Troubled-Glen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$115

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.4%

Resolved

499

Trades

1,809

lifetime

Volume

$14.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 10-25 18:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 112 days

Categories

Other

96% 41% +$129

Politics

4% 36% -$2

Sports

0% 67% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	29	$580	1,590	1,590	+0	No	+$8	05-24 03:15
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	17	$504	1,255	1,255	+0	Yes	+$4	05-24 19:39
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	15	$413	947	947	+0	No	+$3	05-24 20:18
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	19	$409	980	980	+0	No	+$49	05-20 14:29
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	19	$337	815	815	+0	No	+$73	05-21 02:03
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	14	$334	754	754	+0	Yes	+$51	06-02 07:24
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	17	$332	1,208	1,208	+0	No	-$28	05-24 03:15
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	13	$329	1,103	1,103	+0	No	-$37	05-31 13:01
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	13	$300	595	595	+0	No	+$53	05-17 19:35
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	19	$296	922	823	+99	No	+$16	05-22 13:38
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	18	$287	595	595	+0	Yes	+$55	05-27 07:27
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	15	$281	548	548	+0	Yes	+$33	06-04 11:36
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	9	$262	496	496	+0	No	+$33	05-17 13:39
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	14	$238	704	704	+0	No	-$22	05-27 06:10
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	12	$230	600	600	+0	Yes	+$6	06-14 04:49
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	15	$207	614	614	+0	No	+$19	05-19 17:21
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	14	$206	451	451	+0	Yes	+$45	06-09 15:34
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	14	$197	400	400	+0	Yes	+$39	06-09 15:20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	7	$167	430	430	+0	No	+$11	06-09 12:10
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	9	$164	876	876	+0	No	-$19	05-28 09:17
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	7	$163	356	356	+0	No	+$19	05-27 06:11
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	8	$143	400	400	+0	No	-$25	06-14 13:16
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	18	$140	116	116	+0	Yes	+$74	10-02 16:00
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	7	$134	340	340	+0	No	-$4	06-13 17:10
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	19	$133	397	397	+0	Yes	+$59	05-22 13:11
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	7	$132	339	273	+66	No	-$8	06-05 03:34
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	7	$126	255	255	-0	No	+$11	07-08 15:54
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	3	$125	637	637	+0	No	-$48	05-24 03:14
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	7	$123	614	614	-0	No	-$74	05-31 04:10
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	3	$120	400	400	+0	No	-$8	05-25 17:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 18:05:44	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0xd8f38e…
10-23 14:22:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0xa734f8…
10-23 14:21:35	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xc061de…
10-23 14:18:15	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 23?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xbe4fda…
10-23 03:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0x73d592…
10-23 03:15:17	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xac43a9…
10-21 11:25:11	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xbdd30f…
10-16 04:38:51	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x48c178…
10-13 22:03:15	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x59f7e6…
10-12 17:37:42	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0x893647…
10-12 16:06:45	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xb8b433…
10-12 15:20:26	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	15¢	$9	0xde14b4…
10-11 11:22:11	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	22¢	$7	0x0e564f…
10-11 10:42:30	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xaeb4f3…
10-11 08:25:16	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	23¢	$3	0x7a277c…
10-11 07:57:39	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	23¢	$10	0xbaa958…
10-10 14:33:55	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	18¢	$5	0x7a2ae3…
10-10 14:33:09	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x036c5c…
10-09 15:53:12	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf9f1e3…
10-09 15:52:48	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x636c07…
10-09 15:49:48	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	10¢	$5	0x23dc6f…
10-09 03:25:53	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	13¢	$7	0xb4c921…
10-09 03:24:59	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0xc32dfb…
10-09 03:24:29	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$3	0x020dd5…
10-08 15:28:51	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	12¢	$4	0xed273c…
10-08 15:28:24	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x98bdee…
10-08 15:27:45	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xde50f3…
10-08 15:26:41	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	7¢	$7	0x5c8a5d…
10-08 15:25:48	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	4¢	$3	0x62b0eb…
10-08 15:24:00	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x05b630…
