Severe-Return — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

2,325 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$5.36K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 05-29 16:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Other

78% 47% -$393

Sports

15% 45% -$31

Crypto

7% 35% -$26

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ahl tuc col 2026 04 11	111	$112	655	0	+655	Tucson Roadrunners	-$106	04-11 04:13
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 88°F or higher on May 29?	2	$87	92	0	+92	Yes	+$5	05-29 00:38
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 16?	7	$82	55	31	+24	No	+$1	05-16 12:01
ahl coa ont 2026 04 11	59	$72	305	0	+305	Ontario Reign	-$70	04-11 04:13
ahl san hen 2026 04 11	50	$69	281	0	+281	Henderson Silver Knights	-$67	04-11 04:13
nba nyk bkn 2026 03 20	14	$65	54	24	+30	Knicks	+$6	03-21 01:55
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on May 17?	7	$60	42	20	+22	No	+$1	05-17 14:57
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C or below on May 26?	6	$59	67	0	+67	Yes	+$8	05-25 21:42
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?	17	$58	182	31	+151	No	-$44	05-27 13:55
atp midon faria 2026 03 20	22	$58	61	50	+11	Lautaro Midon	+$11	03-20 22:34
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on May 11?	6	$58	40	21	+19	No	+$2	05-11 06:12
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 17?	9	$52	88	0	+88	Yes	-$52	05-17 13:17
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 23?	7	$52	41	17	+24	No	+$2	05-23 03:25
atp darderi landalu 2026 03 20	21	$46	72	38	+34	Martin Landaluce	-$12	03-21 04:12
el1 car bol 2026 04 11 car	10	$45	30	38	-8	Yes	+$10	04-11 16:17
nba por min 2026 03 20	15	$44	42	42	+0	Trail Blazers	+$2	03-21 02:24
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 15?	8	$43	36	14	+22	No	+$3	05-14 15:26
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 17?	8	$40	50	5	+45	No	+$13	05-17 17:03
wta muchova osorio 2026 03 19	11	$37	33	18	+15	Karolina Muchova	+$6	03-20 23:00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 15?	6	$37	30	8	+22	No	+$0	05-14 15:12
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 29?	2	$36	50	0	+50	Yes	+$14	05-29 00:04
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 16?	7	$35	30	11	+19	No	+$3	05-16 15:16
nba gsw det 2026 03 20	18	$34	66	36	+30	Pistons	-$5	03-21 01:07
elc mid por 2026 04 11 mid	7	$34	30	30	+0	No	+$2	04-07 20:49
wta stearns cristia 2026 03 20	19	$33	60	36	+24	Jaqueline Cristian	-$8	03-21 03:35
atp diallo wu 2026 03 18	10	$33	29	18	+11	Gabriel Diallo	+$7	03-20 23:03
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 26?	3	$31	123	0	+123	No	-$31	05-26 03:50
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 15?	6	$30	33	11	+22	Yes	-$14	05-14 20:54
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 25?	7	$30	39	0	+39	Yes	+$9	05-25 21:16
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 15?	5	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-14 15:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 16:54:54	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xeb7900…
05-29 16:54:54	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$11	0xde4d66…
05-29 16:54:54	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xb6537a…
05-29 16:54:54	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x7e6bdb…
05-29 16:54:54	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x7954b2…
05-29 16:54:54	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x3c644f…
05-29 16:35:20	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 84°F or higher on May 29?	Yes	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0xfd6504…
05-29 16:35:20	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x363a1a…
05-29 15:56:04	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0xfbf6d0…
05-29 15:56:04	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	19	40¢	$8	0xb1a219…
05-29 15:56:04	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x0afc5d…
05-29 15:55:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x55931d…
05-29 15:55:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x5452ac…
05-29 00:38:26	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 88°F or higher on May 29?	Yes	BUY	46	95¢	$44	0x6dfb6b…
05-29 00:38:26	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0x5666fe…
05-29 00:31:49	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 88°F or higher on May 29?	Yes	BUY	46	95¢	$44	0xe68b52…
05-29 00:31:49	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0xd9fa5b…
05-29 00:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	14	75¢	$11	0xc8a235…
05-29 00:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	36	72¢	$26	0xdccbe6…
05-29 00:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x91a3a7…
05-29 00:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x7220ff…
05-27 13:55:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	34	16¢	$5	0x5fe0dd…
05-27 13:55:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x23ef98…
05-27 13:51:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x66e6e9…
05-27 13:50:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	32	24¢	$8	0xcc2f93…
05-27 13:49:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0xdb3531…
05-27 13:49:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5c7a4f…
05-27 13:49:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?	Yes	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0xa171e4…
05-27 13:49:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?	Yes	SELL	23	22¢	$5	0x0fc4c7…
05-27 13:46:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x415d40…
05-27 13:38:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xed63ce…
