Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$42

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

70.3%

Resolved

125

Trades

313

lifetime

Volume

$29.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$93

Open exposure

$114

2 positions

First seen

2026-06-13

last 10-11 15:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 81% -$143

Other

24% 62% +$47

Politics

12% 54% -$58

Sports

0% 75% +$195

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes		+151	$97	66¢	$99	+$2	10-03 02:10
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+24	$14	62¢	$15	+$1	10-06 20:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11?	3	$4.2K	2,282	2,282	+0	No	-$339	10-11 15:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?	3	$1.6K	1,350	343	+1,007	No	+$41	09-30 19:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 8?	6	$1.4K	1,415	0	+1,415	No	+$30	10-08 14:12
bitcoin above 80k on september 30 2026	2	$1.2K	1,261	0	+1,261	Yes	+$13	09-30 06:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 7?	1	$1.2K	1,205	0	+1,205	No	+$6	10-07 14:04
bitcoin above 64k on july 26 2026	2	$1.0K	524	524	+0	Yes	+$17	07-26 12:30
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	9	$1.0K	508	508	+0	Yes	+$7	07-27 12:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 8?	2	$999	1,010	0	+1,010	Yes	+$11	10-08 15:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 6?	1	$999	1,009	0	+1,009	Yes	+$10	10-06 13:44
bitcoin above 82k on october 1 2026	5	$998	1,015	0	+1,015	Yes	+$16	10-01 14:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5?	6	$988	975	52	+923	No	+$16	10-05 14:07
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	10	$942	588	483	+104	No	-$33	08-27 09:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on August 28?	1	$800	803	0	+803	No	+$3	08-28 11:55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	4	$661	665	664	+0	Yes	-$4	10-08 09:09
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	8	$589	478	340	+139	Yes	+$31	07-29 09:17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$510	574	19	+555	Yes	+$59	09-15 18:48
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?	2	$469	260	260	+0	No	-$31	06-14 04:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 27?	2	$384	203	203	+0	No	-$16	08-27 09:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 6?	3	$313	319	0	+319	No	+$5	10-06 14:59
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	13	$302	209	104	+104	No	+$7	08-21 13:48
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	4	$245	154	154	+0	No	-$15	07-25 18:43
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	3	$231	118	118	+0	No	+$5	07-20 18:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 1?	1	$222	224	0	+224	No	+$2	10-01 14:13
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	7	$213	143	143	+0	No	-$5	07-23 17:49
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	2	$206	110	110	+0	No	+$7	08-28 00:05
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	2	$204	105	105	+0	No	+$4	08-19 15:50
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	2	$202	103	103	+0	Yes	+$2	07-25 18:22
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	2	$202	102	102	+0	No	+$2	07-28 10:53
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	3	$202	102	102	+0	No	+$2	08-21 07:30
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	2	$201	101	101	+0	No	+$1	07-24 14:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 15:58:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11?	No	SELL	2,282	85¢	$1,931	0x87dfcc…
10-11 15:57:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	2,082	99¢	$2,071	0xfe89b9…
10-11 15:46:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xc8ef0e…
10-09 23:50:19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	BUY	213	94¢	$199	0x044b33…
10-08 15:22:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	915	99¢	$905	0xbae975…
10-08 14:12:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	874	98¢	$854	0x196ef7…
10-08 14:07:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	147	98¢	$144	0x571596…
10-08 14:07:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	147	98¢	$144	0x3f199c…
10-08 14:06:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x5abf6a…
10-08 14:05:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	164	98¢	$161	0x6eea5c…
10-08 14:04:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0xfe7f19…
10-08 09:09:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	150	85¢	$128	0x276c99…
10-07 14:53:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	70	97¢	$68	0x89997f…
10-07 14:50:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xc6acbf…
10-07 14:42:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	53	96¢	$52	0x54250f…
10-07 14:40:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x41fe6b…
10-07 14:04:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	1,205	100¢	$1,199	0xed09f7…
10-07 08:29:35	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	16	66¢	$10	0x70c4ac…
10-06 20:39:36	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0xdf0c76…
10-06 19:02:17	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x10c2f9…
10-06 16:31:44	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x9eb892…
10-06 15:40:15	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	SELL	23	66¢	$15	0x676b5f…
10-06 15:39:09	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xb4961a…
10-06 15:39:02	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0xace955…
10-06 14:59:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 6?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xf6d4f1…
10-06 14:31:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	15	64¢	$10	0x8f51f3…
10-06 14:27:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 6?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xa27194…
10-06 14:27:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 6?	No	BUY	259	98¢	$255	0x48eefb…
10-06 13:44:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	1,009	99¢	$999	0x76d6b8…
10-05 21:52:44	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xe4a712…
10-05 14:07:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	411	97¢	$400	0xd3e949…
10-05 14:06:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	288	97¢	$280	0xe7c177…
