Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.25K

Unrealized P&L

+$189

Hit rate

76.1%

Resolved

464

Trades

3,994

lifetime

Volume

$363.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$91

Open exposure

$3.32K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 17:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 162 days

Categories

Other

74% 68% -$6,141

Sports

14% 65% -$742

Politics

12% 84% +$4,632

Crypto

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+2,006	$1,491	85¢	$1.7K	+$218	07-21 19:11
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	+2,302	$1,335	65¢	$1.5K	+$161	10-29 17:43
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	+1,000	$300	11¢	$110	-$190	05-15 22:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	25	$12.6K	6,375	6,375	+0	Yes	+$18	07-02 12:27
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	24	$11.5K	5,841	5,841	+0	Yes	+$184	06-30 11:42
will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	29	$6.8K	7,091	0	+7,091	No	-$6,801	07-13 15:00
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	26	$5.8K	3,169	3,169	+0	No	+$171	06-29 14:22
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	5	$5.6K	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	+$412	06-19 02:14
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	6	$5.3K	2,666	2,666	+0	No	+$42	07-02 21:05
epl mun mac 2026 01 17 mac	79	$5.2K	4,569	5,862	-1,293	No	+$707	01-17 11:20
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	7	$4.9K	2,808	2,808	-0	No	+$389	07-24 15:35
nba cha hou 2026 02 05	101	$4.9K	4,500	3,914	+586	Hornets	-$295	02-05 20:58
lal rso bar 2026 01 18 bar	49	$4.9K	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$20	01-18 18:37
epl ars sun 2026 02 07 ars	32	$4.4K	2,000	3,500	-1,500	Yes	-$295	02-07 14:33
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	20	$4.4K	2,200	2,200	+0	Yes	+$1	06-28 03:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	4	$4.1K	2,500	2,500	+0	Yes	+$845	06-17 00:58
Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	27	$4.0K	2,227	2,877	-650	Yes	+$37	04-10 21:49
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	5	$4.0K	2,061	2,061	+0	Yes	$0	07-08 14:36
cdr rrc fcb 2026 01 15 fcb	130	$3.9K	5,454	1,000	+4,454	Yes	+$135	01-15 05:19
efa bur3 whu 2026 02 14 whu	70	$3.8K	2,541	3,000	-459	No	+$322	02-14 10:48
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 743	5	$3.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$278	07-07 13:43
ucl bay usg1 2026 01 21 bay	11	$3.6K	2,175	1,955	+221	Yes	+$43	01-21 15:18
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	5	$3.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$350	07-29 07:34
nba det cha 2026 02 09	125	$3.4K	2,996	2,937	+59	Pistons	+$55	02-09 16:17
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	10	$3.4K	1,754	1,754	+0	Yes	+$76	06-24 12:19
lal bar ovi 2026 01 25 bar	48	$3.4K	2,868	1,000	+1,868	Yes	+$258	01-25 15:14
epl mac not 2026 03 04 mac	25	$3.4K	2,700	2,200	+500	No	-$323	03-04 15:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	5	$3.3K	1,690	1,690	+0	No	+$8	06-28 03:38
ucl slp fcb1 2026 01 21 fcb1	18	$3.3K	2,000	2,500	-500	Yes	-$115	01-21 13:59
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	3	$3.1K	3,205	0	+3,205	No	+$138	03-31 11:19
nba mil bos 2026 02 01	16	$3.0K	1,996	1,500	+496	Celtics	+$94	02-01 18:58
epl mun tot 2026 02 07 mun	17	$2.9K	2,000	2,835	-835	Yes	-$310	02-07 11:00
bun wer bay 2026 02 14 bay	39	$2.9K	2,000	1,827	+173	Yes	+$57	02-14 09:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:43:52	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,691	58¢	$981	0x2f1e44…
10-29 17:20:14	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xcb2783…
10-29 17:20:04	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	68	58¢	$40	0x3b0403…
10-29 17:16:56	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0xba10ed…
10-29 17:16:53	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	46	58¢	$27	0xf12a5f…
10-29 17:16:52	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xc8a7ea…
10-29 17:16:49	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	167	58¢	$97	0xf71713…
10-29 17:16:47	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x65cf11…
10-29 17:16:44	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	48	58¢	$28	0xf64501…
10-29 17:16:44	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x8fe5a3…
10-29 17:16:44	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0x3f9c5d…
10-29 17:16:44	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x3e5bdf…
10-29 17:16:44	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	89	58¢	$52	0x2a645b…
07-31 21:31:32	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	Yes	BUY	1,147	68¢	$780	0x1e84ff…
07-31 18:08:32	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	Yes	BUY	212	68¢	$144	0xed6f98…
07-31 17:53:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	Yes	BUY	910	68¢	$619	0xc70dd0…
07-30 23:56:03	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	49	72¢	$35	0xac20ec…
07-30 23:53:29	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	717	72¢	$517	0x49e9f1…
07-30 23:52:57	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	60	72¢	$43	0x03c1af…
07-30 22:35:56	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	46	72¢	$33	0x5fcb35…
07-30 22:13:57	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	56	72¢	$41	0xe1b270…
07-30 22:13:23	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	36	72¢	$26	0xd6fbf2…
07-30 22:13:21	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	36	72¢	$26	0xdb87e6…
07-30 17:01:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	Yes	BUY	500	69¢	$345	0x25c67f…
07-30 17:01:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	Yes	BUY	500	69¢	$345	0x237f74…
07-29 10:01:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	288	78¢	$226	0x7c3783…
07-29 07:34:53	Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	No	SELL	204	99¢	$202	0x5601e8…
07-29 02:03:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,344	75¢	$1,753	0xb25e30…
07-28 21:40:01	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf8cea9…
07-28 21:18:05	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	SELL	1,794	99¢	$1,776	0x2af2ab…
