Low-Egghead — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

840

lifetime

Volume

$13.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$16

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 07-21 00:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

49% 100% +$1

Other

43% 100% +$2

Crypto

6% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes		+45	$25	36¢	$16	$-9	07-11 02:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	23	$1.1K	567	567	+0	open	—	02-28 17:56
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	23	$868	695	343	+352	open	—	03-26 06:26
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	45	$750	638	133	+505	open	—	04-07 23:52
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	28	$571	555	36	+519	open	—	01-28 20:34
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	16	$557	292	292	+0	open	—	02-05 08:18
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	12	$447	226	226	+0	open	—	02-05 18:53
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	34	$445	229	229	+0	open	—	03-01 22:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	24	$403	235	228	+6	open	—	01-31 20:07
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	20	$375	214	214	+0	open	—	04-20 22:25
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	8	$348	176	176	+0	open	—	04-12 19:53
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	73	$294	151	151	+0	open	—	03-20 14:43
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	9	$293	173	173	+0	open	—	04-06 00:46
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	49	$262	133	133	+0	open	—	06-30 23:19
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	12	$255	217	58	+159	open	—	07-02 20:17
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	10	$234	173	68	+105	open	—	04-30 00:22
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	8	$226	162	83	+79	open	—	03-26 02:05
will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	5	$202	113	113	+0	open	—	04-12 15:07
ilhan omar town hall attack staged	8	$184	102	86	+16	open	—	02-19 07:52
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	7	$183	92	92	+0	open	—	03-25 20:24
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	4	$153	94	94	+0	open	—	04-12 15:08
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	15	$148	180	0	+180	open	—	01-15 00:32
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	8	$139	0	140	-140	open	—	06-20 18:09
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	6	$129	68	68	+0	open	—	03-23 06:33
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	7	$126	130	0	+130	open	—	04-25 15:37
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$101	52	52	+0	open	—	05-22 17:04
will henrique gouveia e melo win the 2026 portugal presidential election	6	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	01-18 23:26
btc updown 5m 1776108900	10	$91	128	0	+128	open	—	04-13 19:39
netanyahu out by march 31 854	6	$90	93	0	+93	open	—	03-20 08:04
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	5	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	01-19 18:21
mlb pit nyy 2026 07 20	3	$75	128	0	+128	open	—	07-21 00:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 00:01:06	mlb pit nyy 2026 07 20	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xda39db…
07-21 00:00:25	mlb pit nyy 2026 07 20	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x2e6864…
07-21 00:00:07	mlb pit nyy 2026 07 20	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x23147a…
07-20 01:29:03	per1 cal csh 2026 07 19 spread away 1pt5	Club Alianza Lima	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x605943…
07-20 00:53:37	per1 cal csh 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	17	84¢	$14	0x89f37e…
07-20 00:53:13	wnba conn phx 2026 07 19	Connecticut Sun	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0xa00703…
07-19 22:37:51	nbasl tor den 2026 07 19	Denver Nuggets	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x4e020d…
07-16 08:56:35	atp gurri angelin 2026 07 15	Max Alcala Gurri	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x7b2715…
07-15 21:23:47	bra bot san 2026 07 16 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0x73c87e…
07-13 04:09:55	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xcb2481…
07-13 02:34:32	wnba ind las 2026 07 12	Las Vegas Aces	BUY	45	19¢	$8	0x814f8f…
07-13 00:13:35	nbasl was sac 2026 07 12	Sacramento Kings	BUY	38	47¢	$18	0x698b87…
07-13 00:08:08	nwsl den das 2026 07 12 spread away 1pt5	Denver Summit FC	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x964481…
07-13 00:02:29	wnba chi dal 2026 07 12 spread home 9pt5	Dallas Wings	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xab736e…
07-11 02:47:59	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x4fcb25…
07-11 00:01:31	mlb oak cws 2026 07 10	Athletics	BUY	49	36¢	$18	0x94f1d4…
07-11 00:00:28	wnba dal tor 2026 07 10	Dallas Wings	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xc36c65…
07-10 00:01:11	mlb oak det 2026 07 09	Detroit Tigers	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x26f530…
07-10 00:00:46	mlb oak det 2026 07 09	Detroit Tigers	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x63926b…
07-10 00:00:05	mlb oak det 2026 07 09	Detroit Tigers	BUY	43	59¢	$25	0x3f8d1f…
07-09 00:00:50	mlb cle min 2026 07 08	Minnesota Twins	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xd74f9c…
07-08 00:02:04	wnba ind la 2026 07 08	Indiana Fever	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xf11590…
07-08 00:00:43	wnba ind la 2026 07 08	Indiana Fever	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0xf3d57f…
07-07 00:00:13	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x60cc58…
07-07 00:00:11	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x6699d9…
07-06 00:00:04	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x566a04…
07-05 21:35:41	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 spread home 2pt5	Norway	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x54c74a…
07-05 18:29:16	atp sinner mochizu 2026 07 04	Jannik Sinner	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3353d4…
07-05 15:11:50	swe elf hif 2026 07 05 first half total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbd45bd…
07-05 15:05:22	bkfibaqeu gre2 ice 2026 07 05	Iceland	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x888f57…
