Foolhardy-Tunnel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12.7K

Unrealized P&L

-$155

Hit rate

73.3%

Resolved

121

Trades

685

lifetime

Volume

$38.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

$144

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 07-21 05:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Politics

53% 38% +$13,820

Other

25% 42% +$294

Crypto

21% 30% -$1,220

Sports

1% 20% -$145

Tech

0% 0% -$94

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-21).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	Yes	+1,180	$201	8¢	$91	-$109	07-07 14:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+500	$95	11¢	$53	-$42	07-15 08:37
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+10	$4	2¢	$0	-$4	07-21 05:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	31	$10.5K	20,387	20,387	+0	Yes	+$9,067	04-08 08:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	6	$2.9K	1,810	1,794	+16	Yes	+$703	04-17 13:08
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$649	05-23 08:24
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	3	$1.3K	1,600	1,000	+600	No	+$152	04-23 10:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$889	05-09 05:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	3	$952	1,450	0	+1,450	Yes	+$498	04-14 14:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	5	$907	533	528	+5	Yes	+$152	04-14 14:36
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	6	$816	6,444	0	+6,444	Yes	+$5,628	04-06 04:37
bitcoin up or down on april 10 2026	5	$809	600	600	+0	Up	+$389	04-10 22:47
bitcoin up or down on april 9 2026	25	$802	1,240	0	+1,240	Up	-$802	04-09 14:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	25	$751	580	580	+0	Yes	+$15	04-23 15:04
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	5	$642	600	600	+0	No	+$42	04-08 04:18
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	3	$630	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$190	05-23 20:04
bitcoin up or down on march 29 2026	16	$625	960	0	+960	Down	+$335	03-29 14:10
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	13	$591	7,100	0	+7,100	No	-$591	05-11 09:43
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$588	1,610	0	+1,610	No	-$588	04-17 17:55
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	11	$564	2,400	0	+2,400	No	-$564	04-17 11:30
Iran leadership change by April 30?	1	$546	4,200	0	+4,200	No	-$546	04-09 03:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	19	$512	1,600	0	+1,600	No	-$512	04-15 13:22
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	18	$481	35,492	0	+35,492	No	-$481	04-21 21:51
bitcoin up or down on march 30 2026	9	$477	670	100	+570	Up	+$183	03-30 07:02
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	50	$472	68,698	0	+68,698	No	-$472	04-23 18:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	1	$425	661	0	+661	No	-$425	05-24 07:20
bitcoin up or down on march 28 2026	7	$420	600	0	+600	Up	+$180	03-28 10:23
bitcoin up or down on april 13 2026	17	$419	300	300	+0	Up	+$179	04-13 15:21
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	11	$372	800	800	+0	No	+$4	04-23 13:13
bitcoin up or down on march 26 2026	12	$369	540	440	+100	Down	+$115	03-26 14:13
Iran leadership change by May 31?	9	$338	4,100	0	+4,100	No	-$338	05-11 01:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	3	$337	1,404	1,404	+0	No	-$140	05-24 07:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	9	$324	400	400	+0	Yes	+$4	04-24 11:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 05:42:24	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x186060…
07-17 17:42:48	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,550	0¢	$7	0xb2aba5…
07-17 04:56:19	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	212	7¢	$15	0x2e2a98…
07-15 21:49:40	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	Yes	BUY	839	3¢	$27	0xb063bf…
07-15 08:37:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	19¢	$95	0x7b0989…
07-14 02:05:02	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	1,540	7¢	$106	0x187538…
07-14 02:03:22	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	60	7¢	$4	0x94f5fe…
07-14 02:01:29	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	154	8¢	$12	0xe115ff…
07-14 02:01:29	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	846	8¢	$65	0xd4890e…
07-13 14:40:31	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	Yes	BUY	69	12¢	$8	0xd0ee1e…
07-13 14:40:31	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x3d688f…
07-13 14:40:31	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x308435…
07-13 14:40:31	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	Yes	BUY	46	12¢	$5	0x01ca27…
07-13 14:29:52	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	Yes	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x3e5c09…
07-13 14:29:52	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x082a2f…
07-13 14:29:46	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	Yes	BUY	34	12¢	$4	0xf36c2c…
07-13 14:29:46	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	Yes	BUY	81	12¢	$10	0xf2ac94…
07-13 14:29:46	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	Yes	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0x92cc8b…
07-13 14:29:46	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	Yes	BUY	149	12¢	$18	0x63efea…
07-13 14:29:46	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x2703a8…
07-13 14:29:44	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	Yes	BUY	34	12¢	$4	0x428735…
07-13 11:29:11	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x011685…
07-13 10:33:52	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	Yes	BUY	110	3¢	$4	0xae40fd…
07-13 10:04:34	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0x9e25a4…
07-13 08:45:23	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x75b78a…
07-09 06:28:32	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x61a355…
07-09 06:25:49	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	46	45¢	$21	0x43e201…
07-07 14:17:22	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,180	17¢	$201	0x4ec9a9…
07-06 11:13:31	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	223	6¢	$14	0xfb2259…
