Realized P&L
-$359
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
22.9%
Resolved
281
Trades
342
lifetime
Volume
$1.06K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$38
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-23
last 10-27 11:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 78 days
Categories
Other
56% 12% -$352
Crypto
26% 14% -$18
Politics
14% 27% -$48
Pop-Culture
2% 33% -$8
Sports
2% 50% +$58
Tech
1% 67% +$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -17 -$15 92¢ $-15 $0 10-26 10:00
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -6 -$5 94¢ $-5 $0 10-26 10:00
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -5 -$5 93¢ $-5 $0 10-26 10:00
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +5 $2 74¢ $4 +$2 07-24 13:59
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +12 $2 16¢ $2 $0 10-26 10:03
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +15 $2 12¢ $2 $0 08-19 06:20
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +7 $2 24¢ $2 $0 07-24 13:59
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +45 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 08-19 06:20
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +121 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-26 10:04
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +300 $3 0¢ $0 -$3 06-22 16:25
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +24 $3 1¢ $0 -$3 07-24 13:59
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +129 $4 0¢ $0 -$4 06-22 16:25