Polite-Payoff — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$497

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.1%

Resolved

Trades

322

lifetime

Volume

$12.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 05-29 00:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

100% 14% +$497

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	50	$3.1K	7,672	0	+7,672	Yes	+$4,604	05-21 15:25
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	76	$2.2K	7,471	0	+7,471	No	-$2,154	05-18 00:12
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	80	$1.7K	7,679	0	+7,679	No	-$1,674	05-21 15:26
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$1.5K	2,676	0	+2,676	Yes	+$1,177	04-11 22:14
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	21	$1.2K	7,489	5,114	+2,375	No	-$545	05-26 01:55
will fabiano caruana win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	4	$968	1,730	1,730	+0	No	-$132	04-04 15:08
will hikaru nakamura win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	3	$507	1,572	1,572	+0	No	-$192	03-30 19:51
nik airball vs kristen foxen higher winnings at hustler casino on friday	2	$422	419	419	+0	Kristen Foxen	-$78	02-14 01:54
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	75	$380	5,045	5,045	+0	No	-$34	05-29 00:19
will rampage win at hustler casino on friday	2	$326	464	464	+0	Yes	-$175	02-14 01:54
will alireza firouzja win the 20252026 speed chess championship	3	$180	837	837	+0	No	-$84	02-08 21:14
2026 rbc heritage winner russell henley win	1	$100	1,588	0	+1,588	No	-$100	04-16 12:59
will hikaru nakamura win the 20252026 speed chess championship	1	$100	510	0	+510	No	-$100	02-07 13:46
will denis lazavik win the 20252026 speed chess championship	2	$31	533	533	+0	No	-$17	02-07 14:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 00:19:44	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	409	3¢	$13	0x939824…
05-26 09:07:28	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	2,664	3¢	$80	0x287ab6…
05-26 09:04:14	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	36	3¢	$1	0x37c930…
05-26 01:55:47	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	410	2¢	$10	0x3bb9f6…
05-26 01:55:06	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x35f10d…
05-26 01:54:54	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	300	6¢	$18	0x23e11b…
05-25 15:38:40	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	1,399	7¢	$98	0x6f6d68…
05-24 20:33:23	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	2,100	6¢	$130	0xc2eb0f…
05-24 16:17:42	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0x5f6c19…
05-24 16:16:03	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	71	7¢	$5	0x5f31b1…
05-24 16:16:01	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	484	7¢	$35	0x83fc06…
05-24 12:04:24	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x1a9c4c…
05-24 04:03:40	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x99bf94…
05-24 01:55:38	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	206	8¢	$16	0x664619…
05-24 01:54:07	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	229	4¢	$9	0x7d7e87…
05-23 16:17:17	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	33	9¢	$3	0xfc79da…
05-22 13:10:38	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0xf7bbe9…
05-22 13:10:38	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	19	9¢	$2	0xed9006…
05-22 13:10:38	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0x60d4e7…
05-22 13:10:15	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x49a8c4…
05-22 13:10:11	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	178	5¢	$9	0xc7946f…
05-22 13:10:11	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	75	9¢	$7	0x11c0bf…
05-22 07:38:39	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xbc74dc…
05-22 07:38:37	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	53	9¢	$5	0x8ce504…
05-22 07:38:37	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0x519bc7…
05-22 05:09:44	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xba1228…
05-22 05:09:42	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	155	5¢	$8	0xfc8814…
05-22 05:09:42	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	22	9¢	$2	0x99dccc…
05-21 21:36:09	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	444	5¢	$22	0x521eed…
05-21 20:38:02	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	222	9¢	$20	0x3362ae…
05-21 20:28:43	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	29	9¢	$3	0x71e178…
05-21 15:26:00	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	75	24¢	$18	0xc63b5b…
05-21 15:25:16	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x814602…
05-21 15:25:16	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	984	42¢	$418	0x345da4…
05-21 15:24:43	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	1,091	24¢	$259	0xb3e027…
05-21 15:23:35	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	886	43¢	$378	0x9f6254…
05-21 15:23:26	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0x00dd1d…
05-21 15:23:09	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	208	40¢	$83	0xcbd336…
05-21 14:42:22	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	200	24¢	$47	0xac814c…
05-21 14:41:58	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	200	23¢	$47	0xf6f467…
