Upset-Vest — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$85

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 05-29 03:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

64% — —

Crypto

28% 100% +$0

Politics

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	1	$110	110	+110	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 26?	1	$110	110	+110	open	—	04-25 07:10
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 540 559	1	$109	110	+110	open	—	04-14 08:21
bitcoin above 64k on april 6	1	$109	109	+109	open	—	04-06 07:53
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 165 189	1	$109	109	+109	open	—	03-29 09:12
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 580plus	1	$109	109	+109	open	—	03-24 07:12
us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	1	$109	109	+109	open	—	02-13 01:46
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	1	$108	109	+109	open	—	02-05 06:46
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 260 279	1	$108	108	+108	open	—	02-01 08:15
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 240 259	1	$108	108	+108	open	—	01-28 07:25
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 0 39	1	$108	108	+108	open	—	01-24 11:28
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 0 39	1	$108	108	+108	open	—	01-19 11:14
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 320 339	1	$107	107	+107	open	—	01-12 07:19
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 340 359	1	$56	56	+56	open	—	04-20 07:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 30?	1	$55	55	+55	open	—	05-29 03:43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$55	55	+55	open	—	04-28 09:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	1	$55	55	+55	open	—	05-17 06:28
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 215 239	1	$55	55	+55	open	—	03-17 02:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 12?	1	$55	55	+55	Yes	+$0	05-11 06:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	1	$55	55	+55	open	—	05-13 08:36
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	1	$55	55	+55	open	—	04-28 09:50
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 360 379	1	$54	54	+54	open	—	03-17 02:31
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 190 214	1	$54	54	+54	open	—	04-20 07:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 03:43:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x536729…
05-17 06:28:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x4e346c…
05-13 08:36:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xbb8c0c…
05-11 06:50:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xa8641d…
05-07 06:29:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xf9344b…
04-28 09:50:48	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xad0aec…
04-28 09:50:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x90618a…
04-25 07:10:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x36153e…
04-20 07:05:34	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 340 359	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xbc83b0…
04-20 07:05:22	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 190 214	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xcc329a…
04-14 08:21:19	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 540 559	No	BUY	110	100¢	$109	0xe0d534…
04-06 07:53:33	bitcoin above 64k on april 6	Yes	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x940946…
03-29 09:12:22	elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 165 189	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x780814…
03-24 07:12:43	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 580plus	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xb11890…
03-17 02:32:59	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 215 239	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xa7faec…
03-17 02:31:23	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 360 379	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xb05513…
02-13 01:46:51	us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x18c205…
02-05 06:46:13	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	No	BUY	109	100¢	$108	0xcc6a2a…
02-01 08:15:34	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 260 279	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xd65bd9…
01-28 07:25:49	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 240 259	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xdf24fa…
01-24 11:28:24	elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 0 39	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x4c6920…
01-19 11:14:50	elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 0 39	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x097e81…
01-12 07:19:22	elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 320 339	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xdad543…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	20	$36.9K	755	05-29 06:41
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	16	$1.16K	435	05-29 06:53
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	15	$3.20K	1,965	04-16 11:43
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	14	$19.0K	558	05-11 10:39
Weird-Nylon 0x6864…294b	13	$9.37K	932	04-20 21:11
Bumpy-Owl 0xd8c4…848d	13	$1.82K	1,075	04-20 14:59
Ondra 0x849c…4009	12	$37.7K	1,348	04-19 11:56
Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b	12	$15.9K	1,739	04-09 19:46