Palatable-Sunlight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$323

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.9%

Resolved

357

Trades

632

lifetime

Volume

$6.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-22 13:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 75% -$263

Other

6% 80% -$74

Sports

3% 100% +$13

Politics

3% 67% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5	3	$117	73	73	+0	Under	+$7	05-06 01:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 11:30 UTC	2	$114	100	100	+0	Up	+$82	03-29 11:44
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 19:00 UTC	11	$102	70	70	+0	Down	-$2	01-03 19:11
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 11:00 UTC	1	$100	100	0	+100	Down	+$0	01-14 11:15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	2	$100	56	56	+0	Yes	$0	10-22 00:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 12:45 UTC	2	$97	50	50	+0	Down	+$1	02-15 12:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 07:30 UTC	2	$95	50	50	+0	Down	+$4	02-20 07:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 07:30 UTC	5	$94	50	50	+0	Up	+$4	02-15 07:44
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5	3	$93	100	0	+100	Under	+$7	05-06 20:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 21:00 UTC	2	$85	50	50	+0	Up	+$3	02-14 21:08
England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England	1	$85	86	0	+86	Sri Lanka	-$85	10-22 13:41
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	1	$83	84	0	+84	No	+$1	10-04 22:47
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 15?	1	$82	83	0	+83	No	+$1	10-10 22:28
bitcoin above 64600 on july 23 2026 8am et	2	$70	70	0	+70	Yes	+$0	07-23 11:39
bitcoin above 65000 on july 6 2026 11pm et	2	$70	70	0	+70	No	+$0	07-07 02:16
bitcoin above 62800 on july 25 2026 5am et	2	$70	70	0	+70	Yes	+$0	07-25 08:30
Bitcoin above 62,200 on July 28, 11PM ET?	2	$70	70	0	+70	Yes	+$0	07-29 02:21
bitcoin above 65000 on july 25 2026 7am et	2	$70	70	0	+70	No	+$0	07-25 10:01
bitcoin above 65400 on july 6 2026 6pm et	2	$70	70	0	+70	No	+$0	07-06 21:39
bitcoin above 67400 on july 21 2026 8pm et	2	$70	70	0	+70	No	+$0	07-21 23:42
bitcoin above 62000 on july 27 2026 11pm et	2	$70	70	0	+70	Yes	+$0	07-28 02:25
bitcoin above 65600 on july 14 2026 10pm et	2	$70	70	0	+70	No	+$0	07-15 01:47
bitcoin above 65600 on july 6 2026 9pm et	2	$70	70	0	+70	No	+$0	07-07 00:07
bitcoin above 68400 on july 21 2026 6am et	2	$70	70	0	+70	No	+$0	07-21 09:15
bitcoin above 64200 on july 26 2026 11pm et	2	$70	70	0	+70	Yes	+$0	07-27 02:34
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 25?	1	$70	70	0	+70	No	+$0	06-25 13:03
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 27?	1	$68	69	0	+69	No	+$1	06-27 01:44
bitcoin above 64600 on july 5 2026 11pm et	2	$65	65	0	+65	No	+$0	07-06 02:39
bitcoin above 64200 on july 4 2026 9pm et	4	$65	65	0	+65	No	+$0	07-05 00:18
bitcoin above 64400 on july 22 2026 7pm et	3	$60	60	0	+60	Yes	+$0	07-22 22:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 13:41:35	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England	England	BUY	86	99¢	$85	0xd416e9…
10-22 00:20:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	56	89¢	$50	0xa12c53…
10-22 00:17:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x6375ea…
10-21 23:09:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xa48efc…
10-20 22:54:36	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xa29d6e…
10-20 22:54:35	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x3ab287…
10-20 22:38:32	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x554565…
10-10 22:28:12	Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 15?	No	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x6a8a05…
10-04 22:47:52	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0xe442b1…
09-09 12:49:54	will laptop flip trump by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0xa2d1f6…
09-09 12:44:31	will laptop flip trump by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x88c527…
09-06 08:09:31	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on September 6?	No	BUY	60	84¢	$51	0x6535e8…
08-04 13:22:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 13:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x58bcd4…
07-29 02:21:26	Bitcoin above 62,200 on July 28, 11PM ET?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe0b674…
07-29 02:21:11	Bitcoin above 62,200 on July 28, 11PM ET?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x56e8c0…
07-28 13:50:40	ethereum above 1910 on july 28 2026 10am et	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xcd5369…
07-28 06:59:15	bitcoin above 63800 on july 28 2026 3am et	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb3d869…
