Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.71K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.3%

Resolved

Trades

3,793

lifetime

Volume

$318.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$84

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-20 12:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

75% 71% +$71

Sports

16% 70% +$508

Politics

9% 100% +$1,135

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	24	$11.5K	5,841	5,841	+0	open	—	06-30 11:42
will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	29	$6.8K	7,091	0	+7,091	open	—	07-13 15:00
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	26	$5.8K	3,169	3,169	+0	open	—	06-29 14:22
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	5	$5.6K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	06-19 02:14
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	6	$5.3K	2,666	2,666	+0	open	—	07-02 21:05
epl mun mac 2026 01 17 mac	79	$5.2K	4,569	5,862	-1,293	open	—	01-17 11:20
nba cha hou 2026 02 05	101	$4.9K	4,500	3,914	+586	open	—	02-05 20:58
lal rso bar 2026 01 18 bar	49	$4.9K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	01-18 18:37
epl ars sun 2026 02 07 ars	32	$4.4K	2,000	3,500	-1,500	open	—	02-07 14:33
Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	27	$4.0K	2,227	2,877	-650	open	—	04-10 21:49
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	5	$4.0K	2,061	2,061	+0	open	—	07-08 14:36
cdr rrc fcb 2026 01 15 fcb	130	$3.9K	5,454	1,000	+4,454	open	—	01-15 05:19
efa bur3 whu 2026 02 14 whu	70	$3.8K	2,541	3,000	-459	open	—	02-14 10:48
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	5	$3.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	07-07 13:43
ucl bay usg1 2026 01 21 bay	11	$3.6K	2,175	1,955	+221	open	—	01-21 15:18
nba det cha 2026 02 09	125	$3.4K	2,996	2,937	+59	open	—	02-09 16:17
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	10	$3.4K	1,754	1,754	+0	open	—	06-24 12:19
lal bar ovi 2026 01 25 bar	48	$3.4K	2,868	1,000	+1,868	open	—	01-25 15:14
epl mac not 2026 03 04 mac	25	$3.4K	2,700	2,200	+500	open	—	03-04 15:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	5	$3.3K	1,690	1,690	+0	open	—	06-28 03:38
ucl slp fcb1 2026 01 21 fcb1	18	$3.3K	2,000	2,500	-500	open	—	01-21 13:59
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	3	$3.1K	3,205	0	+3,205	open	—	03-31 11:19
nba mil bos 2026 02 01	16	$3.0K	1,996	1,500	+496	open	—	02-01 18:58
epl mun tot 2026 02 07 mun	17	$2.9K	2,000	2,835	-835	open	—	02-07 11:00
bun wer bay 2026 02 14 bay	39	$2.9K	2,000	1,827	+173	open	—	02-14 09:35
epl wes mun 2026 02 10 mun	37	$2.9K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	02-10 16:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	2	$2.8K	500	2,500	-2,000	open	—	06-17 00:58
epl mac new 2026 02 21 mac	60	$2.8K	3,000	1,280	+1,720	open	—	02-21 02:46
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	11	$2.8K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	07-01 14:05
nba uta mia 2026 02 09	65	$2.6K	2,000	1,580	+420	open	—	02-09 17:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 12:48:15	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	425	6¢	$25	0xcde832…
07-20 12:34:25	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	510	10¢	$51	0x49ac0c…
07-20 07:24:04	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	535	86¢	$460	0xd09332…
07-14 23:46:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	525	34¢	$178	0xacb0c0…
07-14 23:01:59	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	BUY	1,000	81¢	$810	0x93c9cd…
07-14 23:01:35	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	BUY	1,000	82¢	$820	0xeec9fa…
07-14 15:21:31	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0x85d369…
07-14 13:30:46	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	1,281	0¢	$4	0xf89631…
07-13 15:00:23	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	81	95¢	$78	0xcb4fb1…
07-13 14:59:32	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x4e2d0b…
07-13 14:59:28	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x5fa97b…
07-13 14:59:19	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xd09e08…
07-13 08:49:02	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x4097c7…
07-13 08:38:37	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xf25b19…
07-13 08:38:37	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xe1eed1…
07-13 08:38:37	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0xb9d1e9…
07-13 08:38:37	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xb1a2d1…
07-13 08:38:37	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x37fe06…
07-13 07:16:20	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x028df1…
07-13 07:15:58	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	694	95¢	$658	0x2a2c86…
07-13 05:04:52	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xbdbc77…
07-13 04:56:14	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	99	95¢	$94	0x53937e…
07-13 04:54:14	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xcc3ac0…
07-13 04:54:11	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	29	95¢	$27	0xe87dad…
07-13 04:54:11	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x160d83…
07-11 02:37:58	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,435	71¢	$1,024	0x0ee33a…
07-10 20:27:53	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xdb0a6c…
07-10 15:33:44	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xa321f6…
07-10 15:02:14	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	261	65¢	$170	0x4b88c1…
07-10 15:01:14	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	104	65¢	$68	0xf5e6f0…
07-10 14:59:17	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	72	66¢	$47	0xb83693…
07-10 12:50:26	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	SELL	250	3¢	$7	0xfbb066…
07-10 11:55:49	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x90d41d…
07-10 00:51:23	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x9c9fc3…
