Menacing-Riding — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

148

lifetime

Volume

$12.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$83

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 06-18 04:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 100% +$1

Sports

3% 100% +$2

Other

2% 100% +$4

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 78k on march 13	1	$279	279	+279	open	—	03-13 11:19
bitcoin above 64k on march 5	1	$275	275	+275	open	—	03-05 09:42
bitcoin above 78k on march 16	1	$274	275	+275	open	—	03-15 09:06
bitcoin above 74k on march 1	1	$272	272	+272	open	—	03-01 04:45
bitcoin above 70k on february 25	1	$270	270	+270	open	—	02-25 00:48
bitcoin above 70k on february 24	1	$270	270	+270	open	—	02-24 01:39
bitcoin above 60k on march 9	1	$269	270	+270	open	—	03-09 04:14
bitcoin above 80k on march 17	1	$269	270	+270	open	—	03-17 07:51
bitcoin above 62k on march 8	1	$268	269	+269	open	—	03-08 06:27
bitcoin above 58k on february 23	1	$260	260	+260	open	—	02-23 00:47
bitcoin above 74k on february 27	1	$260	260	+260	open	—	02-27 03:03
bitcoin above 58k on february 28	1	$259	260	+260	open	—	02-28 02:03
bitcoin above 64k on march 6	1	$259	260	+260	open	—	03-06 03:18
bitcoin above 54k on march 3	1	$259	260	+260	open	—	03-02 03:18
bitcoin above 64k on march 11	1	$259	260	+260	open	—	03-11 02:01
bitcoin above 64k on march 12	1	$259	260	+260	open	—	03-12 02:48
bitcoin above 60k on february 20	1	$250	251	+251	open	—	02-20 01:30
bitcoin above 62k on february 22	1	$250	251	+251	open	—	02-22 01:33
bitcoin above 72k on february 21	1	$250	251	+251	open	—	02-21 02:38
bitcoin above 76k on february 18	1	$250	250	+250	open	—	02-18 00:44
ethereum above 2300 on february 15	1	$250	250	+250	open	—	02-15 02:17
bitcoin above 78k on february 17	1	$250	250	+250	open	—	02-16 01:53
bitcoin above 58k on february 12	1	$240	240	+240	open	—	02-12 01:43
bitcoin above 60k on february 14	1	$240	240	+240	open	—	02-14 01:28
bitcoin above 72k on february 19	1	$240	240	+240	open	—	02-19 01:33
bitcoin above 74k on february 13	1	$210	210	+210	open	—	02-13 01:13
bitcoin above 78k on february 9	1	$199	199	+199	open	—	02-09 03:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	1	$190	190	+190	open	—	05-18 09:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	1	$188	188	+188	open	—	05-21 09:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?	1	$182	183	+183	open	—	05-01 05:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 04:53:38	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 corners total 8pt5	Under	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xffb96e…
06-11 14:23:16	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Spurs	BUY	120	64¢	$77	0xd54917…
06-01 09:45:02	Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	135	64¢	$86	0x55bc69…
05-26 07:22:56	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	47	62¢	$29	0x7aefaf…
05-26 07:22:48	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x8eb9a3…
05-26 07:22:21	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x76e7ab…
05-26 07:21:43	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	53	62¢	$33	0x5f75e9…
05-26 07:20:42	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x62273a…
05-26 07:20:38	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0xc44420…
05-26 07:20:19	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	15	62¢	$10	0x25f6b4…
05-26 07:19:30	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0xed1def…
05-26 07:19:28	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	41	62¢	$26	0x983242…
05-21 09:37:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	188	100¢	$188	0x7216e6…
05-21 09:19:10	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xe71978…
05-18 09:58:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x69b624…
05-13 11:54:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	180	100¢	$179	0x7908a2…
05-13 11:44:44	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Falcons	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x3ea208…
05-06 04:57:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	178	100¢	$177	0x731513…
05-06 04:41:30	Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5	Over	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x2e61b0…
05-01 05:35:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	183	100¢	$182	0x767f29…
04-27 23:42:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	175	100¢	$174	0x840b36…
04-27 23:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28?	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x991859…
04-27 23:22:00	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xc53f91…
04-22 06:12:40	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0xc7f805…
04-21 04:40:50	bitcoin above 80k on april 21	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0x8ce8b1…
04-21 04:10:04	nhl ana edm 2026 04 20 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xcbb36d…
04-18 07:15:28	bitcoin above 74k on april 18	Yes	BUY	160	100¢	$159	0x283a52…
04-17 06:51:48	bitcoin above 78k on april 17	No	BUY	159	100¢	$158	0x9c321c…
04-16 03:49:00	bitcoin up or down on april 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xcfa341…
04-16 03:48:00	mlb nym lad 2026 04 15	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x1f0871…
04-16 03:47:34	mlb tex oak 2026 04 15	Athletics	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc659f5…
04-13 13:17:53	bitcoin above 76k on april 13	No	BUY	157	100¢	$157	0xb88c3b…
04-11 01:31:57	nba tor nyk 2026 04 10	Knicks	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x724aab…
04-10 09:40:51	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	150	100¢	$149	0x2dbeb4…
04-09 05:13:01	bitcoin above 66k on april 9	Yes	BUY	156	100¢	$155	0x617135…
04-08 11:26:43	bitcoin above 76k on april 8	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x630e99…
04-08 11:24:07	bitcoin above 76k on april 8	No	BUY	118	100¢	$117	0x463ef7…
04-07 06:06:49	bitcoin above 62k on april 7	Yes	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0x1e501f…
04-06 06:06:15	bitcoin above 64k on april 6	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x6ff291…
