Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 30?
Yes won
Total volume
$175,220
Trades
1,566
Unique wallets
256
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-09-30
First seen
2026-09-23
last 09-30 15:27
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.1¢
(top1%: 98% YES on $91.2K
vs crowd: 98% YES on $151.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 42 | $126.7K | $1.8K | +$124.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 43 | $13.4K | $210 | +$13.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 69 | $7.0K | $746 | +$6.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 102 | $950 | $129 | +$821 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 33 | $89.6K | $1.7K | +$87.9K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 35 | $6.4K | $565 | +$5.9K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 12 | $1.9K | $96 | +$1.8K |
| Median | 41 | $3.5K | $17 | +$3.5K |
| Below median | 77 | $1.6K | $108 | +$1.5K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 15 | $5.0K | $31 | +$5.0K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 23 | $9.2K | $152 | +$9.0K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 20 | $30.9K | $285 | +$30.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x628c…e6c3 | No | +27,826 | $399 | $399 | 18 | 09-30 11:02 |
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | +19,167 | $18,698 | $18,698 | 36 | 09-29 22:08 |
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | +16,913 | $607 | $607 | 10 | 09-30 12:34 |
| Definitive-Yin 0x34e8…065d | Yes | +16,000 | $15,977 | $15,977 | 1 | 09-30 13:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x60c6…247f | No | +16,000 | $22 | $22 | 29 | 09-30 14:46 |
| Disgusting-Answer 0xe9c6…95c9 | Yes | +13,909 | $12,967 | $12,967 | 13 | 09-30 07:02 |
| Open-Medium 0x8611…d340 | Yes | +13,000 | $12,987 | $12,987 | 12 | 09-30 14:16 |
| Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | +5,810 | $5,710 | $6,392 | 11 | 09-30 12:04 |
| Known-Talking 0x673b…b22b | Yes | +5,553 | $5,505 | $5,505 | 7 | 09-30 13:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394 | Yes | +5,038 | $4,973 | $6,942 | 22 | 09-30 03:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | No | +4,071 | $62 | $62 | 12 | 09-30 01:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394 | No | +3,077 | $253 | $432 | 63 | 09-30 07:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x3b5b…26f4 | No | +3,000 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 09-30 13:35 |
| Tender-Likelihood 0x77e7…88ad | Yes | +2,990 | $2,974 | $2,974 | 18 | 09-30 12:04 |
| Impure-Brain 0x7152…faac | No | +2,835 | $15 | $15 | 15 | 09-30 14:03 |
| Judicious-Determination 0xa31a…379c | No | +2,722 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 09-30 05:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +2,721 | $36 | $36 | 32 | 09-30 14:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +2,701 | $2,666 | $2,666 | 37 | 09-30 12:52 |
| Ornate-Sock 0xd5a6…6991 | No | +2,378 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 09-29 18:01 |
| Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | Yes | +2,371 | $2,332 | $2,332 | 7 | 09-30 09:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x22ad…b883 | No | +2,304 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 09-30 07:01 |
| Disgusting-Answer 0xe9c6…95c9 | No | +1,939 | $63 | $63 | 7 | 09-29 15:24 |
| Misguided-Passport 0x2a14…e0fb | Yes | +1,933 | $1,931 | $1,931 | 1 | 09-30 14:28 |
| Quarrelsome-Chiffonier 0x9527…f108 | No | +1,745 | $2 | $2 | 5 | 09-30 13:20 |
| Impractical-Devastation 0x4cdb…172c | Yes | +1,704 | $1,678 | $1,678 | 2 | 09-29 17:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x295f…4edb | Yes | +1,536 | $1,519 | $2,537 | 8 | 09-30 14:22 |
| Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | +1,268 | $1,226 | $8,507 | 36 | 09-30 11:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x2b8a…6429 | Yes | +1,261 | $1,248 | $1,248 | 2 | 09-30 06:21 |
| Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | No | +1,243 | $26 | $26 | 7 | 09-30 10:15 |
| Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | No | +1,094 | $12 | $12 | 10 | 09-30 11:11 |
| Tricky-Million 0xd295…2c3a | No | +1,087 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 09-30 12:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x295f…4edb | No | +1,004 | $30 | $30 | 5 | 09-30 05:32 |
| Gifted-Nursery 0xafc5…741f | Yes | +1,000 | $999 | $999 | 1 | 09-30 14:01 |