07-04 19:17:49	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 first half team total home 0pt5	Under	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0x2ee0ab…
07-04 05:00:47	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x43a022…
07-04 04:01:19	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 spread away 5pt5	Canada	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x69a918…
07-04 03:58:10	mlb sd lad 2026 07 03 spread home 1pt5	San Diego Padres	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x4df6c5…
07-04 03:53:10	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team total away 2pt5	Under	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x8354d6…
07-04 01:05:56	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 spread home 2pt5	Morocco	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7de7a9…
07-03 21:18:49	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 5pt5	Cabo Verde	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb0d950…
07-03 00:03:40	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 spread away 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x453f10…
07-02 20:17:56	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x33aeca…
07-02 20:11:44	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xc36e02…
07-02 20:00:53	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd18855…
07-02 19:53:10	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa2cd61…
07-02 19:31:43	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd53263…
07-02 18:44:38	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x994c9d…
07-02 00:05:38	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x5508d8…
07-02 00:00:32	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xc56f06…
07-02 00:00:25	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 first half team total home 0pt5	Under	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x416b9b…
07-02 00:00:20	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 spread away 3pt5	United States	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc5d520…
07-01 01:02:58	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0xa3a85b…
07-01 01:02:34	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	58	93¢	$54	0xc52152…
07-01 00:00:19	atp ellis sekulic 2026 06 29	Blake Ellis	BUY	72	35¢	$25	0x120976…
07-01 00:00:08	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 spread home 2pt5	Ecuador	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xf04e4f…
06-30 23:19:14	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb30745…
06-30 22:56:13	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x8c96e4…
06-30 22:30:31	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x42feb3…
06-30 22:04:01	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x66736b…
06-30 22:03:58	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x6a270b…
06-30 22:03:56	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x8f3f13…
06-30 22:03:56	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x693e70…
06-30 22:03:55	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xfaef5c…
06-30 22:03:55	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xcd25df…
06-30 22:03:55	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xad696f…
06-30 22:03:55	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x41d292…
06-30 22:03:53	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xcc9d60…
06-30 22:03:53	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x84a504…
06-30 22:03:53	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x72de32…
06-30 22:03:52	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xff3cde…
06-30 22:03:52	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa95686…
06-30 22:03:52	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x8cddfe…
06-30 22:03:52	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x560908…
06-30 22:03:52	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x31baec…
06-30 22:03:52	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x251ee7…
06-30 22:03:50	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x688053…
06-30 22:03:50	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x320525…
06-30 22:03:49	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xcab739…
06-30 22:03:49	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xabac2e…
06-30 22:03:49	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x5c3a24…
06-30 22:03:49	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x1d9fbf…
06-30 22:03:49	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x011e1b…
06-30 22:03:47	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xfe26d9…
06-30 22:03:47	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x756688…
06-30 22:03:47	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x2c0476…
06-30 22:03:47	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x2b6253…
06-30 22:03:47	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x05ec53…
06-30 22:03:46	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x1e08d9…
06-30 22:03:46	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x0c572b…
06-30 22:03:43	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x6833c3…
06-30 22:03:41	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x10c34b…
06-30 22:03:40	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x32bd98…
06-30 22:03:38	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x7a4fc5…
06-30 22:03:38	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x04b66b…
06-30 20:10:55	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x7c9002…
06-30 20:09:37	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x8ff955…
06-30 19:56:38	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	19	83¢	$16	0x81593c…
06-30 00:02:02	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 spread home 3pt5	Morocco	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd7e142…
06-30 00:00:19	mlb tex cle 2026 06 29 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	35	55¢	$19	0xae9323…
06-29 19:23:10	wta sierra bondar 2026 06 29	Solana Sierra	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x3438fc…
06-29 01:16:40	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x99f4c2…
06-29 00:01:50	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread away 4pt5	Spain	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x131af3…
06-28 22:03:41	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x1a04a4…