07-10 00:46:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	1,000	96¢	$961	0x2636a3…
07-09 23:53:17	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	99	61¢	$60	0x6d78cf…
07-09 19:32:43	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0x36c092…
07-09 13:38:11	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	500	96¢	$480	0xd54bb0…
07-09 02:00:35	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0x8293c7…
07-09 01:36:38	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	549	96¢	$527	0x4f99c9…
07-08 22:19:10	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	643	96¢	$617	0x7ef9f5…
07-08 16:37:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1,328	0¢	$1	0xf8cb88…
07-08 16:00:07	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	579	96¢	$556	0xf7ffb9…
07-08 15:12:46	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	61	96¢	$59	0x80943d…
07-08 14:39:49	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	111	97¢	$108	0x69974e…
07-08 14:38:44	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,321	97¢	$1,279	0xe2f957…
07-08 14:36:10	Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,030	97¢	$999	0x175cbb…
07-08 14:29:08	Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,030	97¢	$999	0xb2aedc…
07-07 18:10:20	Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,061	96¢	$1,019	0xd21ea2…
07-07 13:43:41	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 743	Yes	SELL	664	100¢	$664	0x3cc00b…
07-07 13:39:04	Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	Yes	BUY	878	98¢	$860	0x09d803…
07-07 13:37:47	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 743	Yes	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0x19790b…
07-07 13:29:35	Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	98¢	$120	0xf05c41…
07-07 13:01:11	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 743	Yes	SELL	1,239	100¢	$1,237	0x44b67a…
07-07 13:01:05	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	SELL	1,500	0¢	$3	0x1a1a7e…
07-07 12:42:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	120	83¢	$99	0xb1021e…
07-07 12:19:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	209	81¢	$169	0xa28bae…
07-07 09:56:34	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	No	SELL	171	99¢	$169	0x225cf9…
07-07 03:21:34	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	Yes	BUY	750	95¢	$711	0x30743f…
07-07 01:23:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	500	62¢	$310	0xdf780e…
07-06 22:57:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0xb9e9f5…
07-06 22:57:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	300	85¢	$255	0x75b292…
07-06 15:07:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	1,000	88¢	$880	0xc864dd…
07-06 02:19:08	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	BUY	701	0¢	$1	0x1c4e4b…
07-06 00:48:04	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	16¢	$160	0x1f9865…
07-05 20:59:08	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	BUY	299	0¢	$1	0x79f7c3…
07-05 18:23:02	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	BUY	387	0¢	$2	0x313611…
07-05 15:41:04	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x129a55…
07-05 11:16:25	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	BUY	111	0¢	$1	0x08d634…
07-05 02:11:19	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1,281	0¢	$3	0x987d4d…
07-04 14:13:28	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	SELL	419	1¢	$5	0xbbd0e2…
07-04 12:09:20	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x56262c…
07-04 10:49:49	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	SELL	76	1¢	$1	0xa1848f…
07-03 13:09:46	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 7	No	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x98a5d8…
07-03 09:31:26	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	22¢	$220	0xceb7cf…
07-03 03:00:23	mlb sd lad 2026 07 02	San Diego Padres	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x03297c…
07-03 02:15:22	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x3f5db5…
07-03 02:14:47	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	SELL	263	100¢	$263	0x001b5e…
07-02 21:05:55	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1,666	100¢	$1,664	0x3a9944…
07-02 20:39:52	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	84¢	$840	0x825c06…
07-02 18:34:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	1,337	99¢	$1,326	0xfa6702…
07-02 18:18:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xa52b85…
07-02 17:04:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x73ce02…
07-02 17:03:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xf61398…
07-02 17:01:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe87d06…
07-02 16:58:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa35b72…
07-02 16:51:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7caba8…
07-02 15:31:38	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	88¢	$880	0x5e2fb5…
07-02 14:30:28	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	BUY	60	12¢	$7	0xc69776…
07-02 07:24:01	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	135	97¢	$131	0x5b7956…
07-02 04:25:37	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x3faa83…
07-02 00:44:46	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xc121b0…
07-02 00:34:50	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$990	0x4854b4…
07-02 00:28:04	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	466	99¢	$463	0x36c2db…
07-01 23:58:01	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	BUY	272	99¢	$269	0x87f871…
07-01 23:50:52	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	No	BUY	171	95¢	$163	0x511497…
07-01 14:05:08	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1,500	100¢	$1,497	0xec2bc1…
07-01 12:34:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0xb0f0f8…
07-01 12:34:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	626	87¢	$544	0x2d083d…
07-01 11:18:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	222	87¢	$193	0xda5455…