07-28 04:51:46	bitcoin above 62800 on july 28 2026 1am et	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xcb6981…
07-28 02:25:21	bitcoin above 62000 on july 27 2026 11pm et	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x94f5fa…
07-28 02:25:06	bitcoin above 62000 on july 27 2026 11pm et	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x076ee7…
07-27 02:34:19	bitcoin above 64200 on july 26 2026 11pm et	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3ac3e2…
07-27 02:34:07	bitcoin above 64200 on july 26 2026 11pm et	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe70819…
07-26 04:45:04	bitcoin above 63200 on july 26 2026 1am et	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc2f864…
07-26 04:44:52	bitcoin above 65800 on july 26 2026 1am et	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x27cbc9…
07-26 02:02:07	bitcoin above 66200 on july 25 2026 11pm et	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x69de2e…
07-26 02:01:54	bitcoin above 66400 on july 25 2026 11pm et	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x27a927…
07-25 12:08:09	bitcoin above 62800 on july 25 2026 9am et	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbf3788…
07-25 12:07:22	bitcoin above 62400 on july 25 2026 9am et	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x829f29…
07-25 12:07:10	bitcoin above 62200 on july 25 2026 9am et	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x416623…
07-25 12:05:46	ethereum above 1800 on july 25 2026 9am et	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc3ff56…
07-25 10:01:31	bitcoin above 65000 on july 25 2026 7am et	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x250c08…
07-25 10:01:24	bitcoin above 65000 on july 25 2026 7am et	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd6cdeb…
07-25 08:30:52	bitcoin above 62800 on july 25 2026 5am et	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x75689f…
07-25 08:30:33	bitcoin above 62800 on july 25 2026 5am et	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x236aa2…
07-25 07:23:10	bitcoin above 62800 on july 25 2026 4am et	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8e2cb0…
07-25 07:22:45	bitcoin above 63000 on july 25 2026 4am et	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5e4983…
07-25 06:39:15	ethereum above 1900 on july 25 2026 3am et	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf60283…
07-25 04:37:01	bitcoin above 62800 on july 25 2026 1am et	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x550dff…
07-25 04:36:58	bitcoin above 62600 on july 25 2026 1am et	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcf7d14…
07-25 04:36:54	bitcoin above 62400 on july 25 2026 1am et	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x973441…
07-25 04:36:49	bitcoin above 62200 on july 25 2026 1am et	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc40ca4…
07-25 04:36:45	bitcoin above 62000 on july 25 2026 1am et	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2bc055…
07-23 11:39:42	bitcoin above 64600 on july 23 2026 8am et	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7d19f6…
07-23 11:39:24	bitcoin above 64600 on july 23 2026 8am et	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5347ec…
07-22 22:48:22	bitcoin above 64400 on july 22 2026 7pm et	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd52dd9…
07-22 22:48:15	bitcoin above 64400 on july 22 2026 7pm et	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf1cc14…
07-22 22:48:03	bitcoin above 64400 on july 22 2026 7pm et	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3e0851…
07-22 22:47:27	bitcoin above 67400 on july 22 2026 7pm et	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x755e50…
07-22 05:32:34	bitcoin above 64400 on july 22 2026 2am et	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4a8bba…
07-22 05:11:19	bitcoin above 67200 on july 22 2026 2am et	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x898afe…
07-22 05:11:03	bitcoin above 68400 on july 22 2026 2am et	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe884ce…
07-22 01:05:57	bitcoin above 67600 on july 21 2026 10pm et	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4eb83f…
07-22 00:56:39	bitcoin above 67400 on july 21 2026 9pm et	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf33ab3…
07-22 00:56:27	bitcoin above 67600 on july 21 2026 9pm et	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x45b369…
07-22 00:55:49	bitcoin above 67800 on july 21 2026 9pm et	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x612d01…
07-21 23:42:04	bitcoin above 67400 on july 21 2026 8pm et	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf286b7…
07-21 23:41:54	bitcoin above 67400 on july 21 2026 8pm et	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x808e2b…
