Simple-Tornado — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

59.0%

Resolved

340

Trades

1,242

lifetime

Volume

$1.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 10-30 01:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 48% -$10

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Other

0% 33% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+5	$1	14¢	$1	$0	10-22 16:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	Yes		+8	$1	6¢	$1	$0	10-22 16:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	6	$37	43	41	+3	Down	+$34	05-01 16:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	4	$19	117	0	+117	Up	-$19	05-01 17:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 14:40 UTC	3	$16	15	15	+0	Up	+$12	03-12 14:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	5	$16	74	37	+36	Down	-$6	05-01 16:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	8	$16	31	31	+0	Down	+$10	05-01 17:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	10	$13	24	24	+0	Up	+$9	05-03 14:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	7	$11	36	16	+20	Up	-$1	05-01 17:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 20:45 UTC	5	$9	56	56	+0	Up	+$5	03-24 20:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	8	$9	15	15	+0	Down	+$1	05-04 14:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	8	$9	26	12	+14	Up	-$1	05-04 14:24
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 18:05 UTC	11	$9	12	11	+1	Down	+$3	04-13 18:10
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 12:30 UTC	11	$8	17	17	+0	Up	+$4	03-25 12:35
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	10	$8	24	23	+2	Up	+$3	04-26 23:34
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 18:00 UTC	6	$8	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	03-12 18:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	7	$8	29	24	+5	Up	+$2	05-01 16:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	10	$8	11	11	+0	Down	+$2	05-03 13:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 17:25 UTC	7	$8	15	9	+5	Up	$0	03-14 17:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	4	$7	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	05-01 17:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 15:55 UTC	3	$7	12	12	+0	Down	+$3	03-12 15:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 17:40 UTC	6	$7	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	03-14 17:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	8	$7	42	6	+35	Down	+$0	05-03 14:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	5	$6	21	13	+8	Up	+$0	05-28 16:22
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 17:00 UTC	4	$6	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	03-12 17:04
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 16:45 UTC	6	$6	31	31	+0	Up	+$0	03-14 16:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 17:20 UTC	5	$6	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	03-14 17:22
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 20:40 UTC	8	$6	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	03-27 20:43
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 19:10 UTC	4	$6	9	9	+0	Down	+$0	03-12 19:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 18:45 UTC	5	$6	8	7	+1	Up	+$0	03-14 18:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	6	$6	34	20	+14	Up	-$2	05-03 13:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	6	$6	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-03 13:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 01:17:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2104a7…
10-30 01:13:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb06288…
10-30 01:12:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x5218a8…
10-30 01:12:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0xe2d87a…
10-30 01:10:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x583f61…
10-30 01:08:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x7ba552…
10-30 01:07:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0x8291ab…
10-30 01:06:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	56¢	$1	0x5784d6…
10-30 01:06:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x8490b1…
10-30 01:05:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x750984…
10-30 01:03:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x65ebb2…
10-30 01:01:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0x8708d3…
10-30 01:01:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0xfbc8ff…
10-30 01:00:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x89b717…
10-30 00:59:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x70e8c6…
10-30 00:59:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x782871…
10-30 00:58:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x7a6047…
10-30 00:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0xe62daa…
10-30 00:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	49¢	$0	0x5e7d7c…
10-30 00:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x2dbb77…
10-30 00:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0x75e371…
10-30 00:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x5abdf3…
10-30 00:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x97f881…
10-30 00:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xaa9703…
10-29 14:43:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x41ac23…
10-29 14:43:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xa67922…
10-29 14:42:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x5cca25…
10-29 14:42:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf938b9…
10-29 14:41:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0xae5eb7…
10-29 14:40:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2a5b23…
10-29 14:37:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x13ce5d…
10-29 14:36:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x9efb92…
10-29 14:36:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x62f907…
10-29 14:36:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xf4968b…
10-29 14:36:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xe7b4de…
10-29 14:36:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	67¢	$0	0xe08034…
10-29 14:35:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd589db…
10-29 14:30:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4dac7c…
10-29 14:30:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xaaf375…
10-29 14:27:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x62b9e3…
10-29 14:27:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0xd41906…
10-29 14:26:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xc99f96…
10-29 14:26:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	47¢	$1	0xc66a28…
10-29 14:25:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x1f8800…
10-29 14:22:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x2f018d…
10-29 14:22:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xe07b67…
10-29 14:21:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x651f16…
10-22 16:32:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb1dd96…
10-22 16:32:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x92e505…
10-22 14:43:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x8a9703…
10-22 14:40:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x9bdfda…
10-22 14:40:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x76c181…
10-22 14:38:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x902c53…
10-22 14:38:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xaf1e85…
10-22 14:37:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x3e9631…
10-22 14:37:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x618e14…
10-22 14:36:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x836af8…
08-12 15:44:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 15:40 UTC	Down	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x7ce30f…
08-12 15:43:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x5957c3…
08-12 15:43:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 15:40 UTC	Up	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xea1b37…
08-12 15:42:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 15:40 UTC	Up	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0xa4ab3d…
08-12 15:42:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 15:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1	41¢	$0	0x9a2829…
08-12 15:41:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 15:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1	46¢	$0	0x3c55c5…
08-12 15:41:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 15:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x774296…
08-12 15:40:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x22fd84…
08-12 15:38:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xed19d7…
08-03 14:49:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 14:45 UTC	Up	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x0c9da5…
08-03 14:48:47	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8f2f66…
08-03 14:45:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x783de7…
08-03 14:44:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 14:40 UTC	Up	SELL	33	9¢	$3	0xc49c91…
08-03 14:44:23	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb4810f…
08-03 14:38:17	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 14:35 UTC	Up	SELL	1	65¢	$0	0xbe1d16…
08-03 14:37:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 14:35 UTC	Up	SELL	1	53¢	$0	0x884fa2…
08-03 14:36:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 14:35 UTC	Up	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x1ecd2d…
08-03 14:36:14	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe329d3…
05-28 20:33:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x283a01…
05-28 20:33:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x409644…
05-28 16:48:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x3585be…
05-28 16:48:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x18272e…
05-28 16:48:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0x9301bb…
05-28 16:47:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x2f30e3…
05-28 16:45:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x4cfb50…
05-28 16:44:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xaecb07…
05-28 16:43:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1cb91c…
05-28 16:41:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5113b9…
05-28 16:22:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0x3471dd…
05-28 16:22:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x01740a…
05-28 16:22:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x1f91c5…
05-28 16:21:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb672d1…
05-28 16:21:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xca8160…
05-28 16:18:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x8e8fdf…
05-28 16:18:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x7c3683…
05-28 16:18:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$0	0xc15ea7…
05-28 16:18:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x7f7210…
05-28 16:18:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	46¢	$0	0x480d24…
05-28 16:16:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2b0467…
05-21 17:11:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0f3280…
05-20 13:26:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x51fcff…
05-20 13:25:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x4010b2…
05-20 13:24:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x79c3e3…