Low-Egghead — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

+$12

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

803

lifetime

Volume

$12.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$158

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 07-03 00:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

51% 100% +$1

Other

42% 100% +$2

Crypto

6% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No		+159	$146	99¢	$158	+$12	07-02 20:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	23	$1.1K	567	567	+0	open	—	02-28 17:56
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	23	$868	695	343	+352	open	—	03-26 06:26
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	45	$750	638	133	+505	open	—	04-07 23:52
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	28	$571	555	36	+519	open	—	01-28 20:34
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	16	$557	292	292	+0	open	—	02-05 08:18
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	12	$447	226	226	+0	open	—	02-05 18:53
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	34	$445	229	229	+0	open	—	03-01 22:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	24	$403	235	228	+6	open	—	01-31 20:07
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	20	$375	214	214	+0	open	—	04-20 22:25
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	8	$348	176	176	+0	open	—	04-12 19:53
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	73	$294	151	151	+0	open	—	03-20 14:43
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	9	$293	173	173	+0	open	—	04-06 00:46
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	49	$262	133	133	+0	open	—	06-30 23:19
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	12	$255	217	58	+159	open	—	07-02 20:17
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	10	$234	173	68	+105	open	—	04-30 00:22
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	8	$226	162	83	+79	open	—	03-26 02:05
will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	5	$202	113	113	+0	open	—	04-12 15:07
ilhan omar town hall attack staged	8	$184	102	86	+16	open	—	02-19 07:52
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	7	$183	92	92	+0	open	—	03-25 20:24
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	4	$153	94	94	+0	open	—	04-12 15:08
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	15	$148	180	0	+180	open	—	01-15 00:32
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	8	$139	0	140	-140	open	—	06-20 18:09
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	6	$129	68	68	+0	open	—	03-23 06:33
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	7	$126	130	0	+130	open	—	04-25 15:37
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$101	52	52	+0	open	—	05-22 17:04
will henrique gouveia e melo win the 2026 portugal presidential election	6	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	01-18 23:26
btc updown 5m 1776108900	10	$91	128	0	+128	open	—	04-13 19:39
netanyahu out by march 31 854	6	$90	93	0	+93	open	—	03-20 08:04
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	5	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	01-19 18:21
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 12 551 973	3	$74	75	0	+75	open	—	04-11 06:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 00:03:40	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 spread away 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x453f10…
07-02 20:17:56	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x33aeca…
07-02 20:11:44	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xc36e02…
07-02 20:00:53	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd18855…
07-02 19:53:10	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa2cd61…
07-02 19:31:43	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd53263…
07-02 18:44:38	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x994c9d…
07-02 00:05:38	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x5508d8…
07-02 00:00:32	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xc56f06…
07-02 00:00:25	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 first half team total home 0pt5	Under	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x416b9b…
07-02 00:00:20	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 spread away 3pt5	United States	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc5d520…
07-01 01:02:58	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0xa3a85b…
07-01 01:02:34	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	58	93¢	$54	0xc52152…
07-01 00:00:19	atp ellis sekulic 2026 06 29	Blake Ellis	BUY	72	35¢	$25	0x120976…
07-01 00:00:08	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 spread home 2pt5	Ecuador	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xf04e4f…
06-30 23:19:14	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb30745…
06-30 22:56:13	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x8c96e4…
06-30 22:30:31	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x42feb3…
06-30 22:04:01	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x66736b…
06-30 22:03:58	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x6a270b…
06-30 22:03:56	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x8f3f13…
06-30 22:03:56	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x693e70…
06-30 22:03:55	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xfaef5c…
06-30 22:03:55	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xcd25df…
06-30 22:03:55	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xad696f…
06-30 22:03:55	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x41d292…
06-30 22:03:53	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xcc9d60…
06-30 22:03:53	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x84a504…
06-30 22:03:53	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x72de32…
06-30 22:03:52	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xff3cde…
06-30 22:03:52	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa95686…
06-30 22:03:52	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x8cddfe…
06-30 22:03:52	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x560908…
06-30 22:03:52	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x31baec…
