Natural-Round — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.17K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.4%

Resolved

460

Trades

791

lifetime

Volume

$19.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 11-08 10:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 55% -$1,017

Other

6% 19% -$232

Sports

0% 100% +$78

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down october 5 2026 1am et	4	$295	442	442	+0	Up	-$145	10-05 05:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$266	159	159	+0	Up	+$38	09-02 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	2	$229	134	134	+0	Down	+$21	09-02 14:38
Exact Score: Republic of Ireland 1 - 1 Israel?	3	$215	286	286	+0	Yes	+$135	10-04 20:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 06:05 UTC	2	$212	145	145	+0	Down	+$32	10-05 06:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	2	$209	209	209	+0	Up	+$29	10-05 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	2	$206	128	128	+0	Down	+$22	10-05 06:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	6	$188	147	147	+0	Up	+$43	06-16 13:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 07:15 UTC	2	$185	137	137	+0	Up	+$59	07-01 07:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$181	179	179	+0	Up	+$27	07-01 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	3	$172	206	124	+82	Down	-$62	10-05 07:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 09:00 UTC	2	$169	110	110	+0	Up	+$39	10-15 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	2	$160	111	111	+0	Up	+$47	11-04 13:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 13:45 UTC	2	$155	106	106	+0	Up	+$43	06-16 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$155	113	113	+0	Up	+$51	09-02 14:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 21:45 UTC	2	$152	111	111	+0	Up	+$52	06-30 21:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 13:30 UTC	2	$148	121	121	+0	Up	+$66	07-01 13:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 13:05 UTC	2	$146	100	100	+0	Down	+$26	06-16 13:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 09:10 UTC	2	$145	90	90	+0	Down	+$23	07-01 09:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 07:15 UTC	2	$145	196	196	+0	Up	-$137	10-05 07:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 11:15 UTC	2	$144	122	122	+0	Down	+$22	07-01 11:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 09:15 UTC	2	$143	87	87	+0	Down	+$21	07-01 09:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$140	122	122	+0	Down	+$52	11-04 13:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 21:15 UTC	2	$139	92	92	+0	Up	+$19	06-30 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	2	$138	118	118	+0	Up	+$58	10-15 12:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 05:40 UTC	2	$138	80	80	+0	Up	+$18	10-05 05:42
fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 3pt5	3	$136	107	107	+0	Over	+$78	06-17 20:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 09:05 UTC	2	$136	80	80	+0	Down	+$14	07-02 09:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$130	74	74	+0	Up	+$10	10-05 06:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$127	78	78	+0	Down	+$19	10-15 10:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 10:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	112	17¢	$19	0xa7a3a4…
11-08 10:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	23	81¢	$19	0x756b3b…
11-08 09:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xf74782…
11-08 09:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0xf8e895…
11-08 09:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	27	89¢	$24	0x3ce5d1…
11-08 09:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	27	70¢	$19	0x67c887…
11-07 18:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0x5d2db9…
11-07 18:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0x1d878a…
11-07 17:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	31	95¢	$29	0x8ce8e7…
11-07 17:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	62¢	$19	0x2bb37b…
11-04 14:13:34	Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 0 - 0 Liverpool FC?	Yes	BUY	132	3¢	$3	0x2f7141…
11-04 13:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	88	64¢	$56	0x26049e…
11-04 13:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	133	9¢	$12	0x0bd14c…
11-04 13:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	72	98¢	$71	0xbe8d51…
11-04 13:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	72	61¢	$44	0x0539b3…
11-04 13:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	75	75¢	$56	0x68b8a3…
11-04 13:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	122	78¢	$96	0xeb3fc3…
11-04 13:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	122	36¢	$44	0xaaad82…
11-04 13:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	98	45¢	$44	0x5bae9a…
11-04 13:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	111	93¢	$103	0x9fc21b…
11-04 13:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	111	51¢	$57	0xaec4f0…
11-04 13:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	86	51¢	$44	0xad2d94…
11-04 13:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	58	99¢	$58	0xf97872…
11-04 13:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	58	60¢	$35	0x5f63a9…
11-04 12:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	75	96¢	$72	0xd3296f…
11-04 12:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	75	65¢	$49	0x039d98…
11-04 12:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	65	84¢	$54	0x2091b9…
11-04 12:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	65	48¢	$31	0x1f9d3f…
10-25 17:47:24	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xa37fb5…
10-25 17:47:02	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 0 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	225	4¢	$10	0x290c85…
10-25 17:25:03	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x692ce4…
