Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

53.7%

Resolved

145

Trades

151

lifetime

Volume

$151

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-17

last 11-02 13:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Other

83% 54% +$6

Politics

14% 50% +$1

Tech

3% 80% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes		+1	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	10-30 01:51
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes		+1	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	11-02 13:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	2	$2	4	+4	Up	$0	10-28 03:59
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	2	$2	4	+4	Yes	$0	09-19 07:37
will msft reach 547 50 by october 12 2026 from october 13	1	$1	5	+5	No	+$4	10-14 09:03
will abnb reach 164 by september 21 2026	1	$1	1	+1	No	-$1	09-23 08:18
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-26 03:32
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-21 00:28
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$1	5	+5	Yes	-$1	09-12 00:30
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-21 14:27
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$2	09-21 06:12
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-08 04:18
spx up or down on october 13 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Down	-$1	10-13 16:52
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-17 15:52
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of October 12 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-12 00:50
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-21 22:28
will msft reach 525 by september 28 2026	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	09-28 05:26
Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-18 00:03
will ewy reach 187 by september 7 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-10 23:32
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	10-18 20:04
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-24 03:05
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $207 Week of October 26 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-27 03:17
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-26 07:33
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	1	$1	5	+5	Yes	-$1	10-25 06:01
Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	11-01 21:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	-$1	10-27 19:41
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-09 13:11
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	1	$1	4	+4	No	+$3	09-15 23:45
spx up or down on september 16 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	09-16 07:46
spy up or down on september 30 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Down	+$2	09-30 09:44
will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	1	$1	4	+4	No	+$3	09-15 15:12
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?	1	$1	1	+1	Down	-$1	11-02 05:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 13:59:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x8fea13…
11-02 05:58:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xad5856…
11-01 21:58:00	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xdfb238…
10-30 01:51:01	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x2e791f…
10-29 10:29:34	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 29?	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xce0826…
10-28 14:05:50	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8e7eea…
10-28 03:59:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x340dfd…
10-28 03:57:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x33c8ba…
10-27 19:41:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd81ac8…
10-27 11:39:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa9d00f…
10-27 03:17:18	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $207 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0bd32c…
10-26 03:32:54	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc1e945…
10-26 03:32:50	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x89c8a0…
10-25 19:32:38	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x94eab7…
10-25 06:01:35	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7017e3…
10-22 20:25:26	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa006d6…
10-22 12:11:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x209a93…
10-21 00:28:45	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x98f47f…
10-19 04:05:08	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $204 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa1f16c…
10-18 20:04:36	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x632d9a…
10-18 11:56:12	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa2789e…
10-18 00:03:32	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xff6e3b…
10-17 15:52:15	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2f3f9d…
10-16 23:03:30	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe934a0…
10-15 09:55:17	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x44c72a…
10-15 01:07:25	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5b4cee…
10-14 17:05:24	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x9a24ff…
10-14 09:03:50	will msft reach 547 50 by october 12 2026 from october 13	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9a3599…
10-14 01:03:01	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x094c51…
10-13 16:52:18	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x04b248…
10-12 08:50:37	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x21eb4c…
10-12 00:50:03	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc36df3…
10-11 16:49:43	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x8213e4…
10-11 08:33:25	Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xaf2cca…
10-10 21:58:16	Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.2B?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x68a385…
10-10 12:01:52	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x24a8b6…
10-09 11:48:55	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc74407…
10-09 03:48:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc72cd0…
10-08 19:46:26	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x118789…
10-08 13:40:06	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0bb8bc…
10-08 04:30:49	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.10 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xac516f…
10-08 04:18:26	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb18ba5…
10-07 18:37:39	will coin reach 187 50 by october 5 2026 from october 7	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xde6525…
10-07 10:24:03	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x2fbd2c…
10-07 02:19:15	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x2def90…
10-06 18:18:48	will coin reach 190 by october 5 2026 from october 6	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa7d81e…
10-06 09:05:09	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x45ffdb…
10-06 01:04:29	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x32dc0c…
10-05 15:44:35	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x056170…
10-05 00:58:59	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x35669f…
10-02 09:24:44	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xda8f3d…
10-02 05:37:59	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf7a577…
10-01 11:58:11	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7b184f…
10-01 03:57:06	trump names ai czar by october 4 2026 20260928	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa057ec…
09-30 18:53:08	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x95b1ca…
09-30 09:44:53	spy up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa24f8a…
09-30 00:26:26	will xagusd reach 63 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7d3ded…
09-29 16:25:14	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb294ce…
09-29 08:23:59	will ewy reach 188 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc2177d…
09-29 00:21:44	will xagusd reach 62 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xff57e6…
09-28 15:37:35	will abnb dip to 154 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa29749…
09-28 05:26:41	will msft reach 525 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0d1093…
09-28 05:26:27	will coin dip to 185 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x81ef3c…
09-27 21:26:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x2277c1…
09-27 16:45:02	OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe1ec07…
09-27 05:58:36	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x43737b…
09-26 07:33:47	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x57f34b…
09-25 21:39:17	will ewy dip to 182 in september 2026 from september 25	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xaffe12…
09-25 13:38:20	spx up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xdb824e…
09-25 04:46:44	will aapl reach 340 by september 21 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xc71238…
09-24 19:54:47	Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x4e8a11…
09-24 11:06:14	Will Trump say "Mineral" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x0d5869…
09-24 03:05:13	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x86122a…
09-23 17:47:07	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa36787…
09-23 08:18:16	will abnb reach 164 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x1dd12a…
09-23 00:13:46	will xagusd dip to 65 by september 21 2026 from september 22	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf122be…
09-22 15:52:25	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $170 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x25f0c3…
09-22 15:50:36	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22?	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb27b34…
09-22 06:48:15	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbe7a7b…
09-21 22:28:01	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x884c28…
09-21 14:27:36	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe6ff93…
09-21 06:12:25	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4304ad…
09-20 21:47:52	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,050 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x29427b…
09-19 07:37:21	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe027ab…
09-19 04:58:54	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd49429…
09-18 11:15:42	Will Trump say "Failing Country" or "Failing Nation" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8ce083…
09-17 17:34:34	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xdb01e2…
09-16 23:46:40	will coin reach 172 50 by september 14 2026	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x484e68…
09-16 15:46:27	will warsh say anchor during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x348e26…
09-16 07:46:15	spx up or down on september 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb42e3c…
09-15 23:45:28	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x78f918…
09-15 15:12:03	will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x89bef4…
09-15 07:11:54	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x21fdbd…
09-14 23:02:30	will coin reach 195 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xc58c8f…
09-14 15:00:13	will hood reach 117 50 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x5a18ab…
09-14 06:59:37	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x51df5c…
09-13 22:58:37	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xdf72d8…
09-13 07:28:43	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc71001…
09-12 00:30:37	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x675f66…
09-11 09:08:18	spy up or down on september 11 2026	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x703137…