06-30 22:03:52	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x251ee7…
06-30 22:03:50	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x688053…
06-30 22:03:50	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x320525…
06-30 22:03:49	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xcab739…
06-30 22:03:49	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xabac2e…
06-30 22:03:49	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x5c3a24…
06-30 22:03:49	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x1d9fbf…
06-30 22:03:49	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x011e1b…
06-30 22:03:47	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xfe26d9…
06-30 22:03:47	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x756688…
06-30 22:03:47	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x2c0476…
06-30 22:03:47	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x2b6253…
06-30 22:03:47	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x05ec53…
06-30 22:03:46	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x1e08d9…
06-30 22:03:46	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x0c572b…
06-30 22:03:43	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x6833c3…
06-30 22:03:41	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x10c34b…
06-30 22:03:40	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x32bd98…
06-30 22:03:38	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x7a4fc5…
06-30 22:03:38	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x04b66b…
06-30 20:10:55	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x7c9002…
06-30 20:09:37	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x8ff955…
06-30 19:56:38	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	19	83¢	$16	0x81593c…
06-30 00:02:02	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 spread home 3pt5	Morocco	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd7e142…
06-30 00:00:19	mlb tex cle 2026 06 29 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	35	55¢	$19	0xae9323…
06-29 19:23:10	wta sierra bondar 2026 06 29	Solana Sierra	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x3438fc…
06-29 01:16:40	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x99f4c2…
06-29 00:01:50	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread away 4pt5	Spain	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x131af3…
06-28 22:03:41	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x1a04a4…
06-28 22:02:11	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x6bab6a…
06-28 20:23:08	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 spread home 4pt5	Japan	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xed156e…
06-28 20:17:35	mlb chc mil 2026 06 28 spread home 1pt5	Chicago Cubs	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0xfddf4e…
06-28 20:17:17	bra2 ath ava 2026 06 28 spread away 2pt5	Athletic Club	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc46ee9…
06-28 20:16:29	wnba las chi 2026 06 28 total 180pt5	Under	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x9bb27a…
06-24 05:02:08	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 spread away 3pt5	Switzerland	BUY	15	99¢	$14	0xb96070…
06-21 06:16:32	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 spread away 2pt5	Tunisia	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xec9813…
06-21 02:19:20	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 spread away 5pt5	Tunisia	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2bb44a…
06-20 22:22:40	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 first half total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x2aac13…
06-20 19:52:52	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 spread home 4pt5	Côte d'Ivoire	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x5fb941…
06-20 19:16:31	mlb cws det 2026 06 20 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x065be6…
06-20 18:09:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7baa8b…
06-20 04:09:10	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x351eb2…
06-20 03:53:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xac1e73…
06-18 04:56:26	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x5929c7…
06-18 04:41:25	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xe2eacf…
06-18 03:21:22	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x7fc2f7…
06-18 01:19:31	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xc1a370…
06-18 00:39:20	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x6507c2…
06-18 00:11:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xbbdbd1…
06-18 00:07:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x22c667…
06-17 23:56:40	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0xaac5b7…
06-17 23:54:35	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xe49670…
06-17 23:50:52	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x83a6f1…
06-17 23:50:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe4b71b…
06-17 22:31:37	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	Yes	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x3d47b3…
06-17 22:31:01	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	Yes	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x7880e0…
06-17 22:30:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x39150c…
06-17 20:51:44	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0x055f52…
06-17 20:27:17	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x5390e8…
06-17 20:00:08	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x37dba8…
06-17 17:39:14	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xcb2290…
06-17 17:33:37	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 2pt5	DR Congo	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xc00714…
06-17 17:33:26	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x57a027…
06-17 06:28:43	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	Colombia	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xc749c1…
06-17 05:33:56	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 btts	No	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xe6a7b5…
06-17 03:12:46	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 2pt5	DR Congo	BUY	33	73¢	$24	0x1cb9c1…