Present-Pathogenesis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$14.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$237

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 10-25 19:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 100% +$20

Other

13% 100% +$4

Politics

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 25-31?	2	$903	454	454	+0	No	+$1	05-30 07:30
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	13	$515	303	303	+0	Yes	+$0	03-08 06:07
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 19-25?	1	$466	466	0	+466	No	+$0	10-25 19:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 15?	1	$465	465	0	+465	No	+$0	10-15 11:35
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 5-11?	1	$464	465	0	+465	No	+$1	10-12 03:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 8?	1	$463	464	0	+464	Yes	+$1	10-08 14:53
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 7?	1	$462	462	0	+462	No	+$0	10-06 19:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 6?	1	$462	462	0	+462	Yes	+$0	10-05 21:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 28-October 4?	1	$461	462	0	+462	No	+$1	10-03 14:26
will bitcoin dip to 75k in september 2026 from september 16	1	$460	460	0	+460	No	+$0	09-30 18:08
bitcoin above 80k on september 30 2026	1	$459	460	0	+460	Yes	+$1	09-30 12:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 September 21-27?	1	$459	459	0	+459	No	+$0	09-26 09:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 September 14-20?	1	$459	459	0	+459	No	+$0	09-19 00:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 9?	1	$457	459	0	+459	No	+$2	09-09 15:21
will bitcoin dip to 64k august 31 september 6 2026	1	$456	456	0	+456	No	+$0	09-05 02:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 3?	1	$456	456	0	+456	No	+$0	09-02 19:58
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 1?	1	$455	456	0	+456	Yes	+$1	09-01 13:42
will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026 944	1	$454	454	0	+454	No	+$0	07-23 16:59
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	1	$454	454	0	+454	No	+$0	08-13 17:29
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$453	453	0	+453	No	+$0	06-01 07:48
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$451	452	0	+452	Yes	+$1	05-30 15:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	1	$450	451	0	+451	Yes	+$1	05-26 12:02
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 23?	1	$450	450	0	+450	Yes	+$0	05-23 13:36
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 18-24?	1	$450	450	0	+450	No	+$0	05-24 12:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	1	$449	449	0	+449	Yes	+$0	05-19 17:22
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	1	$449	449	0	+449	Yes	+$0	05-22 19:11
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 11-17?	1	$448	448	0	+448	No	+$0	05-17 18:56
bitcoin above 58k on march 13	1	$445	445	0	+445	Yes	+$0	03-13 04:35
bitcoin above 62k on march 12	1	$445	445	0	+445	Yes	+$0	03-11 15:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	1	$440	440	0	+440	Yes	+$0	05-06 11:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 19:20:18	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 19-25?	No	BUY	466	100¢	$466	0xa59eb7…
10-15 11:35:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 15?	No	BUY	465	100¢	$465	0x3fade8…
10-12 03:17:38	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	465	100¢	$464	0xadfd82…
10-08 14:53:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	464	100¢	$463	0xde3062…
10-06 19:58:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	462	100¢	$462	0x88a097…
10-05 21:48:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	462	100¢	$462	0x8df8c3…
10-03 14:26:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	462	100¢	$461	0x4406d9…
09-30 18:08:14	will bitcoin dip to 75k in september 2026 from september 16	No	BUY	460	100¢	$460	0x4491d8…
09-30 12:59:21	bitcoin above 80k on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	460	100¢	$459	0xfd752e…
09-26 09:56:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 September 21-27?	No	BUY	459	100¢	$459	0xcdd7d8…
09-19 00:57:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 September 14-20?	No	BUY	459	100¢	$459	0x88394b…
09-09 15:21:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 9?	No	BUY	459	100¢	$457	0x6b138e…
09-05 02:46:07	will bitcoin dip to 64k august 31 september 6 2026	No	BUY	456	100¢	$456	0xeeabb7…
09-04 00:05:57	will ethereum dip to 2300 on september 3 2026	No	BUY	202	100¢	$202	0xae13f8…
09-04 00:01:15	will bitcoin dip to 77k on september 3 2026	No	BUY	254	100¢	$254	0xf40dc4…
09-02 19:58:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 3?	No	BUY	456	100¢	$456	0x5fdbb1…
09-01 13:42:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	456	100¢	$455	0x14c3a4…
08-13 17:29:54	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	454	100¢	$454	0x458a17…
07-23 16:59:06	will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026 944	No	BUY	454	100¢	$454	0x729402…
06-01 07:48:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	453	100¢	$453	0x9a2011…
05-30 15:04:19	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	452	100¢	$451	0xa85525…
05-30 07:30:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 25-31?	No	SELL	454	100¢	$452	0x44254f…
05-27 15:01:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	454	99¢	$451	0x1bf6d9…
05-26 12:02:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	451	100¢	$450	0xf0c57f…
05-24 12:14:27	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 18-24?	No	BUY	450	100¢	$450	0x3089e4…
05-23 13:36:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	450	100¢	$450	0xc8a4f2…
05-22 19:11:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	449	100¢	$449	0x66b044…
05-19 17:22:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	449	100¢	$449	0x8e0e17…
05-17 18:56:47	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 11-17?	No	BUY	448	100¢	$448	0x6fa271…
05-14 18:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x341f0a…
05-14 18:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xfb946c…
05-14 18:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x3a182e…
05-14 18:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x53bf65…
05-14 18:34:57	Dota 2: PlayTime vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	PlayTime	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0x45de9c…
05-06 11:07:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	440	100¢	$440	0x17f178…
05-06 10:54:36	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on May 6?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x301f97…
05-06 10:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x778aa5…
05-06 10:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xba620a…
05-06 10:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xa88292…
05-06 10:21:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6701d0…
05-06 10:20:52	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x8882f3…
03-13 04:35:05	bitcoin above 58k on march 13	Yes	BUY	445	100¢	$445	0xa87a82…
03-11 15:58:49	bitcoin above 62k on march 12	Yes	BUY	445	100¢	$445	0x086bca…
03-08 06:07:41	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	85¢	$10	0x94ee7f…
03-08 06:04:37	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x22fccc…
03-08 06:03:25	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	117	85¢	$99	0x199f83…
03-08 06:02:45	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x64be60…
03-08 06:00:59	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	117	85¢	$99	0x3eb2f6…
03-06 20:20:35	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0x7cc171…
03-06 03:03:09	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0x3f583d…
03-05 19:06:35	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x123469…
03-04 08:37:53	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x88c5df…
03-03 14:10:45	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	134	85¢	$114	0xbd0d19…
03-03 10:51:39	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x564269…
03-03 01:21:45	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x44faee…
03-02 02:35:27	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	162	85¢	$137	0x4775f5…
02-27 11:00:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf7d890…
02-27 10:56:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb830cc…
02-26 13:44:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x9d538d…
02-26 13:34:14	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb8f5fe…
02-26 13:20:00	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 260 279	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc8df72…
02-26 13:12:02	bitcoin above 62k on february 26	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x87ffa1…
02-26 12:59:58	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb5b5eb…