Fond-Visa — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 09-06 01:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

57% 52% +$6

Politics

26% 67% -$2

Crypto

7% 100% +$3

Sports

6% 0% $0

Tech

4% 67% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	2	$219	113	113	+0	No	-$1	04-26 02:35
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	2	$190	96	96	+0	open	—	05-09 02:15
Will Discord’s market cap be between $25B and $30B at market close on IPO day?	2	$190	95	95	+0	No	$0	05-07 02:05
Will Stripe’s market cap be $140B or greater at market close on IPO day?	2	$187	94	94	+0	No	-$1	05-14 02:08
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?	2	$180	95	95	+0	open	—	05-19 01:56
Will Ryan Bonar win the 2026 Watford mayoral election?	2	$179	90	90	+0	No	-$1	05-03 04:33
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$179	92	92	+0	open	—	06-14 02:05
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?	2	$161	82	82	+0	No	+$1	06-06 03:33
Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	2	$139	70	70	+0	No	-$1	06-24 01:55
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$128	65	65	+0	No	+$0	04-01 04:39
trump out as president by march 31	2	$120	60	60	+0	No	+$0	03-30 04:13
GTA VI released before June 2026?	2	$100	51	51	+0	No	$0	04-23 01:33
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	1	$92	93	0	+93	No	+$1	05-09 02:16
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	2	$82	42	42	+0	No	+$1	04-08 02:32
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	2	$80	40	40	+0	No	+$0	04-15 02:09
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	2	$80	40	40	+0	No	+$0	04-10 02:26
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$80	40	40	+0	No	$0	04-06 02:07
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	2	$80	40	40	+0	No	$0	04-21 01:46
will the bank of korea increase the base rate after the april meeting	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	04-10 02:26
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	04-13 05:07
will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	04-03 02:11
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	04-08 02:32
Netanyahu out by April 30?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	04-08 02:32
will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	04-01 04:39
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt4 in march 426	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	04-10 02:26
Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$60	30	30	+0	Yes	$0	04-21 01:46
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	-$1	04-06 02:07
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	2	$56	29	29	+0	No	$0	04-15 02:09
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	1	$50	0	51	-51	No	-$1	05-01 02:42
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	$0	02-24 01:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-06 01:55:55	Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x8b7643…
08-14 01:35:49	Will GamerLegion Win the CS2 EWC 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xd65928…
06-24 01:55:31	Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	No	SELL	70	98¢	$69	0x93c67a…
06-14 02:06:01	Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x085237…
06-14 02:05:42	Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?	No	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xcc5968…
06-14 02:05:13	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	92	97¢	$89	0x1b89a9…
06-06 03:34:21	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	92	98¢	$90	0x11b62b…
06-06 03:33:42	Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?	No	SELL	82	99¢	$81	0x74844a…
05-19 01:58:01	Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?	No	BUY	82	98¢	$80	0x3880da…
05-19 01:57:26	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3ea7de…
05-19 01:56:46	Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?	No	SELL	95	94¢	$89	0xd2fcbd…
05-14 02:09:43	Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?	No	BUY	95	96¢	$91	0xfec73a…
05-14 02:08:23	Will Stripe’s market cap be $140B or greater at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	94	98¢	$93	0xbbacea…
05-12 01:50:19	Will Stripe’s market cap be $140B or greater at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x80a388…
05-09 02:16:31	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0x6b930d…
05-09 02:15:32	Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	96	98¢	$95	0xcf82af…
05-07 02:05:50	Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	96	98¢	$95	0x93852c…
05-07 02:05:09	Will Discord’s market cap be between $25B and $30B at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	95	99¢	$95	0xf6b577…
05-03 04:33:40	Will Discord’s market cap be between $25B and $30B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x94567b…
05-03 04:33:06	Will Ryan Bonar win the 2026 Watford mayoral election?	No	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0x04b33d…
05-01 02:43:14	Will Ryan Bonar win the 2026 Watford mayoral election?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x43f431…
05-01 02:42:40	Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x75d67e…
05-01 02:42:34	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0xc67efb…
04-26 02:35:54	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	SELL	113	96¢	$109	0x188f7f…
04-23 01:34:22	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	113	98¢	$110	0x459e5d…
04-23 01:33:50	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0x68ca41…
04-21 01:47:10	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x8f8653…
04-21 01:46:58	Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0x9c6c48…
04-21 01:46:54	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x0be7e9…
04-17 15:30:38	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x772006…
04-17 15:30:00	Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xde13be…
04-15 02:09:16	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0x3b3089…
