Numb-Wood — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$250

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

98.8%

Resolved

254

Trades

351

lifetime

Volume

$50.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$144

Open exposure

$1.92K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-28 08:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 100% +$161

Other

9% 92% +$91

Tech

3% 78% -$6

Politics

1% 100% +$1

Sports

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 29?	Yes		+1,930	$1,928	100¢	$1.9K	-$5	10-29 08:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 29?	1	$1.9K	1,930	0	+1,930	open	—	10-29 08:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 15?	2	$1.9K	1,913	0	+1,913	No	+$2	10-15 10:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 13?	1	$1.9K	1,909	0	+1,909	Yes	+$4	10-13 13:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 14?	1	$1.0K	1,013	0	+1,013	No	+$1	10-14 08:23
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 16?	1	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$1	10-16 14:56
bitcoin above 70k on april 1	1	$938	941	0	+941	No	+$3	04-01 14:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 14?	1	$867	868	0	+868	Yes	+$1	10-14 08:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 9?	1	$857	859	0	+859	Yes	+$2	10-09 12:53
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 8?	1	$848	850	0	+850	Yes	+$2	10-08 12:43
will ethena reach 0pt32 in march	1	$810	813	0	+813	No	+$3	03-23 09:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 28?	1	$764	764	0	+764	No	+$1	10-28 08:31
bitcoin above 80k on september 30 2026	3	$759	764	0	+764	Yes	+$5	09-30 13:07
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 9?	1	$699	700	0	+700	Yes	+$1	10-09 12:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 2?	1	$678	679	0	+679	No	+$1	10-02 08:13
bitcoin above 82k on october 5 2026	1	$661	663	0	+663	Yes	+$1	10-05 12:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 8?	1	$549	550	0	+550	No	+$1	10-08 12:43
will xrp reach 1pt4 june 29 july 5 2026	1	$547	547	0	+547	No	+$1	07-04 06:47
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	21	$531	900	100	+800	Yes	-$3	02-14 12:15
bitcoin above 76k on september 30 2026	1	$500	500	0	+500	Yes	+$0	09-30 07:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 5?	1	$500	500	0	+500	No	+$0	10-05 12:32
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 19?	1	$500	500	0	+500	Yes	+$0	10-19 10:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$499	500	0	+500	No	+$1	07-04 06:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 19?	1	$498	500	0	+500	Yes	+$2	10-19 10:23
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?	4	$497	500	0	+500	No	+$3	06-30 07:10
Will the price of Solana be above $115 on October 21?	1	$402	403	0	+403	No	+$1	10-21 10:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 6?	1	$400	400	0	+400	Yes	+$0	10-06 06:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	1	$400	400	0	+400	Yes	+$0	10-28 08:31
bitcoin above 60k on august 16 2026	1	$400	400	0	+400	Yes	+$0	08-16 10:25
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 21?	1	$400	400	0	+400	Yes	+$0	10-21 10:05
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$399	400	0	+400	No	+$1	06-30 07:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 08:25:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1,930	100¢	$1,928	0xe1e9be…
10-28 08:32:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5d002f…
10-28 08:31:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	764	100¢	$764	0x3f201a…
10-28 08:31:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x836b81…
10-26 14:11:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	329	100¢	$328	0x5f18da…
10-26 14:11:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	159	100¢	$158	0x9a283d…
10-23 13:50:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	191	100¢	$191	0xf2d485…
10-23 13:17:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa79d62…
10-23 13:05:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa6f7ee…
10-23 12:43:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	242	100¢	$242	0x818fb3…
10-23 12:28:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe06ecf…
10-23 12:00:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x4d4fbe…
10-23 11:59:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	331	100¢	$330	0x53147e…
10-23 11:59:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x7bdf9c…
10-22 11:52:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf25d42…
10-22 11:46:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xe8b924…
10-22 11:46:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 22?	No	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0x2f70fd…
10-22 11:45:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	288	100¢	$287	0x9ca7fd…
10-22 11:45:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	360	100¢	$359	0x6476ed…
10-21 10:05:15	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x3d51f0…
10-21 10:05:02	Will the price of Solana be above $95 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0x4d29e3…
10-21 10:04:51	Will the price of Solana be above $115 on October 21?	No	BUY	403	100¢	$402	0x9e78cb…
10-20 10:48:24	Will claude-opus-5.5-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd73f26…
10-19 21:52:57	Will claude-opus-5.5-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xf1e61c…
10-19 12:45:15	Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xf23381…
10-19 10:24:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xfd9c35…
10-19 10:23:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xc7c459…
10-19 10:23:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0xbbde61…
10-17 09:00:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$398	0xa48c3b…
10-17 08:59:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 17?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x719d29…
10-16 14:57:13	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on October 16?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x6fa7d7…
10-16 14:56:54	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	373	100¢	$372	0xa90415…
10-16 14:56:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 16?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x67ec35…
10-16 14:56:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	223	100¢	$223	0x77d813…
10-15 10:33:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 15?	No	BUY	1,699	100¢	$1,697	0x45cea2…
