Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$195

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

67.3%

Resolved (7d)

291

Trades (7d)

504

1,066 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$3.81K

$7.73K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$206

9 positions

First seen

2026-10-13

last 10-30 05:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

60% 39% +$400

Politics

17% 57% -$77

Sports

10% 66% +$108

Crypto

9% 42% +$27

Tech

2% 77% +$8

Pop-Culture

2% 80% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 156 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?	No	+92	$54	67¢	$62	+$8	10-27 09:11
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	+53	$40	82¢	$44	+$4	10-21 23:28
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	+39	$19	59¢	$23	+$3	10-28 10:44
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	No	+64	$22	34¢	$22	$0	10-25 10:02
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	+39	$19	40¢	$16	-$3	10-22 13:32
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?	No	+33	$20	45¢	$15	-$5	10-20 22:10
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	Yes	+20	$11	66¢	$13	+$3	10-28 17:42
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	+53	$13	18¢	$9	-$3	10-21 23:28
Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	+5	$2	46¢	$2	+$0	10-29 21:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	42	$600	794	87	+707	Yes	-$460	10-25 23:24
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	32	$266	655	86	+569	No	+$392	10-25 23:24
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 22?	6	$135	126	126	+0	Yes	+$85	10-25 03:08
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?	7	$105	126	34	+92	open	—	10-27 09:11
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)	4	$104	80	80	+0	Lakers	+$24	10-29 04:46
Will the biggest earthquake on October 26, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	4	$96	89	89	+0	Yes	+$82	10-27 18:00
Lakers vs. Clippers	5	$92	113	33	+80	Lakers	+$13	10-29 04:46
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 22?	2	$87	87	87	+0	No	+$70	10-22 14:08
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on October 29?	5	$81	64	64	+0	Yes	+$44	10-29 23:17
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 22?	2	$81	88	88	+0	Yes	+$63	10-22 15:57
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 19-25?	4	$72	51	51	+0	Yes	+$30	10-26 01:46
Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	5	$72	112	112	+0	Yes	+$39	10-27 20:58
nba atl dal 2026 10 16 spread home 0pt5	3	$72	82	41	+41	Hawks	+$40	10-17 01:21
Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) Q3 total backlog be above $210B?	6	$72	66	21	+45	Yes	+$9	10-22 10:20
Paris curfew by October 21?	6	$70	119	0	+119	Yes	+$49	10-19 17:11
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 25?	3	$69	36	36	+0	No	+$3	10-26 01:11
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on October 25?	4	$61	33	33	+0	No	+$5	10-26 03:31
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C or higher on October 24?	3	$60	75	0	+75	Yes	+$15	10-24 20:08
Visa (V) Q4 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) 13.5% to 14.5%?	6	$60	57	57	+0	Yes	+$30	10-27 20:06
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?	3	$58	94	0	+94	No	-$58	10-22 16:08
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 25?	5	$58	87	36	+51	Yes	-$24	10-25 23:32
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 20?	3	$58	72	22	+50	Yes	+$29	10-20 07:53
Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?	6	$56	68	37	+31	Yes	+$5	10-29 09:53
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C on October 25?	3	$56	38	38	+0	Yes	+$20	10-25 23:12
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 24?	2	$55	35	35	+0	Yes	+$15	10-25 03:08
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)	3	$52	47	28	+19	Lakers	+$13	10-29 04:46
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	6	$52	127	80	+48	No	-$7	10-24 03:06
Paris curfew by October 19?	7	$51	126	0	+126	Yes	-$51	10-19 17:11
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	2	$50	31	31	+0	No	+$10	10-29 04:34
Will there be exactly 3 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12?	4	$50	65	0	+65	Yes	+$15	10-19 02:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 08:37:54	nba cha was 2026 10 30 1h total 114pt5	Under	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xce1d87…
10-30 08:37:54	nba cha was 2026 10 30 1h total 113pt5	Over	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x8c241c…
10-30 05:41:33	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $785 on October 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdde40f…
10-30 05:41:31	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 on October 30?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xab53ce…
10-30 02:53:04	spy closes above 780 on october 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x200458…
