Favorite-Minimum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18.9K

Unrealized P&L

-$6.92K

Hit rate

62.0%

Resolved

234

Trades

1,351

lifetime

Volume

$837.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$620

Open exposure

$18.3K

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-13 16:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 97 days

Categories

Sports

65% 51% +$63,271

Other

18% 51% +$790

Politics

14% 10% -$45,596

Tech

3% 33% +$417

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+49,715	$10,088	22¢	$11.2K	+$1,098	11-05 12:41
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+68,432	$4,526	5¢	$3.7K	-$865	10-26 13:24
Thunder vs. Clippers	Thunder	+2,000	$1,440	72¢	$1.4K	-$10	11-13 16:24
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+21,504	$1,855	3¢	$742	-$1,113	09-24 14:04
Warriors vs. Spurs	Spurs	+600	$510	84¢	$507	-$3	11-13 16:24
Trail Blazers vs. Kings	Trail Blazers	+600	$492	80¢	$483	-$9	11-13 16:24
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+51,974	$4,094	0¢	$234	-$3,860	09-16 05:36
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+51,309	$2,205	0¢	$51	-$2,153	09-04 09:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	105	$85.7K	205,000	205,000	+0	open	—	11-05 12:41
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	16	$85.7K	55,002	103,784	-48,782	No	+$19,684	05-30 14:12
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	9	$57.3K	41,516	33,681	+7,835	No	-$2,493	10-25 06:07
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	89	$41.0K	48,978	48,978	+1	Yes	+$31,389	10-25 13:40
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	15	$37.0K	81,013	102,213	-21,200	No	+$8,577	06-07 07:57
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	8	$26.5K	32,817	0	+32,817	Yes	-$26,460	10-25 13:46
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	9	$26.4K	91,209	85,177	+6,032	Yes	+$20,339	05-30 14:11
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	3	$22.2K	13,370	13,370	+0	No	$0	06-09 13:17
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	2	$19.7K	12,500	10,000	+2,500	No	+$200	06-16 10:22
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$15.8K	10,000	7,414	+2,586	Yes	-$156	06-24 07:25
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	12	$15.3K	9,827	9,827	+0	No	+$2,771	05-21 12:59
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$14.5K	10,000	10,000	+0	Yes	+$1,300	06-25 12:34
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons	3	$12.2K	12,000	8,000	+4,000	Cavs	-$741	05-17 05:57
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$11.7K	30,300	20,000	+10,300	No	+$1,862	07-14 03:27
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	15	$10.1K	49,715	0	+49,715	open	—	11-05 12:41
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$10.0K	21,000	24,947	-3,947	Yes	-$376	07-16 01:44
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?	1	$9.2K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$800	06-28 07:55
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	1	$9.1K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$900	06-28 07:54
mlb chc sd 2026 09 29	11	$8.5K	9,000	0	+9,000	San Diego Padres	+$540	09-30 03:18
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?	1	$7.5K	9,000	0	+9,000	No	+$1,493	06-14 00:58
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$7.1K	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	+$2,900	06-15 00:40
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$6.7K	30,000	20,000	+10,000	No	+$205	07-14 03:28
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks	2	$6.4K	8,895	2,116	+6,779	Knicks	+$4,094	04-29 21:46
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	3	$6.2K	19,972	0	+19,972	Yes	-$6,242	11-01 11:46
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$5.6K	76,547	8,114	+68,432	open	—	10-26 13:24
nba mia det 2026 01 01	2	$5.2K	8,018	0	+8,018	Heat	-$5,184	01-01 16:00
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	14	$4.8K	16,600	8,000	+8,600	Arsenal FC	-$1,800	05-30 12:24
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	5	$4.7K	13,707	13,707	+0	Spurs	+$2,063	05-08 17:04
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	6	$4.7K	7,694	0	+7,694	Yes	-$4,692	05-30 14:35
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	2	$4.6K	5,555	2,000	+3,555	Timberwolves	-$2,822	05-01 03:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 16:24:45	Thunder vs. Clippers	Thunder	BUY	2,000	72¢	$1,440	0xdf062a…
