Simple-Bed — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

70.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,729

lifetime

Volume

$5.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-30 15:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

63% 88% +$3

Politics

14% 100% +$1

Crypto

13% — —

Tech

5% — —

Sports

4% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes		+100	$5	4¢	$4	$-2	06-30 15:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on february 8	13	$221	1,107	1,107	+0	open	—	02-05 20:57
will claude 5 be released on february 4 2026	4	$211	200	200	+0	open	—	02-04 22:33
will nepali congress nc win between 110 and 119 seats in nepals 2026 house of representatives election	14	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	03-04 04:00
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	20	$189	6,773	4,000	+2,773	open	—	01-25 20:46
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	8	$164	592	592	+0	open	—	01-10 22:05
ethereum above 1900 on february 9	12	$149	500	500	+0	open	—	02-05 18:56
will the total number of tsa passengers for february 2 be greater than 2300000	2	$118	65	65	+0	open	—	01-31 20:45
will bridgerton season 1 be the top global netflix show this week february 3 2026	2	$118	112	112	+0	open	—	01-28 02:27
fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 team total home 0pt5	6	$113	90	80	+10	open	—	06-27 20:33
nhl wpg det 2025 12 31	2	$106	58	58	+0	open	—	01-01 04:09
elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 65 89	4	$100	100	100	+0	open	—	01-24 17:43
will msft close below 410 week january 30 2026	2	$97	91	91	+0	open	—	01-27 00:40
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 190 214	4	$96	100	100	+0	open	—	01-31 17:30
will the price of solana be between 70 80 on february 10	8	$76	290	290	+0	open	—	02-05 20:41
will polymarket mindshare hit 90	7	$75	500	375	+125	open	—	02-17 21:56
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	20	$73	2,914	2,756	+158	open	—	01-08 02:28
will megadeth by megadeth be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of february 7	4	$64	420	20	+400	open	—	02-03 02:11
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 12 be between 80 and 85	3	$63	74	74	+0	open	—	03-28 13:04
will silver si hit high 130 by end of february 915 491 526 914 543 364	3	$59	100	100	+0	open	—	01-27 22:21
cfb wake mspst 2026 01 02	2	$53	29	29	+0	open	—	01-03 04:53
another us bank failure by february 28	5	$53	200	200	+0	open	—	02-05 23:42
fifwc che can 2026 06 24 team total away 0pt5	2	$51	30	30	+0	open	—	06-24 20:56
will the highest temperature in london be 5c or below on february 2	4	$50	46	46	+0	open	—	01-31 20:42
us evacuates baghdad embassy by february 28	2	$50	56	56	+0	open	—	01-31 12:16
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 140 164	7	$44	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	03-08 02:06
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	5	$41	200	200	+0	open	—	02-10 13:48
fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	2	$39	30	30	+0	open	—	06-25 21:26
meta close above 670 on january 30 2026	2	$39	300	300	+0	open	—	01-29 14:43
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$39	305	0	+305	open	—	01-30 21:56
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	7	$38	807	507	+300	open	—	01-21 16:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 15:20:53	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xc5be61…
06-29 23:07:05	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	SELL	30	38¢	$11	0x109f58…
06-29 21:28:26	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x29ab3d…
06-29 01:19:02	btc updown 5m 1782695700	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x86b552…
06-29 01:02:47	btc updown 5m 1782694800	Up	BUY	24	3¢	$1	0xfd86a6…
06-29 01:02:47	btc updown 5m 1782694800	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xbfc802…
06-29 01:02:47	btc updown 5m 1782694800	Up	BUY	45	3¢	$1	0xb0002b…
06-29 01:02:47	btc updown 5m 1782694800	Up	BUY	26	3¢	$1	0x592a57…
06-29 00:56:01	btc updown 5m 1782694500	Down	BUY	3	16¢	$1	0xfd70cd…
06-29 00:56:01	btc updown 5m 1782694500	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x626c0b…
06-29 00:51:47	btc updown 5m 1782694200	Down	BUY	55	8¢	$4	0x3a260b…
06-29 00:48:17	btc updown 5m 1782693900	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xbcd6b7…
06-29 00:43:10	btc updown 5m 1782693600	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8b6713…
06-28 19:03:26	will the announcers say aggressive during the south africa vs canada fifa world cup match 20260626193058847	No	BUY	300	3¢	$9	0xfe0529…
06-27 20:33:52	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x41770a…
06-27 20:32:44	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x05fc89…
06-27 05:15:22	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 team total home 0pt5	Over	SELL	64	67¢	$43	0xe925f3…
06-27 05:10:19	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 team total home 0pt5	Over	SELL	15	67¢	$10	0x59888b…
06-27 05:05:58	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 team total home 0pt5	Over	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x498b13…
06-26 20:37:04	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0xea1a5e…
06-26 20:37:04	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x33038d…
06-26 20:24:04	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xf29520…
06-26 19:22:46	fifwc sen irq 2026 06 26 spread home 1pt5	Senegal	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x77bd03…
06-26 15:39:37	fifwc sen irq 2026 06 26 spread home 1pt5	Senegal	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xeca853…
06-25 21:26:32	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 team total away 2pt5	Under	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0xb2a27e…
06-25 21:26:22	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	30	73¢	$22	0xa22079…
06-25 20:56:07	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 spread away 1pt5	Ecuador	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xa5362e…
06-25 11:39:08	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 team total away 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x5fb7a4…
