Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
79.4%
Resolved
22
Trades
3,841
lifetime
Volume
$17.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$80
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 06-29 22:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Crypto
52% 67% $-1
Other
45% 84% +$4
Politics
2%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 337 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +40 $37 99¢ $40 +$3 06-10 23:43
New pandemic in 2026? No +14 $12 92¢ $12 +$0 06-14 14:32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +12 $10 92¢ $11 +$1 06-05 20:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +12 $9 70¢ $8 $-1 06-10 23:44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +8 $7 96¢ $8 +$0 06-19 22:58
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No +22 $0 $1 +$1 06-25 20:19