Closed-Armadillo — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$39

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.5%

Resolved (90d)

454

Trades (90d)

455

4,016 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.52K

$22.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-04 22:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 175 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% -$1,255

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 05:15 UTC	31	$257	513	91	+422	Up	+$70	01-01 05:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 13:45 UTC	11	$227	153	180	-27	Up	-$10	01-04 13:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 00:30 UTC	17	$209	330	330	+0	Down	-$6	01-07 00:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 04:15 UTC	43	$199	521	138	+383	Down	+$2	01-01 04:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 16:45 UTC	49	$154	410	409	+1	Up	+$77	02-24 16:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 22:30 UTC	21	$148	292	0	+292	Down	-$2	01-06 22:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 16:00 UTC	31	$144	149	204	-55	Down	+$29	01-05 16:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 12:45 UTC	2	$139	93	90	+3	Up	+$44	04-07 12:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 11:45 UTC	6	$139	352	0	+352	Down	-$9	01-02 11:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 13:30 UTC	2	$139	94	90	+3	Down	+$43	04-08 13:39
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 22:00 UTC	2	$137	91	88	+3	Up	+$41	04-06 22:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 14:15 UTC	2	$131	87	84	+3	Up	+$35	04-07 14:25
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 14:15 UTC	2	$123	78	76	+2	Up	+$27	04-07 14:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 05:45 UTC	17	$119	345	0	+345	Down	+$3	01-01 06:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 02:15 UTC	9	$114	300	100	+200	Up	-$5	01-07 02:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 01:45 UTC	2	$114	76	75	+1	Down	+$36	03-30 02:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 20:45 UTC	6	$111	228	0	+228	Up	+$3	01-01 20:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 00:30 UTC	2	$108	71	70	+1	Down	+$30	03-30 00:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 06:15 UTC	11	$107	341	0	+341	Up	-$6	01-01 06:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 20:30 UTC	2	$104	66	65	+1	Down	+$26	03-29 20:46
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 20:30 UTC	3	$103	65	64	+1	Down	+$25	03-29 20:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 15:00 UTC	18	$101	194	0	+194	Up	-$11	01-01 15:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 19:00 UTC	16	$100	115	114	+0	Down	+$2	01-07 19:07
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 19:00 UTC	16	$99	116	116	+0	Down	-$1	01-07 19:08
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-05 21:45 UTC	2	$97	63	61	+2	Up	+$20	04-05 21:52
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 16:30 UTC	3	$96	63	62	+1	Down	+$17	03-29 16:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 16:15 UTC	18	$95	186	0	+186	Down	-$2	01-06 16:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 00:00 UTC	3	$92	83	78	+5	Up	+$14	03-12 00:10
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 16:45 UTC	10	$92	157	13	+144	Up	-$1	01-02 16:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 18:15 UTC	13	$81	156	0	+156	Up	-$3	01-06 18:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 22:45:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x9eab9c…
11-04 05:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x1f6ee6…
11-04 00:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb51c7b…
11-02 01:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xdfea43…
11-02 00:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x6cc804…
11-01 23:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x48982d…
11-01 09:15:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-01 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x119364…
11-01 09:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xce4acb…
11-01 02:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x4a858b…
11-01 01:15:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x71f34b…
10-31 04:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x55c4e7…
10-31 04:00:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x9257e7…
10-30 04:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xd85a15…
10-30 04:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xa38b78…
10-30 04:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x4f3a4d…
10-30 04:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x8ee915…
10-26 15:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x2a21c9…
10-26 09:30:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xc6ed12…
10-25 21:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x5556a8…
10-25 20:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xdd6573…
10-25 20:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x5a86aa…
10-25 19:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x92878a…
10-25 17:00:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x91be31…
10-25 15:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd270a7…
10-25 09:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x7a26cb…
10-25 09:00:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-25 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x9b5cb4…
10-25 06:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x86fde5…
10-25 02:00:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x053764…
10-25 00:45:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x94295e…
10-24 23:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xc2133a…
10-24 23:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x0ebf55…
10-23 20:00:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xa8ce52…
10-23 12:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xb32032…
10-23 08:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x885958…
10-20 14:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xf97574…
10-20 12:45:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x3a3e74…
10-20 04:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x512aae…
10-18 13:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xd6df3a…
10-17 08:00:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xab83fa…
10-17 07:30:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x487de8…
10-17 06:45:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x01a0ca…
10-17 00:45:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x0eeef5…
10-16 23:00:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xa19b6b…
10-16 22:45:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x46a44a…
10-16 22:30:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xc32d2d…
10-16 22:15:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc4330f…
10-16 05:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xc3fd93…
10-15 22:00:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xc2adfc…
10-15 16:00:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xee9315…
10-15 15:45:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc9eda7…
10-15 15:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x1122c7…
10-15 15:15:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xbcd4d4…
10-14 22:45:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x91a362…
10-14 00:00:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x2bb37e…
10-13 02:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x0a26c3…
10-13 02:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xd54f44…
10-13 02:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xc67d14…
10-11 21:15:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x0ac293…
10-11 17:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x640314…
10-11 16:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x570c55…
10-11 16:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x251739…
10-11 16:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x8b11fe…
10-11 16:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xfea23f…
10-11 11:45:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x9fd916…
10-11 10:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xe87944…
10-11 10:30:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x301812…
10-11 00:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x106459…
10-11 00:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x946042…
10-11 00:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x3258e8…
10-10 19:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x10a9fb…
10-10 19:30:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xc6fa48…
10-10 16:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x726405…
10-10 15:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x4be575…
10-10 14:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xe90878…
10-08 20:15:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x186a2b…
10-08 20:00:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x098a96…
10-07 22:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x4ca1aa…
10-04 23:30:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd43e6f…
10-04 23:15:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x52c0ee…
10-04 23:00:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xdab10d…
10-04 22:15:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa48573…
10-04 21:45:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x1ff5ee…
10-04 21:15:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4bb2f7…
10-04 21:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xb47d4b…
10-04 20:45:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xda0b39…
10-04 20:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x11a9be…
10-04 19:30:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x00b28d…
10-04 17:45:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x50f5ee…
10-04 17:00:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xee0381…
10-04 10:30:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xf67673…
10-04 09:45:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x018a04…
10-04 09:30:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xeca6e6…
10-04 08:30:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x09dafd…
10-04 08:15:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x3481aa…
10-04 08:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x2830d2…
10-04 07:00:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xb727d1…
10-04 05:45:05	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xef7eb0…
10-04 03:45:05	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x87d824…
10-04 02:00:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf7035a…
10-04 01:15:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x44327a…