Uneven-Metaphor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.5%

Resolved

Trades

462

lifetime

Volume

$5.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 06-10 05:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 74% +$5

Other

21% — —

Politics

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1771122300	2	$157	81	81	+0	open	—	02-15 02:30
btc updown 5m 1771122600	1	$80	86	0	+86	open	—	02-15 02:33
eth updown 5m 1780982400	2	$74	53	53	+0	open	—	06-09 05:22
btc updown 5m 1771120800	1	$73	77	0	+77	open	—	02-15 02:03
highest temperature in chicago on march 16 2026 36forhigher	4	$63	41	41	-0	open	—	03-17 04:13
btc updown 5m 1781067600	2	$62	46	46	+0	open	—	06-10 05:02
btc updown 5m 1771383300	2	$60	36	35	+0	open	—	02-18 03:00
eth updown 5m 1781058900	2	$52	38	38	+0	open	—	06-10 02:38
highest temperature in atlanta on march 26 2026 82 83f	4	$50	69	0	+69	open	—	03-24 23:48
highest temperature in chicago on march 6 2026 66 67f	7	$44	29	29	+0	open	—	03-07 06:23
highest temperature in nyc on march 25 2026 52 53f	3	$42	53	0	+53	open	—	03-24 23:32
highest temperature in chicago on march 25 2026 68forhigher	3	$37	103	0	+103	open	—	03-24 23:19
btc updown 5m 1780993200	1	$36	61	0	+61	open	—	06-09 08:22
eth updown 5m 1780971300	1	$36	43	0	+43	open	—	06-09 02:18
will iran strike israel on march 6	5	$30	2,057	0	+2,057	open	—	03-10 23:55
highest temperature in toronto on march 27 2026 3corhigher	2	$30	21	21	+0	open	—	03-27 03:44
highest temperature in nyc on march 7 2026 48forhigher	6	$29	24	24	+0	open	—	03-07 06:23
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$29	18	18	+0	open	—	03-07 06:23
sol updown 5m 1780811400	1	$29	78	0	+78	open	—	06-07 05:53
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	3	$27	23	23	+0	open	—	03-07 06:23
nothing ever happens microstrategy	2	$27	21	21	+0	open	—	03-07 06:23
highest temperature in miami on march 13 2026 80 81f	1	$26	49	0	+49	open	—	03-12 21:49
btc updown 5m 1774164900	1	$25	33	0	+33	open	—	03-22 07:39
btc updown 5m 1774332600	1	$25	35	0	+35	open	—	03-24 06:14
btc updown 5m 1774362000	1	$25	36	0	+36	open	—	03-24 14:24
btc updown 5m 1774849500	1	$25	36	0	+36	open	—	03-30 05:49
btc updown 5m 1774634100	1	$25	33	0	+33	open	—	03-27 17:59
btc updown 5m 1774638600	1	$25	36	0	+36	open	—	03-27 19:14
btc updown 5m 1771276500	1	$25	31	0	+31	open	—	02-16 21:19
btc updown 5m 1774331700	1	$25	60	0	+60	open	—	03-24 05:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 05:02:58	btc updown 5m 1781067600	Down	SELL	46	65¢	$30	0x03b6a4…
06-10 05:02:52	btc updown 5m 1781067600	Down	BUY	46	69¢	$32	0xffad29…
06-10 02:38:25	eth updown 5m 1781058900	Down	SELL	38	74¢	$28	0x681429…
06-10 02:38:22	eth updown 5m 1781058900	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$24	0xd03a90…
06-09 08:22:55	btc updown 5m 1780993200	Down	BUY	61	60¢	$36	0x292653…
06-09 05:22:45	eth updown 5m 1780982400	Down	SELL	53	72¢	$38	0x40d561…
06-09 05:22:40	eth updown 5m 1780982400	Down	BUY	53	69¢	$36	0x72ba4d…
06-09 02:18:06	eth updown 5m 1780971300	Down	BUY	43	85¢	$36	0xde42db…
06-07 05:53:19	sol updown 5m 1780811400	Up	BUY	78	37¢	$29	0xfc5efc…
05-27 06:18:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x7e5869…
05-27 05:49:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xab2b50…
05-27 05:18:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x6a01a2…
05-27 03:44:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xc73d4f…
05-27 03:23:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xd6cb2c…
05-27 01:39:35	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xa47deb…
05-24 06:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x7fe40c…
05-24 06:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	58¢	$3	0x3571f3…
05-24 06:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xce1cb8…
05-24 05:59:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xbe19f2…
05-24 05:29:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x5b3aa2…
05-24 05:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x59a411…
05-23 11:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x71bd4c…
05-23 11:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x7cf6dc…
05-23 11:19:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xacc7c4…
05-23 11:04:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xa3fc8a…
05-23 10:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x3fe4e7…
05-23 10:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xd57ae4…
05-23 09:44:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x24ccb3…
05-23 08:54:37	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xbabf7c…
05-23 04:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0xe0d74d…
05-23 04:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xcdce7a…
05-23 04:04:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xf12ac8…
05-14 02:14:57	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x2b2935…
05-14 02:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x78b141…
05-14 01:34:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xbe4a1c…
05-14 01:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x0469c4…
05-13 07:34:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x29d6ef…
05-13 05:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x230351…
05-13 05:04:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x074630…
05-13 02:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x962159…
05-13 02:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xd36794…
