Unnatural-Permafrost — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.9%

Resolved

377

Trades

766

lifetime

Volume

$2.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 06-15 11:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 85% -$13

Other

7% 13% -$6

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	3	$170	180	0	+180	Up	-$9	05-29 19:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 22:15 UTC	46	$102	104	100	+4	Up	-$2	04-07 22:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	4	$88	53	53	+0	open	—	05-21 12:24
russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 23	3	$63	37	37	+0	No	+$11	03-27 00:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	2	$47	49	0	+49	Down	+$0	05-29 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	3	$46	55	0	+55	Up	+$2	05-30 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	6	$44	40	40	+0	Up	+$3	05-16 19:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 14:45 UTC	12	$34	32	32	+0	Down	-$2	06-14 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	6	$28	43	24	+19	Up	+$3	05-16 21:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 16:15 UTC	9	$27	22	18	+4	Down	+$1	06-13 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	4	$26	54	0	+54	Up	+$1	05-16 19:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 00:00 UTC	8	$24	15	15	+0	Down	$0	06-12 00:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 14:40 UTC	8	$23	22	22	+0	Up	-$1	06-14 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	5	$21	50	0	+50	Down	-$1	05-16 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	3	$21	28	0	+28	Down	-$1	05-29 20:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 11:50 UTC	5	$19	20	10	+10	Up	+$2	06-15 11:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$19	16	16	+0	Up	+$2	05-16 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$19	21	0	+21	Up	-$17	05-31 09:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:25 UTC	6	$19	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	06-13 18:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 23:00 UTC	6	$19	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	06-11 23:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 17:50 UTC	6	$18	13	13	+0	Down	+$0	06-13 17:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 15:10 UTC	6	$18	12	12	+0	Up	+$0	06-13 15:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 05:50 UTC	6	$18	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	06-12 05:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 17:05 UTC	6	$18	11	11	+0	Up	+$0	06-13 17:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 17:00 UTC	6	$18	12	12	+0	Down	+$0	06-13 17:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 22:00 UTC	6	$18	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	06-11 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$18	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	05-29 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$17	34	0	+34	Down	+$0	05-16 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$15	30	0	+30	Down	+$0	05-16 21:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	4	$14	28	0	+28	Up	+$0	05-16 21:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 11:51:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 11:50 UTC	Up	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x6e89e7…
06-15 11:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x967571…
06-15 11:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xa771f0…
06-15 11:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x62f71e…
06-15 11:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x44b0e0…
06-14 14:48:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 14:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x64fb23…
06-14 14:48:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x8b734c…
06-14 14:48:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 14:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x021d9d…
06-14 14:48:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x9e7711…
06-14 14:48:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 14:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xcd1e73…
06-14 14:47:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xccc359…
06-14 14:47:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 14:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x9cd360…
06-14 14:47:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x036ca9…
06-14 14:47:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 14:45 UTC	Down	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x739eb8…
06-14 14:47:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x1e2fc0…
06-14 14:45:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 14:45 UTC	Up	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0x03f02a…
06-14 14:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xd4bf35…
06-14 14:43:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 14:40 UTC	Up	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0xd10ea0…
06-14 14:43:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xff5342…
06-14 14:43:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 14:40 UTC	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x13802d…
06-14 14:42:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x6bdc46…
06-14 14:42:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 14:40 UTC	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x3783a9…
06-14 14:42:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xbcc42c…
06-14 14:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x32f84c…
06-14 14:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xeb924d…
06-14 14:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x49ae93…
06-14 14:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x8bb626…
06-13 18:37:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:35 UTC	Up	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0x864ab8…
06-13 18:37:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xdda1e4…
06-13 18:31:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xecaa0e…
06-13 18:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$3	0x0433e8…
06-13 18:28:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x38277b…
06-13 18:26:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:25 UTC	Up	SELL	3	76¢	$3	0x7053c4…
06-13 18:26:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xf791b1…
06-13 18:26:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:25 UTC	Up	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0xd74e84…
06-13 18:25:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x0c32ff…
06-13 18:24:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:20 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x1f37af…
06-13 18:21:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x0ef643…
06-13 18:18:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:15 UTC	Up	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x180edd…
06-13 18:18:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x4ea548…
06-13 18:17:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:15 UTC	Up	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0xdec5d4…
06-13 18:16:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xfd3db4…
06-13 18:08:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:05 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xf0244f…
06-13 18:06:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x7ec903…
06-13 18:06:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:05 UTC	Up	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x685d44…
06-13 18:05:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x932698…
06-13 18:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	86¢	$3	0xe8ba11…
06-13 18:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xcc1b25…
06-13 18:02:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x112ce4…
06-13 18:02:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xbee641…
06-13 17:56:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 17:55 UTC	Down	SELL	4	64¢	$3	0x953131…
06-13 17:55:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xe58f8d…
06-13 17:52:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 17:50 UTC	Down	SELL	4	89¢	$3	0xd1c2b8…
06-13 17:51:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x98cb3b…
06-13 17:51:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 17:50 UTC	Down	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0xc9d159…
06-13 17:50:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x87b697…
06-13 17:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x81fba3…
06-13 17:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x061642…
06-13 17:33:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xed8d80…
06-13 17:31:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 17:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x7d48ee…
06-13 17:31:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x473ec0…
06-13 17:28:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 17:25 UTC	Up	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x0933b1…
06-13 17:28:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xf3c8d8…
06-13 17:18:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 17:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0xc2cdb3…
06-13 17:17:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x6a88cc…
06-13 17:17:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 17:15 UTC	Up	SELL	4	87¢	$3	0xbd8709…
06-13 17:17:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xed5eb7…
06-13 17:12:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 17:10 UTC	Down	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xfb1597…
06-13 17:11:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x1b26de…
06-13 17:11:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 17:10 UTC	Down	SELL	4	62¢	$3	0x4100be…
06-13 17:10:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x545f4c…
06-13 17:07:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 17:05 UTC	Up	SELL	4	89¢	$3	0x6d8fbd…
06-13 17:07:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x8c4ca9…
06-13 17:06:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 17:05 UTC	Up	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0xbce9f1…
06-13 17:06:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x6f50dd…
06-13 17:06:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 17:05 UTC	Up	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x1bbdc7…
06-13 17:05:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xa60009…
06-13 17:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x713cc2…
06-13 17:03:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xcf5474…
06-13 17:02:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 17:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x979ce0…
06-13 17:01:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x39a90b…
06-13 17:00:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 17:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x6147b8…
06-13 17:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x3b9633…
06-13 16:57:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 16:55 UTC	Up	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0xe65023…
06-13 16:56:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x1b0dcc…
06-13 16:56:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 16:55 UTC	Up	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0xa2907b…
06-13 16:56:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x9114a6…
06-13 16:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x65a296…
06-13 16:53:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xe4a795…
06-13 16:48:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 16:45 UTC	Down	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x5b03c3…
06-13 16:48:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x99227d…
06-13 16:46:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 16:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x58a418…
06-13 16:46:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xca55c7…
06-13 16:42:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 16:40 UTC	Up	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0x548d57…
06-13 16:42:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x71c88d…
06-13 16:41:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 16:40 UTC	Up	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x3db728…
06-13 16:41:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x016696…
06-13 16:37:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xa98730…
06-13 16:36:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 16:35 UTC	Up	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0x3bd362…
06-13 16:36:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x187e79…