04-15 02:09:04	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xc3fb28…
04-13 05:08:51	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xffca93…
04-13 05:08:39	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0xc0d97e…
04-13 05:07:37	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xb51a37…
04-10 02:27:13	OneFootball FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbd24f7…
04-10 02:27:01	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xcb5ea2…
04-10 02:26:33	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt4 in march 426	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x8a7198…
04-10 02:26:27	will the bank of korea increase the base rate after the april meeting	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x7d3861…
04-10 02:26:21	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xa1ce8d…
04-08 02:33:17	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt4 in march 426	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x480206…
04-08 02:33:07	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x441830…
04-08 02:32:59	will the bank of korea increase the base rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x0c9117…
04-08 02:32:41	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	33	98¢	$33	0x70f7d0…
04-08 02:32:33	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	SELL	42	99¢	$41	0x142f89…
04-08 02:32:29	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x9220bd…
04-06 02:08:33	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xeadb80…
04-06 02:08:21	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xfa37fc…
04-06 02:08:05	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x755971…
04-06 02:07:49	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x356284…
04-06 02:07:43	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x474bd5…
04-03 02:12:33	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc54100…
04-03 02:12:21	will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt1	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x206c7a…
04-03 02:12:01	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x70b5c0…
04-03 02:11:39	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x77eea9…
04-01 04:40:51	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x8c9770…
04-01 04:39:57	will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x48412a…
04-01 04:39:51	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x9623a3…
03-30 04:14:12	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x28b95f…
03-30 04:14:00	will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x68a416…
03-30 04:13:18	will india join the board of peace	No	SELL	20	96¢	$20	0x47b462…
03-30 04:13:12	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x17bb6b…
03-27 02:17:55	will india join the board of peace	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf49f99…
03-27 02:17:43	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xa8c79d…
03-21 02:32:13	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0xe43c2d…
03-21 02:32:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	22	97¢	$22	0x219815…
03-15 14:01:27	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x6bfd47…
03-15 14:01:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	97¢	$22	0x65169c…
03-15 14:00:45	will gpt 6 be released by march 31 2026	No	SELL	24	98¢	$24	0xf4b478…
03-08 03:15:53	will bitcoin dip to 62k march 2 8	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0xe09ba5…
03-08 03:15:33	will gpt 6 be released by march 31 2026	No	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0xbd4ef3…
03-02 02:42:07	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 1	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xdbc397…
03-02 02:41:53	fact check maduro capture staged	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xa793a5…
03-02 02:41:49	Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	No	SELL	23	97¢	$22	0x495619…
02-24 01:59:36	Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0x5d31f8…
02-24 01:59:20	fact check maduro capture staged	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x3107b7…
02-24 01:59:04	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x0aa7f7…
02-15 01:57:13	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on february 15	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xd49d5e…
02-15 01:56:53	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x7535c0…
02-15 01:56:21	will artemis ii launch by february 28	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xe86578…
02-15 01:56:15	will spacex have exactly 6 launches in february	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x5cdb88…
02-04 02:01:24	will spacex have exactly 6 launches in february	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x76556c…
02-04 02:01:04	will artemis ii launch by february 28	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x0a54d5…
02-04 02:00:44	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xc450f5…
02-04 02:00:40	will the centrist reform alliance win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xb91667…
01-28 01:55:27	will the centrist reform alliance win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0x5aa9a0…
01-28 01:55:17	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0xa8f3f7…
01-20 02:15:12	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0x1d1dbf…
01-20 02:14:48	will the us strike syria next 492	No	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x72ddfb…
01-20 02:14:16	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0x126c81…
01-13 02:25:35	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0x0fa511…
01-07 01:45:35	will threads be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 9	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x090446…
01-02 02:06:15	will avatar 3 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x924407…
01-02 02:05:59	will zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xcddefc…