Familiar-Starboard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$161

Unrealized P&L

-$17

Hit rate

77.3%

Resolved

1,578

Trades

3,489

lifetime

Volume

$76.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-05 05:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 198 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 77% +$220

Other

37% 59% -$695

Politics

11% 45% +$663

Sports

5% 58% -$33

Tech

0% 100% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	Yes		+25	$9	22¢	$5	-$4	11-02 15:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes		+36	$15	6¢	$2	-$13	11-05 05:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	5	$2.0K	1,484	1,484	+0	Yes	+$993	04-08 00:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	8	$1.1K	1,838	1,798	+40	No	-$610	04-27 15:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	6	$1.0K	1,532	1,532	+0	No	-$152	05-14 05:30
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	10	$962	552	552	+0	No	+$18	03-27 12:20
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	6	$870	750	719	+31	No	+$237	04-22 14:34
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	6	$740	619	619	+0	Yes	+$220	05-19 00:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	9	$665	1,569	1,569	+0	No	+$34	04-20 08:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 14:30 UTC	4	$563	305	304	+0	Down	-$2	03-03 14:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 02:15 UTC	2	$562	282	282	+0	Down	+$3	03-26 02:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	7	$524	305	302	+3	Yes	+$83	04-15 00:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 14:05 UTC	4	$522	335	304	+31	Up	+$86	03-03 14:10
will one battle after another win best film editing at the 98th academy awards	3	$499	267	267	+0	Yes	+$34	03-16 01:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 08:35 UTC	4	$459	262	261	+1	Down	+$21	03-03 08:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	3	$424	1,062	1,031	+30	No	-$176	04-23 17:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 16:20 UTC	2	$409	208	208	+0	Up	+$2	03-02 16:24
val bjk s2g 2026 03 02	4	$403	232	232	+0	S2G Esports	-$10	03-02 16:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	6	$366	631	631	+0	No	-$68	05-24 08:37
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	3	$351	1,242	500	+742	No	-$99	04-21 09:52
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	6	$326	174	174	+0	No	+$15	03-14 13:27
lol gen fox1 2026 03 01 game1	2	$325	170	170	+0	Gen.G	+$15	03-01 08:59
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	3	$322	171	171	+0	No	+$2	03-31 07:56
crint aus ind 2026 02 28	2	$319	165	165	+0	Australia	+$6	03-01 08:06
epl tot bri 2026 04 18 tot	3	$311	297	291	+6	No	+$137	04-18 18:14
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	4	$309	239	239	+0	Yes	+$51	06-15 00:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	3	$302	415	0	+415	Yes	+$113	04-14 16:09
fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 1pt5	3	$298	180	180	+0	Over	+$58	06-12 03:31
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	5	$282	182	182	+0	Yes	+$14	06-20 15:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 13:20 UTC	6	$278	149	149	+0	Down	+$8	03-03 13:26
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	4	$273	207	207	+0	Yes	+$23	04-08 00:32
fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 total 1pt5	5	$270	158	158	+0	Over	+$46	06-11 21:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 05:07:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0xfb2bb4…
11-04 08:25:31	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	LYON	BUY	213	10¢	$21	0x2b3a9d…
11-03 14:04:03	Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x6a671a…
11-03 13:32:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in November?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$20	0x008ae9…
11-02 15:10:18	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	Yes	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0xa4b2aa…
11-02 11:25:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in November?	Yes	BUY	21	78¢	$16	0x222bca…
11-02 07:58:00	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x982c17…
11-02 07:53:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	SELL	21	73¢	$15	0xdcf1ae…
11-01 13:50:13	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 October 26-November 1?	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x878704…
10-31 03:56:07	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0xe929a9…
10-29 16:09:28	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 October 26-November 1?	Yes	SELL	19	79¢	$15	0x190a1a…
10-29 14:29:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x254aba…
10-29 02:45:28	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	31	35¢	$11	0xbf4484…
10-29 02:44:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0xaea62f…
10-28 03:12:32	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x55c5bd…
10-28 03:10:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0xc1b078…
10-27 10:43:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$10	0x857f80…
10-27 10:42:44	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0xe575a3…
10-27 06:43:11	Guangzhou Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Katie Volynets	Katie Volynets	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xac6c79…
10-27 05:34:48	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x751985…
10-27 01:54:45	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xa577f3…
10-25 15:33:39	Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)	Manchester United FC	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x00ad89…
10-25 15:32:00	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	14	33¢	$5	0x108e9a…
10-24 01:08:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	35	65¢	$23	0xa8cbc5…
10-21 17:57:06	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0x135711…
10-21 13:29:24	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x5fd88c…
10-21 13:19:42	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x3db624…
10-21 05:32:53	Will Club León FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x7131bc…
10-21 04:46:50	Will Club León FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x7f7ba8…