11-13 16:24:27	Trail Blazers vs. Kings	Trail Blazers	BUY	600	82¢	$492	0xe64c76…
11-13 16:24:12	Warriors vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	600	85¢	$510	0x13950b…
11-12 08:26:39	Commanders vs. Giants	Giants	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x53e7d2…
11-12 08:26:25	Commanders vs. Giants	Giants	BUY	600	56¢	$336	0x0dc5d1…
11-12 08:24:57	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	188	81¢	$152	0xe36536…
11-12 08:24:46	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x256aeb…
11-12 08:24:15	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	80¢	$76	0x174fc0…
11-12 08:23:55	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	80¢	$15	0xae0e6a…
11-12 08:23:48	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	80¢	$18	0x6cde63…
11-12 08:23:43	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	80¢	$120	0x94dc22…
11-12 08:23:40	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xf449ec…
11-12 08:23:10	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	80¢	$67	0x7c8690…
11-12 08:23:10	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,413	80¢	$3,517	0x020996…
11-12 08:22:52	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	41¢	$2,050	0xa363c0…
11-12 01:42:54	Warriors vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	500	68¢	$340	0x185549…
11-12 01:42:37	Spurs vs. Bulls	Bulls	BUY	600	41¢	$246	0x1e9e3e…
11-12 01:41:52	Celtics vs. Raptors	Celtics	BUY	1,000	53¢	$530	0x55094b…
11-10 14:48:36	Clippers vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	1,000	61¢	$610	0x9192e6…
11-09 16:49:45	Pacers vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	1,000	60¢	$600	0x9cd1c0…
11-09 16:48:54	Spurs vs. Suns	Spurs	BUY	1,000	78¢	$780	0xcd18a9…
11-08 06:23:52	Jets vs. Chiefs	Chiefs	BUY	1,000	81¢	$810	0x79a02a…
11-08 06:23:09	Bills vs. Vikings	Bills	BUY	1,000	62¢	$620	0x1d0696…
11-08 06:22:57	Buccaneers vs. Bears	Bears	BUY	1,000	72¢	$720	0xcbc519…
11-08 06:22:37	Raiders vs. 49ers	49ers	BUY	1,000	80¢	$800	0x25c6e8…
11-07 12:05:24	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	BUY	1,000	67¢	$670	0x3cf055…
11-07 12:05:13	Rockets vs. Suns	Rockets	BUY	1,000	73¢	$730	0xdd1bc9…
11-06 15:03:30	Spurs vs. Kings	Spurs	BUY	1,000	90¢	$900	0xfdc0b2…
11-06 15:02:58	Jazz vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	1,500	72¢	$1,080	0xd1ccf8…
11-05 12:43:12	Heat vs. Warriors	Heat	BUY	878	29¢	$255	0x17e434…
11-05 12:41:34	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	4,569	23¢	$1,051	0xc5b2c3…
11-05 12:41:10	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	8,071	12¢	$969	0x7b35b4…
11-03 15:18:16	Mavericks vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	1,096	84¢	$917	0x8774f5…
11-03 15:16:28	Pacers vs. Grizzlies	Grizzlies	BUY	3,000	74¢	$2,220	0x86e195…
11-03 15:15:57	Hawks vs. Wizards	Wizards	BUY	1,000	46¢	$460	0x741cbf…
11-02 15:27:28	Wizards vs. Magic	Wizards	BUY	1,500	42¢	$630	0xb7894e…
11-02 15:26:36	Pistons vs. Hornets	Pistons	BUY	1,000	65¢	$650	0xa1c9c7…
11-02 15:20:51	Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	1,000	61¢	$610	0xd65aa1…
11-01 11:55:28	Ravens vs. Bills	Ravens	BUY	1,000	39¢	$390	0x4bfe82…
11-01 11:53:40	Eagles vs. Commanders	Eagles	BUY	1,000	30¢	$300	0xca2bb0…
11-01 11:49:30	Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	460	63¢	$290	0xb56f62…
11-01 11:46:34	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	30¢	$1,500	0x12d52e…
11-01 11:45:58	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	13,588	23¢	$3,125	0x78e47f…
11-01 11:45:15	Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	129	61¢	$79	0xb525c3…
11-01 11:45:10	Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	138	61¢	$84	0x30b52b…
11-01 11:45:03	Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	138	61¢	$84	0x5afa42…
11-01 11:44:58	Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	138	61¢	$84	0x08c14c…
11-01 11:44:48	Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	138	61¢	$84	0xba083c…
11-01 11:44:10	Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	138	61¢	$84	0xa78bf4…
11-01 11:44:06	Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	138	61¢	$84	0xdc463e…
11-01 11:43:58	Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	138	61¢	$84	0x7c1557…
