 10:58:26	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 30?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x6eab19…
09-30 10:56:08	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 30?	No	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0x9d94ce…
09-30 10:54:15	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0xaf0377…
09-30 10:54:15	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x733ee6…
09-30 10:54:15	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	37	25¢	$9	0x705106…
09-30 10:53:33	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 30?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x85259b…
09-30 10:51:18	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 30?	No	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xd7dcef…
09-30 10:51:00	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 30?	No	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x4c52a1…
09-30 10:50:26	will texas enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0x48ac35…
09-30 10:50:02	will texas enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x69219e…
09-30 10:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 30?	No	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xc83690…
09-30 10:43:35	Will the biggest earthquake on September 29, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x22d347…
09-30 10:42:53	will ohio enact a data center moratorium by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x87b072…
09-30 10:41:39	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x404e70…
09-30 10:41:24	will ohio enact a data center moratorium by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x55cff2…
09-30 10:35:45	Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026?	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x1583ee…
09-30 10:32:50	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x578d83…
09-30 10:25:11	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 30?	No	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0xe853c2…
09-30 10:24:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 30?	No	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xb5fcf2…
09-30 10:22:02	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 30?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xec3d31…
09-30 10:21:42	will donald trump visit iowa before the midterms	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x6b0613…
09-30 10:21:27	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 30?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x40fad7…
09-30 10:21:14	will donald trump visit iowa before the midterms	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xe1a6e2…
09-30 10:20:35	Will the biggest earthquake on September 29, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x804859…
09-30 10:11:50	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0xc2112f…
09-30 10:11:17	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xdc3b3b…
09-30 10:11:17	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 30?	No	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x94095a…
09-30 10:10:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 30?	No	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xe65124…
09-30 10:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 30?	No	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xcbe5b8…
09-30 10:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 30?	No	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xc8ed82…
09-30 10:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 30?	No	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0x037da8…
09-30 10:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 30?	No	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x10fa31…
09-30 09:59:50	Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026?	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x9959b6…
09-30 09:58:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 30?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x26c34b…
09-30 09:57:47	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 30?	No	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x9cd8c8…
09-30 09:57:23	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 30?	No	SELL	13	23¢	$3	0x34e1d4…
09-30 09:57:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 30?	No	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0xcd033e…
09-30 09:56:57	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 30?	No	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x13412d…
09-30 09:56:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 30?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6e0c60…
09-30 08:22:11	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 30?	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x2f5908…
09-30 08:20:06	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 30?	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x2fcc17…
09-29 12:16:23	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	101	10¢	$10	0x87e789…
09-29 12:09:24	Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x3a2f55…
09-29 12:08:27	next astra model 6pt1 released by october 23 2026	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xaffd78…
09-29 12:03:11	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	101	24¢	$24	0x4d0d5e…
09-29 11:59:17	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 25 and 30 million views in week 1?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x0373fc…
09-29 11:53:05	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 25 and 30 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x8c0479…
09-29 11:37:20	Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?	No	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x56157b…
09-29 11:37:00	Will claude-opus-5.5-high be the best AI model on October 12, 2026?	No	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x604e93…
09-29 11:36:20	Will claude-opus-5.5-high be the best AI model on October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x072fe5…