Real-Filth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$125

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

66.4%

Resolved

530

Trades

735

lifetime

Volume

$3.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$17

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-27 20:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 115 days

Categories

Other

79% 46% -$40

Crypto

16% 67% -$6

Politics

6% 83% -$77

Sports

0% 20% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+37	$10	46¢	$17	+$7	10-27 20:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in london on january 20 11c	2	$244	144	144	+0	No	+$44	01-20 21:40
highest temperature in seattle on january 19 50 51f	2	$206	106	106	+0	No	+$6	01-20 10:42
highest temperature in london on january 19 12corhigher	2	$186	96	96	+0	No	+$4	01-19 21:33
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	5	$103	387	0	+387	Yes	-$103	06-20 14:08
highest temperature in london on january 21 10c	1	$100	103	0	+103	Yes	+$3	01-21 12:55
highest temperature in london on february 7 2026 10c	5	$96	56	56	+0	No	-$5	02-07 13:30
highest temperature in seattle on january 25 44 45f	4	$56	69	69	+0	Yes	+$29	01-26 09:52
highest temperature in seoul on january 25 neg 3c	3	$52	33	33	+0	Yes	+$12	01-25 10:56
highest temperature in london on february 4 2026 10c	2	$49	28	28	+0	Yes	-$1	02-04 12:44
highest temperature in london on january 25 8c	2	$32	22	22	+0	Yes	+$12	01-25 21:47
highest temperature in london on february 7 2026 11c	3	$30	110	83	+27	Yes	-$15	02-07 13:31
highest temperature in miami on february 18 2026 80 81f	2	$26	25	25	+0	No	-$14	02-18 18:30
highest temperature in seattle on february 6 2026 58 59f	2	$25	38	38	+0	No	-$11	02-06 23:00
highest temperature in london on january 29 7c	1	$25	27	0	+27	Yes	+$2	01-29 13:15
highest temperature in london on january 23 9c	1	$25	28	0	+28	Yes	+$3	01-23 11:09
highest temperature in wellington on february 4 2026 19corhigher	1	$25	32	0	+32	No	+$7	02-04 00:42
highest temperature in london on january 26 7c	3	$25	39	39	+0	No	-$18	01-26 16:24
will the highest temperature in london be 8c on february 2	3	$24	41	0	+41	Yes	+$17	02-02 13:19
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	1	$24	40	0	+40	No	+$17	06-18 21:29
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 28, 2026?	2	$22	12	12	+0	No	+$2	05-29 11:06
bitcoin above 90k on january 24	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	01-24 17:26
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 goals lionel messi gte2	2	$21	13	13	+0	No	+$5	07-04 00:24
highest temperature in london on february 17 2026 7c	2	$20	11	11	+0	Yes	+$2	02-17 18:07
highest temperature in london on february 12 2026 10c	3	$20	35	0	+35	No	-$20	02-12 13:10
highest temperature in paris on february 24 2026 14c	2	$19	19	19	+0	Yes	+$17	02-24 20:05
highest temperature in seattle on february 18 2026 40 41f	2	$19	11	11	+0	Yes	+$3	02-19 10:23
highest temperature in seattle on february 6 2026 56 57f	2	$19	43	0	+43	Yes	+$24	02-06 22:07
highest temperature in london on february 5 2026 8c	3	$18	23	19	+4	Yes	+$7	02-05 15:20
highest temperature in seattle on january 28 50 51f	2	$17	10	10	+0	Yes	+$3	01-29 10:11
highest temperature in seattle on january 27 50 51f	3	$16	11	11	+0	Yes	+$5	01-28 10:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 20:16:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x9ec3f2…
10-14 15:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x8faf29…
10-14 12:57:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcbe819…
10-13 20:42:58	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xd51ce0…
10-13 18:43:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x30b102…
10-13 16:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x3a97b8…
10-13 12:57:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x720cfb…
10-13 01:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1c8945…
08-01 12:13:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 1?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x1adfe3…
07-31 17:57:32	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	84	1¢	$1	0xcc33f0…
07-31 17:57:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x699b2f…
07-31 11:48:09	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb8f693…
07-31 11:46:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x26b7b1…
07-31 11:44:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x282544…
07-31 00:11:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x252219…
07-30 19:44:11	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 30?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x403fc0…
07-30 19:43:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x78916a…
07-30 18:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xf788b2…
07-30 17:09:26	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x17d054…
07-30 12:39:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x6ccb10…
07-30 12:22:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1d74d0…
07-30 12:19:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x05cc54…
07-30 00:03:41	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa02561…
07-29 22:32:45	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x39d274…
07-29 20:40:26	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3e7d38…
07-29 20:37:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xca6d00…
07-29 20:27:00	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x6b0010…
07-29 20:26:50	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x227ca8…
07-29 20:26:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 29?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbce1d3…
07-29 17:36:59	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3c6bad…
07-29 17:36:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x323787…
07-29 17:09:29	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb27f77…
07-29 15:40:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x0586cc…
07-29 14:45:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x385643…
07-29 12:56:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf9e467…
