Open-Nitrogen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$107

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.8%

Resolved

834

Trades

2,075

lifetime

Volume

$4.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 10-08 02:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 122 days

Categories

Other

45% 34% -$85

Politics

31% 54% +$35

Sports

12% 57% -$37

Pop-Culture

7% 72% -$12

Tech

3% 18% -$28

Crypto

2% 100% +$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	26	$88	58	58	+0	Yes	$0	06-14 15:32
nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	35	$87	72	52	+20	Yes	-$1	06-06 11:11
Will Drake have exactly 9 songs in the Billboard top 10?	13	$51	38	19	+19	Yes	+$3	05-24 14:19
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	14	$45	67	61	+6	No	-$4	06-15 20:02
vance announces he wont run for president in 2028 this year	15	$38	21	21	+0	open	—	07-29 02:33
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	7	$37	19	19	+0	No	+$0	05-25 03:02
president trump to attend usa opening match 20260607163739001	10	$37	28	19	+9	No	+$3	06-13 01:36
Will Ozuna perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	6	$34	18	18	+0	No	+$1	06-18 02:30
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	15	$33	34	32	+2	Yes	+$8	06-08 18:30
will vitality reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	9	$33	35	35	+0	No	-$1	06-15 03:37
Trump on $250 bill this year?	7	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	08-08 06:06
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	16	$30	22	22	+0	open	—	08-03 03:01
will donald trump publicly insult xi jinping by june 30 2026	7	$29	16	16	+0	No	+$0	06-10 04:44
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 5 2026	8	$28	20	10	+10	Yes	+$0	06-03 23:01
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?	17	$28	16	16	+0	Yes	$0	06-01 18:18
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?	6	$27	16	15	+1	Yes	+$1	05-22 20:55
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?	6	$27	18	10	+8	No	+$0	05-22 03:21
will donald trump publicly insult pope leo xiv by june 30 2026	8	$27	20	13	+7	No	+$3	06-09 19:34
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?	5	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	06-03 20:44
will b8 qualify to stage 3 at iem cologne major 2026	14	$26	32	32	+0	Yes	-$4	06-09 19:00
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in June 2026?	5	$26	13	13	+0	No	+$0	06-13 03:16
will spirit reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	8	$26	28	19	+9	No	-$2	06-14 08:18
Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?	9	$25	19	19	+0	Yes	+$10	05-01 20:46
Will Donald Trump dance on May 31, 2026?	7	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$1	06-01 02:01
Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in June?	6	$24	12	12	+0	No	$0	06-01 13:09
Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?	19	$23	16	15	+1	No	$0	04-25 16:01
Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	4	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	05-22 23:26
Will Vitality drop from #1 in the VRS rankings by June 30?	10	$23	27	19	+8	Yes	+$2	06-11 20:27
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mohammed bin Salman by June 30, 2026?	5	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	06-18 02:30
Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?	7	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	05-23 07:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 02:31:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 8?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x91ab69…
10-08 02:31:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x708512…
10-08 02:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x918543…
10-07 15:11:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xf11ac2…
10-07 14:54:47	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xd958a1…
10-07 12:54:14	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 8?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc3da56…
10-07 12:31:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x9e4dee…
10-07 05:30:47	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xeb734c…
10-07 05:29:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x544d2d…
10-07 04:43:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x68d695…
10-07 04:14:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x78bf3b…
10-07 04:04:23	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xe7c399…
10-07 03:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x1e46ef…
10-07 02:49:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xfca1dd…
10-07 02:35:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xee95cb…
10-07 01:37:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x15ce39…
10-07 01:21:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe5ae76…
10-06 14:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x3f608f…
10-06 13:45:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8d9a55…
10-06 08:17:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x3bad69…
10-06 08:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x935e8f…
10-06 07:54:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x02b43f…
10-06 07:43:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x691b02…
10-06 05:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x32e9f6…
10-06 04:21:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xbee672…
10-06 03:53:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa3a8a1…
10-05 23:27:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x035c56…
10-05 12:48:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd2a6dc…
10-05 11:25:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa1984a…
10-05 05:45:38	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xc3b478…
10-05 05:19:44	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x0f7615…
10-05 04:39:46	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 5?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x040c10…
10-05 04:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x1f0b53…
10-04 23:53:23	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on October 5?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xeb1380…
10-04 23:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xa79bd0…
10-04 23:32:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 5?	No	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x0ab07e…
10-04 23:26:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x7bf09c…
10-04 23:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 5?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe7ea77…
10-04 22:51:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 5?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xfa2916…
10-04 22:48:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x786fa8…
10-04 22:42:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x9b8ab0…
10-04 22:39:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 5?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xfab15f…
10-04 22:35:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 5?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf54e1c…
10-04 22:28:05	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 5?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5cf350…
10-04 12:18:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 4?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xda7349…
10-04 06:14:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x9003fb…
10-04 05:04:29	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x5338ef…
10-04 04:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x145abd…
10-04 03:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xfeec21…
10-04 02:56:38	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 4?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x42002f…
10-03 23:40:44	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 4?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfdfe6a…
10-03 13:53:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 4?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x89aa4e…
10-03 12:25:32	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xcf0b26…
10-03 08:10:39	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xdb7e56…
10-03 05:46:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x03c479…
10-03 05:05:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8534fc…
10-03 05:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x1601f4…
10-03 04:51:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x736d12…
10-03 04:43:08	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on October 3?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2f6e98…
10-03 04:21:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x689b18…
10-03 04:11:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7bf592…
10-02 14:42:59	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x3d684c…
10-02 14:07:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xb7182d…
10-02 13:52:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x78d9ba…
10-02 13:32:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xbd507e…
10-02 13:30:08	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x976fbb…
10-02 13:26:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe057d0…
10-02 05:05:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 2?	Yes	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0xa63ae9…
10-02 04:43:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x9eafb5…
10-02 03:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x80b51b…
10-02 02:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xe0d3a6…
10-02 02:24:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xb3606b…
10-02 02:20:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x887e38…
10-01 14:06:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb65c88…
10-01 12:32:57	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x86fde8…
10-01 05:13:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x74d5cb…
10-01 04:53:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0xa0bea7…
10-01 04:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x03fac8…
09-30 06:23:45	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x6cd618…
09-29 22:55:26	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x87627a…
09-29 15:23:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xec9bb9…
09-29 14:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on September 29?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x585441…
09-29 07:55:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x56ab6a…
09-29 06:39:11	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x2ab031…
09-29 05:43:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x034086…
09-29 05:22:14	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x459ca7…
09-29 02:53:38	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 29?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x3f0de6…
09-28 14:21:27	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x185991…
09-28 07:19:12	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x3030f2…
09-28 04:34:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xceea33…
09-28 04:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x280cfd…
09-28 04:09:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xe99b85…
09-28 03:55:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xfc4146…
09-28 03:19:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 28?	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x97e662…
09-28 02:25:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x18d143…
09-28 01:27:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 28?	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x0f708b…
09-28 00:46:23	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x33fd02…
09-28 00:37:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 28?	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x2ffb88…
09-28 00:37:23	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 28?	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xea3aa3…
09-28 00:37:20	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 28?	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xfd2107…