Meaty-Civilisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.1%

Resolved

Trades

196

lifetime

Volume

$551

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 06-11 13:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

39% 50% +$16

Other

38% — —

Politics

18% — —

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$72	103	103	+0	open	—	05-11 15:17
btc updown 5m 1773415800	3	$18	144	0	+144	open	—	03-13 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	3	$15	32	0	+32	Down	+$17	05-11 15:30
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	3	$13	3,778	0	+3,778	open	—	03-16 13:06
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$11	9,333	0	+9,333	open	—	03-17 08:29
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$9	8,333	0	+8,333	open	—	03-16 13:07
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	3	$9	1,467	0	+1,467	open	—	03-16 13:07
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$9	42	0	+42	open	—	03-13 14:43
btc updown 5m 1773415500	4	$8	73	0	+73	open	—	03-13 15:29
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$7	1,361	0	+1,361	open	—	04-17 16:39
btc updown 5m 1773421200	2	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	03-13 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$6	15	0	+15	Up	$-1	05-12 19:02
btc updown 5m 1773416700	2	$6	76	0	+76	open	—	03-13 15:48
will trump say greenland during taoiseach events	1	$6	15	0	+15	open	—	03-17 10:26
btc updown 5m 1773414300	1	$6	29	0	+29	open	—	03-13 15:07
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$6	17	0	+17	open	—	05-14 11:48
will powell say speculate or speculation during march press conference	1	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	03-16 17:09
will starmer say dialogue during the next prime ministers questions event	1	$5	22	0	+22	open	—	03-16 17:18
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?	1	$5	62	0	+62	open	—	01-23 14:45
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$5	433	0	+433	open	—	03-13 14:42
Will Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-11 15:27
will trump say biden 10 times during the 2026 state of the union address 599	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	01-23 14:43
will sirt win best international feature film at the 98th academy awards	1	$5	541	0	+541	open	—	03-13 14:44
btc updown 5m 1781183400	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	06-11 13:14
spx up or down on march 13 2026	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	03-13 15:21
btc updown 5m 1773421500	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	03-13 17:08
will president be said at the oscars	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	03-13 17:37
will one battle after another win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	1	$5	21	0	+21	open	—	03-13 15:19
Will Trump say "Midterm Election" this week?	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	05-11 15:27
will trump post wall street on truth social this week march 15	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	03-13 15:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 13:17:21	will wti crude oil wti hit high 115 in june	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xac2245…
06-11 13:17:16	will wti reach 120 in june 2026 243	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x82e1e0…
06-11 13:17:13	will wti crude oil wti hit high 125 in june	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x5c1cfd…
06-11 13:17:03	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x0c41bc…
06-11 13:15:30	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xe9d68e…
06-11 13:14:10	btc updown 5m 1781183400	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x016f42…
06-11 13:12:07	bitcoin above 64k on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	36	6¢	$2	0x40ca44…
06-11 13:05:19	will donald trump be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212479	Yes	BUY	163	1¢	$2	0x9839f7…
06-11 13:05:06	will kimbal musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212489	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xaaa188…
06-10 14:06:51	will warsh say depression or recession during june press conference 20260608181156654	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x947df4…
06-10 14:05:43	us announces cuba oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x8b5d5c…
06-10 14:01:39	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xaf339b…
06-10 14:01:04	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 13 2026	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x934129…
06-10 14:00:07	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xd12e33…
05-14 11:48:51	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0x6e8596…
05-14 11:48:32	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x034b0c…
05-14 11:48:15	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x889abc…
05-14 11:48:04	Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x3cc38b…
05-14 11:47:29	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0xbbb3cd…
05-12 19:05:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xa0c10e…
05-12 19:05:02	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf8ab9e…
05-12 19:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x3fe1b1…
05-12 19:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x502076…
05-11 15:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x510330…
05-11 15:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x9b9ae9…
05-11 15:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x735ebb…
05-11 15:27:39	Will Trump say "North Korea" this week?	Yes	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xc562d3…
05-11 15:27:16	Will Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xe68b00…
05-11 15:27:05	Will Trump say "Midterm Election" this week?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x27220a…
05-11 15:26:44	Will Trump say "NVIDIA" this week?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x47e494…
05-11 15:22:32	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x5c9de1…
05-11 15:22:17	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x1abda1…
05-11 15:20:18	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xb7cab5…
05-11 15:17:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	103	67¢	$69	0x7d0768…
04-17 16:48:44	bitcoin above 80k on april 18	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3a1cae…
04-17 16:48:00	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	83	2¢	$2	0x169e97…
04-17 16:47:54	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	178	1¢	$2	0x625abf…
04-17 16:47:48	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xf7224f…
04-17 16:39:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0x6fbdb7…