10-30 02:53:03	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $785 on October 30?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x7f2f82…
10-30 02:41:27	amzn close above 260 on october 30 2026	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x1919f0…
10-30 02:41:01	amzn close above 260 on october 30 2026	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x48f308…
10-30 02:39:51	amzn close above 255 on october 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xf35f6b…
10-30 02:39:49	amzn close above 260 on october 30 2026	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x7eb491…
10-30 02:31:27	msft close above 560 on october 30 2026	No	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x85fa7c…
10-30 02:31:16	msft close above 560 on october 30 2026	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x07669c…
10-30 02:05:25	googl close above 300 on october 30 2026	No	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0x672d31…
10-30 02:04:48	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $290 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x13f854…
10-30 02:04:46	googl close above 300 on october 30 2026	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x513881…
10-30 01:19:48	bitcoin above 76400 on october 29 2026 10pm et	Yes	SELL	26	88¢	$23	0xe5e8ec…
10-30 01:02:45	bitcoin above 76400 on october 29 2026 10pm et	Yes	BUY	26	75¢	$20	0x1bdb6c…
10-30 00:43:51	Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x7a7d6f…
10-30 00:03:43	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x533fe9…
10-30 00:03:40	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be at least $6.00T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	0¢	$0	0x8968f6…
10-30 00:03:40	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x75e52c…
10-30 00:03:40	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5d4c36…
10-30 00:03:40	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x1c41ae…
10-30 00:03:40	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be less than $3.50T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x0b976f…
10-30 00:03:40	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x033198…
10-29 23:17:55	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x4aae49…
10-29 23:06:36	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3ce144…
10-29 23:03:18	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0xa9239c…
10-29 22:51:48	nvda close above 210 on october 30 2026	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xfed58c…
10-29 22:51:48	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of October 26 above $210?	No	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x64ee33…
10-29 22:33:04	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	23	95¢	$22	0xe0ffd8…
10-29 22:32:28	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	66	2¢	$1	0x85e7df…
10-29 22:32:28	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	78	6¢	$5	0x26e90c…
10-29 22:32:27	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	363	0¢	$1	0xc6bda6…
10-29 22:32:27	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 1°C or below on October 29?	Yes	BUY	82	0¢	$0	0xae0186…
10-29 22:32:27	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 2°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	69	1¢	$0	0xa8c0b7…
10-29 22:32:27	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	64	29¢	$18	0x8bcf93…
10-29 22:32:27	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	866	0¢	$1	0x0494cf…
10-29 22:30:07	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xc98aaf…
10-29 22:22:57	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	640	0¢	$1	0x7c0c32…
10-29 22:22:57	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	24	25¢	$6	0x16e65c…
10-29 22:22:55	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xf2976c…
10-29 22:22:55	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xa00da7…
10-29 22:22:55	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 10°C or below on October 30?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x96afd8…
10-29 22:22:55	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x1b4b68…
10-29 21:31:28	Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x338653…
10-29 20:43:16	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on October 29?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x853340…
10-29 20:01:00	Will the biggest earthquake on October 28, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x3c6453…
10-29 19:08:12	Will the biggest earthquake on October 28, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6ad699…
10-29 16:36:04	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x7f2779…
10-29 16:36:02	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x722c52…
10-29 16:34:19	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	25¢	$4	0xb9e331…
10-29 16:34:19	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	35¢	$6	0xb6d514…
