Realized P&L
+$92
Unrealized P&L
-$18
Hit rate
89.8%
Resolved
3
Trades
27
lifetime
Volume
$384
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$75
15 positions
First seen
2026-10-27
last 11-11 17:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
89% 50% +$115
Other
11% 0% -$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +24 $16 78¢ $18 +$2 11-01 19:37
Macron out by December 31, 2026? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 10-27 07:26
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +43 $16 22¢ $10 -$7 11-11 17:01
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? Yes +80 $8 8¢ $6 -$2 11-03 20:37
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 11-01 10:35
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +52 $5 9¢ $5 $0 11-07 22:46
Will no second mandate to form a government be given after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +10 $5 48¢ $5 $0 11-09 12:22
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +27 $5 17¢ $5 $0 11-07 22:46
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +9 $5 40¢ $3 -$2 11-09 12:21
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? Yes +25 $5 8¢ $2 -$3 11-03 20:35
Will Stevenage FC win on 2026-11-14? Yes +437 $3 0¢ $2 -$1 11-10 06:19
Will Mansfield Town FC win on 2026-11-14? Yes +305 $3 1¢ $2 -$1 11-10 06:18
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate by 50+ bps at the February meeting? Yes +27 $5 5¢ $1 -$4 11-05 20:38
Will Huddersfield Town AFC win on 2026-11-14? Yes +97 $1 1¢ $1 $0 11-10 18:42
Will Wycombe Wanderers FC win on 2026-11-14? Yes +77 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 11-10 18:42