04-06 06:06:13	bitcoin above 64k on april 6	Yes	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0xe37d1e…
04-05 05:36:15	bitcoin above 64k on april 5	Yes	BUY	141	100¢	$140	0xfd0160…
04-05 03:32:13	nhl cal ana 2026 04 04	Flames	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x0363f6…
04-04 06:33:13	bitcoin above 64k on april 4	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x4458f1…
04-04 06:15:41	bitcoin up or down on april 4 2026	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd96a98…
04-03 03:21:35	will dualshot recorder be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 3	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xfe6721…
04-02 00:51:43	bitcoin above 74k on april 2	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0x276226…
04-02 00:40:41	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x513937…
03-30 02:05:10	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0xdbf202…
03-29 07:23:12	bitcoin above 62k on march 29	Yes	BUY	139	100¢	$138	0x41a842…
03-29 05:10:12	btc updown 15m 1774760400	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x915829…
03-28 07:33:27	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xac99ee…
03-27 08:01:13	bitcoin above 74k on march 27	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0xfa82cb…
03-26 02:16:11	bitcoin above 76k on march 26	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0xff7122…
03-26 01:18:49	nba sas mem 2026 03 25	Spurs	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x239f70…
03-26 01:18:37	nba mia cle 2026 03 25	Heat	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xe1d359…
03-24 07:36:09	bitcoin above 78k on march 24	No	BUY	111	100¢	$110	0xb64901…
03-24 07:33:15	bitcoin above 78k on march 24	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xef40c9…
03-24 00:03:01	nba ind orl 2026 03 23	Magic	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x5f7588…
03-23 08:29:05	bitcoin above 74k on march 23	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x610f7a…
03-23 08:13:23	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xe72d91…
03-21 09:27:47	bitcoin above 68k on march 21	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$149	0x79e233…
03-21 03:23:49	cbb cabap kan 2026 03 20	Kansas Jayhawks	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xf12ad8…
03-20 11:21:25	cs2 inf1 biga 2026 03 20	BIG Academy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x252596…
03-20 03:33:31	cbb stlou ga 2026 03 19	Saint Louis Billikens	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xdfb641…
03-19 00:21:31	nba okc bkn 2026 03 18	Thunder	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x09240a…
03-17 10:55:23	btc updown 15m 1773744300	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd8fc7c…
03-17 07:51:55	bitcoin above 80k on march 17	No	BUY	270	100¢	$269	0x6bf27c…
03-17 01:55:01	nba dal nop 2026 03 16	Pelicans	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x09f3c7…
03-17 01:54:49	nba phx bos 2026 03 16	Celtics	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc43610…
03-15 09:06:59	bitcoin above 78k on march 16	No	BUY	275	100¢	$274	0x299f86…
03-14 04:12:59	meta up or down on march 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x211063…
03-13 11:19:39	bitcoin above 78k on march 13	No	BUY	279	100¢	$279	0x0007fb…
03-12 02:48:25	bitcoin above 64k on march 12	Yes	BUY	260	100¢	$259	0xc32aab…
03-12 00:33:47	nba cle orl 2026 03 11	Magic	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x31bd5a…
03-12 00:32:49	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 300 319	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x3bbc23…
03-11 02:01:29	bitcoin above 64k on march 11	Yes	BUY	260	100¢	$259	0xde9f74…
03-11 02:00:45	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 300 319	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcbe16d…
03-11 02:00:39	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 280 299	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8a82b6…
03-10 01:23:25	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0x69988d…
03-09 04:14:09	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	Yes	BUY	270	100¢	$269	0x2408bf…
03-08 06:27:53	bitcoin above 62k on march 8	Yes	BUY	269	100¢	$268	0x6feabb…
03-08 00:44:25	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xba0c2e…
03-08 00:44:17	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xdcf105…
03-07 03:03:11	will iran strike israel on march 6	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x1c5c17…
03-07 03:03:03	will iran strike israel on march 7	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x1253c4…
03-06 03:18:11	bitcoin above 64k on march 6	Yes	BUY	260	100¢	$259	0xb3a40f…
03-06 02:06:17	nba uta was 2026 03 05	Jazz	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xf82525…
03-06 02:06:05	nba dal orl 2026 03 05	Magic	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x074b55…
03-05 09:42:21	bitcoin above 64k on march 5	Yes	BUY	275	100¢	$275	0x73d5ab…
03-04 05:27:59	bitcoin above 62k on march 4	Yes	BUY	171	100¢	$171	0xaf302e…
03-04 01:54:21	elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 115 139	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc8aeeb…
03-03 08:12:37	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xa650fe…
03-03 08:12:27	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 260 279	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x362447…
03-02 03:18:33	bitcoin above 54k on march 3	Yes	BUY	260	100¢	$259	0x1cb67c…
03-02 02:39:19	highest temperature in london on march 2 2026 13c	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xeabe79…
03-02 02:39:09	highest temperature in london on march 2 2026 18corhigher	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7380c9…
03-01 04:45:17	bitcoin above 74k on march 1	No	BUY	272	100¢	$272	0xcef365…
02-28 02:03:59	bitcoin above 58k on february 28	Yes	BUY	260	100¢	$259	0xc995bc…
02-28 00:57:17	nhl buf fla 2026 02 27	Sabres	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe71fcb…
02-28 00:57:07	nba nyk mil 2026 02 27	Knicks	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x22c46a…