Simple-Bed — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,690

lifetime

Volume

$4.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 01:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

61% 88% +$3

Politics

14% 100% +$1

Crypto

14% — —

Tech

5% — —

Sports

4% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on february 8	13	$221	1,107	1,107	+0	open	—	02-05 20:57
will claude 5 be released on february 4 2026	4	$211	200	200	+0	open	—	02-04 22:33
will nepali congress nc win between 110 and 119 seats in nepals 2026 house of representatives election	14	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	03-04 04:00
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	20	$189	6,773	4,000	+2,773	open	—	01-25 20:46
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	8	$164	592	592	+0	open	—	01-10 22:05
ethereum above 1900 on february 9	12	$149	500	500	+0	open	—	02-05 18:56
will the total number of tsa passengers for february 2 be greater than 2300000	2	$118	65	65	+0	open	—	01-31 20:45
will bridgerton season 1 be the top global netflix show this week february 3 2026	2	$118	112	112	+0	open	—	01-28 02:27
nhl wpg det 2025 12 31	2	$106	58	58	+0	open	—	01-01 04:09
elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 65 89	4	$100	100	100	+0	open	—	01-24 17:43
will msft close below 410 week january 30 2026	2	$97	91	91	+0	open	—	01-27 00:40
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 190 214	4	$96	100	100	+0	open	—	01-31 17:30
will the price of solana be between 70 80 on february 10	8	$76	290	290	+0	open	—	02-05 20:41
will polymarket mindshare hit 90	7	$75	500	375	+125	open	—	02-17 21:56
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	20	$73	2,914	2,756	+158	open	—	01-08 02:28
will megadeth by megadeth be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of february 7	4	$64	420	20	+400	open	—	02-03 02:11
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 12 be between 80 and 85	3	$63	74	74	+0	open	—	03-28 13:04
will silver si hit high 130 by end of february 915 491 526 914 543 364	3	$59	100	100	+0	open	—	01-27 22:21
cfb wake mspst 2026 01 02	2	$53	29	29	+0	open	—	01-03 04:53
another us bank failure by february 28	5	$53	200	200	+0	open	—	02-05 23:42
will the highest temperature in london be 5c or below on february 2	4	$50	46	46	+0	open	—	01-31 20:42
us evacuates baghdad embassy by february 28	2	$50	56	56	+0	open	—	01-31 12:16
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 140 164	7	$44	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	03-08 02:06
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	5	$41	200	200	+0	open	—	02-10 13:48
meta close above 670 on january 30 2026	2	$39	300	300	+0	open	—	01-29 14:43
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$39	305	0	+305	open	—	01-30 21:56
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	7	$38	807	507	+300	open	—	01-21 16:49
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	15	$38	7,435	3,835	+3,600	open	—	01-04 02:35
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	3	$38	560	560	+0	open	—	02-07 21:01
will ilhan omar resign by march 31	4	$37	492	522	-30	open	—	02-01 14:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 01:28:01	will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 8	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x819245…
06-09 00:03:45	will bitcoin dip to 62k on june 8	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x221feb…
06-08 21:19:36	will bitcoin dip to 62k on june 8	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xa1f65c…
05-18 00:11:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xc1718c…
05-13 14:58:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9875ce…
05-13 11:51:07	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x97a6d3…
05-12 18:25:47	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc0d1a7…
05-11 13:29:47	Will J.D. Vance attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xc354ce…
04-28 09:27:48	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x56a359…
04-28 09:27:46	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xe680aa…
04-28 09:27:46	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0xd18901…
04-28 09:27:46	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xaa6afd…
04-28 09:27:46	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	62	0¢	$0	0x9f0ce5…
04-28 09:27:46	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	56	0¢	$0	0x940131…
04-28 07:33:00	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0x1f5469…
04-27 23:28:06	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	2,032	0¢	$4	0xb051b2…
04-27 22:00:50	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xb61414…
04-27 22:00:50	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x8cb1d0…
04-27 22:00:50	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0x503cb1…
04-26 16:56:30	Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?	Yes	SELL	21	25¢	$5	0xe1a859…
04-26 15:35:46	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xe11879…
04-26 15:35:46	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0x54adae…
04-26 14:48:34	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	742	0¢	$1	0x2f9146…
04-25 21:36:56	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x3d7cf4…
04-25 09:53:42	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	44	0¢	$0	0xa5f5c0…
04-25 09:05:56	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xd179e0…
04-25 09:03:46	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	53	0¢	$0	0xdb635e…
04-25 08:41:04	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	37	0¢	$0	0xded98f…
04-25 07:39:26	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xb13aec…