07-21 09:15:58	Bitcoin above 68,400 on July 21, 6AM ET?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x23eaf7…
07-21 09:14:46	bitcoin above 68400 on july 21 2026 6am et	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2efc02…
07-20 08:13:36	bitcoin above 65400 on july 20 2026 5am et	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x86841d…
07-17 05:42:49	bitcoin above 64000 on july 17 2026 2am et	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5386a6…
07-15 01:47:40	bitcoin above 65600 on july 14 2026 10pm et	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x713ba6…
07-15 01:47:26	bitcoin above 65600 on july 14 2026 10pm et	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x66454c…
07-14 02:29:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xf32690…
07-13 02:50:32	bitcoin above 62800 on july 12 2026 11pm et	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3fabcc…
07-08 21:50:16	bitcoin above 64000 on july 8 2026 6pm et	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf10ca6…
07-08 21:50:02	bitcoin above 64000 on july 8 2026 6pm et	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8b0ecd…
07-08 21:49:44	bitcoin above 64000 on july 8 2026 6pm et	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x04160f…
07-08 21:49:32	bitcoin above 64200 on july 8 2026 6pm et	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdd184c…
07-07 02:16:08	bitcoin above 65000 on july 6 2026 11pm et	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7936e4…
07-07 02:16:01	bitcoin above 65000 on july 6 2026 11pm et	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf22183…
07-07 00:07:02	bitcoin above 65600 on july 6 2026 9pm et	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3e39f8…
07-07 00:06:55	bitcoin above 65600 on july 6 2026 9pm et	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x08e980…
07-06 21:39:46	bitcoin above 65400 on july 6 2026 6pm et	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x467638…
07-06 21:39:20	bitcoin above 65400 on july 6 2026 6pm et	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x481466…
07-06 02:39:43	bitcoin above 64600 on july 5 2026 11pm et	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfadcad…
07-06 02:39:26	bitcoin above 64600 on july 5 2026 11pm et	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf87598…
07-05 16:33:34	bitcoin above 63400 on july 5 2026 1pm et	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x53ebb8…
07-05 16:33:04	bitcoin above 63600 on july 5 2026 1pm et	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe82cde…
07-05 13:49:20	bitcoin above 63200 on july 5 2026 10am et	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x52188d…
07-05 01:22:05	bitcoin above 63800 on july 4 2026 10pm et	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe783e1…
07-05 00:18:59	bitcoin above 64200 on july 4 2026 9pm et	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0b898c…
07-05 00:18:19	bitcoin above 64000 on july 4 2026 9pm et	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd41380…
07-05 00:17:52	bitcoin above 64200 on july 4 2026 9pm et	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8d29ba…
07-05 00:17:16	bitcoin above 64200 on july 4 2026 9pm et	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbee53e…
07-05 00:17:14	bitcoin above 64200 on july 4 2026 9pm et	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2608c9…
07-04 23:22:56	ethereum above 1810 on july 4 2026 8pm et	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x23bbd4…
07-04 23:21:28	bitcoin above 63800 on july 4 2026 8pm et	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc1d672…
07-04 23:14:47	bitcoin above 64000 on july 4 2026 8pm et	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x01d6d6…
07-04 23:14:13	bitcoin above 64200 on july 4 2026 8pm et	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb33221…
07-04 23:13:37	bitcoin above 64400 on july 4 2026 8pm et	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6fe9c2…
06-27 01:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 27?	No	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0x05df49…
06-25 13:03:17	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 25?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xa9a373…
06-22 20:08:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	57	20¢	$11	0x54612e…
06-22 20:05:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0xfe3625…
06-21 17:47:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xacef17…
06-18 08:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x976e03…
06-14 02:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5d5923…
06-13 12:10:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:05 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x876dad…
06-13 12:08:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xcc1005…