Striking-Zipper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$965

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

43.0%

Resolved

1,200

Trades

2,446

lifetime

Volume

$23.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-03

last 09-14 14:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 90 days

Categories

Politics

28% 35% -$264

Crypto

28% 46% -$101

Sports

24% 45% -$288

Other

20% 45% -$259

Tech

1% 50% -$52

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+338	$11	2¢	$8	-$3	09-14 14:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
mwoh usa slo 2026 02 20	31	$506	293	282	+11	USA	-$4	02-20 10:46
will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	25	$406	409	409	+0	No	-$10	02-22 00:59
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	15	$357	312	312	+0	Yes	+$0	02-20 06:55
nhl stl sj 2026 03 06	13	$302	212	212	+0	Blues	+$94	03-07 05:45
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	30	$297	477	486	-9	Yes	+$31	03-10 03:12
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	14	$294	192	168	+24	Yes	-$21	03-10 04:30
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	11	$208	124	124	+0	No	$0	04-14 01:40
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	4	$205	107	107	+0	No	+$4	02-12 01:03
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	14	$203	316	342	-26	No	+$4	03-17 00:23
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	7	$197	187	187	+0	Yes	-$1	02-19 11:41
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	12	$192	140	140	+0	Yes	$0	02-20 06:55
nhl car edm 2026 03 06	12	$191	141	141	+0	Hurricanes	+$5	03-07 05:45
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	7	$185	100	100	+0	No	+$2	02-12 01:03
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	14	$185	302	272	+30	No	-$7	03-15 01:20
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	11	$179	125	125	+0	Yes	-$5	02-19 01:17
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	16	$177	171	171	+0	Yes	-$32	02-19 12:23
nhl phi tor 2026 03 02	21	$177	376	0	+376	Flyers	+$151	03-03 01:34
nhl mon ana 2026 03 06	9	$161	177	177	+0	Ducks	-$6	03-07 03:45
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	13	$149	232	156	+76	No	+$3	03-17 11:07
will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	6	$141	92	92	+0	Yes	+$20	02-19 11:47
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	5	$139	70	70	+0	No	+$1	02-19 01:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	11	$139	150	150	+0	Yes	$0	03-17 11:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	9	$138	123	123	+0	Yes	-$1	04-04 18:14
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	16	$132	91	91	+0	Yes	+$2	03-09 21:55
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	8	$127	139	139	+0	Yes	-$4	04-04 18:14
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	10	$123	273	228	+45	No	-$5	03-14 23:46
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	9	$119	146	146	+0	Yes	-$1	04-04 18:14
will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	9	$117	811	811	+0	No	-$14	02-20 06:55
nhl ott edm 2026 03 03	21	$117	207	0	+207	Oilers	+$69	03-04 03:57
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	7	$115	464	438	+26	No	-$50	03-09 07:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-14 14:37:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	420	0¢	$2	0x0ebbcf…
09-14 14:24:42	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x51c8b3…
09-14 13:19:13	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	304	3¢	$10	0xd8be21…
09-14 11:00:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	295	3¢	$10	0x7757bc…
09-14 00:37:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	23	3¢	$1	0xc75220…
09-14 00:37:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0xa37d3e…
09-14 00:37:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x5e8443…
09-14 00:37:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	85	3¢	$3	0x0fe275…
09-14 00:36:25	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	Yes	BUY	810	1¢	$11	0x46dd0e…
09-13 23:40:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	238	2¢	$5	0x7594e5…
09-13 23:40:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	619	1¢	$5	0x29d6a3…
09-13 23:37:52	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x3661c6…
09-13 23:36:15	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	604	4¢	$23	0x417971…
09-13 23:35:39	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$12	0x51be8c…
09-13 22:52:43	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	205	2¢	$4	0x68d284…
09-13 21:33:58	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x524af1…
09-12 03:42:27	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbbf3c6…
09-10 20:25:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xe2fc29…
09-10 19:34:55	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0x9a0527…
09-10 18:08:27	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	129	3¢	$4	0xebcb75…
09-09 22:39:10	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x850f2c…
09-09 22:16:22	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	133	1¢	$2	0x748db2…
09-09 22:16:07	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	267	1¢	$4	0x7e3794…
09-09 22:04:21	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$5	0xa61352…
09-09 21:54:00	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$10	0xa2ac75…
05-18 15:47:43	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x16039b…
04-24 15:30:10	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0xf50116…
04-24 15:29:16	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	SELL	36	41¢	$15	0x71a3a5…
04-24 01:54:36	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	36	46¢	$17	0xba2e9c…
04-22 07:44:56	Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xc51f81…
04-21 19:48:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	58¢	$4	0x48cc2c…
04-21 15:32:40	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0xf0f132…
