Salty-Availability — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$122

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

101

lifetime

Volume

$67.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$669

Open exposure

$108

1 position

First seen

2026-01-20

last 09-03 09:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 100% +$50

Politics

15% 100% +$34

Other

11% 100% +$36

Tech

3% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
EU dissolves before 2027?	No		+110	$106	98¢	$108	+$2	05-06 18:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?	1	$5.2K	5,170	0	+5,170	No	+$5	06-02 15:53
bitcoin above 70k on june 7 2026	1	$5.1K	5,086	0	+5,086	No	+$5	06-06 18:25
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	1	$5.1K	5,090	0	+5,090	No	+$10	06-07 18:17
bitcoin above 72k on june 9 2026	1	$5.1K	5,071	0	+5,071	No	+$5	06-08 17:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 29?	4	$4.0K	4,003	0	+4,003	No	+$4	05-28 21:15
bitcoin above 70k on june 19 2026	1	$3.2K	3,230	0	+3,230	No	+$3	06-18 15:21
bitcoin above 72k on june 4 2026	1	$3.1K	3,133	0	+3,133	No	+$3	06-03 21:03
bitcoin above 70k on june 6 2026	1	$3.1K	3,094	0	+3,094	No	+$3	06-05 18:38
bitcoin above 58k on june 21 2026	1	$2.8K	2,753	0	+2,753	Yes	+$3	06-20 17:11
bitcoin above 58k on june 22 2026	1	$2.6K	2,606	0	+2,606	Yes	+$3	06-21 17:53
bitcoin above 56k on june 23 2026	2	$2.4K	2,421	0	+2,421	Yes	+$2	06-22 17:45
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$2.2K	2,068	110	+1,958	No	+$6	05-31 20:55
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	Yes	+$2	05-29 18:53
bitcoin above 78k on june 6 2026	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$2	06-04 19:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 5?	1	$2.0K	1,999	0	+1,999	No	+$2	06-03 18:44
bitcoin above 56k on june 17 2026	1	$1.8K	1,850	0	+1,850	Yes	+$2	06-17 07:16
starmer out by june 15 2026	5	$1.6K	1,644	0	+1,644	No	+$4	06-14 07:53
bitcoin above 58k on june 17 2026	1	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	Yes	+$2	06-16 13:13
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	9	$1.2K	1,209	0	+1,209	No	+$15	06-15 18:38
bitcoin above 72k on june 5 2026	1	$1.1K	1,113	0	+1,113	No	+$1	06-04 19:26
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	3	$1.1K	1,109	0	+1,109	No	+$5	05-29 18:55
israeli parliament dissolved by june 15	4	$1.1K	1,057	0	+1,057	No	+$5	06-14 07:52
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	No	+$1	05-29 18:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	1	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$1	05-28 08:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 30?	1	$943	944	0	+944	Yes	+$1	05-30 03:09
jd vance out as vp by june 15	1	$705	706	0	+706	No	+$1	06-11 06:25
bitcoin above 56k on june 11 2026	1	$646	647	0	+647	Yes	+$1	06-11 12:39
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	10	$636	641	0	+641	No	+$5	06-21 17:52
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?	5	$600	604	0	+604	No	+$5	06-20 17:10
Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?	1	$292	293	0	+293	No	+$1	04-19 11:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-03 09:18:00	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0xcc7d2d…
08-02 15:58:17	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x7d834a…
08-02 15:58:00	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x0e2508…
07-02 10:37:46	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5e22d5…
07-02 10:37:25	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0x45f317…
07-02 10:36:49	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0x98bc28…
06-28 10:06:53	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	BUY	94	99¢	$93	0xfe8759…
06-28 10:06:29	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xb88bd1…
06-28 10:06:29	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	BUY	175	98¢	$172	0x111c06…
06-22 17:45:59	bitcoin above 56k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	895	100¢	$894	0x6bcdf6…
06-22 17:44:14	bitcoin above 56k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	1,526	100¢	$1,524	0xfb279b…
06-22 17:37:04	bitcoin above 70k on june 23 2026	No	BUY	188	100¢	$188	0x22bdd3…
06-21 17:53:23	bitcoin above 58k on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	2,606	100¢	$2,603	0x6a1486…
06-21 17:52:37	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$149	0xfe2426…
06-20 17:11:34	bitcoin above 58k on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	2,753	100¢	$2,750	0x4c4674…
06-20 17:10:46	Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?	No	BUY	468	99¢	$465	0xf2eb04…
06-19 17:25:52	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x028006…
06-18 15:21:46	bitcoin above 70k on june 19 2026	No	BUY	3,230	100¢	$3,227	0x667808…
06-18 15:20:16	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x9da785…
06-17 07:16:58	bitcoin above 56k on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	1,850	100¢	$1,848	0x64d28a…
06-16 13:13:47	bitcoin above 58k on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	1,500	100¢	$1,498	0x293125…
06-16 07:42:10	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x057f23…
06-15 18:38:43	Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	No	BUY	169	99¢	$167	0x3e7d39…
06-14 08:32:45	bitcoin above 72k on june 15 2026	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xcd2852…
06-14 08:21:04	Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x4044b0…
06-14 07:57:31	Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$33	0xed09c5…
06-14 07:54:28	bitcoin above 72k on june 15 2026	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xd2451d…
06-14 07:54:28	bitcoin above 72k on june 15 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbe0854…
06-14 07:53:15	starmer out by june 15 2026	No	BUY	743	100¢	$742	0x6bb1c3…
06-14 07:52:52	israeli parliament dissolved by june 15	No	BUY	469	99¢	$467	0xa82a10…
06-14 07:52:24	israeli parliament dissolved by june 15	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x294128…
06-14 07:24:16	israeli parliament dissolved by june 15	No	BUY	238	100¢	$237	0xf10926…
06-14 04:38:10	Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$13	0xe8188e…
06-14 02:44:31	Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	No	BUY	474	99¢	$469	0xbc16ba…