| Ambitious-Cicada 0xf70e…81df | Yes | +1,000 | $990 | $990 | 2 | 09-30 04:50 |
| Fat-Elixir 0xe616…a30a | No | +1,000 | $10 | $10 | 7 | 09-29 12:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x2d7b…08a9 | No | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 09-30 13:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xf4d5…8e23 | No | +1,000 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 09-30 04:25 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | +976 | $23 | $24 | 6 | 09-30 12:59 |
| Gregarious-Mistake 0x345e…6bc7 | No | +871 | $6 | $10 | 7 | 09-30 12:21 |
| Oily-Container 0x0fe4…01b7 | No | +857 | $73 | $73 | 1 | 09-28 09:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xa19c…de6b | No | +855 | $65 | $65 | 2 | 09-28 09:23 |
| Numb-Wood 0x3cc7…3976 | Yes | +764 | $759 | $759 | 3 | 09-30 13:07 |
| Stable-Factory 0x239a…a949 | Yes | +740 | $739 | $739 | 1 | 09-30 14:46 |
| Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | +738 | $202 | $447 | 44 | 09-29 22:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | No | +729 | $10 | $182 | 128 | 09-30 14:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x4aba…f791 | No | +726 | $5 | $5 | 16 | 09-30 13:37 |
| Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | +673 | $45 | $45 | 8 | 09-28 09:22 |
| Celebrated-Plain 0x6fd0…a85b | Yes | +643 | $612 | $612 | 15 | 09-30 08:02 |
| Celebrated-Plain 0x6fd0…a85b | No | +622 | $25 | $25 | 9 | 09-28 21:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xd454…d749 | Yes | +587 | $579 | $579 | 7 | 09-29 13:48 |
| Infantile-Corn 0x3eb3…133e | Yes | +549 | $548 | $548 | 1 | 09-30 12:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xa19c…de6b | Yes | +532 | $511 | $511 | 4 | 09-30 06:21 |
| Limited-Half 0x1bfc…98e0 | No | +532 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 09-30 02:28 |
| Dimpled-Thumb 0x1a42…8943 | Yes | +529 | $528 | $528 | 1 | 09-30 13:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x4aba…f791 | Yes | +483 | $478 | $478 | 14 | 09-30 12:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Yes | +461 | $447 | $447 | 94 | 09-30 14:16 |
| Present-Pathogenesis 0x8889…f99b | Yes | +460 | $459 | $459 | 1 | 09-30 12:59 |
| Oily-Container 0x0fe4…01b7 | Yes | +406 | $397 | $397 | 3 | 09-29 16:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x4e9f…25b3 | Yes | +373 | $356 | $2,164 | 3 | 09-30 12:50 |
| Crazy-Nurse 0x60fd…15bf | Yes | +361 | $360 | $360 | 1 | 09-30 12:57 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 15:27:23 | Same-Occupation 0xb7cd…6827 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 100¢ | $51 | 0x0890b6… |
| 09-30 15:27:23 | Unwelcome-Reserve 0x5651…66a6 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 100¢ | $51 | 0x0890b6… |
| 09-30 14:46:56 | Stable-Factory 0x239a…a949 | Yes | BUY | 740 | 100¢ | $739 | 0xd7a419… |
| 09-30 14:46:56 | (anonymous) 0x60c6…247f | No | BUY | 740 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xd7a419… |
| 09-30 14:45:29 | Strident-Ostrich 0x22df…c1cc | Yes | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0xaac777… |
| 09-30 14:45:29 | (anonymous) 0x60c6…247f | No | BUY | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xaac777… |
| 09-30 14:45:23 | Gargantuan-Streetcar 0x0c83…5b39 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xac022b… |
| 09-30 14:45:23 | (anonymous) 0x60c6…247f | No | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xac022b… |
| 09-30 14:45:17 | (anonymous) 0x60c6…247f | No | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbcfef0… |
| 09-30 14:45:17 | Utter-Attention 0xacc6…b004 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0xbcfef0… |
| 09-30 14:44:57 | (anonymous) 0x60c6…247f | No | BUY | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x07cf2b… |
| 09-30 14:44:57 | Attractive-Ceremony 0x93d7…68a9 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x07cf2b… |
| 09-30 14:44:50 | (anonymous) 0x60c6…247f | No | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf093fe… |
| 09-30 14:44:50 | Soggy-Score 0x082f…ddd9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xf093fe… |
| 09-30 14:44:29 | Jaded-Screwdriver 0xeb55…8a35 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x67a033… |
| 09-30 14:44:29 | (anonymous) 0x60c6…247f | No | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x67a033… |
| 09-30 14:44:08 | (anonymous) 0x1391…ae6c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x8db4f6… |
