Sophisticated-Declination — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.2%

Resolved

Trades

194

lifetime

Volume

$647

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 06-30 21:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 50% $-1

Other

6% 75% +$1

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776620700	2	$64	35	35	+0	open	—	04-19 17:49
btc updown 5m 1776630300	2	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	04-19 20:30
btc updown 5m 1776630000	2	$55	30	30	+0	open	—	04-19 20:25
btc updown 5m 1776620100	2	$43	24	24	+0	open	—	04-19 17:40
btc updown 5m 1776987300	2	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	04-23 23:39
btc updown 5m 1776603300	2	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	04-19 13:00
btc updown 5m 1776631500	1	$25	36	0	+36	open	—	04-19 20:48
btc updown 5m 1776555300	2	$24	14	13	+0	open	—	04-18 23:40
btc updown 5m 1776618000	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	04-19 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	8	$18	19	18	+0	open	—	04-26 23:28
btc updown 5m 1776988200	3	$13	1,003	3	+1,000	open	—	04-23 23:55
btc updown 5m 1776546900	4	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	04-18 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	3	$12	9	6	+3	open	—	04-24 21:30
btc updown 5m 1776547200	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	04-18 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 23:35
btc updown 5m 1776556800	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-19 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-26 22:10
btc updown 5m 1776568500	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	04-19 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-24 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-30 00:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	4	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	05-02 22:41
btc updown 5m 1776474900	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-18 01:20
btc updown 5m 1782868800	4	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	07-01 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	3	$4	6	3	+3	open	—	04-26 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-22 23:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 02:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	04-29 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	4	$4	5	5	+0	Down	$-0	05-06 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	4	$4	6	6	+0	open	—	05-02 22:52
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	2	$3	2	2	+0	Under	+$1	05-06 21:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 01:20:59	btc updown 5m 1782868800	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x2c75f7…
07-01 01:20:50	btc updown 5m 1782868800	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x647c97…
07-01 01:20:28	btc updown 5m 1782868800	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x77727f…
07-01 01:20:13	btc updown 5m 1782868800	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xadd2bd…
07-01 01:16:37	btc updown 5m 1782868500	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x4f9e80…
07-01 01:15:05	btc updown 5m 1782868500	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xab6f59…
06-30 21:06:23	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 goals michael olise gte1	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa50b4f…
06-30 15:31:38	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x95a948…
06-29 18:54:25	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x853912…
06-29 16:54:49	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 shots neymar jr gte1	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb70c76…
06-25 00:12:22	will brazil reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149717	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc8d7ad…
06-24 16:06:14	btc updown 5m 1782317100	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x135a1e…
06-24 16:03:55	btc updown 5m 1782316800	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xcafc5f…
06-24 16:03:16	bitcoin up or down june 24 2026 12pm et	Down	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x10e0a1…
06-24 16:00:28	bitcoin up or down june 24 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x64562c…
06-24 00:37:46	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 assists james rodriguez gte1	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe4299e…
06-23 15:52:01	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 goals harry kane gte1	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x36fa74…
06-23 15:50:17	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 shots bruno fernandes gte3	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x80c4e0…
06-23 02:57:11	fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 goals riyad mahrez gte1	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x8aa4e3…
06-23 00:43:28	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 shots jens hauge gte1	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xb1f127…
06-22 22:17:16	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfeeb7c…
06-22 21:05:53	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 shots jens hauge gte1	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x45f3cb…
06-22 15:19:01	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x44600a…
06-22 15:16:23	will spain reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149737	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x28f892…
06-21 21:39:56	will spain reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149737	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xef2bc0…
06-21 21:38:35	will brazil reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149717	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x61bda9…
06-21 19:05:47	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 corners total 11pt5	Under	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x3eceab…
06-21 01:32:20	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xdf39c9…
06-07 01:15:00	btc updown 5m 1780794900	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0ffd09…
06-03 00:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x929b10…
05-28 01:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x4b67dd…
05-28 01:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x4d0085…
05-27 00:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x257b29…
05-27 00:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0146ed…
05-25 15:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x1e8138…
05-25 15:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe4f1db…
05-22 23:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x9ebe3e…
05-22 23:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x40d92d…
05-22 23:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x77c070…
05-22 23:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfa654c…
05-22 23:12:57	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb1cd7b…
05-22 00:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0xf1a13c…
05-22 00:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x64951a…
05-22 00:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0x4d1de4…
05-22 00:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd1a796…
05-19 09:46:16	AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8b4294…
05-18 02:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xee1b65…
05-18 02:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3057ca…
05-18 02:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x2d1ecd…
05-18 02:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x34f773…
05-16 14:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xd28895…
05-16 14:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x0a849e…
05-16 14:44:09	Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 11.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x12caad…
05-15 00:15:02	FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x90ab28…
05-15 00:12:24	Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe82b68…
05-14 01:18:22	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xa7aadb…
05-14 01:15:06	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x932e4f…
05-14 01:08:51	Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8d7cdc…
05-13 00:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe0e42d…
05-12 23:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x6f58e8…
05-12 23:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x6d45e4…
05-12 23:33:07	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x95a7e7…
05-12 23:31:29	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x017a43…
05-12 01:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x33ab9a…
05-12 01:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd8953d…
05-12 00:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0xf2fd99…
05-12 00:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x3c4a6e…
05-10 22:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0xde94d3…
05-10 22:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x22647f…
05-10 22:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xef80ed…
05-10 01:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0xd945d7…
05-10 01:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6fee49…
05-10 01:52:09	West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf8a320…
05-09 15:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x04b523…
05-09 15:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x13f842…
05-06 21:48:38	Luis Diaz: Anytime Goalscorer	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfd5d21…
05-06 21:48:33	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Under	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x862be4…
05-06 16:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xa1e677…
05-06 16:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf120e1…
05-06 16:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x0ba1b2…
05-06 16:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1c039e…
05-06 15:50:44	Luis Diaz: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xce6183…
05-06 15:48:22	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf9cd05…
05-05 02:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x71a84a…
05-05 02:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0364a2…
05-05 02:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xa61e93…
05-05 02:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0ace64…
05-05 02:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xace421…
05-05 02:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xbf368f…
05-04 21:00:38	Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc42da1…
05-04 16:24:36	Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x025137…
05-04 16:15:12	Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x208013…
05-03 22:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xb68579…
05-03 22:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$0	0xc5dffc…
05-03 22:10:42	Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc16df3…
05-03 00:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x78a32f…
05-03 00:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x40a99f…
05-02 23:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x9886df…
05-02 23:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x48c132…
05-02 23:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x5aac3a…