Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

5,265 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$21.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-06-15

last 11-12 19:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% -$227

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 151 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Variational launch a token by November 30, 2026?	Yes		+76	$5	3¢	$2	-$3	11-12 19:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 22:20 UTC	9	$112	75	75	+0	Down	+$14	07-06 22:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 01:00 UTC	6	$22	16	16	+0	Up	+$7	07-12 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$22	15	15	+0	Down	+$7	07-12 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$21	14	14	+0	Up	+$7	07-11 03:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 10:45 UTC	2	$21	14	14	+0	Up	+$7	07-11 10:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 00:00 UTC	2	$21	15	15	+0	Up	+$5	07-12 00:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 01:45 UTC	3	$20	14	14	+0	Down	+$5	07-12 01:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 13:00 UTC	3	$19	12	12	-0	Down	+$2	08-17 13:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 19:35 UTC	3	$19	14	12	+2	Up	+$6	07-11 19:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 18:45 UTC	9	$19	13	13	+0	Down	+$2	08-22 18:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 22:30 UTC	5	$19	12	12	+0	Up	+$3	07-11 22:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 23:20 UTC	3	$18	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	07-17 23:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 00:40 UTC	4	$18	15	15	+0	Up	+$3	07-12 00:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 10:55 UTC	2	$18	16	16	+0	Up	+$4	07-12 10:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 00:50 UTC	3	$18	14	14	+0	Up	+$3	07-12 00:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 19:25 UTC	5	$18	13	13	+0	Up	+$5	07-07 19:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 00:00 UTC	6	$18	12	12	+0	Down	+$4	07-11 00:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 19:00 UTC	5	$17	15	10	+5	Down	+$5	06-29 19:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 18:00 UTC	2	$17	13	13	+0	Up	+$3	07-13 18:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 20:40 UTC	6	$16	12	12	+0	Up	+$4	07-07 20:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 00:35 UTC	5	$16	15	15	+0	Down	+$1	07-12 00:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 04:00 UTC	3	$16	12	10	+2	Down	+$4	07-11 04:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 00:10 UTC	3	$16	15	10	+5	Down	+$1	07-12 00:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 17:40 UTC	2	$16	14	10	+4	Up	+$6	07-13 17:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 03:25 UTC	3	$16	14	10	+4	Down	+$6	07-11 03:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 02:45 UTC	3	$16	15	10	+5	Down	-$1	07-05 02:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 19:40 UTC	3	$16	13	10	+3	Up	+$4	07-11 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	5	$16	15	10	+5	Down	+$0	07-12 00:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 18:00 UTC	3	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	06-28 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 00:15 UTC	3	$15	19	9	+9	Up	+$9	07-12 00:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 19:27:22	Will Variational launch a token by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	7¢	$5	0xd560af…
08-24 12:45:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x39594b…
08-24 12:40:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x1bd9f8…
08-24 12:40:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$2	0xb9cc90…
08-24 12:30:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x9ff84b…
08-24 12:25:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0xb503c0…
08-24 12:12:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 12:10 UTC	Up	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x3db9d4…
08-24 12:12:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 12:10 UTC	Up	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x1539da…
08-24 12:10:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xcea6e4…
08-24 12:08:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 12:05 UTC	Down	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0xbca312…
08-24 12:05:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x2822d1…
08-24 11:55:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xfbaed5…
08-24 11:40:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x8da821…
08-24 11:30:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xbbb28c…
08-24 11:25:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x94b562…
08-24 11:20:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	53¢	$1	0xc02458…
08-24 11:20:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x492b03…
08-24 10:41:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 10:40 UTC	Down	SELL	4	87¢	$3	0x2a931c…
08-24 10:40:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 10:40 UTC	Down	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x7a5ff4…
08-24 10:40:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x19daae…
08-24 10:30:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x9fe861…
08-24 10:20:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x05f680…
08-24 10:10:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x869803…
08-24 10:07:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 10:05 UTC	Down	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x91a24d…
08-24 10:05:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 10:05 UTC	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x1d6aa2…
08-24 10:05:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x73c4dd…
08-24 09:59:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 09:55 UTC	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xfddb19…
08-24 09:55:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x5ea5f7…
08-24 09:50:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe7a2ff…
08-24 09:50:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0xa5354a…
08-24 09:50:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x9512f7…
08-24 09:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x4a5b69…
08-24 09:35:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x17b0dd…
08-24 09:30:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x4f8542…
08-24 09:25:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x7f3f02…
08-24 09:20:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xc37532…
08-24 08:50:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xa37832…
08-24 08:45:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xf91e7b…
08-24 08:40:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x93f544…
08-24 08:00:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x94e7c0…
08-24 08:00:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x83e292…
08-24 08:00:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0x5b7ed2…
08-24 07:55:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x674320…
08-24 07:55:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xda1948…
08-24 07:50:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x0e8b69…
08-24 07:25:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x5dd3a9…
08-24 07:25:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x15bd18…
08-24 07:00:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xa2d2a3…
08-24 06:50:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0xd778d6…
08-24 06:30:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xc0c90e…
08-24 06:15:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x13bf63…
08-24 06:10:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x78cf26…
08-24 06:10:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	54¢	$0	0x6a23f0…
08-24 06:05:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x41e7ca…
08-24 06:00:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xaa734a…
08-24 06:00:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x071cc4…
08-24 05:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x6828eb…
08-24 05:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xfbb3f8…
08-24 05:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xb70754…
08-24 05:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0x1930c4…
08-24 05:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xb028b0…
08-24 05:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x3a706f…
08-24 05:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd97d5d…
08-24 05:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb18613…
08-24 05:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	65¢	$4	0xa079d2…
08-24 05:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xef8934…
08-24 05:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x7c90a6…
08-24 04:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x8ddff0…
08-24 04:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x30365a…
08-24 04:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x79bda4…
08-24 04:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x5d03ce…
08-24 04:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x00acaa…
08-24 03:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x14afaa…
08-24 03:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xd72922…
08-24 03:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8755b6…
08-24 03:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x50238d…
08-24 03:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xf7619c…
08-24 03:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xc1c47d…
08-24 03:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xb6976e…
08-24 03:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xac426f…
08-24 03:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	60¢	$0	0x8d2f1c…
08-24 03:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xfb7e66…
08-24 02:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x9ffdec…
08-24 02:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf71d72…
08-24 02:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	57¢	$1	0x66122f…
08-24 02:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	57¢	$1	0x094b01…
08-24 02:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xbdef72…
08-24 02:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x6b7c70…
08-24 02:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x66bb2d…
08-24 02:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xea49b0…
08-24 01:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x9f4a5d…
08-24 01:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x16c2ea…
08-24 01:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0xfbece7…
08-24 01:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xe5f1e3…
08-24 01:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x8d4b78…
08-24 01:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8fbb73…
08-24 01:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x5bbc7b…
08-24 00:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0xcb7499…
08-24 00:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x31752d…
08-24 00:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	57¢	$1	0x298c80…