10-15 10:33:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 15?	No	BUY	214	100¢	$214	0x4885f1…
10-14 08:24:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 14?	Yes	BUY	868	100¢	$867	0x291f50…
10-14 08:23:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 14?	No	BUY	1,013	100¢	$1,012	0xdc9e3e…
10-14 08:23:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 14?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xe253cc…
10-13 13:56:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	1,909	100¢	$1,905	0x62d1b6…
10-09 12:53:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	859	100¢	$857	0x5e6dd5…
10-09 12:52:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 9?	No	BUY	145	100¢	$144	0x2fe192…
10-09 12:52:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	700	100¢	$699	0x161019…
10-08 12:43:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	550	100¢	$549	0x457892…
10-08 12:43:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	850	100¢	$848	0x44d5db…
10-08 12:43:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$298	0x454e71…
10-06 06:49:19	Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	202	100¢	$201	0x1167d0…
10-06 06:44:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x25c271…
10-05 12:32:16	bitcoin above 82k on october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	663	100¢	$661	0xbcae76…
10-05 12:32:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x293145…
10-02 08:15:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x2a97f3…
10-02 08:13:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	679	100¢	$678	0xf8640c…
10-02 08:13:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xff8ff9…
09-30 13:07:20	bitcoin above 80k on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	564	100¢	$563	0x9809cf…
09-30 11:02:30	bitcoin above 80k on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	195	98¢	$191	0xb07946…
09-30 07:38:56	bitcoin above 78k on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x3c43f0…
09-30 07:26:18	ethereum above 2500 on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x1a7d91…
09-30 07:21:29	ethereum above 2500 on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf0f6ad…
09-30 07:20:36	bitcoin above 76k on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x8bfd90…
09-30 07:20:03	bitcoin above 80k on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x062787…
09-29 11:49:48	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x80e2e6…
09-29 11:49:30	Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0xa12c69…
09-29 11:48:48	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5a272a…
09-27 10:14:21	Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x028f5b…
09-27 10:14:20	Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x94dc03…
08-25 20:23:33	Will claude-opus-4-6-high be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x569099…
08-22 17:33:37	Will claude-opus-4-6-high be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x5fe37c…
08-22 17:31:34	Will any other model be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0x024454…
08-22 17:30:34	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x6dbc89…
08-22 17:29:10	will stripes valuation hit high 200b by august 31 20260730184041311	No	BUY	175	99¢	$174	0x9baaf4…
08-22 17:28:40	will stripes valuation hit low 165b by august 31 20260730184041315	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x27758b…
08-16 10:25:40	bitcoin above 60k on august 16 2026	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x8033a6…
08-01 14:03:30	will canvas valuation hit high 50 by july 31 20260629184737582	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x0f55ac…
07-31 19:10:36	will canvas valuation hit high 50 by july 31 20260629184737582	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4f1362…
07-31 06:14:33	will canvas valuation hit high 50 by july 31 20260629184737582	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x325c4d…
07-28 07:08:13	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x125895…
07-24 12:30:12	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	BUY	150	99¢	$149	0x8519f8…
07-24 12:29:54	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xed2f23…
07-24 12:29:34	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x482fb1…
07-24 12:29:19	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x164211…
07-22 07:52:52	bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x09a6f3…
07-22 07:48:30	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xcce905…
07-22 07:46:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xb280ae…
07-22 07:45:12	next mythos class model released by july 31 2026	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x20756c…
07-22 07:44:52	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0xa29323…
07-22 07:44:30	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0xe8113d…
07-22 07:43:10	will canvas valuation hit high 50 by july 31 20260629184737582	No	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0xfca013…
07-13 10:32:17	will ewy dip to 178 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x95125f…
07-13 10:30:05	will ewy dip to 180 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x46ea05…
07-08 17:06:28	will canvas valuation hit low 36 by july 31 20260629184737590	No	BUY	75	97¢	$73	0x733105…
07-08 13:11:20	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xf8b046…
07-08 12:45:43	will canvas valuation hit low 37pt5 by july 31 20260629184737589	No	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0x336f66…
07-08 12:45:23	will canvas valuation hit low 36 by july 31 20260629184737590	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xdbd976…
07-08 12:41:23	will xauusd dip to 3850 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x5592d7…
07-08 09:03:26	will xauusd dip to 3900 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x0237ed…
07-07 19:19:58	will xauusd dip to 3850 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe8104c…
07-07 06:25:17	will stripes valuation hit low 150 by july 31 20260629184728774	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x11a8c9…
07-04 06:50:53	will solana reach 100 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	260	100¢	$260	0xc47335…
07-04 06:48:34	will xrp dip to 0pt9 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	258	100¢	$257	0xedd3ba…
07-04 06:47:56	will xrp reach 1pt4 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	547	100¢	$547	0x218d56…