10-25 17:22:39	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 0 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	333	5¢	$16	0x94d862…
10-25 14:02:24	Exact Score: Manchester United FC 3 - 0 AFC Bournemouth?	Yes	BUY	469	3¢	$15	0x23c5cf…
10-25 14:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	36	93¢	$34	0x0e61ca…
10-25 14:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	36	77¢	$28	0x1bfc3c…
10-22 11:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xa9e190…
10-22 11:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xd3aead…
10-22 11:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	55	20¢	$11	0xbf13c4…
10-22 11:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	19	83¢	$16	0x2f975c…
10-22 11:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0x71f764…
10-20 12:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	951	1¢	$10	0xf48d41…
10-20 12:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	31	2¢	$1	0xf777e1…
10-20 12:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	31	78¢	$24	0x015d0b…
10-20 12:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0x440d03…
10-20 12:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	33	57¢	$19	0xccc239…
10-20 12:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	22	92¢	$21	0x5ae442…
10-20 12:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	22	85¢	$19	0x8d72f6…
10-20 11:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0x4a8bef…
10-20 11:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0xc8d8e1…
10-20 11:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	69	8¢	$5	0x2a1b73…
10-20 11:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	69	35¢	$24	0xedb06c…
10-19 18:55:17	Exact Score: Beitar Jerusalem FC 1 - 0 Maccabi Tel Aviv FC?	Yes	SELL	206	18¢	$37	0x3737d4…
10-19 17:34:44	Exact Score: Beitar Jerusalem FC 1 - 0 Maccabi Tel Aviv FC?	Yes	BUY	206	6¢	$13	0x433454…
10-17 15:42:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	17	63¢	$11	0xb5eeeb…
10-16 17:55:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x456553…
10-16 17:50:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	38	32¢	$12	0x656532…
10-16 17:46:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	28	43¢	$12	0x6ac108…
10-16 16:42:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x6d6428…
10-16 16:39:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:35 UTC	Up	SELL	41	63¢	$26	0x966607…
10-16 16:36:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	41	29¢	$12	0x55a866…
10-16 16:33:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:30 UTC	Down	SELL	29	90¢	$26	0x6f40c1…
10-16 16:31:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	29	77¢	$22	0xf936ec…
10-16 16:29:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:25 UTC	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$23	0x07b009…
10-16 16:27:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	24	68¢	$16	0x8e07ed…
10-15 12:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0x414511…
10-15 12:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	32	76¢	$24	0xc442f8…
10-15 12:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	118	83¢	$98	0xc242e0…
10-15 12:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	118	34¢	$40	0x7ad28e…
10-15 11:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	71	34¢	$24	0x4d8bc6…
10-15 10:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	55	96¢	$53	0x6f12aa…
10-15 10:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	55	51¢	$28	0x3b2a83…
10-15 10:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	60	81¢	$49	0x2a7d5c…
10-15 10:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	60	40¢	$24	0xf13f6e…
10-15 10:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	78	94¢	$73	0x54df41…
10-15 10:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	78	69¢	$54	0x45e4e4…
10-15 10:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	52	94¢	$49	0x869461…
10-15 10:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0xa03a24…
10-15 10:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	36	86¢	$31	0xbfaf94…
10-15 10:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	36	77¢	$28	0x55d1ba…
10-15 10:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	47	93¢	$43	0xb7a347…
10-15 10:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	47	60¢	$28	0x974739…
10-15 10:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	68	11¢	$7	0xf367d0…
10-15 10:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	68	59¢	$40	0x316388…
10-15 09:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x8d0de1…
10-15 09:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	33	85¢	$28	0xf4f685…
10-15 09:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	33	84¢	$28	0x2a9bfa…
10-15 09:14:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	110	94¢	$104	0xf5e9f4…
10-15 09:00:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	110	59¢	$65	0x8dba70…
10-15 08:59:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:55 UTC	Up	SELL	82	86¢	$70	0x73b47c…
10-15 08:59:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	82	29¢	$24	0x19456f…
10-15 08:58:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:55 UTC	Up	SELL	76	1¢	$1	0x5e77ad…
10-15 08:55:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x86bf6f…
10-15 08:54:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:50 UTC	Down	SELL	32	87¢	$28	0x6d363e…
10-15 08:51:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0xfc7acd…
10-15 08:47:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:45 UTC	Up	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x0cff48…
10-15 08:45:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x4b18f7…
10-15 08:43:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	76	9¢	$7	0x19d8b3…
10-15 08:40:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	76	58¢	$44	0x1f94cc…
10-15 08:02:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	42	89¢	$38	0x410848…
10-15 08:00:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	42	33¢	$14	0xbf1e60…