10-05 14:06:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x5e401f…
10-05 14:02:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	222	97¢	$216	0xebdd47…
10-05 04:59:32	bitcoin above 82k on october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x09412d…
10-04 23:28:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5?	No	SELL	52	78¢	$41	0x7e0658…
10-04 20:45:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	52	95¢	$50	0x9bb167…
10-04 20:37:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xa87ea7…
10-04 20:16:43	Spread: Eagles (-1.5)	Rams	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xbb159e…
10-03 20:23:10	Will Spain win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	SELL	30	48¢	$14	0x77bb76…
10-03 20:12:13	Will Spain win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xcbd18d…
10-03 12:47:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	28	64¢	$18	0xfe15ee…
10-03 02:12:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	203	98¢	$200	0xc51432…
10-03 02:10:59	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	76	64¢	$48	0x5b2d50…
10-01 14:13:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 1?	No	BUY	224	99¢	$222	0x231a44…
10-01 14:04:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	150	64¢	$96	0x64a5a4…
10-01 14:03:56	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	76	64¢	$48	0xe25a6f…
10-01 14:02:35	bitcoin above 82k on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	427	98¢	$420	0xadda74…
10-01 14:02:24	bitcoin above 82k on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x0354ed…
10-01 13:59:51	bitcoin above 82k on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	62	98¢	$62	0x9ef924…
10-01 13:59:50	bitcoin above 82k on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	152	98¢	$150	0x68b739…
10-01 13:53:09	bitcoin above 82k on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	338	98¢	$333	0x30455f…
09-30 20:44:35	will bitcoin dip to 82pt5k in september 2026	No	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0x6466fe…
09-30 19:56:44	will bitcoin dip to 80k in september 2026 from september 18	No	BUY	1,007	99¢	$999	0xfae1ee…
09-30 06:21:08	bitcoin above 80k on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	253	98¢	$250	0xf6ca3d…
09-30 02:20:29	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0x5a4c6b…
09-29 21:38:09	bitcoin above 80k on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1,008	99¢	$999	0xad43c5…
09-29 21:36:00	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x830d3b…
09-29 21:34:45	will bitcoin dip to 80k in september 2026 from september 18	No	SELL	343	95¢	$327	0xc220ce…
09-28 19:47:09	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x0a8649…
09-28 19:46:39	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	56	91¢	$51	0xe9e4d1…
09-28 19:45:53	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	207	96¢	$200	0xff745a…
09-28 19:44:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?	No	BUY	343	86¢	$294	0x8b2d59…
09-23 13:52:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	514	39¢	$200	0x84bfb1…
09-22 18:41:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	514	46¢	$236	0xeb40d5…
09-15 18:48:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	555	89¢	$494	0xbda4e1…
09-10 19:05:30	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x196eed…
09-04 13:12:40	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xc38720…
09-04 13:12:12	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0xf12281…
09-04 12:09:48	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x740348…
09-04 12:08:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xaa7464…
09-03 12:50:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xecc97f…
09-01 10:52:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 1?	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0x68f51b…
09-01 10:51:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 1?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0xea64fc…
09-01 10:31:55	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x389e32…
09-01 08:44:34	bitcoin above 76k on september 1 2026	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xd0180f…
08-31 20:33:48	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x7fb9ee…
08-28 14:17:34	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x7bccbf…
08-28 14:08:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	84	59¢	$50	0xb0ff6e…
08-28 14:04:39	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	No	SELL	23	98¢	$22	0x738561…
08-28 13:29:25	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xcf8633…
08-28 12:40:36	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x11cfa0…
08-28 11:57:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0x550582…
08-28 11:57:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	14	4¢	$1	0x4cc893…
08-28 11:55:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on August 28?	No	BUY	803	100¢	$800	0xec004b…
08-28 09:49:57	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x543ea5…
08-28 09:30:58	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf8ac26…
08-28 09:30:12	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x858125…
08-28 00:05:49	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	110	97¢	$106	0x8a003a…
08-27 10:57:51	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x667759…
08-27 09:28:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x88a4e1…
08-27 09:27:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 27?	No	SELL	203	90¢	$184	0xba605b…
08-27 06:35:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	82	98¢	$80	0x68115b…
08-27 06:35:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 27?	No	BUY	203	98¢	$200	0x71aae7…
08-27 06:34:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x4f7198…
08-26 19:09:48	Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Team to Advance	Olympique Lyonnais	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x437f05…
08-25 23:19:57	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	SELL	28	58¢	$16	0x4a3705…
08-25 21:14:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x3adebc…
08-25 20:32:30	LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	12	79¢	$10	0x16f3b0…
08-25 20:29:42	LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	13	52¢	$7	0xba8a7c…