Low-Egghead — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

702

lifetime

Volume

$11.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$23

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 06-02 17:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

51% 100% +$1

Other

41% 100% +$2

Crypto

7% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No		+21	$20	96¢	$20	$-0	06-02 17:31
Will Pakistan recognize Israel by June 30?	No		+3	$3	99¢	$3	$-0	06-02 17:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	23	$1.1K	567	567	+0	open	—	02-28 17:56
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	23	$868	695	343	+352	open	—	03-26 06:26
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	45	$750	638	133	+505	open	—	04-07 23:52
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	28	$571	555	36	+519	open	—	01-28 20:34
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	16	$557	292	292	+0	open	—	02-05 08:18
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	12	$447	226	226	+0	open	—	02-05 18:53
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	34	$445	229	229	+0	open	—	03-01 22:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	24	$403	235	228	+6	open	—	01-31 20:07
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	20	$375	214	214	+0	open	—	04-20 22:25
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	8	$348	176	176	+0	open	—	04-12 19:53
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	73	$294	151	151	+0	open	—	03-20 14:43
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	9	$293	173	173	+0	open	—	04-06 00:46
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	10	$234	173	68	+105	open	—	04-30 00:22
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	8	$226	162	83	+79	open	—	03-26 02:05
will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	5	$202	113	113	+0	open	—	04-12 15:07
ilhan omar town hall attack staged	8	$184	102	86	+16	open	—	02-19 07:52
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	7	$183	92	92	+0	open	—	03-25 20:24
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	4	$153	94	94	+0	open	—	04-12 15:08
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	15	$148	180	0	+180	open	—	01-15 00:32
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	6	$129	68	68	+0	open	—	03-23 06:33
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	7	$126	130	0	+130	open	—	04-25 15:37
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$101	52	52	+0	open	—	05-22 17:04
will henrique gouveia e melo win the 2026 portugal presidential election	6	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	01-18 23:26
btc updown 5m 1776108900	10	$91	128	0	+128	open	—	04-13 19:39
netanyahu out by march 31 854	6	$90	93	0	+93	open	—	03-20 08:04
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	5	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	01-19 18:21
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 12 551 973	3	$74	75	0	+75	open	—	04-11 06:19
us x iran meeting by april 14 2026 588	3	$74	76	0	+76	open	—	04-11 06:10
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	3	$74	76	0	+76	open	—	04-11 06:14
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$74	56	31	+25	open	—	04-13 01:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 17:32:22	Will Pakistan recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x01ceaa…
06-02 17:31:52	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf55d74…
06-02 11:03:48	LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	LGD Gaming	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xc656e5…
06-02 11:03:45	LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	LGD Gaming	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x348701…
06-02 05:43:23	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xdffc1e…
05-24 07:03:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	64	12¢	$8	0xcc736f…
05-24 07:00:13	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x56687d…
05-24 07:00:06	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x7ffc9f…
05-23 21:11:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0x5dbc07…
05-23 21:09:55	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x9b7ced…
05-23 08:51:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x30a6e4…
05-22 17:05:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x75d3c4…
05-22 17:04:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xea1b02…
05-22 15:41:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x2f86d4…
05-22 15:39:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xe9ccd4…
05-22 15:38:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x908770…
05-16 15:30:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xffdd3b…
04-30 00:22:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb62523…
04-29 20:28:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x5e25f6…
04-25 15:37:48	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x8073f3…
04-24 15:59:34	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xed7dd3…
04-24 15:57:46	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xefaa4d…
04-24 15:52:34	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x8b0470…
04-24 00:38:52	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xfda14f…
04-21 22:39:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd07229…
04-21 22:16:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xc13ddb…
04-21 20:50:30	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x66f770…
04-21 20:18:14	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x134d9e…
04-21 03:07:42	bitcoin above 78k on april 21	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x33e3d5…
04-21 03:06:54	bitcoin above 78k on april 21	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xdbfb4a…
04-20 22:25:56	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x8db6f3…
04-20 22:17:22	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0x020646…
04-20 22:08:44	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	7	63¢	$4	0x52860a…
04-20 19:20:46	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xcde3e3…
04-18 08:13:40	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	27	90¢	$25	0xe4551e…