05-21 14:41:51	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	45	23¢	$10	0x982b25…
05-21 14:41:45	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	200	23¢	$47	0x4621b7…
05-21 14:41:40	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0x65dcea…
05-21 14:41:40	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	150	41¢	$61	0x0f4c8e…
05-21 14:41:33	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	146	23¢	$33	0x43744c…
05-21 14:41:28	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	42	22¢	$10	0x729a49…
05-21 14:38:01	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	151	42¢	$63	0x0101d2…
05-21 14:37:51	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	252	43¢	$108	0x183501…
05-21 14:37:39	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	630	42¢	$265	0x0b1b92…
05-21 14:37:32	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	193	41¢	$79	0x3a8548…
05-21 14:37:28	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	401	41¢	$164	0x7d4da0…
05-21 14:26:04	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	541	40¢	$216	0x900c01…
05-21 14:22:39	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	108	39¢	$42	0xe4e31e…
05-21 12:47:13	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	33	4¢	$1	0x07d349…
05-21 11:01:49	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	19	4¢	$1	0xe4e682…
05-21 11:01:36	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x48523d…
05-21 11:01:26	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x15c0bf…
05-21 10:59:50	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	14	4¢	$1	0xe9da80…
05-21 10:59:50	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	201	4¢	$8	0xce1b97…
05-21 10:59:50	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	14	4¢	$1	0xc2be53…
05-21 10:59:50	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xbe3d0e…
05-21 10:59:50	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xb9ecec…
05-21 10:59:50	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	14	4¢	$1	0x8ea331…
05-21 10:59:50	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x6410b5…
05-21 10:59:50	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	90	4¢	$4	0x3751dd…
05-21 10:59:50	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	14	4¢	$1	0x351c75…
05-21 08:40:35	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xf2256c…
05-21 03:15:49	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xd547c2…
05-21 03:15:49	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	54	22¢	$12	0x6f15cb…
05-21 02:33:21	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xfe8771…
05-21 02:33:19	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x78e28d…
05-21 02:16:50	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	146	4¢	$6	0x7d4ebd…
05-21 02:11:42	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	400	40¢	$159	0x2d3d0f…
05-21 02:11:35	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	24	39¢	$10	0xdd61e3…
05-21 02:11:34	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0xf63c4e…
05-21 02:11:34	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x8b7317…
05-21 02:11:34	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	16	4¢	$1	0x687414…
05-21 02:11:34	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	138	39¢	$54	0x408b43…
05-21 02:11:34	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	101	4¢	$4	0x229a48…
05-21 01:27:29	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	521	4¢	$21	0x61785a…
05-21 01:16:44	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x7faf31…
05-21 01:16:44	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x259897…
05-21 01:16:44	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	14	4¢	$1	0x0c188a…
05-20 20:22:49	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x08bb33…
05-20 19:34:29	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	101	4¢	$4	0xb877a3…
05-20 19:34:29	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	67	34¢	$23	0xac1218…
05-20 18:51:05	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x399f35…
05-20 13:06:18	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$3	0x33375f…
05-20 12:53:09	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	43	34¢	$15	0xecce8c…
05-20 06:33:28	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	80	34¢	$27	0xec655d…
05-19 14:00:27	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	26	34¢	$9	0x0a83b7…
05-18 20:00:26	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	106	5¢	$5	0xba778d…
05-18 19:58:27	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	260	5¢	$13	0x971a90…
05-18 19:56:49	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	77	22¢	$17	0x9afa9e…
05-18 19:56:39	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	160	22¢	$35	0x20c5a5…
05-18 19:56:21	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	125	22¢	$27	0xb2e2c2…
05-18 19:56:13	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	222	22¢	$48	0xf943b3…
05-18 19:56:02	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	222	22¢	$48	0x001d6c…
05-18 19:55:48	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	222	22¢	$48	0xef7373…
05-18 19:55:43	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	255	21¢	$55	0xda9dbf…