Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$451

Unrealized P&L

-$499

Hit rate

57.6%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

225

238 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$11.8K

$12.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

$82

1 position

First seen

2026-11-05

last 11-14 16:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 33% +$1

Politics

8% 0% -$55

Other

7% 33% +$442

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No		+5,111	$581	2¢	$82	-$499	11-13 22:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	12	$857	11,536	6,426	+5,111	open	—	11-13 22:58
LoL: FENNEL vs Nothin'Here (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs	4	$690	700	700	+0	Nothin'Here	+$593	11-10 07:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 12?	5	$478	576	576	+0	No	+$407	11-12 15:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 10?	7	$459	1,561	1,561	+0	No	-$104	11-10 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3PM ET	6	$386	571	500	+71	Down	+$14	11-09 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5PM ET	9	$384	305	305	+0	Down	+$166	11-13 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1PM ET	6	$384	311	311	+0	Up	+$122	11-13 18:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 9?	7	$353	1,867	1,867	+0	Yes	-$59	11-09 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11AM ET	3	$336	265	265	+0	Down	+$136	11-10 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7AM ET	3	$285	201	201	+0	Down	+$85	11-08 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12PM ET	3	$273	199	199	+0	Up	+$105	11-13 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	3	$246	172	172	+0	Down	+$88	11-08 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	2	$242	222	222	+0	Up	+$162	11-08 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12PM ET	3	$240	180	180	+0	Down	+$106	11-08 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2PM ET	3	$232	186	186	+0	Up	+$98	11-13 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	2	$223	176	176	+0	Down	+$128	11-12 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8AM ET	3	$223	200	200	+0	Down	+$103	11-08 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5AM ET	2	$215	146	146	+0	Down	+$75	11-09 11:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 11?	2	$171	293	293	+0	Yes	-$19	11-11 14:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 10?	3	$169	2,671	2,671	+0	No	-$131	11-10 10:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11AM ET	5	$168	374	374	+0	Down	-$124	11-08 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12PM ET	5	$163	407	206	+201	Up	-$97	11-10 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	3	$161	155	155	+0	Up	+$89	11-12 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	2	$158	109	109	+0	Up	+$58	11-12 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2PM ET	5	$144	236	88	+148	Up	-$21	11-05 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	2	$143	100	100	+0	Up	+$55	11-12 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	1	$140	452	0	+452	Down	+$312	11-09 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	3	$138	111	111	+0	Down	+$58	11-12 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	4	$137	122	122	+0	Down	+$71	11-13 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	3	$134	274	40	+234	Up	-$95	11-12 18:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 16:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	61	12¢	$7	0x38ef42…
11-14 16:36:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 17?	Yes	SELL	1,364	0¢	$3	0xbbfaa3…
11-14 16:36:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 17?	Yes	SELL	4,180	0¢	$4	0xf6cfdf…
11-13 23:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x8e5451…
11-13 23:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	69	94¢	$65	0xb5c452…
11-13 23:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	23	80¢	$18	0xb42b9a…
11-13 23:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	31	68¢	$21	0x4ecf12…
11-13 23:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	122	27¢	$33	0xa9c44d…
11-13 23:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	224	3¢	$7	0xd156a0…
11-13 23:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	78	26¢	$20	0x83dfcf…
11-13 23:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	146	37¢	$54	0xb57dbc…
11-13 22:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x8f1491…
11-13 22:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0xa4278f…
11-13 22:58:28	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	1,383	4¢	$50	0x995a2f…
11-13 22:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	155	97¢	$150	0xfada36…
11-13 22:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	52	94¢	$48	0xb83d66…
11-13 22:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	69	68¢	$47	0x39610f…
11-13 22:17:25	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Froglings - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	86	22¢	$19	0xd357b7…
11-13 22:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x75b2f4…
11-13 22:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x8cf421…
11-13 22:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x45ab54…
11-13 22:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	105	43¢	$45	0x7768b9…
11-13 21:56:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 17?	Yes	BUY	1,364	2¢	$30	0xb19c85…
11-13 21:55:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 17?	Yes	BUY	4,180	1¢	$50	0x6d7fd9…
11-13 21:54:34	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	1,218	5¢	$58	0x46aecc…
11-13 20:00:34	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	2,509	4¢	$100	0x5d88fd…
11-13 19:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	93	99¢	$92	0x4e6460…
11-13 19:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	93	78¢	$73	0xe91e7d…
11-13 19:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	186	36¢	$67	0x745223…
11-13 19:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	148	41¢	$60	0x9cc123…