05-09 22:04:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x3a0613…
05-09 16:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xedb27c…
05-09 16:49:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xd8b8ce…
05-09 16:44:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x49def6…
05-09 16:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xa58942…
05-09 16:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x97f706…
05-09 14:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xbdb857…
05-09 01:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xac1afa…
05-09 00:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x29e226…
05-08 23:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x2d8627…
05-08 23:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xd1eafc…
05-07 19:29:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xb9e3d1…
05-07 00:19:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x26abcb…
05-07 00:09:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x23249e…
04-03 00:14:33	highest temperature in lucknow on april 4 2026 33corbelow	No	BUY	17	81¢	$14	0x385a70…
03-31 22:49:37	btc updown 5m 1774997100	Down	BUY	33	74¢	$24	0x9b30a6…
03-31 21:14:41	btc updown 5m 1774991400	Down	BUY	18	71¢	$13	0xb2016a…
03-31 17:19:43	eth updown 5m 1774977300	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xd816bc…
03-31 16:49:43	xrp updown 5m 1774975500	Down	BUY	15	64¢	$9	0x6fb990…
03-31 03:19:41	btc updown 5m 1774926900	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$24	0x38e51a…
03-30 07:39:44	btc updown 5m 1774856100	Down	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x83ac4e…
03-30 07:39:44	btc updown 5m 1774856100	Down	BUY	24	75¢	$18	0x19ebf6…
03-30 07:04:42	btc updown 5m 1774854000	Down	BUY	32	73¢	$24	0xc7bc6f…
03-30 05:49:40	btc updown 5m 1774849500	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x15bca9…
03-29 21:09:42	btc updown 5m 1774818300	Down	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xa50881…
03-29 19:19:18	highest temperature in nyc on march 30 2026 56 57f	No	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x3bcc9e…
03-29 05:24:42	btc updown 5m 1774761600	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x3a9ddb…
03-29 03:44:44	btc updown 5m 1774755600	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x550e34…
03-29 03:09:40	btc updown 5m 1774753500	Down	BUY	42	58¢	$25	0xbabb57…
03-29 02:19:28	btc updown 5m 1774750500	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x961fea…
03-28 18:39:33	btc updown 5m 1774722900	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x9b7106…
03-28 13:49:29	highest temperature in nyc on march 29 2026 54 55f	No	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xd98449…
03-28 11:03:03	highest temperature in chicago on march 29 2026 64 65f	No	BUY	22	79¢	$18	0xf6d5b9…
03-28 01:59:39	btc updown 5m 1774662900	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x01fde7…
03-28 01:57:17	highest temperature in chicago on march 28 2026 50 51f	No	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xae024c…
03-27 19:14:39	btc updown 5m 1774638600	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x216d92…
03-27 17:59:23	btc updown 5m 1774634100	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x1f68b3…
03-27 15:29:01	xrp updown 5m 1774625100	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xe20ada…
03-27 03:44:59	highest temperature in toronto on march 27 2026 3corhigher	No	SELL	21	70¢	$15	0x86cc04…
03-27 02:34:43	highest temperature in toronto on march 27 2026 3corhigher	No	BUY	21	69¢	$15	0x20bdca…
03-25 14:38:55	highest temperature in chicago on march 26 2026 60 61f	No	BUY	23	82¢	$19	0x61d1b8…
03-25 13:54:41	btc updown 5m 1774446600	Down	BUY	31	79¢	$24	0xb05bf0…
03-25 13:54:31	eth updown 5m 1774446600	Down	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0x8f91d3…
03-25 13:54:31	eth updown 5m 1774446600	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x00443f…
03-25 07:03:29	highest temperature in seattle on march 27 2026 56 57f	No	BUY	19	72¢	$14	0x027d36…
03-25 04:01:29	highest temperature in atlanta on march 27 2026 86 87f	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x4553a9…
03-25 03:48:31	highest temperature in dallas on march 26 2026 90 91f	No	BUY	21	81¢	$17	0x92fad3…
03-24 23:53:11	highest temperature in seattle on march 25 2026 50 51f	No	BUY	22	59¢	$13	0x5171e4…
03-24 23:48:21	highest temperature in atlanta on march 26 2026 82 83f	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xa887c4…
03-24 23:32:57	highest temperature in nyc on march 25 2026 52 53f	No	BUY	17	78¢	$13	0x9e0ddf…
03-24 23:20:07	highest temperature in atlanta on march 26 2026 82 83f	No	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0xa8f7cd…
03-24 23:19:41	highest temperature in chicago on march 25 2026 68forhigher	No	BUY	41	34¢	$14	0x943551…
03-24 22:34:11	btc updown 5m 1774391400	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xcff142…
03-24 22:24:51	btc updown 5m 1774390800	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x14da1e…
03-24 21:50:57	highest temperature in nyc on march 25 2026 54 55f	No	BUY	16	82¢	$13	0x3401bb…
03-24 21:28:13	highest temperature in nyc on march 25 2026 52 53f	No	BUY	17	79¢	$13	0x997240…
03-24 20:54:41	btc updown 5m 1774385400	Down	BUY	32	50¢	$16	0x8dacba…
03-24 20:49:31	eth updown 5m 1774385100	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$9	0xa7e7c9…
03-24 20:49:23	btc updown 5m 1774385100	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x8a14c4…