04-17 14:18:44	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x4c3271…
04-17 14:18:04	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	27	90¢	$25	0xc9f245…
04-17 13:45:52	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x538fb8…
04-17 13:44:02	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x5994db…
04-17 13:43:52	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	BUY	25	97¢	$25	0xda5378…
04-17 04:22:16	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	25	97¢	$25	0xd70e5d…
04-17 01:19:14	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xfc5994…
04-17 00:47:36	foreign intervention in gaza by april 30	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x458f0f…
04-16 23:31:26	foreign intervention in gaza by april 30	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x0f01f8…
04-16 20:21:46	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x427ee5…
04-16 20:21:38	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9d354c…
04-16 20:21:34	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xaef1ab…
04-16 19:36:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x9a546b…
04-15 22:14:20	bitcoin up or down on april 16 2026	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xe10b48…
04-15 22:14:20	bitcoin up or down on april 16 2026	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x222261…
04-15 22:14:18	bitcoin up or down on april 16 2026	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xf7e781…
04-15 22:14:18	bitcoin up or down on april 16 2026	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x7e4753…
04-15 22:14:16	bitcoin up or down on april 16 2026	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x180b32…
04-15 22:13:38	bitcoin up or down on april 16 2026	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xe65e9c…
04-15 04:43:40	bitcoin up or down on april 15 2026	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xee5afa…
04-15 04:38:22	bitcoin up or down on april 15 2026	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x8dec7c…
04-15 04:38:14	bitcoin up or down on april 15 2026	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xe3ef18…
04-15 04:38:06	bitcoin up or down on april 15 2026	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xec649e…
04-15 04:38:00	bitcoin up or down on april 15 2026	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x9e2132…
04-14 08:26:57	bitcoin up or down on april 14 2026	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd6007b…
04-14 08:26:37	bitcoin up or down on april 14 2026	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5856f3…
04-14 08:25:53	btc updown 4h 1776153600	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xadb8c5…
04-14 08:25:51	btc updown 4h 1776153600	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x93cc97…
04-14 08:16:23	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x05c87c…
04-13 19:39:07	btc updown 5m 1776108900	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x70070e…
04-13 19:39:07	btc updown 5m 1776108900	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x3daf30…
04-13 19:39:07	btc updown 5m 1776108900	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x1e0075…
04-13 19:39:07	btc updown 5m 1776108900	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x0de624…
04-13 19:39:05	btc updown 5m 1776108900	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xa1760a…
04-13 19:38:39	btc updown 5m 1776108900	Down	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x345ac1…
04-13 19:38:37	btc updown 5m 1776108900	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xa2b496…
04-13 19:38:37	btc updown 5m 1776108900	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x9fd3c6…
04-13 19:38:37	btc updown 5m 1776108900	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x57b412…
04-13 19:38:37	btc updown 5m 1776108900	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x57047c…
04-13 08:29:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	16	86¢	$14	0xb07c96…
04-13 01:04:47	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x5667b6…
04-12 19:53:29	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	176	100¢	$175	0x1c51d1…
04-12 19:18:47	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x9f6fe8…
04-12 19:17:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x16ac15…
04-12 19:16:53	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x7cc195…
04-12 19:16:49	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x8c6558…
04-12 19:15:53	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x19c3f9…
04-12 19:15:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x0e9ef5…
04-12 19:15:47	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x7f563b…
04-12 18:53:03	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	105	85¢	$90	0x77a4f6…
04-12 15:09:55	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	31	85¢	$27	0x9202d7…
04-12 15:08:55	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	94	84¢	$79	0x7109a3…
04-12 15:07:27	will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	113	91¢	$103	0x3ffb85…
04-12 15:06:37	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	31	83¢	$25	0xb6d59e…
04-12 14:11:49	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xae7686…
04-12 13:11:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$5	0x25ff3a…
04-12 12:55:15	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	24	87¢	$21	0x71d28c…
04-12 05:05:53	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	31	78¢	$24	0x9da8c8…
04-12 05:03:43	will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xdee271…
04-12 05:03:43	will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xdd8eef…
04-12 05:03:43	will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	28	87¢	$25	0x10db05…
04-12 05:03:43	will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x0b63c8…
04-12 05:02:15	will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xb6fffb…
04-12 04:57:35	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	31	79¢	$25	0x696ae1…
04-12 04:56:59	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	31	79¢	$25	0x7b08df…