Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
open
Total volume
$547
$2,989 in 24h
Trades
31
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$7,363
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-13 09:24
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | — | $47 | $47 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $5 | $88 | $83 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $7 | $7 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 4 | $1 | $3 | $2 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $85 | $85 |
| unranked | 2 | $2 | $40 | $38 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simple-Bed 0x18de…1f14 | Yes | +494 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 20:58 |
| Witty-Maybe 0x9d8d…b8f8 | Yes | +120 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 23:47 |
| Familiar-Forte 0x5c06…dd56 | Yes | +120 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 08:49 |
| Bumpy-Owl 0xd8c4…848d | Yes | +113 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 09:24 |
| Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92 | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-11 18:30 |
| Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-13 09:04 |
| Automatic-Cappuccino 0x3423…fe57 | No | +29 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-13 09:04 |
| Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | +19 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-12 20:57 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-13 00:16 |
| Superior-Clerk 0x5b3e…856a | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 18:07 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 09:24:30 | Bumpy-Owl 0xd8c4…848d | Yes | BUY | 113 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x0b9c2a… |
| 05-13 09:14:33 | Honorable-Beach 0x8ba4…351a | Yes | SELL | 60 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf1deee… |
| 05-13 09:04:31 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | Yes | SELL | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4b14b4… |
| 05-13 09:04:31 | Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x9cbdbe… |
| 05-13 09:04:31 | Automatic-Cappuccino 0x3423…fe57 | No | BUY | 29 | 99¢ | $29 | 0x912a99… |
| 05-13 08:49:05 | Familiar-Forte 0x5c06…dd56 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd41974… |
| 05-13 06:14:28 | Secret-Neurobiologist 0xb7fd…cc88 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbe3c88… |
| 05-13 01:57:03 | Ashamed-Purse 0xc678…6f57 | No | SELL | 201 | 99¢ | $199 | 0x791b15… |
| 05-13 01:56:14 | Ashamed-Purse 0xc678…6f57 | No | SELL | 99 | 99¢ | $98 | 0x528bc9… |
| 05-13 00:16:15 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x5cf441… |
| 05-12 23:47:36 | Witty-Maybe 0x9d8d…b8f8 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x420d83… |
| 05-12 22:47:59 | Ashamed-Purse 0xc678…6f57 | No | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0xce5f5d… |
| 05-12 20:57:44 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3382f4… |
| 05-12 20:45:52 | Mindless-Province-Lightscreen 0x0b6b…280b | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xfc5067… |
| 05-12 20:32:50 | Mindless-Province-Lightscreen 0x0b6b…280b | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xf4bfe2… |
| 05-12 20:30:47 | Mindless-Province-Lightscreen 0x0b6b…280b | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xd0ec4b… |
| 05-12 20:00:50 | Webbed-Fava 0x1425…d60d | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xffef4c… |
| 05-12 18:32:10 | Mindless-Province-Lightscreen 0x0b6b…280b | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xe9d779… |
| 05-12 18:27:35 | Mindless-Province-Lightscreen 0x0b6b…280b | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xe71a89… |
| 05-12 18:07:17 | Superior-Clerk 0x5b3e…856a | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x30cfca… |
| 05-12 16:11:19 | Mindless-Province-Lightscreen 0x0b6b…280b | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x268ae5… |
| 05-12 16:06:50 | Mindless-Province-Lightscreen 0x0b6b…280b | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x02459d… |
| 05-12 16:06:20 | Mindless-Province-Lightscreen 0x0b6b…280b | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x33ef10… |
| 05-12 13:02:54 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdf983e… |
| 05-12 10:02:34 | Mindless-Province-Lightscreen 0x0b6b…280b | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x363d6e… |
| 05-12 06:20:58 | Mindless-Province-Lightscreen 0x0b6b…280b | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x6d9087… |
| 05-12 01:48:13 | Mindless-Province-Lightscreen 0x0b6b…280b | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xb282f2… |
| 05-11 22:25:22 | Mindless-Province-Lightscreen 0x0b6b…280b | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x659910… |
| 05-11 20:58:15 | Simple-Bed 0x18de…1f14 | Yes | BUY | 494 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x9bb308… |
| 05-11 19:58:50 | Secret-Neurobiologist 0xb7fd…cc88 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd8a29d… |
| 05-11 18:30:56 | Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92 | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x8f9c0c… |