Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$32

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

70.7%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

239 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$313

$866 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$16

5 positions

First seen

2026-10-24

last 11-14 02:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

79% 68% -$24

Crypto

19% 85% +$12

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	+13	$4	34¢	$4	+$0	11-12 11:15
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 30 and December 6, 2026?	No	+5	$4	86¢	$4	$0	11-13 07:16
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	+10	$4	40¢	$4	+$0	11-13 00:26
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	+5	$3	67¢	$3	+$0	11-13 09:51
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	64¢	$0	+$0	11-14 02:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026?	7	$74	45	45	+0	Yes	+$3	11-07 07:03
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	8	$41	102	94	+8	No	$0	11-12 01:48
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026?	3	$36	45	0	+45	Yes	-$36	11-09 14:16
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	3	$33	18	18	+0	No	+$1	11-12 00:51
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	4	$31	25	25	+0	No	+$2	10-31 03:22
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	3	$27	17	17	+0	Yes	+$7	11-12 00:41
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	4	$23	17	17	+0	Down	+$3	10-26 15:58
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by November 30, 2026?	2	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	10-30 20:24
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner	6	$21	38	10	+28	Team Liquid	-$7	10-26 15:07
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner	3	$21	20	20	+0	Gen.G	+$1	11-08 00:39
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner	9	$21	26	20	+6	TYLOO	+$1	10-26 12:39
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	5	$20	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	11-11 10:58
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	8	$18	57	57	+0	open	—	11-13 02:04
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	3	$17	31	31	+0	No	-$3	10-24 08:25
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	4	$17	24	24	+0	FUT Esports	+$1	10-26 12:59
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	6	$16	25	10	+15	Natus Vincere	+$9	11-06 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	6	$16	12	12	+0	Down	+$0	10-29 02:42
WTT Champions: Xingtong Chen vs Nina Mittelham	2	$15	15	15	+0	open	—	10-29 00:13
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	2	$14	10	10	+0	Natus Vincere	+$2	10-25 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	5	$14	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	10-26 16:13
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	2	$14	20	20	+0	No	-$13	11-09 21:39
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 1 Winner	3	$13	10	10	+0	OG	+$3	10-25 09:41
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	8	$13	22	10	+12	Up	+$1	10-29 02:53
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	4	$13	20	0	+20	No	+$7	11-12 01:58
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	8	$13	16	7	+9	Down	+$2	10-26 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	10-26 15:56
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	10-26 15:49
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	6	$11	40	40	+0	open	—	11-06 01:19
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	2	$11	7	7	+0	Dplus KIA	+$1	10-24 23:58
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG - Game 2 Winner	2	$10	6	6	+0	Team Yandex	+$0	10-24 13:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 02:33:41	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x71639e…
11-14 00:27:13	Will Russia capture Bilytske by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x3f657e…
11-13 23:14:46	Will Russia capture Bilytske by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x9ac47f…
11-13 09:51:55	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x87626b…
11-13 07:16:22	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 30 and December 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xa9dffc…
11-13 06:28:18	Jensen Huang admits to another affair with a woman by December 31?	No	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0x4a3a73…
11-13 04:14:46	Jensen Huang admits to another affair with a woman by December 31?	No	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x7e58bd…
11-13 02:04:21	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0xa49b4a…
11-13 00:29:27	Will Gemini Hydrogen debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x7e5581…
11-13 00:26:43	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x77396e…
11-13 00:25:15	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x7958b8…
11-13 00:24:48	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	3¢	$1	0x0ac3cc…
11-13 00:22:48	Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xa9dc6f…
11-12 11:56:25	Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x4cfafd…
11-12 11:15:37	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0xf1e14c…
11-12 09:26:37	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x22d904…
11-12 09:26:00	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x4a9311…
11-12 09:02:24	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x6a7004…
11-12 09:01:58	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xae7258…
11-12 08:33:24	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x6472f3…
11-12 08:30:22	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x3243e9…
11-12 03:39:49	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x701e6c…
11-12 03:11:40	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 3 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x0fca66…
11-12 01:58:51	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x925b57…
11-12 01:58:27	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x9a500d…
11-12 01:51:19	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x90acc9…
11-12 01:49:55	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xa72e8f…
11-12 01:48:42	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xba4b8f…
11-12 01:48:16	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x66ee53…