10-21 03:00:05	Spread: Thunder (-11.5)	Spurs	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0x1aa8cd…
10-21 02:21:05	Spread: Thunder (-11.5)	Spurs	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x5ea218…
10-20 14:40:53	Lyon Open: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Moutet	Ugo Humbert	BUY	7	84¢	$5	0x7c5eae…
10-20 01:40:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xa2bdda…
10-19 15:50:33	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x26ff40…
10-19 12:52:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x539f62…
10-19 12:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xd81575…
10-19 12:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xe8feb9…
10-18 14:38:09	Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xe08958…
10-18 14:37:00	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x724903…
10-16 09:11:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xe3a172…
10-16 09:05:22	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0x721eff…
10-14 13:15:33	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	9	63¢	$5	0x6c8857…
10-14 13:14:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	12	48¢	$6	0x0dbeb1…
10-13 19:20:43	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x9ccb2f…
10-13 19:12:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0x0189a4…
10-12 04:19:21	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xee438c…
10-12 01:03:41	Bulls vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x4ea3be…
10-11 16:56:49	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x2a65ad…
10-11 16:54:42	Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x633a5a…
10-11 16:51:24	Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xbebf43…
10-11 16:50:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0x776507…
10-10 17:04:27	Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xee7332…
10-10 17:02:37	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	6	44¢	$2	0xab0036…
10-10 15:57:39	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x5e8973…
10-10 15:40:10	Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x1e7319…
10-10 15:31:30	FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x0b2499…
10-10 13:52:12	FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x8f206a…
10-10 13:17:01	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Leeds United FC	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xaf50c6…
10-10 10:21:13	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Leeds United FC	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x067524…
10-10 10:20:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xf0d543…
10-10 02:58:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x9aaa08…
10-10 02:03:18	Spread: Bulls (-3.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x13dbe4…
10-10 02:02:45	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	3¢	$2	0xe57ff7…
10-09 01:17:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xa08d17…
10-09 01:15:23	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	5¢	$3	0xe81b06…
10-08 15:36:44	LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	JD Gaming	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x30a9d6…
10-08 12:52:59	LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	JD Gaming	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xc6cd86…
10-08 03:20:32	Spread: Trail Blazers (-13.5)	Warriors	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0xc5fc57…
10-08 03:20:02	Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	122	2¢	$2	0xf3d587…
10-05 04:09:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	29	84¢	$24	0x0c6a59…
10-05 03:31:20	Lions vs. Panthers	Panthers	BUY	24	87¢	$21	0x56cdef…
10-05 02:25:14	mlb atl lad 2026 10 04	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x02545d…
10-05 00:29:32	Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xbf9340…
10-04 14:02:52	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x90341e…
10-04 13:53:01	Spread: Portugal (-2.5)	Norway	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0xe2c226…
10-04 13:07:13	atp zverev djokovi 2026 10 04	Alexander Zverev	SELL	30	58¢	$18	0x9f8660…
10-04 11:23:58	atp zverev djokovi 2026 10 04	Alexander Zverev	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x46f82a…
10-04 11:23:58	atp zverev djokovi 2026 10 04	Alexander Zverev	SELL	15	84¢	$13	0x1154b6…
10-04 10:47:59	atp zverev djokovi 2026 10 04	Alexander Zverev	BUY	81	71¢	$58	0x0868ce…
10-04 10:39:58	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	52¢	$9	0x2df54f…
10-02 13:04:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xd0ea33…
10-02 11:34:48	Korea Republic vs. Venezuela: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x787a52…
10-02 11:34:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0x5c09fb…
10-01 08:03:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	66¢	$8	0x03ee22…
09-30 21:40:54	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x9f8882…
09-30 17:06:45	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0xdcf03e…
09-30 13:37:08	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x7031b4…
09-20 17:21:52	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xb215d2…
09-20 17:21:33	Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x57238c…
09-20 16:49:58	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0xff3cd3…
09-20 16:47:30	Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x2e64b5…
09-20 16:12:46	Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x0adc0c…
09-20 14:14:52	Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x9f7515…
09-20 13:48:15	AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xa299d1…
09-19 15:10:36	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x9381f4…
09-19 15:04:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	70	17¢	$12	0x30fb64…
09-16 07:40:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	287	13¢	$37	0x5b67c5…
09-16 07:39:58	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	33¢	$9	0x60ca6f…
09-16 07:38:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	SELL	40	7¢	$3	0xb685c4…
09-16 07:38:09	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	5¢	$1	0x1c4f1d…