Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

—

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

51 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$686 lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 04-08 00:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Politics

40% 78% +$22

Other

39% 50% -$11

Crypto

21% 62% -$7

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-08).

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	4	$61	34	34	+0	No	+$0	03-11 03:58
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	3	$59	31	31	+0	No	$0	03-21 02:46
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$50	39	18	+21	Yes	-$14	03-01 11:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	3	$42	27	55	-28	Yes	+$29	01-09 12:01
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	2	$37	45	45	+0	No	+$8	01-14 01:46
will axiom be accused of insider trading	2	$35	27	27	+0	Yes	+$19	02-26 15:49
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	2	$32	16	16	+0	No	+$0	03-02 09:43
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	2	$31	16	16	+0	Yes	+$0	04-08 00:58
another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 723 844 877 246 427 922	2	$30	30	30	+0	Yes	-$1	01-30 13:21
tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	3	$29	55	0	+55	Yes	-$29	01-28 08:04
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$28	66	66	+0	No	-$1	01-12 04:39
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$26	20	20	+0	No	-$1	03-02 04:43
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$0	02-26 06:14
Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$23	13	13	+0	No	$0	03-11 03:56
Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	01-24 10:11
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	2	$18	21	21	+0	No	+$0	01-14 07:19
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	2	$17	9	9	+0	No	+$0	03-10 01:14
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$15	17	0	+17	No	-$15	03-18 07:22
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	2	$15	8	8	+0	No	+$0	02-28 06:43
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	02-23 15:09
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 15 minutes and 2 hours and 30 minutes 266 694	2	$13	250	250	+0	No	-$4	01-23 05:47
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$12	13	0	+13	No	+$1	03-25 09:06
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	02-23 16:46
will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	1	$12	12	0	+12	Yes	+$0	03-10 03:12
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$11	17	0	+17	Yes	+$6	03-08 08:55
lol g2 blg 2026 03 22	1	$10	14	0	+14	Bilibili Gaming	+$4	03-22 16:20
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	02-09 03:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-08 00:58:45	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	Yes	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x264876…
03-30 12:28:56	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x8255d1…
03-25 09:06:01	Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x420d2c…
03-22 16:20:47	lol g2 blg 2026 03 22	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x2313a5…
03-21 02:46:55	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	SELL	31	96¢	$30	0x704ba9…
03-18 15:03:19	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x46397f…
03-18 14:44:55	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xe2019e…
03-18 07:22:25	Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x14d7b7…
03-11 03:58:03	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x7e7e7d…
03-11 03:56:11	Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	13	86¢	$11	0x7986cb…
03-10 03:12:43	will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xe55930…
03-10 01:14:29	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x94c59d…
03-08 08:55:57	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	17	66¢	$11	0xff4056…
03-08 08:13:25	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x55a52b…
03-08 07:32:19	Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0x25a1f6…
03-03 18:35:15	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xfcc968…
03-02 09:43:43	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x503078…
03-02 04:43:23	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x726280…
03-01 12:33:53	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xa4e6c0…
03-01 11:55:05	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x501cd4…
03-01 01:04:21	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0xd456ab…
02-28 15:24:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	21	69¢	$14	0xfaf7a6…
02-28 06:43:45	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x329c7c…
02-27 13:14:35	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xf1fe90…
02-27 10:17:11	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xe815a9…
02-26 15:49:38	will axiom be accused of insider trading	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xc68d78…
02-26 06:14:50	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	SELL	13	96¢	$13	0x8e7e45…
02-26 05:24:44	will axiom be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	27	29¢	$8	0x3a9a94…
02-23 16:46:32	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xd70ee3…
02-23 15:09:46	will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xdb786e…
02-20 13:03:08	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xcb06c3…
02-09 03:03:49	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x10c4fd…
01-30 13:21:10	another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 723 844 877 246 427 922	No	SELL	30	48¢	$14	0xc53025…
01-28 08:04:01	tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	No	BUY	14	54¢	$8	0xe6cf7f…
01-28 07:50:47	tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	No	BUY	27	54¢	$14	0xc3c40d…
01-28 07:30:51	another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 723 844 877 246 427 922	No	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x48c940…
01-28 07:28:45	tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	No	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0xeb8aef…
01-24 10:11:30	Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x988b3e…
01-23 05:47:26	will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 15 minutes and 2 hours and 30 minutes 266 694	Yes	SELL	250	2¢	$4	0x4311f3…
01-21 09:25:28	will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 15 minutes and 2 hours and 30 minutes 266 694	Yes	BUY	250	3¢	$8	0x84b421…
01-14 07:19:18	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	21	44¢	$9	0x51b6c7…
01-14 01:46:18	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	Yes	SELL	45	50¢	$22	0x47a521…
01-13 14:46:55	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0x0f812e…
01-13 09:34:45	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x468a49…
01-12 04:39:48	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	SELL	66	21¢	$14	0x6cdca5…
01-11 12:07:08	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	66	22¢	$15	0xbc8ded…
01-09 12:01:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	46¢	$12	0x5a78b5…
01-09 03:30:32	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	22	85¢	$19	0x7ecb87…
01-05 23:26:53	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	22	84¢	$18	0x34ea42…
01-04 02:51:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0x2eeb1a…
01-04 02:43:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	40	57¢	$23	0x0a7b41…