| 09-30 14:44:08 | (anonymous) 0x60c6…247f | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8db4f6… |
| 09-30 14:43:51 | (anonymous) 0x60c6…247f | No | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x734b0b… |
| 09-30 14:43:51 | (anonymous) 0xc757…a7cc | Yes | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x734b0b… |
| 09-30 14:43:39 | (anonymous) 0x60c6…247f | No | BUY | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x239653… |
| 09-30 14:43:39 | Agreeable-Income 0x11f7…170e | Yes | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0x239653… |
| 09-30 14:43:30 | (anonymous) 0x60c6…247f | No | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x107583… |
| 09-30 14:43:30 | Wan-Rush 0x4b0b…8ff7 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x107583… |
| 09-30 14:43:14 | (anonymous) 0x60c6…247f | No | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfb241f… |
| 09-30 14:43:14 | Thoughtful-Yellowjacket 0xfdbf…260b | Yes | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xfb241f… |
| 09-30 14:39:39 | Feisty-Holiday 0xdc43…1271 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0xa141bf… |
| 09-30 14:39:39 | (anonymous) 0x60c6…247f | No | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa141bf… |
| 09-30 14:38:56 | (anonymous) 0x60c6…247f | No | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x767197… |
| 09-30 14:38:56 | Hard-Waveform 0xdddb…70f8 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x767197… |
| 09-30 14:38:39 | Big-Hearted-Pecan 0xd266…f250 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0xa28ac4… |
| 09-30 14:38:39 | (anonymous) 0x60c6…247f | No | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa28ac4… |
| 09-30 14:38:20 | Thirsty-Dungeon 0x31d6…9dfe | Yes | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0xd2c358… |
| 09-30 14:38:20 | (anonymous) 0x60c6…247f | No | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd2c358… |
| 09-30 14:38:09 | Artistic-Sepal 0xdabd…1a61 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x002124… |
| 09-30 14:38:09 | (anonymous) 0x60c6…247f | No | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x002124… |
| 09-30 14:37:53 | (anonymous) 0x60c6…247f | No | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb5c341… |
| 09-30 14:37:53 | Delectable-Cloak 0xb600…0424 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0xb5c341… |
| 09-30 14:37:47 | Svelte-Airspace 0x1335…ea52 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0xba654c… |
| 09-30 14:37:47 | (anonymous) 0x60c6…247f | No | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xba654c… |
| 09-30 14:28:00 | (anonymous) 0x60c6…247f | No | BUY | 375 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa00ead… |
| 09-30 14:28:00 | Misguided-Passport 0x2a14…e0fb | Yes | BUY | 1,933 | 100¢ | $1,931 | 0xa00ead… |
| 09-30 14:28:00 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | No | BUY | 105 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa00ead… |
| 09-30 14:28:00 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | SELL | 101 | 100¢ | $101 | 0xa00ead… |
| 09-30 14:22:59 | (anonymous) 0x295f…4edb | Yes | BUY | 55 | 100¢ | $55 | 0x6fed87… |
| 09-30 14:22:59 | (anonymous) 0x60c6…247f | No | BUY | 55 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6fed87… |
| 09-30 14:22:17 | (anonymous) 0xd38c…7aa6 | No | SELL | 156 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe30cc4… |
| 09-30 14:22:17 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 25 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe30cc4… |
| 09-30 14:22:17 | (anonymous) 0x60c6…247f | No | BUY | 126 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe30cc4… |
| 09-30 14:22:17 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe30cc4… |
| 09-30 14:16:48 | (anonymous) 0x60c6…247f | No | BUY | 11,444 | 0¢ | $11 | 0x07442d… |
| 09-30 14:16:48 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x07442d… |
| 09-30 14:16:48 | Open-Medium 0x8611…d340 | Yes | BUY | 1,597 | 100¢ | $1,595 | 0x07442d… |
| 09-30 14:16:48 | Clear-Tower 0xddcd…725f | No | SELL | 9,200 | 0¢ | $9 | 0x07442d… |
| 09-30 14:16:48 | (anonymous) 0x78cb…f366 | No | SELL | 642 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x07442d… |
| 09-30 14:09:59 | Open-Medium 0x8611…d340 | Yes | BUY | 605 | 100¢ | $605 | 0xd4d9f8… |
| 09-30 14:09:59 | (anonymous) 0x2205…c2bc | Yes | SELL | 605 | 100¢ | $605 | 0xd4d9f8… |
