Fearful-Prestige — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$80

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

45.5%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

207

2,473 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$653

$7.20K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-12

last 11-02 16:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% -$302

Other

0% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	—	+5	$4	99¢	$5	+$1	11-02 16:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	21	$69	99	0	+99	Up	-$69	05-09 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	21	$57	50	55	-5	Up	-$2	05-06 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	7	$46	45	45	+0	Up	-$9	10-26 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	10	$41	25	25	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	19	$38	66	0	+66	Down	+$28	05-08 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	8	$35	20	20	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 19:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	9	$33	25	20	+5	Down	-$4	05-09 06:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	8	$33	20	20	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	25	$32	25	20	+5	Down	+$5	05-06 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	7	$30	30	30	+0	Down	+$1	10-26 19:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	8	$29	35	30	+5	Down	-$3	10-26 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	9	$27	29	29	+0	Up	$0	10-26 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	8	$26	15	15	+0	Down	+$2	05-14 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	6	$24	15	15	+0	Down	$0	05-06 18:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 23:50 UTC	2	$23	18	18	+0	Down	-$7	08-02 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	7	$22	30	30	+0	Up	-$2	10-26 19:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 00:15 UTC	3	$20	20	10	+10	Down	-$7	06-30 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	5	$19	386	0	+386	Up	-$14	05-07 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	7	$19	28	0	+28	Up	-$9	05-08 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	4	$19	14	14	+0	Down	+$9	05-08 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$18	10	9	+0	Up	+$0	05-16 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	7	$18	20	0	+20	Up	-$18	05-08 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	3	$18	15	15	+0	Up	+$2	10-26 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$17	15	15	+0	Up	+$1	10-26 15:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	5	$17	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-15 01:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	3	$16	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-22 11:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$16	135	0	+135	Down	-$16	09-05 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	4	$16	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	05-15 05:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	4	$16	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-22 11:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	5	$16	19	19	+0	Down	-$1	10-26 16:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 16:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xa6043e…
11-02 16:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x61bfe1…
11-02 16:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x5619b9…
11-02 16:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xa098b3…
11-02 16:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x20f7b6…
11-02 16:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xed687f…
11-02 16:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xcb8e28…
11-02 16:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x049361…
11-02 16:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x6b8618…
11-02 16:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xdde0d3…
11-02 16:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0665a1…
11-02 16:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x414e6b…
11-02 16:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x6a088a…
11-02 16:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x3b78e4…
11-02 15:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x8cf09f…
11-02 15:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x22afa8…
11-02 15:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x6c6f7f…
11-02 15:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xcbf32a…
11-02 15:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xa1ed17…
11-02 15:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x7d1307…
11-02 15:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x3b1cdd…
11-02 12:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xb43fab…
11-02 12:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x1d36da…
11-02 12:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0x9f9206…
11-02 12:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x5629b5…
11-02 12:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x4ebb10…
11-02 12:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xbdc40a…
10-30 12:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb6acbc…
10-30 11:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4f7ab3…
10-30 11:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa0cc67…
10-30 11:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd1a97f…
10-30 11:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x03d347…
10-30 11:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xec6816…
10-30 11:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe8bd32…
10-30 07:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x75c580…
10-30 07:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xab16a9…
10-30 07:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x458512…
10-30 06:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1d93f2…
10-29 23:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x9478b7…
10-29 23:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xb1103d…
10-29 23:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xf220d8…
10-29 22:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x3232ee…
10-29 22:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xd27414…
10-29 22:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x2d252a…
10-29 22:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xa670a6…
10-29 22:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x606bbb…
10-29 21:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x4a3860…
10-29 21:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x1d69b1…
10-29 21:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x0913e1…
10-29 21:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x448fd7…
10-29 20:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xcaf1e6…
10-29 20:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xd803d0…
10-29 20:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xf30186…
10-29 20:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xebd931…
10-27 07:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x0a670f…
10-27 02:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xbdb13d…
10-27 02:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xae886f…
10-27 02:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xe69372…
10-27 02:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0x4d71e6…
10-27 02:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xe8f4a1…
10-27 02:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xdcdfe5…
10-27 01:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x4f093d…
10-27 01:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x3b3c1d…
10-27 01:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd99580…
10-27 01:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0x3925c7…
10-27 01:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x99976e…
10-27 00:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0xe0cec7…
10-27 00:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x423025…
10-27 00:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x301815…
10-27 00:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0x9763ef…
10-27 00:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x3f0588…
10-27 00:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x226eff…
10-27 00:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0xff131d…
10-27 00:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0xaf2c1f…
10-27 00:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x2a8cdd…
10-26 22:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0xdf4d88…
10-26 22:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x47407e…
10-26 22:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0xce54dc…
10-26 22:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x71c497…
10-26 22:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xdd2599…
10-26 22:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3a1d83…
10-26 22:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x8c9544…
10-26 22:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xcedbce…
10-26 22:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x8ea43e…
10-26 22:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0xabd553…
10-26 22:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xc605ac…
10-26 22:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x4c1eae…
10-26 22:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x41bbc7…
10-26 22:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xfcc16c…
10-26 22:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xa12e46…
10-26 22:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0x7d5a8a…
10-26 22:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x4d06f2…
10-26 22:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1c3eed…
10-26 22:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x5b338c…
10-26 21:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0xa0669a…
10-26 21:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xe06a80…
10-26 21:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf5a88d…
10-26 21:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x245cd8…
10-26 21:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x14bd41…
10-26 21:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x43fdc4…