06-25 02:16:44	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x1ee555…
06-25 01:57:38	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 spread away 1pt5	Ecuador	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xbe557d…
06-25 01:53:25	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0x73949b…
06-24 20:56:23	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 team total away 0pt5	Over	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x99e308…
06-24 15:31:20	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x8912e6…
06-24 15:27:10	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb94521…
06-22 22:38:58	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	SELL	150	10¢	$15	0xb57da0…
06-22 22:37:10	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0x8f46ec…
06-22 22:37:08	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xd1f6d7…
06-22 22:37:05	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x7bbd9f…
06-22 22:37:05	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	BUY	19	4¢	$1	0x5f22fb…
06-09 01:28:01	will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 8	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x819245…
06-09 00:03:45	will bitcoin dip to 62k on june 8	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x221feb…
06-08 21:19:36	will bitcoin dip to 62k on june 8	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xa1f65c…
05-18 00:11:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xc1718c…
05-13 14:58:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9875ce…
05-13 11:51:07	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x97a6d3…
05-12 18:25:47	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc0d1a7…
05-11 13:29:47	Will J.D. Vance attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xc354ce…
04-28 09:27:48	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x56a359…
04-28 09:27:46	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xe680aa…
04-28 09:27:46	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0xd18901…
04-28 09:27:46	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xaa6afd…
04-28 09:27:46	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	62	0¢	$0	0x9f0ce5…
04-28 09:27:46	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	56	0¢	$0	0x940131…
04-28 07:33:00	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0x1f5469…
04-27 23:28:06	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	2,032	0¢	$4	0xb051b2…
04-27 22:00:50	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xb61414…
04-27 22:00:50	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x8cb1d0…
04-27 22:00:50	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0x503cb1…
04-26 16:56:30	Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?	Yes	SELL	21	25¢	$5	0xe1a859…
04-26 15:35:46	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xe11879…
04-26 15:35:46	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0x54adae…
04-26 14:48:34	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	742	0¢	$1	0x2f9146…
04-25 21:36:56	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x3d7cf4…
04-25 09:53:42	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	44	0¢	$0	0xa5f5c0…
04-25 09:05:56	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xd179e0…
04-25 09:03:46	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	53	0¢	$0	0xdb635e…
04-25 08:41:04	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	37	0¢	$0	0xded98f…
04-25 07:39:26	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xb13aec…
04-25 07:39:26	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x9d7504…
04-25 07:39:26	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x8f76e9…
04-25 00:18:08	Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?	Yes	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0x039cee…
04-25 00:16:22	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	409	0¢	$1	0x09ba36…
04-24 18:51:44	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x409cc1…
04-24 18:45:06	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	254	0¢	$1	0x65681b…
04-24 18:43:26	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	406	0¢	$1	0x5842c1…
04-24 18:42:58	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	114	0¢	$0	0x246941…
04-24 11:11:46	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	349	0¢	$1	0xf18104…
04-24 03:07:36	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	1¢	$1	0x842244…
04-24 03:07:24	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	1¢	$1	0xde6471…
04-24 03:06:48	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0xc224c5…
04-24 03:06:48	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0xb8172e…
04-24 03:06:48	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0xaadb2a…
04-24 03:06:48	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x911ebb…
04-24 03:06:48	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x86e69e…
04-24 03:06:48	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x85de59…
04-24 03:06:48	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x74b2d2…
04-24 03:06:48	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x6a8cdc…
04-24 03:06:48	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x552387…
04-24 03:06:48	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x3fa59a…
04-24 03:06:48	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x2fd741…
04-24 03:06:48	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x28e3a2…
04-24 03:06:48	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x21fa40…
04-24 03:06:34	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x0a2cb4…
04-24 03:05:30	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xff7a2d…
04-24 03:05:30	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xfd56db…
04-24 03:05:30	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xf5d605…
04-24 03:05:30	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xf0d530…
04-24 03:05:30	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xd2bd5a…
04-24 03:05:30	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x7274b7…
04-24 03:05:30	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on May 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x671b6b…