05-27 13:36:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x2d8afe…
05-27 13:35:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x6e9826…
05-27 13:30:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	22	29¢	$6	0x49d767…
05-27 13:27:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x39cb07…
05-27 13:27:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xb95905…
05-27 13:26:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0xe60681…
05-27 13:25:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0x740ca0…
05-27 13:25:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	36	4¢	$2	0x63f094…
05-27 13:23:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8ac17a…
05-27 13:23:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x46ae70…
05-27 13:23:35	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x2c7774…
05-27 13:23:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0x1bab14…
05-27 13:22:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x72ee68…
05-27 13:22:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x5630b5…
05-27 13:22:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x24ad4a…
05-27 13:21:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x7b2f0c…
05-27 12:51:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xeeb7c9…
05-27 12:51:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0xa576f7…
05-27 12:51:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	9	8¢	$1	0x692ecb…
05-27 12:51:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x4836b0…
05-27 12:51:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x2c1183…
05-27 07:36:55	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0xb5291d…
05-27 07:36:14	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x4967ab…
05-27 07:04:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xcd9463…
05-27 07:04:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x720cfe…
05-27 07:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 27?	Yes	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0xae8442…
05-27 07:02:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9b16eb…
05-27 07:02:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x77a7ea…
05-27 07:02:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 27?	Yes	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x11d0cf…
05-27 07:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	18	32¢	$6	0xd099b6…
05-27 07:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0x67622c…
05-27 07:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x0d147c…
05-27 07:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x0233c4…
05-27 07:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x96c733…
05-27 07:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or higher on May 27?	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0xbee6d6…
05-27 06:56:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x16930b…
05-27 06:56:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x0d6272…
05-27 06:45:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xfed0fc…
05-27 06:45:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xf61100…
05-26 08:50:53	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xfda3f0…
05-26 08:50:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on May 26?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x7d61ef…
05-26 08:14:43	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	17	31¢	$5	0xd9b3e4…
05-26 08:14:43	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc7cef0…
05-26 08:14:43	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0xa62851…
05-26 08:14:43	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	17	33¢	$6	0x82e329…
05-26 08:14:43	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	17	19¢	$3	0x4a3590…
05-26 07:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x4060cf…
05-26 07:00:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xa3bba8…
05-26 06:57:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 26?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x8fcef4…
05-26 05:52:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 26?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xefa45a…
05-26 04:51:13	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xaca20c…
05-26 04:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x8e9207…
05-26 04:02:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xe7fa1d…
05-26 04:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x897420…
05-26 04:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xa46b8e…
05-26 03:55:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xedd1cb…
05-26 03:55:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	18	9¢	$2	0x8ad919…
05-26 03:54:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x626be5…
05-26 03:53:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x203827…
05-26 03:53:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xf7054c…
05-26 03:53:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0xa3791a…
05-26 03:50:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	42	27¢	$11	0x8d822d…
05-26 03:50:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x06d7aa…
05-26 03:49:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x2939d5…
05-26 03:48:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	46	26¢	$12	0x9ad362…
05-26 03:48:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0x37a86e…
05-26 03:48:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	26	9¢	$2	0x1bc145…
05-26 03:42:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	28	27¢	$8	0x016461…
05-26 03:41:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x099aff…