11-01 11:43:54	Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	138	61¢	$84	0x1f27d8…
11-01 11:43:43	Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	138	61¢	$84	0x41a0a9…
11-01 11:43:36	Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	138	60¢	$83	0x2a9507…
11-01 11:43:27	Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	138	60¢	$83	0xcc5c04…
11-01 06:53:49	Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x548256…
11-01 06:46:24	Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	22	61¢	$13	0xd279ec…
11-01 06:44:03	Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x318f21…
11-01 06:43:57	Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	27	61¢	$16	0x83fdd2…
11-01 06:37:13	Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	138	62¢	$86	0xb02f9d…
11-01 06:37:00	Clippers vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	430	57¢	$245	0xbac75b…
11-01 06:36:46	Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	85	62¢	$52	0x602ba1…
11-01 06:36:18	Clippers vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	590	56¢	$330	0x43c8b5…
11-01 06:35:52	Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	113	61¢	$69	0x4e4ce2…
11-01 06:35:43	Clippers vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	79	55¢	$44	0x9c3661…
11-01 06:35:00	Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xba4f5f…
11-01 06:34:43	Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	0	61¢	$0	0x1135cc…
11-01 06:34:40	Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	139	61¢	$85	0xf0be64…
11-01 06:34:40	Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	43	61¢	$26	0x9caf32…
11-01 06:34:31	Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	182	61¢	$111	0x2d304d…
11-01 06:33:28	Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	141	60¢	$85	0x9f60ea…
10-31 12:55:36	Thunder vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	2,000	57¢	$1,140	0x135cf7…
10-31 12:55:13	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	2,000	18¢	$360	0x091d10…
10-31 12:54:42	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	BUY	2,000	53¢	$1,060	0x53652b…
10-30 08:49:40	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	9,972	29¢	$2,892	0x22660d…
10-30 08:15:27	Clippers vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	1,249	71¢	$887	0x8a6578…
10-30 08:14:18	Hornets vs. Wizards	Wizards	BUY	1,000	54¢	$540	0x55ebc7…
10-29 12:55:16	Clippers vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	2,590	68¢	$1,755	0x56b14a…
10-29 12:52:41	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Rockets	BUY	300	63¢	$189	0x702811…
10-29 12:52:22	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Rockets	BUY	2,113	62¢	$1,310	0x07113c…
10-29 12:49:37	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0x846ca5…
10-29 12:49:28	Hornets vs. Wizards	Wizards	BUY	87	54¢	$47	0xf33739…
10-29 12:49:28	Hornets vs. Wizards	Wizards	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xa8d593…
10-29 12:49:26	Hornets vs. Wizards	Wizards	BUY	813	54¢	$439	0xc69bda…
10-28 14:48:07	76ers vs. Pacers	76ers	BUY	5,500	67¢	$3,685	0xcc8d5e…
10-28 14:47:02	76ers vs. Pacers	76ers	BUY	535	66¢	$353	0xd837a2…
10-28 14:44:31	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	4,000	78¢	$3,120	0x6860e0…
10-28 14:44:05	Knicks vs. Bulls	Knicks	BUY	4,000	72¢	$2,880	0x407d7d…
10-27 14:11:48	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	5,000	83¢	$4,150	0x3e2a38…
10-27 14:11:26	Pistons vs. Knicks	Pistons	BUY	1,500	40¢	$600	0x8d495e…
10-27 14:08:36	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	51,929	16¢	$8,063	0xd4a293…
10-26 13:27:41	Suns vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	2,800	78¢	$2,184	0x379942…
10-26 13:27:06	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	3,000	72¢	$2,160	0xa67cbe…
10-26 13:25:56	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	2,000	38¢	$760	0xd7081a…
10-26 13:24:27	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	8,114	6¢	$523	0xa5f3ea…
10-25 15:18:29	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	37¢	$1,850	0x2a8bbd…
10-25 15:17:39	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$1	0xec9e30…
10-25 15:17:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	54	5¢	$3	0x059a30…
10-25 15:17:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	344	5¢	$18	0x11ad45…
10-25 13:47:09	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	6,675	7¢	$454	0x2602ed…