Natural-Round — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$94

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$268

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-09 20:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 33% $-94

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	3	$33	27	27	+0	Up	+$7	05-09 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$26	17	17	+0	Up	+$8	05-09 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	5	$24	19	19	+0	Up	+$13	05-09 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$21	14	14	+0	Down	+$7	05-09 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$20	39	0	+39	Up	$-20	05-09 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	05-09 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$15	36	0	+36	Down	$-15	05-09 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$15	25	0	+25	Up	$-15	05-09 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$14	40	0	+40	Up	$-14	05-09 19:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$12	46	0	+46	Down	$-12	05-09 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$3	05-09 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	$-10	05-09 19:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$10	18	0	+18	Down	$-10	05-09 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Down	$-10	05-09 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$10	28	0	+28	Down	$-10	05-09 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$10	18	0	+18	Up	$-10	05-09 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$6	17	17	+0	Up	$-6	05-09 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$5	25	0	+25	Down	$-5	05-08 14:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 20:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0xa9b1f3…
05-09 20:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0x4a2a37…
05-09 20:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x2f127f…
05-09 20:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xe1320f…
05-09 20:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xfd3918…
05-09 20:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x3bdb31…
05-09 20:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x072c66…
05-09 20:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0x59f612…
05-09 20:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0xc835a0…
05-09 19:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	19	71¢	$14	0xf3f872…
05-09 19:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	49¢	$13	0x91c83e…
05-09 19:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	17	96¢	$17	0x0306c8…
05-09 19:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x3ae4c1…
05-09 19:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x8c1650…
05-09 19:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x4ed87a…
05-09 19:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x0abd0b…
05-09 19:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x91e5e5…
05-09 19:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	46	26¢	$12	0x0294b6…
05-09 19:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x28ea84…
05-09 19:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0x16aeee…
05-09 19:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xaeb839…
05-09 19:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x625bf8…
05-09 19:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7396cb…
05-09 19:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x60d7d7…
05-09 19:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x51bc67…
05-09 19:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x385f59…
05-09 18:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x4fb8ae…
05-09 18:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x0b96c0…
05-08 14:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x06f72b…