10-29 16:34:19	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0x16ae7d…
10-29 14:29:04	Spread: Grizzlies (-16.5)	Trail Blazers	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x66145e…
10-29 14:28:04	Spread: Grizzlies (-16.5)	Trail Blazers	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x0868ad…
10-29 14:26:53	Spread: Grizzlies (-16.5)	Trail Blazers	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xed7fdf…
10-29 14:25:52	Spread: Grizzlies (-16.5)	Trail Blazers	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x98a931…
10-29 14:21:43	Spread: Grizzlies (-16.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x3518ee…
10-29 13:28:32	Mastercard (MA) Q3 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 10.5% to 11.5%?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xa981aa…
10-29 11:01:11	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C or higher on October 29?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x835ce5…
10-29 10:50:49	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xab23ce…
10-29 10:30:20	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1e3ddc…
10-29 10:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C or higher on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xe5f8cb…
10-29 09:53:40	Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xa5b7fd…
10-29 05:00:46	Spread: Lakers (-3.5)	Lakers	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x77e1b9…
10-29 04:46:19	Spread: Clippers (-1.5)	Lakers	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x6b3210…
10-29 04:46:17	Spread: Lakers (-1.5)	Lakers	SELL	28	98¢	$28	0xf111b5…
10-29 04:46:17	Spread: Lakers (-2.5)	Lakers	SELL	12	95¢	$12	0xb30c73…
10-29 04:46:17	Lakers vs. Clippers	Lakers	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x7caf27…
10-29 04:40:52	Will Gavin Williams lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x3b5e1a…
10-29 04:34:35	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0x70cde6…
10-29 03:46:11	Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0xb4d0ae…
10-29 03:40:56	Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xb10392…
10-29 03:40:31	Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xddec3b…
10-29 03:24:02	Spread: Lakers (-3.5)	Lakers	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x5000c4…
10-29 03:22:52	Spread: Clippers (-1.5)	Lakers	SELL	40	62¢	$25	0x585f5d…
10-29 00:09:07	Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 6.5% to 7.5%?	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x79e5be…
10-28 23:21:58	76ers vs. Pacers	Pacers	SELL	28	33¢	$9	0xf0b0ab…
10-28 23:04:43	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 7°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xdeb7db…
10-28 22:24:28	Will the biggest earthquake on October 28, 2026 be 6.1 or more?	Yes	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xdb4e83…
10-28 22:24:28	Will the biggest earthquake on October 28, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x5aaed5…
10-28 22:24:28	Will the biggest earthquake on October 28, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x1c300f…
10-28 21:45:44	Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 8.5% to 9.5%?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x98dcf0…
10-28 21:24:14	Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 48% to 50%?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xc54db5…
10-28 20:11:11	Spread: Clippers (-1.5)	Lakers	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xe7f1f0…
10-28 20:11:11	Spread: Lakers (-3.5)	Lakers	BUY	4	37¢	$2	0xdebb16…
10-28 20:11:11	Spread: Clippers (-1.5)	Lakers	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xc3cc7b…
10-28 20:11:11	Spread: Lakers (-3.5)	Lakers	BUY	33	38¢	$12	0xb9bc46…
10-28 20:11:11	Spread: Lakers (-4.5)	Clippers	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xae4e78…
10-28 20:11:10	Lakers vs. Clippers	Clippers	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x666788…
10-28 20:06:28	Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 235.5	Over	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x261cbd…
10-28 20:03:11	Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 48% to 50%?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x96644b…
10-28 20:00:35	Spread: Lakers (-2.5)	Lakers	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xc1c63d…
10-28 20:00:29	Spread: Lakers (-1.5)	Lakers	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x795e0f…
10-28 20:00:25	Lakers vs. Clippers	Lakers	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x8b76cc…
10-28 20:00:25	Spread: Lakers (-2.5)	Clippers	BUY	28	45¢	$12	0x0a495f…
10-28 20:00:23	Spread: Lakers (-1.5)	Clippers	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xc07cc3…
10-28 20:00:23	Lakers vs. Clippers	Lakers	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xbb6deb…
10-28 20:00:22	Lakers vs. Clippers	Lakers	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x5f2be9…