04-25 07:39:26	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x9d7504…
04-25 07:39:26	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x8f76e9…
04-25 00:18:08	Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?	Yes	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0x039cee…
04-25 00:16:22	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	409	0¢	$1	0x09ba36…
04-24 18:51:44	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x409cc1…
04-24 18:45:06	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	254	0¢	$1	0x65681b…
04-24 18:43:26	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	406	0¢	$1	0x5842c1…
04-24 18:42:58	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	114	0¢	$0	0x246941…
04-24 11:11:46	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	349	0¢	$1	0xf18104…
04-24 03:07:36	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	1¢	$1	0x842244…
04-24 03:07:24	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	1¢	$1	0xde6471…
04-24 03:06:48	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0xc224c5…
04-24 03:06:48	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0xb8172e…
04-24 03:06:48	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0xaadb2a…
04-24 03:06:48	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x911ebb…
04-24 03:06:48	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x86e69e…
04-24 03:06:48	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x85de59…
04-24 03:06:48	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x74b2d2…
04-24 03:06:48	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x6a8cdc…
04-24 03:06:48	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x552387…
04-24 03:06:48	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x3fa59a…
04-24 03:06:48	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x2fd741…
04-24 03:06:48	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x28e3a2…
04-24 03:06:48	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x21fa40…
04-24 03:06:34	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x0a2cb4…
04-24 03:05:30	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xff7a2d…
04-24 03:05:30	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xfd56db…
04-24 03:05:30	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xf5d605…
04-24 03:05:30	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xf0d530…
04-24 03:05:30	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xd2bd5a…
04-24 03:05:30	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x7274b7…
04-24 03:05:30	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x671b6b…
04-24 03:05:30	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x60fa7b…
04-24 03:05:30	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x525912…
04-24 03:05:30	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x2e2354…
04-24 03:05:30	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x1e135b…
04-24 03:05:30	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x085395…
04-24 03:05:30	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x0554cb…
04-24 03:01:00	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xfebb0b…
04-24 03:01:00	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xeafa18…
04-24 03:01:00	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xe01dad…
04-24 03:01:00	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xd69c2d…
04-24 03:01:00	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xd01797…
04-24 03:01:00	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x7d25dd…
04-24 03:01:00	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x736cc1…
04-24 03:01:00	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x6bc90f…
04-24 03:01:00	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x56b381…
04-24 03:01:00	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x1ec95e…
04-24 03:01:00	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x0240fc…
04-24 03:01:00	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x0083c9…
04-24 03:00:58	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x8dec97…
04-24 02:59:00	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc7ff2b…
04-24 02:59:00	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb9ca6e…
04-24 02:59:00	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb27fd1…
04-24 02:59:00	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xaf5adc…
04-24 02:59:00	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa3042c…
04-24 02:59:00	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9bdee4…
04-24 02:59:00	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6768d3…
04-24 02:59:00	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5c18d3…
04-24 02:59:00	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x55d01b…
04-24 02:59:00	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x467e49…
04-24 02:59:00	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x23b8d3…
04-24 02:59:00	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1b91b0…
04-24 02:59:00	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1258a0…
04-24 02:58:58	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xa36191…
04-24 02:58:56	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xe76adc…
04-24 02:58:54	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x3295f6…
04-24 02:58:52	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xc16758…
04-24 02:58:50	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x76a0be…
04-24 02:57:32	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xec2410…
04-24 02:57:32	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xcfc3b4…