Pastel-Macaw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$921

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-15 04:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

50% — —

Other

45% — —

Sports

3% 100% +$1

Politics

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$239	239	0	+239	open	—	02-24 03:39
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	1	$221	222	0	+222	open	—	05-15 04:54
tur gen sam 2026 01 18 gen	1	$164	257	0	+257	open	—	01-18 08:03
Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	3	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	05-06 11:59
Will Oman send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	05-06 11:57
Will Saudi Arabia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	3	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	05-06 11:58
casy quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 09 2026 2pt92	2	$28	20	40	-20	open	—	02-24 03:19
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	2	$27	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	05-06 12:00
will the 20252026 edition of dick clarks new years rockin eve have between 22pt5 million and 25 million viewers	2	$22	0	40	-40	open	—	01-02 16:06
will the 20252026 edition of dick clarks new years rockin eve have fewer than 17pt5 million viewers	2	$20	0	40	-40	open	—	01-01 09:05
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	2	$20	40	0	+40	No	+$0	05-06 09:08
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	4	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	05-06 08:03
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	3	$19	40	0	+40	open	—	05-06 08:01
Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	10	$19	40	0	+40	open	—	05-06 09:02
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	20	20	+0	open	—	05-06 11:59
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	20	20	+0	open	—	05-06 11:59
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-06 06:46
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	20	20	+0	open	—	05-06 11:58
Will South Korea send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	20	20	+0	open	—	05-06 11:59
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$1	20	20	+0	open	—	05-06 11:59
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	3	$1	18	18	+0	open	—	05-06 11:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 04:54:06	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	222	100¢	$221	0x65a2ba…
05-06 12:00:58	UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x0327a9…
05-06 11:59:58	Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xe18c4d…
05-06 11:59:40	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x7ed826…
05-06 11:59:34	Will South Korea send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xa39825…
05-06 11:59:26	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xffaaad…
05-06 11:59:08	Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x165440…
05-06 11:58:58	Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x02e536…
05-06 11:58:48	Will Saudi Arabia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xa71693…
05-06 11:58:36	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0x982711…
05-06 11:57:34	Will Oman send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xa0622b…
05-06 09:08:44	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x5104e8…
05-06 09:02:26	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xd66f7f…
05-06 09:02:26	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xa6f54e…
05-06 09:02:24	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xbb6349…
05-06 09:02:24	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xb86560…
05-06 09:02:24	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x79dcb0…
05-06 09:02:24	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x65d39f…
05-06 09:02:22	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x524a23…
05-06 09:02:22	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x17fa07…
05-06 08:06:02	Will South Korea send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc1b090…
05-06 08:04:44	Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xbbc463…
05-06 08:03:42	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xd7da1e…
05-06 08:03:10	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xbb8663…
05-06 08:01:54	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x4a5642…
05-06 08:01:16	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xf18b33…
05-06 07:57:10	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	No	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x9e4eac…
05-06 07:38:20	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x082849…
05-06 07:35:24	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xb81b18…
05-06 06:50:24	Will Oman send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x121518…
05-06 06:48:44	Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$16	0x0b5fd1…
05-06 06:48:16	Will Saudi Arabia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x5dd0e3…
05-06 06:46:52	Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$3	0x291425…
05-06 06:46:50	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x2c565c…
05-06 06:45:00	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x4ed162…
05-06 05:58:54	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x453ed0…
05-06 05:14:06	Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xd2327e…
05-06 05:10:42	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0x1a008d…
05-06 05:10:38	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xea90d6…
05-06 05:09:46	Will Saudi Arabia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0xcc5b40…
05-06 05:06:54	UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xbac166…
05-06 04:57:44	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0xb10bd8…
05-06 04:56:38	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x5ce012…
05-06 04:47:28	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x754183…
02-24 03:39:00	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	239	100¢	$239	0xeff62f…
02-24 03:19:58	casy quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 09 2026 2pt92	Yes	SELL	40	31¢	$12	0x08c5b3…
02-24 03:17:40	casy quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 09 2026 2pt92	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x69077f…
01-18 08:03:18	tur gen sam 2026 01 18 gen	No	BUY	257	64¢	$164	0x938194…
01-02 16:06:45	will the 20252026 edition of dick clarks new years rockin eve have between 22pt5 million and 25 million viewers	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xc8e1a1…
01-01 14:45:17	will the 20252026 edition of dick clarks new years rockin eve have between 22pt5 million and 25 million viewers	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x55b1ef…
01-01 09:05:19	will the 20252026 edition of dick clarks new years rockin eve have fewer than 17pt5 million viewers	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xb3c678…
01-01 08:52:07	will the 20252026 edition of dick clarks new years rockin eve have fewer than 17pt5 million viewers	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x05b050…