11-13 18:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	175	95¢	$165	0x3ee291…
11-13 18:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	58	64¢	$37	0xe35b8e…
11-13 18:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	78	65¢	$50	0x2179db…
11-13 18:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0xa5fe2b…
11-13 18:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	97	49¢	$47	0x52d445…
11-13 18:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	126	43¢	$54	0xaa88d0…
11-13 17:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	159	95¢	$151	0x3b0922…
11-13 17:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0xc5ac2e…
11-13 17:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	199	42¢	$84	0x10688d…
11-13 09:20:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-13 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	41	39¢	$16	0x7a4e7d…
11-13 09:11:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-13 09:00 UTC	Down	SELL	83	15¢	$12	0xc3d9f0…
11-13 09:08:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-13 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	83	48¢	$40	0x348e83…
11-13 08:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	48	97¢	$46	0x8e0bf1…
11-13 08:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	48	32¢	$15	0xa05a46…
11-13 06:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	6¢	$2	0xb20452…
11-12 18:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	35	17¢	$6	0x322849…
11-12 18:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	35	53¢	$18	0x09c005…
11-12 18:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	40	49¢	$20	0x308f3b…
11-12 18:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	83	41¢	$34	0x29e30b…
11-12 18:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0x2ca181…
11-12 18:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	67	86¢	$57	0x5f4889…
11-12 18:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	67	12¢	$8	0x6a4c18…
11-12 18:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x1ad803…
11-12 18:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xbf9f51…
11-12 18:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	190	42¢	$80	0x1f3f32…
11-12 16:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	42	20¢	$8	0x4e4c82…
11-12 16:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	149	6¢	$9	0x5414bd…
11-12 16:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	149	32¢	$47	0x63e6c1…
11-12 16:41:30	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	BUY	150	12¢	$18	0x9e076a…
11-12 16:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	112	33¢	$37	0x39f241…
11-12 15:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0x78f8c2…
11-12 15:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0xd4cd13…
11-12 15:45:03	Will Uzbekistan vs. Russia end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	81	26¢	$21	0x4f4cd9…
11-12 15:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1,350	1¢	$10	0x3e7ec9…
11-12 15:42:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 12?	No	SELL	340	87¢	$296	0xe6c8c9…
11-12 15:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	155	13¢	$20	0x59a742…
11-12 15:23:00	Will Uzbekistan vs. Russia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	81	26¢	$21	0xd2c1ba…
11-12 15:14:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 12?	No	SELL	93	79¢	$73	0xea4c7e…
11-12 15:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	115	26¢	$30	0xb222d7…
11-12 14:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	57	90¢	$51	0x2b599b…
11-12 14:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x0f3690…
11-12 14:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	176	100¢	$176	0x60a648…
11-12 14:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	176	27¢	$48	0x45a082…
11-12 14:27:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 12?	No	SELL	144	51¢	$74	0xc732a8…
11-12 10:02:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 12?	No	BUY	265	6¢	$16	0xfc1f13…
11-12 08:28:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 12?	No	BUY	311	6¢	$20	0x3297fb…
11-12 08:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	143	16¢	$23	0x03dbcb…
11-12 08:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	143	42¢	$60	0x31b67f…
11-12 08:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	56	95¢	$53	0x12979d…
11-12 08:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	56	82¢	$46	0xc7b5af…
11-12 08:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	111	36¢	$40	0x51123e…
11-12 07:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xd6acc6…
11-12 07:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xef900d…
11-12 07:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	223	10¢	$22	0x345556…
11-12 07:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	116	84¢	$98	0xdc0aae…
11-12 07:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	39	71¢	$27	0xd1cc35…
11-12 07:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	155	23¢	$36	0xfe266a…
11-12 07:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	180	45¢	$80	0x50acb0…
11-12 07:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	43	40¢	$17	0x6ee4aa…
11-12 07:06:49	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	SELL	6,426	2¢	$138	0xf0061d…
11-12 06:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	28	2¢	$1	0x6353ec…
11-12 06:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	28	43¢	$12	0xf734f6…
11-12 06:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	75	18¢	$14	0x1f0e9d…
11-12 06:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	75	41¢	$31	0x8923e2…
11-12 06:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	129	25¢	$32	0x33c6bc…
11-12 06:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	129	39¢	$50	0xb2230e…
11-12 05:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	58	7¢	$4	0x70f332…
11-12 05:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	58	36¢	$21	0x1b28dd…
11-12 05:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12AM ET	Up	SELL	139	7¢	$10	0xfe86dc…
11-12 05:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0x632e8d…