07-26 11:19:19	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	579	55¢	$319	0x562e70…
07-24 15:35:19	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	SELL	227	100¢	$226	0x1e10ea…
07-22 11:13:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	314	86¢	$269	0x6981d4…
07-21 19:11:15	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	74¢	$736	0x2f02f7…
07-21 16:39:03	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	75¢	$751	0x7418f8…
07-20 12:48:15	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	425	6¢	$25	0xcde832…
07-20 12:34:25	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	510	10¢	$51	0x49ac0c…
07-20 08:09:51	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	BUY	227	55¢	$124	0x264cb5…
07-20 07:24:04	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	535	86¢	$460	0xd09332…
07-20 05:55:04	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x0fb64f…
07-14 23:46:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	525	34¢	$178	0xacb0c0…
07-14 23:01:59	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	BUY	1,000	81¢	$810	0x93c9cd…
07-14 23:01:35	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	BUY	1,000	82¢	$820	0xeec9fa…
07-14 15:21:31	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0x85d369…
07-14 13:30:46	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	1,281	0¢	$4	0xf89631…
07-13 15:00:23	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	81	95¢	$78	0xcb4fb1…
07-13 14:59:32	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x4e2d0b…
07-13 14:59:28	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x5fa97b…
07-13 14:59:19	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xd09e08…
07-13 08:49:02	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x4097c7…
07-13 08:38:37	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xf25b19…
07-13 08:38:37	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xe1eed1…
07-13 08:38:37	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0xb9d1e9…
07-13 08:38:37	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xb1a2d1…
07-13 08:38:37	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x37fe06…
07-13 07:16:20	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x028df1…
07-13 07:15:58	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	694	95¢	$658	0x2a2c86…
07-13 05:04:52	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xbdbc77…
07-13 04:56:14	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	99	95¢	$94	0x53937e…
07-13 04:54:14	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xcc3ac0…
07-13 04:54:11	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	29	95¢	$27	0xe87dad…
07-13 04:54:11	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x160d83…
07-11 02:37:58	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,435	71¢	$1,024	0x0ee33a…
07-10 20:27:53	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xdb0a6c…
07-10 15:33:44	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xa321f6…
07-10 15:02:14	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	261	65¢	$170	0x4b88c1…
07-10 15:01:14	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	104	65¢	$68	0xf5e6f0…
07-10 14:59:17	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	72	66¢	$47	0xb83693…
07-10 12:50:26	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	SELL	250	3¢	$7	0xfbb066…
07-10 11:55:49	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x90d41d…
07-10 00:51:23	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x9c9fc3…
07-10 00:46:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	1,000	96¢	$961	0x2636a3…
07-09 23:53:17	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	99	61¢	$60	0x6d78cf…
07-09 19:32:43	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0x36c092…
07-09 13:38:11	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	500	96¢	$480	0xd54bb0…
07-09 02:00:35	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0x8293c7…
07-09 01:36:38	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	549	96¢	$527	0x4f99c9…
07-08 22:19:10	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	643	96¢	$617	0x7ef9f5…
07-08 16:37:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1,328	0¢	$1	0xf8cb88…
07-08 16:00:07	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	579	96¢	$556	0xf7ffb9…
07-08 15:12:46	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	61	96¢	$59	0x80943d…
07-08 14:39:49	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	111	97¢	$108	0x69974e…
07-08 14:38:44	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,321	97¢	$1,279	0xe2f957…
07-08 14:36:10	Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,030	97¢	$999	0x175cbb…
07-08 14:29:08	Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,030	97¢	$999	0xb2aedc…
07-07 18:10:20	Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,061	96¢	$1,019	0xd21ea2…
07-07 13:43:41	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 743	Yes	SELL	664	100¢	$664	0x3cc00b…
07-07 13:39:04	Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	Yes	BUY	878	98¢	$860	0x09d803…
07-07 13:37:47	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 743	Yes	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0x19790b…
07-07 13:29:35	Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	98¢	$120	0xf05c41…
07-07 13:01:11	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 743	Yes	SELL	1,239	100¢	$1,237	0x44b67a…
07-07 13:01:05	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	SELL	1,500	0¢	$3	0x1a1a7e…
07-07 12:42:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	120	83¢	$99	0xb1021e…
07-07 12:19:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	209	81¢	$169	0xa28bae…
07-07 09:56:34	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	No	SELL	171	99¢	$169	0x225cf9…
07-07 03:21:34	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	Yes	BUY	750	95¢	$711	0x30743f…
07-07 01:23:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	500	62¢	$310	0xdf780e…
07-06 22:57:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0xb9e9f5…
07-06 22:57:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	300	85¢	$255	0x75b292…
07-06 15:07:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	1,000	88¢	$880	0xc864dd…