Obvious-Favor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$52

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.0%

Resolved

197

Trades

1,056

lifetime

Volume

$564

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 10-26 17:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 99 days

Categories

Other

97% 58% +$58

Crypto

3% 21% -$6

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	48	$25	450	445	+5	No	+$5	05-22 15:34
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	13	$20	423	419	+5	No	+$5	09-18 14:42
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	10	$17	315	315	+0	No	+$2	05-22 07:18
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	19	$13	180	180	+0	No	+$1	05-18 15:19
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	11	$13	400	400	+0	No	+$1	06-03 14:11
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	10	$11	586	586	+0	No	+$6	09-03 16:19
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	21	$11	365	365	+0	No	+$3	06-16 14:30
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	9	$11	40	40	+0	open	—	10-26 16:49
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	2	$10	10	10	+0	Yes	+$8	10-07 06:39
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	8	$9	400	300	+100	No	+$2	10-19 11:09
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	18	$9	177	177	+0	No	+$2	05-15 18:24
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	12	$9	92	92	+0	No	+$2	06-29 15:30
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	6	$9	77	67	+10	No	-$1	06-30 04:30
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	21	$9	435	435	+0	No	+$1	05-05 14:32
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	17	$8	500	500	+0	No	+$3	10-21 10:58
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	8	$8	118	118	+0	No	+$5	09-01 16:22
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	9	$8	67	67	+0	No	+$3	06-12 14:14
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	19	$7	280	280	+0	No	$0	05-06 14:42
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	10	$7	250	250	+0	No	+$2	06-24 08:17
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	5	$7	13	12	+1	Yes	+$3	04-25 11:59
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	18	$7	314	314	+0	No	+$2	10-24 14:06
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	11	$7	155	95	+60	No	-$1	06-19 05:26
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?	7	$6	33	27	+6	No	+$0	06-17 14:14
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	8	$6	188	188	+0	No	+$2	10-22 15:53
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	8	$6	200	100	+100	No	+$3	06-03 07:16
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	4	$6	85	45	+40	No	+$2	05-19 10:35
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?	9	$6	241	166	+74	No	+$1	06-21 22:31
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	9	$6	210	210	+0	No	+$1	07-25 06:37
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	7	$6	250	250	+0	No	+$0	06-18 17:13
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	21	$5	210	210	+0	No	+$0	06-12 14:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 17:40:05	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xb1b3b2…
10-26 16:49:12	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	12¢	$0	0x6b4c65…
10-26 16:48:33	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0xb1cb2c…
10-26 16:45:33	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x0a9df2…
10-26 16:45:21	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x907982…
10-26 16:43:54	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x34801d…
10-26 16:43:35	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x2f161a…
10-26 16:43:21	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x872715…
10-26 16:43:03	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x4f84bc…
10-26 16:41:26	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xa05f62…
10-26 16:20:54	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	1¢	$1	0x50f689…
10-26 15:46:56	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$0	0xfb33e9…
10-26 15:08:39	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0xcae97f…
10-26 07:10:44	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x936bb3…
10-26 06:14:41	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	1¢	$0	0x1a0022…
10-26 06:13:42	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x1df1ab…
10-25 15:28:48	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd23df0…
10-25 14:42:18	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x4a723f…
10-25 14:41:59	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xb433dc…
10-25 12:57:27	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x32d41d…
10-25 12:57:23	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x4dd880…
10-25 12:57:23	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	0¢	$0	0x2a9dc3…
10-25 12:50:12	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xf139f7…
10-25 12:50:12	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0865f9…
10-24 18:36:56	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	3¢	$2	0x2180df…
10-24 18:36:24	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	3¢	$1	0xb84a7e…
10-24 16:08:12	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x019f7a…
10-24 15:34:36	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xdc3f86…
10-24 14:48:42	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x68ddd1…
10-24 14:06:06	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	0¢	$0	0x865875…
10-24 14:04:05	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0x7f892a…
10-24 14:03:00	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	1¢	$0	0x5435be…
10-24 14:02:09	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x237116…
10-24 14:01:26	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x356fc6…
10-24 06:18:03	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x589293…
10-24 06:17:18	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xd41f7f…
10-24 06:17:18	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	1¢	$0	0x50b420…
10-24 06:17:03	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xfb6527…
10-24 06:16:30	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x1ea8b3…
10-24 05:59:27	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x370a2b…
10-24 05:52:14	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	1¢	$1	0xe52a63…
10-24 05:51:57	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x9b0511…
10-24 05:16:06	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x93114e…
10-23 17:33:21	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	180	0¢	$0	0x8a795e…
10-23 17:32:53	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x0fffb3…
10-23 17:32:20	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	153	0¢	$0	0x949303…
10-23 17:29:48	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x731175…
10-23 17:29:36	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x07a3e9…
10-23 17:20:00	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	0¢	$1	0x3ecdc4…
10-23 17:10:23	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	1¢	$1	0x95e531…
10-23 17:10:21	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x2821c2…
10-23 17:10:03	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	4¢	$2	0x391bc3…
10-23 15:54:56	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x9293ad…
10-23 15:24:08	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1a6cb4…
10-23 14:21:32	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xac46e5…
10-22 15:53:42	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	1¢	$0	0x28defa…
10-22 15:31:44	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0x7aa8d8…
10-22 15:20:02	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xd19e20…
10-22 14:58:32	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xab4207…
10-21 17:59:57	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	1¢	$1	0x31b345…
10-21 17:59:18	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	202	0¢	$1	0x3119aa…
10-21 17:58:30	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	158	2¢	$2	0x4ac17f…
10-21 17:38:02	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x37cf47…
10-21 16:58:18	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x7d32e9…
10-21 16:54:45	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x908e99…
10-21 16:54:44	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0xa1750c…
10-21 16:37:03	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x73b0bd…
10-21 16:30:54	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xa85f79…
10-21 16:28:09	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0xe550f6…
10-21 16:23:53	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	1¢	$1	0x14a91c…
10-21 16:20:05	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x28ddbe…
10-21 15:40:33	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x4e87c8…
10-21 13:39:53	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x0c35ba…
10-21 10:58:26	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x4d89fc…
10-21 10:47:59	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	2¢	$1	0xf9547f…
10-21 10:46:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x2649e5…
10-21 10:45:59	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd70a28…
10-21 10:45:59	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xaaf96e…
10-21 10:35:17	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	2¢	$0	0x154bcd…
10-21 10:26:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x53676e…
10-21 10:26:20	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	1¢	$1	0xd1b01f…
10-21 10:25:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x668325…
10-21 10:25:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0xff6681…
10-21 10:21:32	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	1¢	$1	0x11f794…
10-21 10:21:11	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	1¢	$1	0xd94f51…
10-21 10:13:09	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x237d20…
10-21 07:46:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0x50bec1…
10-21 07:41:41	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	1¢	$0	0x3dac50…
10-21 02:46:51	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3d5740…
10-20 17:18:23	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	1¢	$0	0x22dd87…
10-20 17:16:51	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xb8ef87…
10-19 11:09:44	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xffd6a2…
10-19 08:14:05	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x10db42…
10-19 08:03:23	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x758034…
10-19 07:53:02	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xf1e942…
10-19 07:36:51	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xeb17c9…
10-19 07:15:21	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x77258e…
10-19 07:05:57	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	1¢	$1	0x2982de…
10-19 07:04:44	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	1¢	$0	0x5c7b2d…
10-16 04:43:31	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x141bb2…