10-08 03:39:37	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x097ae1…
10-08 03:39:02	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	18¢	$4	0x8d9c60…
10-08 03:38:47	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0x485e31…
10-08 03:38:26	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	15¢	$8	0x3458cb…
10-08 03:38:05	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	73	16¢	$12	0xce26c9…
10-08 03:37:50	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0xbd32a7…
10-08 03:25:29	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xa6f569…
10-08 03:25:05	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xbe3133…
10-08 03:24:41	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x9982ec…
10-08 03:24:29	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x75950e…
10-08 03:22:01	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	15¢	$4	0xa922dc…
10-08 03:21:32	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0xf4da46…
10-08 03:06:52	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x90d5ed…
10-07 17:38:40	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	18¢	$6	0x860a48…
10-07 17:10:34	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0xa154a8…
10-07 17:10:02	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	2¢	$1	0xb48678…
10-07 17:09:43	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	0¢	$0	0xbae72c…
10-07 17:09:28	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0xf3a066…
10-07 15:40:01	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	36¢	$7	0xc9c673…
10-07 15:39:43	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	19¢	$7	0xd4078e…
10-07 15:23:10	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	4¢	$1	0xbe2053…
10-07 15:22:53	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0xef9cef…
10-07 15:18:56	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x0c8c82…
10-07 15:18:14	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xf2530e…
10-07 03:58:39	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0xe545f0…
10-07 03:57:42	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x652599…
10-07 03:56:21	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x4e9dac…
10-07 03:43:54	Golden Knights vs. Kraken	Golden Knights	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x654453…
10-07 03:04:27	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x7a2447…
10-07 03:03:03	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xfd539c…
10-07 00:26:00	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xe10006…
10-07 00:25:09	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$1	0x760f5f…
10-07 00:24:32	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x2d9edf…
10-07 00:24:05	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	13¢	$5	0xb6a2bd…
10-06 18:54:33	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0x67865d…
10-06 18:53:59	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x59984b…
10-06 18:53:21	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xc023c4…
10-06 16:38:32	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xb8e773…
10-06 16:37:27	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	8¢	$2	0x98956c…
10-06 16:36:15	Golden Knights vs. Kraken	Golden Knights	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x2dc516…
10-06 15:58:21	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xa632a3…
10-06 15:47:05	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0xa782eb…
10-06 15:46:53	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	28¢	$4	0x58646f…
10-06 15:46:20	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xbf560f…
10-06 15:42:11	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x3965a7…
10-06 15:41:02	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0x455ec0…
10-06 15:40:44	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0xf9bb57…
10-06 15:36:47	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x953189…
10-06 15:36:09	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x06b7c3…
10-06 15:33:11	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x3b6ea5…
10-06 15:32:23	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x1bb4e6…
10-06 15:31:38	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	5¢	$2	0x947e44…
10-06 15:23:48	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0xbbe164…
10-06 15:12:24	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x8c829a…
10-06 15:11:53	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x8b2d76…
10-06 15:11:36	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x84a58c…
10-06 15:11:11	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0xe43a0d…
10-06 04:26:09	Lakers vs. Kings	Lakers	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x157c4e…
10-06 03:43:15	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xd8ba3f…
10-06 03:42:15	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	19¢	$6	0x4ac01c…
10-06 03:40:18	Lakers vs. Kings	Lakers	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb8f08a…
10-06 03:03:52	Falcons vs. Saints	Falcons	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7824ec…
10-06 02:55:37	Falcons vs. Saints	Falcons	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3cf684…
10-06 02:53:10	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd6d2c9…
10-06 02:52:37	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xd4da84…
10-06 02:51:43	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0xf2cec3…
10-06 02:51:10	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x8b25ec…
10-06 02:49:55	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0x677ff7…
10-05 19:14:07	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	14¢	$4	0xa6e7d1…
10-05 19:13:52	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x31a143…