| 09-30 14:08:15 | (anonymous) 0x1dae…875e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xdfb653… |
| 09-30 14:08:15 | Open-Medium 0x8611…d340 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xdfb653… |
| 09-30 14:03:24 | Impure-Brain 0x7152…faac | No | BUY | 797 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xa985c8… |
| 09-30 14:03:24 | Open-Medium 0x8611…d340 | Yes | BUY | 797 | 100¢ | $796 | 0xa985c8… |
| 09-30 14:01:35 | (anonymous) 0xe392…c023 | Yes | SELL | 997 | 100¢ | $996 | 0x7216b5… |
| 09-30 14:01:35 | Gifted-Nursery 0xafc5…741f | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0x7216b5… |
| 09-30 14:01:35 | Impure-Brain 0x7152…faac | No | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7216b5… |
| 09-30 14:00:11 | (anonymous) 0x1e93…0c60 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x6fcbe7… |
| 09-30 14:00:11 | (anonymous) 0xe392…c023 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x6fcbe7… |
| 09-30 13:57:14 | (anonymous) 0xe392…c023 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x0bc6db… |
| 09-30 13:57:14 | (anonymous) 0x8b8c…1402 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x0bc6db… |
| 09-30 13:56:27 | Clear-Tower 0xddcd…725f | No | SELL | 800 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x6ccb77… |
| 09-30 13:56:27 | Impure-Brain 0x7152…faac | No | BUY | 800 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x6ccb77… |
| 09-30 13:54:02 | (anonymous) 0xe392…c023 | Yes | SELL | 194 | 100¢ | $194 | 0x1a1a3f… |
| 09-30 13:54:02 | Shallow-Consulting 0x25d0…f1e9 | Yes | BUY | 194 | 100¢ | $194 | 0x1a1a3f… |
| 09-30 13:50:08 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 95 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa31d50… |
| 09-30 13:50:08 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa31d50… |
| 09-30 13:50:08 | Yellowish-Survivor 0x1b10…bb16 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xa31d50… |
| 09-30 13:43:02 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x9a583a… |
| 09-30 13:43:02 | (anonymous) 0xe392…c023 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x9a583a… |
| 09-30 13:38:27 | (anonymous) 0x2d7b…08a9 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xb2f92a… |
| 09-30 13:38:27 | (anonymous) 0x78cb…f366 | No | SELL | 574 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xb2f92a… |
| 09-30 13:38:27 | Open-Medium 0x8611…d340 | Yes | BUY | 426 | 100¢ | $426 | 0xb2f92a… |
| 09-30 13:37:44 | Open-Medium 0x8611…d340 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x034196… |
| 09-30 13:37:44 | (anonymous) 0x4aba…f791 | No | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x034196… |
| 09-30 13:35:47 | Open-Medium 0x8611…d340 | Yes | BUY | 3,000 | 100¢ | $2,997 | 0xe9353d… |
| 09-30 13:35:47 | (anonymous) 0x3b5b…26f4 | No | BUY | 3,000 | 0¢ | $3 | 0xe9353d… |
| 09-30 13:31:33 | (anonymous) 0x283f…5d2f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x3bba42… |
| 09-30 13:31:33 | Open-Medium 0x8611…d340 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x3bba42… |
| 09-30 13:31:27 | (anonymous) 0xf390…8a82 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x245cd2… |
| 09-30 13:31:27 | Open-Medium 0x8611…d340 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x245cd2… |
| 09-30 13:31:05 | Open-Medium 0x8611…d340 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xdc82f5… |
| 09-30 13:31:05 | Unhappy-Band 0x7fca…ac29 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xdc82f5… |
| 09-30 13:21:36 | Open-Medium 0x8611…d340 | Yes | BUY | 1,551 | 100¢ | $1,549 | 0xba483a… |
| 09-30 13:21:36 | (anonymous) 0xa565…c4a1 | Yes | SELL | 39 | 100¢ | $39 | 0xba483a… |
| 09-30 13:21:36 | Clear-Tower 0xddcd…725f | No | BUY | 1,261 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xba483a… |
| 09-30 13:21:36 | Formal-Sunrise 0x2d62…0a41 | Yes | SELL | 250 | 100¢ | $250 | 0xba483a… |
| 09-30 13:20:59 | Open-Medium 0x8611…d340 | Yes | BUY | 5,000 | 100¢ | $4,995 | 0x776825… |
| 09-30 13:20:59 | Clear-Tower 0xddcd…725f | No | BUY | 3,739 | 0¢ | $4 | 0x776825… |
| 09-30 13:20:50 | Overlooked-Donation 0xc947…9b91 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xaedbdc… |
| 09-30 13:20:50 | (anonymous) 0x630f…34ce | Yes | SELL | 43 | 100¢ | $43 | 0xaedbdc… |
| 09-30 13:20:50 | (anonymous) 0x485f…bcca | Yes | SELL | 35 | 100¢ | $35 | 0xaedbdc… |
| 09-30 13:20:50 | Shiny-Rudiment 0xdd95…c588 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 100¢ | $26 | 0xaedbdc… |