Pessimistic-Floor — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

196 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$14

$11.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 11-15 12:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 32% -$1,043

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	4	$594	738	404	+333	Up	-$6	05-09 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	3	$593	776	463	+314	Down	+$307	05-09 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	3	$590	590	558	+31	Up	+$241	05-08 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	4	$549	850	288	+562	Up	+$243	05-09 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	3	$520	921	482	+439	Down	+$359	05-08 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	3	$510	1,253	0	+1,253	Down	-$510	05-09 15:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	5	$500	1,226	0	+1,226	Up	-$500	05-09 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	4	$467	2,324	0	+2,324	Up	-$467	05-09 16:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	6	$435	390	390	+0	Up	+$101	05-09 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	4	$400	1,353	0	+1,353	Up	-$400	05-09 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	3	$369	480	287	+193	Up	+$161	05-09 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	32	$340	1,263	0	+1,263	Down	-$340	05-09 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	4	$332	536	206	+331	Up	+$98	05-09 14:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	5	$313	816	0	+816	Up	+$187	05-09 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	3	$306	349	164	+185	Up	-$94	05-10 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	3	$300	1,251	0	+1,251	Up	-$300	05-09 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$293	400	400	+0	Down	+$93	05-09 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	3	$277	729	0	+729	Down	+$452	05-09 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	4	$266	521	154	+367	Up	+$121	05-09 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$261	367	367	+0	Up	+$61	05-08 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	3	$243	777	277	+500	Down	+$41	05-08 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	6	$229	1,448	167	+1,281	Down	+$106	05-09 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$220	483	0	+483	Down	+$263	05-08 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	3	$207	421	0	+421	Down	+$214	05-09 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$200	595	0	+595	Down	-$200	05-09 15:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$200	1,375	0	+1,375	Up	-$200	05-09 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$200	546	0	+546	Down	-$200	05-09 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	3	$170	621	0	+621	Up	-$170	05-08 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$150	3,026	0	+3,026	Up	-$150	05-09 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$150	571	0	+571	Up	-$150	05-09 15:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 12:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	16¢	$3	0xd6441e…
11-15 12:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xed7490…
11-14 16:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	8¢	$2	0x7a9246…
10-30 16:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8f1e96…
10-29 06:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xdb2bca…
10-27 12:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x905617…
10-26 12:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	75	2¢	$2	0x3d77f3…
10-25 15:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	211	1¢	$2	0xf045cd…
06-01 14:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0x1e48c0…
05-28 14:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xbc1498…
05-19 12:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x102f7a…
05-16 12:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbfd684…
05-10 13:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	52	25¢	$13	0xd172a5…
05-10 13:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x2102e0…
05-10 13:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	164	65¢	$106	0x979d32…
05-10 13:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x68fc6b…
05-10 12:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	468	1¢	$5	0x483b38…
05-10 12:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xd56fba…
05-10 12:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xfc7402…
05-10 12:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	31	20¢	$6	0xf2bbf1…
05-10 12:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x78bf16…
05-10 12:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	12	86¢	$10	0x194944…
05-10 12:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x1c56f0…
05-10 12:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0xf05aa0…
05-09 18:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0x536e46…
05-09 18:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0x123f4f…
05-09 17:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	169	4¢	$7	0x9c13cf…
05-09 17:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	169	50¢	$85	0xeeeb6c…
05-09 17:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0x902795…
05-09 17:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0x896b60…
05-09 17:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	400	48¢	$193	0xe4a468…
05-09 17:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x8e1aeb…
05-09 17:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	85	52¢	$44	0xfa870d…
05-09 17:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x80e519…
05-09 17:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0x17476d…
05-09 17:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$3	0x0564d0…
05-09 17:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0xda50eb…
05-09 17:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xb9228d…
05-09 17:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x60d680…
05-09 17:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x52fcbe…
05-09 17:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x3d813b…
05-09 17:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xedf100…
05-09 17:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xcfd4a5…
05-09 17:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xc1b247…
05-09 17:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0xb05fb2…
05-09 17:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0xae2ead…
05-09 17:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0xaa5b88…
05-09 17:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x35d78b…
05-09 17:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0xe6d176…
05-09 17:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x7579e3…
05-09 17:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x1a276c…
05-09 17:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xb93075…
05-09 17:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xa9a63b…
05-09 17:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	208	2¢	$4	0x7b6372…
05-09 16:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	463	22¢	$100	0xf77866…
05-09 16:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	30¢	$3	0x7e2714…
05-09 16:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x7324f5…
05-09 16:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x058122…
05-09 16:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	122	30¢	$37	0xcdcc9c…
05-09 16:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xc3c009…
05-09 16:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xc25771…
05-09 16:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	120	30¢	$36	0x9eacd0…
05-09 16:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x976cfc…
05-09 16:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x9599f5…
05-09 16:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x8d96e1…
05-09 16:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x84439b…
05-09 16:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x61cdf5…
05-09 16:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x528601…
05-09 16:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x172c00…
05-09 16:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x151f81…
05-09 16:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	30¢	$9	0x0b6557…
05-09 16:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xf21be8…
05-09 16:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xb78e87…
05-09 16:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xa8582f…
05-09 16:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x93b1c7…
05-09 16:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x86c0fa…
05-09 16:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x868ceb…
05-09 16:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x691a3d…
05-09 16:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x690912…
05-09 16:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	30¢	$9	0x5c92c2…
05-09 16:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x1957b8…
05-09 16:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	30¢	$9	0x0a776f…
05-09 16:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x05257c…
05-09 16:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xd80d72…
05-09 16:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	170	30¢	$51	0x11deb1…
05-09 16:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x039ddf…
05-09 16:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	92	50¢	$46	0xe9b845…
05-09 16:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	108	50¢	$54	0x271638…
05-09 16:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x151740…
05-09 16:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	218	46¢	$100	0x4edc2a…
05-09 16:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	183	55¢	$100	0x9a5c3a…
05-09 16:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	255	29¢	$75	0xfa8cae…
05-09 16:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	163	49¢	$80	0xfcee87…
05-09 16:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x2e2a21…
05-09 16:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	793	13¢	$100	0x9fa37d…
05-09 16:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0xfa7fc4…
05-09 16:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	343	29¢	$99	0xf2806f…
05-09 16:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	563	30¢	$168	0x38fd5f…
05-09 16:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	298	34¢	$100	0x2a850a…
05-09 16:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	293	34¢	$100	0x8d8183…