06-13 18:28:43	Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x88d4cd…
06-13 18:07:27	Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xdb0121…
06-13 18:02:13	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x2a9361…
06-13 17:59:40	Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xba4734…
06-13 17:57:13	Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	No	BUY	250	99¢	$248	0x774d5d…
06-13 17:56:31	israeli parliament dissolved by june 15	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0xbfb91d…
06-13 17:55:12	Starmer out by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x7b00eb…
06-11 12:39:46	bitcoin above 56k on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	647	100¢	$646	0x0dfa76…
06-11 06:29:54	will wti reach 120 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xd74356…
06-11 06:29:42	will wti dip to 65 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8c3c6a…
06-11 06:29:03	starmer out by june 15 2026	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xddd306…
06-11 06:28:31	will wti dip to 70 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xc769f4…
06-11 06:27:03	will xauusd reach 4600 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x13c594…
06-11 06:26:42	will xauusd reach 4650 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x5454ad…
06-11 06:25:03	jd vance out as vp by june 15	No	BUY	706	100¢	$705	0x093faf…
06-11 06:22:31	starmer out by june 15 2026	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x1812f6…
06-10 17:24:01	starmer out by june 15 2026	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xce03c8…
06-10 17:23:21	Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	No	BUY	250	98¢	$245	0xd2b21f…
06-10 17:22:34	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0xcaeeec…
06-09 18:14:40	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xa64ab0…
06-08 17:39:28	bitcoin above 72k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	5,071	100¢	$5,066	0x050af0…
06-08 17:37:04	Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x5700d4…
06-07 18:17:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	5,090	100¢	$5,080	0x1ae354…
06-06 18:25:06	bitcoin above 70k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	5,086	100¢	$5,081	0x92d095…
06-06 18:24:27	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x51b5dc…
06-05 18:38:40	bitcoin above 70k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	3,094	100¢	$3,091	0xfc4a7d…
06-05 18:38:04	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc2f531…
06-04 19:26:57	bitcoin above 72k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	1,113	100¢	$1,112	0xed4acd…
06-04 19:25:55	bitcoin above 78k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0xaec562…
06-04 19:25:09	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa4a5c5…
06-03 21:03:48	bitcoin above 72k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	3,133	100¢	$3,130	0x8129d3…
06-03 18:44:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 5?	No	BUY	1,999	100¢	$1,997	0xcabccd…
06-03 18:42:21	Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x76072d…
06-02 15:53:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	5,170	100¢	$5,165	0x5ba18b…
06-02 15:52:30	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2222f2…
05-31 20:55:37	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	944	100¢	$944	0x7ad5ed…
05-30 15:25:54	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,014	99¢	$1,002	0x5e852b…
05-30 03:09:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	944	100¢	$943	0xa10d23…
05-29 18:59:53	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x62d9dd…
05-29 18:55:41	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	1,004	100¢	$1,000	0x21b1a9…
05-29 18:54:36	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0xa017dd…
05-29 18:53:33	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,002	100¢	$2,000	0x082f07…
05-29 18:48:57	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xfc573f…
05-29 16:22:00	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x2caab7…
05-29 16:21:37	Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xc74d11…
05-29 16:21:16	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	110	91¢	$100	0x08c675…
05-28 21:15:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	1,005	100¢	$1,004	0x327218…
05-28 21:02:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xb0514f…
05-28 20:54:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xba252e…
05-28 20:27:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	2,948	100¢	$2,945	0x959079…
05-28 08:36:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x959a55…
05-28 08:35:23	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	110	98¢	$107	0xcd7cdf…
05-06 18:39:10	Will Ethereum dip to $400 in May?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xcdb96c…
05-06 18:37:51	EU dissolves before 2027?	No	BUY	110	97¢	$106	0x237f33…
05-06 18:37:27	Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x710a60…
04-19 11:06:22	Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?	No	BUY	293	100¢	$292	0xefe11a…
04-16 05:59:02	bitcoin above 64k on april 18	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xfb8d8d…
04-16 05:58:36	bitcoin above 64k on april 18	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x83c5af…
04-16 05:58:24	bitcoin above 64k on april 18	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x628d79…
03-07 14:47:21	kraken ipo by march 31 2026	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xc42064…
03-06 13:06:35	will crude oil cl hit low 40 by end of march 777 183 974 725 949 716 258 533 859 313 659 847	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x0e7530…
03-06 13:05:33	will gold gc settle over 7000 on the final trading day of march 2026	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0xd7e9c6…
03-06 13:04:05	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf91b1d…
02-27 09:23:29	will gold gc settle over 4000 on the final trading day of february 2026	Yes	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xf9f1d5…
02-27 09:22:03	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0x5c34ba…
01-20 12:07:00	Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x97e526…