11-12 00:59:40	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xe8259e…
11-12 00:51:18	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	No	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x5cf7b8…
11-12 00:51:06	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	SELL	18	94¢	$17	0xa4372f…
11-12 00:42:13	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xfafac8…
11-12 00:41:48	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xd90fa7…
11-12 00:41:30	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x85e494…
11-12 00:32:24	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x7dee71…
11-12 00:25:49	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x9287a1…
11-11 10:59:31	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xa6996f…
11-11 10:58:51	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x5a5e2c…
11-11 09:51:43	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xca32f9…
11-11 09:46:07	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 3 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8c7ff1…
11-11 08:20:04	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xba3b42…
11-11 08:06:54	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	FUT Esports	SELL	18	23¢	$4	0x7b8812…
11-11 03:07:51	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	FUT Esports	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0xa2d98b…
11-10 22:53:31	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xf12819…
11-10 14:07:45	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x1b188a…
11-10 13:42:33	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x59480b…
11-10 13:41:51	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher?	Yes	SELL	4	40¢	$1	0xaa928b…
11-10 13:03:37	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xc25daa…
11-10 12:57:42	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	No	SELL	80	3¢	$2	0x2622de…
11-10 07:53:49	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	Yes	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x150689…
11-10 06:05:30	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	7	51¢	$3	0xe5cc1d…
11-10 02:36:49	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher?	Yes	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x459bde…
11-10 00:11:46	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x432129…
11-09 21:39:13	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x198f03…
11-09 14:16:03	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x41cc30…
11-09 13:46:30	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	FUT Esports	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x7b415c…
11-09 13:21:10	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x602f2d…
11-09 11:29:28	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xaaf322…
11-09 10:07:18	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xd3554a…
11-08 04:42:12	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x0289e6…
11-08 00:39:45	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner	Gen.G	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x7f574f…
11-08 00:39:45	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner	Gen.G	SELL	14	54¢	$8	0x2338e9…
11-08 00:12:28	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner	Gen.G	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf6fb2f…
11-07 07:03:45	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	85¢	$23	0x77c969…
11-07 07:03:43	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	85¢	$15	0xb7617c…
11-06 20:30:03	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xdf3df0…
11-06 19:34:01	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x5dc8b7…
11-06 08:00:46	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x3cc005…
11-06 07:53:04	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x3995f2…
11-06 07:32:43	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x17ec39…
11-06 07:21:34	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	Natus Vincere	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xc3edf6…
11-06 07:17:30	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x4007cb…
11-06 07:15:40	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	Natus Vincere	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x6bf4c1…
11-06 07:14:07	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x518659…
11-06 07:11:30	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	Natus Vincere	SELL	8	19¢	$2	0x2308ce…
11-06 07:07:52	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0xff093e…
11-06 07:05:03	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	Natus Vincere	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x42b3de…
11-06 06:53:28	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x81ac03…
11-06 01:19:34	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xab5a21…
11-01 20:08:58	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x1eb850…
11-01 13:40:57	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	79¢	$5	0x091ba2…
11-01 13:31:45	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	No	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xb8960a…
11-01 11:13:57	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	79¢	$7	0x7096d3…
11-01 11:10:12	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xa98217…
10-31 21:04:06	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x10dbfe…
10-31 03:22:13	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	25	65¢	$16	0x2f73eb…
10-31 00:07:00	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x9730fb…
10-30 20:24:24	Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x2e770d…
10-29 08:32:44	Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xe6ce3c…
10-29 07:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x686f37…
10-29 06:24:19	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf60ea1…
10-29 05:29:07	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xeb65a1…
10-29 05:28:53	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd974c1…
10-29 05:26:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x2b015b…
10-29 05:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbfad5c…
10-29 05:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xdca412…
10-29 05:19:01	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x64efca…
10-29 05:18:55	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x185207…
10-29 05:18:47	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x284b96…