Thoughtful-Yellowjacket — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$183

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

67.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$243.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$5.07K

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-26

last 10-10 07:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 89% +$1

Other

17% 50% -$185

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		-5	-$1	18¢	$-1	+$0	05-15 03:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	2	$20.2K	10,906	10,906	+0	No	-$52	04-05 08:45
bitcoin above 60k on march 31	2	$20.1K	10,072	10,072	+0	Yes	+$0	03-31 16:00
will bitcoin reach 73k on march 31	2	$20.1K	10,072	10,071	+1	No	$0	04-01 04:03
bitcoin above 64k on april 1	2	$20.1K	10,071	10,070	+1	Yes	+$0	04-01 16:00
bitcoin above 62k on april 2	2	$20.1K	10,069	10,069	+1	Yes	+$0	04-02 16:07
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 liv1	2	$20.1K	13,288	13,288	+0	No	-$133	04-08 17:55
bitcoin above 66k on march 26	2	$20.0K	10,005	10,005	+0	Yes	+$0	03-26 16:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	2	$20.0K	9,996	9,996	+0	Yes	+$0	05-24 16:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?	2	$20.0K	9,995	9,995	+0	Yes	+$0	05-25 16:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	2	$20.0K	9,993	9,993	+0	Yes	+$0	05-26 16:01
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	2	$20.0K	9,992	9,992	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?	2	$20.0K	9,990	9,990	+0	Yes	+$0	05-29 16:00
ethereum above 1700 on july 17 2026	2	$428	215	215	+0	Yes	+$1	07-17 16:01
bitcoin above 54k on july 1 2026	2	$428	214	214	+0	Yes	+$0	07-01 16:01
bitcoin above 56k on june 30 2026	2	$427	214	214	+0	Yes	+$0	06-30 16:02
bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	2	$427	214	214	+0	Yes	+$0	06-28 16:02
bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	2	$427	214	214	+0	Yes	+$0	06-10 16:00
bitcoin above 56k on june 9 2026	2	$427	214	214	+0	Yes	+$0	06-09 16:01
nba 2025 26 ppg leader luka doncic	2	$30	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	04-12 03:03
bitcoin above 80k on september 30 2026	1	$13	13	0	+13	Yes	+$0	09-30 14:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 11?	1	$12	12	0	+12	Yes	+$0	10-10 07:51
bitcoin above 74k on august 31 2026	1	$12	12	0	+12	Yes	+$0	08-31 13:40
will arirang bts be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of april 18	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	04-13 16:42
gs quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 13 2026 15pt95	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	04-13 13:03
highest temperature in paris on april 11 2026 18corbelow	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	04-11 10:42
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	04-11 10:30
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	1	$1	0	5	-5	open	—	05-15 03:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 07:51:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 11?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x89c929…
09-30 14:43:14	bitcoin above 80k on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xfb241f…
08-31 13:40:25	bitcoin above 74k on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x74e46a…
07-17 16:01:13	ethereum above 1700 on july 17 2026	Yes	SELL	215	100¢	$214	0xf37bb2…
07-17 07:11:12	ethereum above 1700 on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	215	100¢	$214	0x2c941d…
07-01 16:01:47	bitcoin above 54k on july 1 2026	Yes	SELL	214	100¢	$214	0xc98eb7…
07-01 06:54:35	bitcoin above 54k on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	214	100¢	$214	0xb86690…
06-30 16:02:14	bitcoin above 56k on june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	214	100¢	$214	0xe729c6…
06-30 10:43:43	bitcoin above 56k on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	214	100¢	$214	0x3afe78…
06-28 16:02:14	bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	Yes	SELL	214	100¢	$214	0x4a4301…
06-27 15:58:20	bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	214	100¢	$214	0xa20913…
06-10 16:00:43	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	214	100¢	$214	0x15117a…
06-10 03:13:00	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	214	100¢	$213	0x45e07f…
06-09 16:01:42	bitcoin above 56k on june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	214	100¢	$214	0xd15dc0…
06-09 01:39:33	bitcoin above 56k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	214	100¢	$214	0x904cbb…
05-29 16:00:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	9,990	100¢	$9,980	0xefe50b…
05-29 07:23:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	9,990	100¢	$9,980	0x0c43e3…
05-28 16:00:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	9,992	100¢	$9,982	0xee8b30…
05-28 01:53:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	9,992	100¢	$9,982	0xe5e14b…
05-26 16:01:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	9,993	100¢	$9,983	0x1cffa4…
05-26 02:48:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	9,993	100¢	$9,983	0x6bf226…
05-25 16:00:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?	Yes	SELL	9,995	100¢	$9,985	0x0cf5b2…
05-25 02:00:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	9,995	100¢	$9,985	0x333361…
05-24 16:00:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	Yes	SELL	9,996	100¢	$9,986	0x28fe15…
05-24 07:54:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	9,996	100¢	$9,986	0xdb70b5…
05-15 03:54:58	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xe6e2a0…
04-13 16:42:07	will arirang bts be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of april 18	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xadfca7…
04-13 13:03:39	gs quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 13 2026 15pt95	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x29d353…
04-12 03:03:35	nba 2025 26 ppg leader luka doncic	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x185371…
04-11 14:32:21	gs quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 13 2026 15pt95	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x15ca07…
04-11 10:42:11	highest temperature in paris on april 11 2026 18corbelow	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe5fc5c…
04-11 10:30:29	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6c3bb1…
04-11 10:25:23	will arirang bts be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of april 18	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x564335…
04-11 09:32:07	nba 2025 26 ppg leader luka doncic	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8287cd…
04-08 17:55:51	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 liv1	No	SELL	13,288	75¢	$9,966	0xa234bf…
04-08 17:55:35	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 liv1	No	BUY	13,288	76¢	$10,099	0x52fe27…
04-05 08:45:45	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	SELL	10,906	93¢	$10,091	0x74ffb7…
04-05 08:42:43	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	10,906	93¢	$10,143	0x4c142c…
04-02 16:07:35	bitcoin above 62k on april 2	Yes	SELL	10,069	100¢	$10,058	0x760796…
04-02 12:53:15	bitcoin above 62k on april 2	Yes	BUY	10,069	100¢	$10,059	0x87da03…
04-01 16:00:17	bitcoin above 64k on april 1	Yes	SELL	10,070	100¢	$10,060	0x3358b4…
04-01 09:46:21	bitcoin above 64k on april 1	Yes	BUY	10,071	100¢	$10,061	0x59630f…
04-01 04:03:51	will bitcoin reach 73k on march 31	No	SELL	10,071	100¢	$10,061	0x16641c…
04-01 00:07:41	will bitcoin reach 73k on march 31	No	BUY	10,072	100¢	$10,062	0x5ec663…
03-31 16:00:47	bitcoin above 60k on march 31	Yes	SELL	10,072	100¢	$10,062	0x3a0027…
03-31 03:24:59	bitcoin above 60k on march 31	Yes	BUY	10,072	100¢	$10,062	0xbc0bcd…
03-26 16:00:23	bitcoin above 66k on march 26	Yes	SELL	10,005	100¢	$9,995	0xee7a5b…
03-26 14:31:57	bitcoin above 66k on march 26	Yes	BUY	10,005	100¢	$9,995	0x2fa0fc…