03-24 20:29:53	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xec78af…
03-24 19:44:53	will trump say finish the job this week march 29	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x255fd9…
03-24 19:44:43	will trump say khamenei this week march 29	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x034af8…
03-24 19:44:25	will trump say six seven this week march 29	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa02797…
03-24 19:44:19	will trump say chuck norris this week march 29	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc1fe56…
03-20 12:20:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xde0cd2…
03-20 12:19:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0x929b70…
03-20 12:19:47	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	571	1¢	$4	0xc9026b…
03-20 12:19:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	118	2¢	$2	0x47b6a2…
03-17 10:28:21	will trump post hamas or hezbollah on truth social this week	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xaa2c74…
03-17 10:27:45	will trump post ass on truth social this week	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xa7aa07…
03-17 10:26:29	will trump say heritage or culture during taoiseach events	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x7442ad…
03-17 10:26:07	will trump say greenland during taoiseach events	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x51b2ca…
03-17 10:25:53	will trump say biden obama 5 times during taoiseach events	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc1b59a…
03-17 10:15:51	highest temperature in shanghai on march 18 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x952ce2…
03-17 08:29:27	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x099602…
03-16 17:21:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0xf88dac…
03-16 17:18:47	will starmer say dialogue during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x695bd8…
03-16 17:17:31	will trump say democrat shutdown this week march 22	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x62cc64…
03-16 17:15:29	will powell say iran during march press conference	No	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x82357e…
03-16 17:15:05	will powell say distortion during march press conference	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x4c4101…
03-16 17:13:29	will powell say ai or artificial intelligence 3 times during march press conference 852 727	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xc867d4…
03-16 17:12:51	will powell say percent 20 times during march press conference	No	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xe9161e…
03-16 17:09:23	will powell say speculate or speculation during march press conference	No	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x184640…
03-16 17:07:41	will jensen huang say anthropic at the nvidia gtc keynote	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x4c78de…
03-16 17:06:19	will jensen huang say deep learning at the nvidia gtc keynote	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x12bbac…
03-16 17:05:47	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 17 2026 35c	Yes	BUY	272	0¢	$1	0x308280…
03-16 17:05:39	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 17 2026 34c	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xfae7c8…
03-16 13:51:35	will trump say khamenei this week march 22	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x51431b…
03-16 13:51:17	will trump say barack hussein obama this week march 22	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5f07e6…
03-16 13:07:41	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x0a80e6…
03-16 13:07:21	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x768e8a…
03-16 13:07:07	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	8,000	0¢	$8	0x55f07f…
03-16 13:06:55	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2,667	0¢	$8	0xeb9bfa…
03-13 19:01:31	btc updown 5m 1773428400	Up	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xf009a2…
03-13 18:53:45	sol updown 15m 1773427500	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa47258…
03-13 18:53:29	eth updown 15m 1773427500	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf14268…
03-13 17:44:19	dltr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 16 2026 2pt53	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9aabfd…
03-13 17:40:25	will trump be said at the oscars	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x18901a…
03-13 17:38:37	will polymarket be said at the oscars	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x006e6c…
03-13 17:37:29	will president be said at the oscars	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x19537c…
03-13 17:36:13	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0xcd9c7a…
03-13 17:34:25	will frankenstein win best adapted screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0x8b9210…
03-13 17:34:15	will hamnet win best adapted screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	62	3¢	$2	0xf2fe8f…
03-13 17:27:29	btc updown 5m 1773422700	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xbd2c97…
03-13 17:26:25	btc updown 5m 1773422700	Up	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x009031…
03-13 17:23:57	lal gir bil 2026 03 14 bil	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x93a673…
03-13 17:21:25	wta badosa andrees 2026 03 13	Paula Badosa	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8b1b7d…
03-13 17:19:33	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x053769…
03-13 17:18:19	btc updown 5m 1773422100	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xead096…
03-13 17:16:39	btc updown 5m 1773422100	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xd26de1…
03-13 17:13:53	btc updown 5m 1773421800	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x99c142…
03-13 17:09:37	Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xe9f289…
03-13 17:08:15	btc updown 5m 1773421500	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xbf4d2c…
03-13 17:04:13	btc updown 5m 1773421200	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xd2aedb…
03-13 17:04:13	btc updown 5m 1773421200	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x45c6e4…
03-13 16:06:23	btc updown 5m 1773417900	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x78ad40…
03-13 16:01:15	btc updown 5m 1773417600	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x385f98…
03-13 15:48:39	btc updown 5m 1773416700	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xca8164…
03-13 15:47:31	btc updown 5m 1773416700	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xc0f92e…
03-13 15:38:33	btc updown 5m 1773416100	Up	BUY	72	4¢	$3	0x281e89…