07-06 11:13:01	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0xdd87fc…
07-06 11:10:25	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	102	6¢	$7	0xe9f5ec…
07-06 11:09:52	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x957db2…
07-06 11:09:22	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	29	6¢	$2	0xcf4621…
07-06 11:08:49	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	36	7¢	$2	0x87a40a…
07-06 11:08:17	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xb04dd4…
07-06 11:07:44	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	234	6¢	$15	0x4526d5…
07-06 11:06:07	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	214	6¢	$14	0x52347a…
07-06 11:05:02	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0xfaab48…
07-06 11:04:32	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xbf58d1…
07-06 11:02:19	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	144	6¢	$9	0x583451…
07-06 11:01:47	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	39	6¢	$3	0x72fc33…
07-06 11:01:14	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	37	6¢	$2	0x7753fb…
07-06 11:00:49	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	700	14¢	$98	0x7d4bea…
07-06 11:00:32	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	205	6¢	$13	0x1deeb7…
07-06 11:00:02	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	192	6¢	$12	0xa30e94…
06-24 05:55:28	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	Yes	BUY	80	10¢	$8	0x157aa8…
06-23 13:03:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x5c544f…
06-18 15:13:08	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	969	1¢	$13	0x978a50…
06-18 14:43:07	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0xf5905d…
06-18 11:29:29	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0xd93218…
06-18 11:13:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xedccca…
06-18 11:11:44	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x45b5d4…
06-18 11:07:53	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x3f10ec…
06-18 11:01:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x97a39f…
06-14 22:41:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	46	18¢	$8	0x1a6312…
06-14 22:33:33	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	124	18¢	$23	0x43c6e5…
06-14 22:33:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	154	18¢	$28	0xe53156…
06-14 21:51:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	24	18¢	$4	0xfe3daf…
06-14 21:50:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xd8fd0c…
06-14 21:49:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	24	18¢	$4	0xb6fb77…
06-12 19:01:12	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0xade0bd…
06-12 18:45:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	155	100¢	$154	0x57144a…
06-11 19:42:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x532ec9…
06-11 19:42:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x1d6a2f…
06-11 19:42:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	39	78¢	$30	0x8cffbd…
06-11 19:41:45	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	Yes	SELL	715	11¢	$81	0xabf65e…
06-11 19:40:09	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	220	42¢	$92	0x4648c1…
06-11 19:39:22	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2,000	3¢	$62	0xaf3242…
06-11 19:39:12	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,318	2¢	$27	0xe47885…
06-11 18:06:24	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	Yes	SELL	25	15¢	$4	0x2ed778…
06-11 17:43:40	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x14496e…
06-11 17:43:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x092450…
06-11 17:43:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x334d05…
06-11 17:43:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xdd4e91…
06-11 17:42:21	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	26	80¢	$20	0xdf824d…
06-11 15:26:15	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0xba49a2…
06-11 14:20:57	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	Yes	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0xd03d83…
06-11 12:42:34	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	Yes	SELL	236	15¢	$35	0x4bd829…
06-03 12:10:40	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	8¢	$80	0xa0b8cf…
05-25 18:06:36	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x8d19ce…
05-25 18:06:34	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xde6128…
05-24 07:20:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	661	64¢	$425	0xc9c407…
05-24 07:02:00	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x5f31af…
05-24 07:01:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,404	7¢	$98	0xc14f22…
05-24 06:59:57	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2,000	2¢	$32	0x015d9c…
05-24 06:59:52	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2,000	5¢	$100	0x88e65c…
05-23 20:04:50	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	SELL	1,000	22¢	$220	0x24e72b…
05-23 16:05:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	856	17¢	$146	0x8b48c6…
05-23 15:52:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	548	17¢	$93	0x51d1d7…
05-23 14:08:38	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xe39621…
05-23 09:30:21	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	BUY	983	41¢	$403	0x782584…
05-23 09:28:31	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	104	5¢	$5	0x80c1e5…
05-23 09:28:17	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x2587e1…
05-23 09:23:26	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,650	5¢	$78	0xdacf15…
05-23 09:22:14	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x547c3e…
05-23 09:17:55	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	236	5¢	$11	0x75c7d1…
05-23 08:29:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	11¢	$220	0x290d7d…
05-23 08:24:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	98¢	$979	0x6bbfc3…
05-18 05:41:57	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	142	1¢	$1	0xf2acef…
05-17 12:31:17	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	161	1¢	$1	0x910616…