07-29 01:23:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xab162c…
07-28 19:33:35	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 28?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x0bec3e…
07-28 19:31:23	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0xd0d781…
07-28 17:17:32	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x440c54…
07-28 17:17:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	4	95¢	$3	0x6764ee…
07-28 13:32:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb19205…
07-28 11:08:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xeccfb4…
07-27 19:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc91341…
07-27 19:51:19	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 27?	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x3a50b5…
07-27 17:21:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 27?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x437cd7…
07-27 16:27:37	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x907ea7…
07-27 16:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x377843…
07-27 16:19:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 27?	Yes	SELL	9	67¢	$6	0x30ae22…
07-27 10:04:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0xb6446a…
07-26 16:48:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x8af15f…
07-26 15:51:31	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x81b7ba…
07-26 15:51:15	Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C or below on July 26?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xd293bc…
07-26 15:49:22	Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0xe542f7…
07-26 15:41:24	Will the lowest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on July 26?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x764596…
07-26 15:33:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x06ed44…
07-22 18:36:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xef8521…
07-16 12:42:34	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	324	2¢	$7	0x6e05e7…
07-06 01:13:59	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 goals raul jimenez gte1	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xc21601…
07-04 00:24:01	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 goals lionel messi gte2	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x6c063d…
07-03 23:17:46	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 goals lionel messi gte2	No	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x8b1494…
06-20 14:08:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0xe09a77…
06-20 13:50:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	255	27¢	$70	0x9286ce…
06-20 13:41:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0xaeaa4f…
06-19 19:45:25	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	150	1¢	$1	0xe2969f…
06-19 19:45:19	Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	214	0¢	$1	0x431232…
06-19 19:45:11	Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	300	0¢	$1	0x89f9b4…
06-19 19:44:55	Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0x1dcf60…
06-18 21:29:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0xc6e0a0…
06-17 23:35:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	38	22¢	$8	0x02f7bb…
06-17 23:21:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x9b9aec…
06-05 19:31:45	Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xaf53c4…
06-05 19:31:37	Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x06be8a…
06-05 19:30:58	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0xaaebee…
06-05 19:30:12	Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	214	1¢	$1	0xaec39f…
06-05 19:29:33	Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$2	0xf003d8…
06-01 20:36:14	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x9c146b…
06-01 14:07:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xf50cf9…
06-01 13:49:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 1?	No	SELL	24	16¢	$4	0xf7fc7e…
06-01 13:47:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 1?	No	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x6e7841…
06-01 13:42:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 1?	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x0a92b2…
05-29 11:12:19	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x4bcb5a…
05-29 11:06:39	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 28, 2026?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x80acfe…
05-28 10:12:11	Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xd22a01…
05-27 23:49:28	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x680de4…
05-25 01:12:22	Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xd6f65b…
05-24 12:15:01	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x0a2e33…
05-22 15:48:41	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	23	17¢	$4	0x68837e…
05-21 16:41:50	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xca3008…
05-21 16:25:13	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xe548f8…
05-20 14:27:48	nvda close above 225 on may 20 2026	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xe45c95…
05-19 20:28:26	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on May 19?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc15633…
05-19 17:16:31	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on May 19?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x7a3498…
05-19 15:46:55	Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xeb3f09…
05-02 14:28:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd18535…
04-30 14:54:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x53ab26…
04-28 22:42:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9d729b…
04-28 13:32:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x171024…
04-14 10:17:05	highest temperature in paris on april 14 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x52e3ac…
04-14 10:16:17	highest temperature in london on april 14 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x223bd0…
04-14 10:14:57	highest temperature in ankara on april 15 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xdf2289…