04-20 14:07:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x0d12d2…
04-19 17:18:44	nba phi bos 2026 04 19 spread home 13pt5	76ers	BUY	10	46¢	$4	0x287cc8…
04-19 17:12:18	nba phi bos 2026 04 19 spread home 12pt5	76ers	BUY	39	49¢	$19	0x1c255b…
04-17 07:12:32	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x2bb471…
04-17 05:19:46	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x7bd7e0…
04-16 17:54:54	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x241e6e…
04-16 16:30:48	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xa04a11…
04-16 14:55:10	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x57346a…
04-15 17:11:40	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x1e3018…
04-15 14:24:24	Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xad1131…
04-15 09:57:52	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x21da84…
04-14 15:25:45	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	9	71¢	$6	0x7b8b6a…
04-14 15:24:57	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$0	0x58675c…
04-14 07:57:57	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x6bbf72…
04-14 02:50:59	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xd36ee0…
04-14 01:40:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x9a7e36…
04-13 03:34:31	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x33c656…
04-13 01:40:37	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x7abdd3…
04-13 01:40:11	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x1ab3ba…
04-12 16:48:19	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	11	86¢	$10	0x0e101e…
04-12 16:47:23	nba orl bos 2026 04 12	Magic	BUY	17	85¢	$15	0xd5582a…
04-12 03:34:19	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x0bc24c…
04-12 01:50:55	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	34	27¢	$9	0x81bbfc…
04-05 13:01:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-05 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x70f538…
04-05 13:01:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-05 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x0307ed…
04-05 13:01:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-05 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x56e816…
04-04 18:14:37	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xc89cee…
04-04 18:14:35	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xc7355c…
04-04 18:14:33	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x819c6d…
04-04 18:14:33	Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	SELL	7	63¢	$4	0x681a73…
04-04 18:14:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0xfb5d23…
04-04 18:14:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0x5d0d4d…
04-04 18:14:25	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	12	34¢	$4	0xb03da6…
04-04 18:14:23	will bryson dechambeau win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	16	91¢	$14	0x023325…
04-04 18:14:19	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x82bd2b…
04-04 18:14:17	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	SELL	33	35¢	$12	0xe5eec7…
04-04 18:14:17	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	SELL	33	12¢	$4	0x724187…
04-04 18:14:15	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	34	38¢	$13	0xc54709…
04-04 18:14:15	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	42¢	$14	0x50f213…
04-04 18:14:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	49	5¢	$2	0x154159…
04-04 18:14:09	will the los angeles clippers make the nba playoffs	Yes	SELL	23	53¢	$12	0xdfd6d0…
04-04 18:14:07	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	19	87¢	$17	0x7992d6…
04-04 18:14:07	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	61	10¢	$6	0x232320…
04-04 18:13:33	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x35f162…
04-04 18:13:29	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	15	86¢	$13	0x7f5398…
04-04 18:13:29	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	13	4¢	$1	0x768d1b…
04-04 18:13:25	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	SELL	23	67¢	$15	0xd78438…
04-04 18:13:23	Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0xfc0de3…
04-04 18:13:23	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?	Yes	SELL	26	5¢	$1	0x7e6589…
04-04 18:13:19	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	37	2¢	$1	0x9e8760…
04-04 18:13:19	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	SELL	36	0¢	$0	0x096701…
04-04 16:17:15	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	968	0¢	$2	0x9dd42b…
04-04 16:16:43	will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	13	67¢	$9	0x424372…
04-04 09:00:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	42	53¢	$22	0xf97286…
04-04 09:00:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	44	51¢	$22	0x84c1a8…
04-04 09:00:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	44	51¢	$22	0x2e8204…
04-04 09:00:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	49	46¢	$22	0x2df887…
04-03 09:00:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	44	51¢	$22	0x5b94f4…
04-03 09:00:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	44	51¢	$22	0x4c0378…
04-03 09:00:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	44	51¢	$22	0x61a85b…
04-03 09:00:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	44	51¢	$22	0x25c26f…
04-01 00:34:07	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0d093d…
04-01 00:33:51	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x92949f…
03-31 14:56:25	SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x566a2e…
03-31 14:55:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$11	0xa752a5…
03-31 14:55:11	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	19	65¢	$12	0x87a71c…
03-31 14:54:21	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	No	SELL	17	98¢	$16	0x67e82a…
03-30 13:17:16	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xe24482…