Formal-Monger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.8%

Resolved

Trades

549

lifetime

Volume

$2.65K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 05-26 19:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 49% $-4

Sports

9% 42% $-5

Other

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 220 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	10	$244	265	246	+19	open	—	04-25 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	7	$154	157	128	+29	open	—	04-25 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	9	$135	100	97	+3	open	—	04-25 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	7	$115	108	35	+74	open	—	04-25 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	9	$104	78	62	+16	open	—	04-25 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	3	$76	46	41	+5	open	—	04-25 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	6	$75	167	67	+99	open	—	04-26 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	8	$58	54	52	+2	open	—	04-25 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	5	$55	61	41	+20	open	—	04-26 04:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	3	$48	68	26	+43	open	—	04-26 20:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	8	$47	45	43	+2	open	—	04-26 20:29
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals	6	$46	56	43	+13	open	—	04-25 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	9	$45	51	49	+2	open	—	04-25 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	7	$43	64	37	+27	open	—	04-25 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	6	$43	42	41	+2	open	—	04-25 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	6	$42	42	40	+2	open	—	04-25 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	4	$37	30	30	+0	Down	+$3	05-06 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	5	$37	79	17	+63	open	—	04-25 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	5	$36	36	30	+6	open	—	04-26 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	8	$35	36	35	+1	open	—	04-25 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	8	$31	37	31	+6	open	—	04-25 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	5	$30	30	20	+11	open	—	04-25 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	4	$27	31	29	+1	open	—	04-26 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	4	$27	23	23	+1	open	—	04-25 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	7	$26	33	27	+6	open	—	04-25 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	4	$26	20	20	+1	open	—	04-25 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	5	$25	22	21	+1	open	—	04-25 20:37
Spurs vs. Thunder	4	$23	36	13	+23	open	—	05-19 01:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	6	$23	18	18	+0	open	—	05-02 21:54
btc updown 5m 1777009800	2	$22	19	18	+1	open	—	04-24 05:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 19:26:15	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xa929a2…
05-26 19:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0xbdbe8b…
05-23 23:20:56	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x99bbfa…
05-23 23:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x82383f…
05-19 04:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xde5795…
05-19 04:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x6f69a8…
05-19 04:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc3eec0…
05-19 04:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x2ef06b…
05-19 04:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x2265d4…
05-19 04:01:03	Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners	Chicago White Sox	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf847bc…
05-19 03:37:38	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x3cb8ab…
05-19 01:22:09	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6466e3…
05-19 01:19:24	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	13	49¢	$6	0x35b683…
05-19 00:45:36	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xb640a0…
05-19 00:44:21	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xce7886…
05-14 19:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0x9e88cf…
05-14 19:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x872655…
05-12 20:16:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0x5c4d03…
05-11 16:30:39	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8f1e81…
05-11 16:27:17	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf46ac4…
05-11 16:27:07	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0xb5384f…
05-11 16:26:27	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x3c59a7…
05-11 16:25:24	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x99c89d…
05-11 16:25:20	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7f37bb…
05-11 16:20:54	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbb8dc3…
05-11 16:19:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x652c63…
05-10 02:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa7f7ef…
05-10 02:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0x50959b…
05-10 02:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x5a6426…
05-10 02:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x08baa7…
05-10 02:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x09210b…
05-10 02:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x795442…
05-10 02:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7d421b…
05-10 02:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x3c9cf0…
05-10 02:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x248057…
05-10 02:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x38acda…
05-09 20:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x5225d9…
05-09 20:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xde5490…
05-09 20:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf5f3c6…
05-09 20:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd54a54…
05-09 20:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x089f77…
05-09 20:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0da09f…
05-09 20:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xf76441…
05-09 20:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xe48ab1…
05-09 20:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0x4b8556…
05-09 20:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x7171cc…
05-09 20:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfdec99…
05-09 20:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xf3e582…
05-09 20:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xb88b47…
05-09 20:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x27254e…
05-09 19:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	11	43¢	$5	0x88fb2d…
05-09 19:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xffb5ff…
05-09 19:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xdc45b1…
05-09 19:29:29	Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb72f1c…
05-09 19:29:19	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x77464d…
05-09 19:28:33	New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa762cf…
05-09 19:28:14	Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x45b1ab…
05-09 19:28:05	Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds	Houston Astros	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xfe5d32…
05-09 19:27:34	Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles	Athletics	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x62d47c…
05-09 19:27:22	Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf553b5…
05-09 19:27:09	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xc1aecb…
05-09 00:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0xbd5f6a…
05-09 00:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe85417…
05-09 00:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf6b748…
05-09 00:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0xce102b…
05-09 00:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x4f8ef5…
05-08 23:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0xa7e123…
05-08 23:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x17a3f4…
05-08 23:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xadcfb6…
05-08 23:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xce7abd…
05-08 23:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0xb95c07…
05-08 23:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x45ae20…
05-08 23:43:54	Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Colorado Rockies	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xdb1ded…
05-08 23:43:40	Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds	Houston Astros	SELL	3	94¢	$2	0x19fb0e…
05-08 19:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x3aa404…
05-08 19:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x8b000f…
05-08 19:50:02	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe92b9b…
05-08 19:49:48	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x68a7e3…
05-08 19:49:27	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xad3da1…
05-08 19:49:20	Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x1dafdc…
05-08 19:49:08	Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox	Seattle Mariners	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x00c478…
05-08 19:48:54	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x189461…
05-08 19:48:42	Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4f48dc…
05-08 19:48:28	Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x06cf11…
05-08 19:48:15	Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf15625…
05-08 19:48:08	Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds	Houston Astros	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xb9f3d4…
05-08 19:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x46ee6d…
05-08 19:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xae9588…
05-08 19:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xb3eb52…
05-08 19:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x24cd08…
05-08 19:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x2ed23b…
05-08 19:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4800be…
05-08 19:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	21	20¢	$4	0xa66e50…
05-08 19:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x6aa3cf…
05-08 16:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xfb55ac…
05-08 16:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x431322…
05-08 16:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x4f4418…
05-06 16:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x623b52…
05-06 16:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x8c8230…
05-06 16:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0xf7fa67…