Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$476

Unrealized P&L

-$39

Hit rate

70.1%

Resolved (90d)

466

Trades (90d)

1,143

1,143 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$8.45K

$8.45K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$190

12 positions

First seen

2026-10-13

last 10-31 15:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

58% 39% +$396

Politics

16% 56% -$68

Crypto

13% 42% +$27

Sports

9% 66% +$108

Tech

2% 77% +$8

Pop-Culture

2% 80% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 156 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?	No	+92	$54	64¢	$59	+$5	10-27 09:11
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	+53	$40	82¢	$44	+$3	10-21 23:28
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	No	+64	$22	37¢	$24	+$2	10-25 10:02
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	+39	$19	58¢	$22	+$3	10-28 10:44
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	+39	$19	43¢	$17	-$2	10-22 13:32
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?	No	+33	$20	44¢	$15	-$5	10-20 22:10
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	+53	$13	19¢	$10	-$3	10-21 23:28
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	+78	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	10-31 03:40
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	+89	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	10-31 03:40
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	+49	$20	0¢	$0	-$20	10-31 03:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 31?	Yes	+29	$20	0¢	$0	-$20	10-28 07:48
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$2	0¢	$0	-$1	10-31 03:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	42	$600	794	87	+707	Yes	-$460	10-25 23:24
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on October 31?	17	$322	365	0	+365	open	—	10-31 07:04
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	32	$266	655	86	+569	No	+$392	10-25 23:24
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 22?	6	$135	126	126	+0	Yes	+$85	10-25 03:08
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?	7	$105	126	34	+92	open	—	10-27 09:11
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)	4	$104	80	80	+0	Lakers	+$24	10-29 04:46
Will the biggest earthquake on October 26, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	4	$96	89	89	+0	Yes	+$82	10-27 18:00
Lakers vs. Clippers	5	$92	113	33	+80	Lakers	+$13	10-29 04:46
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 22?	2	$87	87	87	+0	No	+$70	10-22 14:08
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on October 29?	5	$81	64	64	+0	Yes	+$44	10-29 23:17
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 22?	2	$81	88	88	+0	Yes	+$63	10-22 15:57
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 19-25?	4	$72	51	51	+0	Yes	+$30	10-26 01:46
Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	5	$72	112	112	+0	Yes	+$39	10-27 20:58
nba atl dal 2026 10 16 spread home 0pt5	3	$72	82	41	+41	Hawks	+$40	10-17 01:21
Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) Q3 total backlog be above $210B?	6	$72	66	21	+45	Yes	+$9	10-22 10:20
Paris curfew by October 21?	6	$70	119	0	+119	Yes	+$49	10-19 17:11
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 25?	3	$69	36	36	+0	No	+$3	10-26 01:11
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on October 25?	4	$61	33	33	+0	No	+$5	10-26 03:31
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C or higher on October 24?	3	$60	75	0	+75	Yes	+$15	10-24 20:08
Visa (V) Q4 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) 13.5% to 14.5%?	6	$60	57	57	+0	Yes	+$30	10-27 20:06
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?	3	$58	94	0	+94	No	-$58	10-22 16:08
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 25?	5	$58	87	36	+51	Yes	-$24	10-25 23:32
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 20?	3	$58	72	22	+50	Yes	+$29	10-20 07:53
Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?	6	$56	68	37	+31	Yes	+$5	10-29 09:53
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C on October 25?	3	$56	38	38	+0	Yes	+$20	10-25 23:12
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 24?	2	$55	35	35	+0	Yes	+$15	10-25 03:08
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)	3	$52	47	28	+19	Lakers	+$13	10-29 04:46
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	6	$52	127	80	+48	No	-$7	10-24 03:06
Paris curfew by October 19?	7	$51	126	0	+126	Yes	-$51	10-19 17:11
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	2	$50	31	31	+0	No	+$10	10-29 04:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 15:10:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 31?	Yes	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x710c25…
10-31 13:09:39	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $330 on November 2?	Yes	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xa6df5d…
10-31 09:13:07	Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x79f727…
10-31 07:04:13	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xc2e11b…
10-31 07:04:13	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0xaeed26…
10-31 07:04:13	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on October 31?	No	BUY	13	89¢	$11	0x5c1a4e…
10-31 07:04:13	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on October 31?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x51fbed…
10-31 06:54:43	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on October 31?	No	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0xfcabf5…
10-31 06:54:42	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xcf4ad0…
10-31 06:54:31	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on October 31?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xf33f30…
10-31 06:54:31	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on October 31?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x92e13b…
10-31 06:54:31	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on October 31?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x8ffed6…
10-31 06:54:31	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on October 31?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x6a6f21…
10-31 06:54:31	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	23	10¢	$2	0x55e4ea…
10-31 06:54:31	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	23	10¢	$2	0x25c12a…
10-31 06:54:31	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	23	10¢	$2	0x1d8ab5…
10-31 06:54:31	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	23	10¢	$2	0x04c9e6…
10-31 06:54:00	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	23	10¢	$2	0xeecec7…
10-31 06:54:00	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on October 31?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xe13bc2…
10-31 06:53:58	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on October 31?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xc50739…
10-31 06:53:58	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on October 31?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xbf3ee6…
10-31 06:53:58	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	23	10¢	$2	0x8ad885…
10-31 06:53:58	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	23	10¢	$2	0x734ade…
10-31 06:51:16	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	23	10¢	$2	0xda9c35…
10-31 06:51:16	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on October 31?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xcdd610…
10-31 06:51:16	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on October 31?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xaa5c6a…
10-31 06:51:16	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	23	10¢	$2	0xa31b40…
10-31 06:51:16	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on October 31?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x921d16…
10-31 06:51:16	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	23	10¢	$2	0x7d5f7c…
10-31 06:51:16	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on October 31?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x71011d…
10-31 06:51:16	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	23	10¢	$2	0x5853e2…
10-31 06:51:16	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	23	10¢	$2	0x318350…
10-31 06:51:16	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on October 31?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x24b5a9…
10-31 06:51:16	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on October 31?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x1ed03f…
10-31 06:51:16	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on October 31?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x1480e5…
10-31 06:51:16	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	23	10¢	$2	0x04dc03…
10-31 06:51:15	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	23	10¢	$2	0xff8717…
10-31 05:37:52	Spread: Rockets (-2.5)	Rockets	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xea9946…
10-31 05:37:52	Spread: Rockets (-3.5)	Thunder	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0x972d4f…
10-31 03:40:07	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x44c7ef…
10-31 03:40:06	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xc00d73…
10-31 03:40:06	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	1¢	$1	0x4aeb1d…
10-31 03:40:06	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	1¢	$1	0x0b071a…
10-31 02:28:48	aapl close above 330 on november 2 2026	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xcf16f3…
10-31 00:11:18	Hornets vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 114.5	Under	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd12c16…
10-30 23:55:22	Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xf3735d…
10-30 20:51:40	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be less than $3.50T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc563ba…
10-30 20:30:40	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0x9e944f…
10-30 20:23:45	Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0x06c5f4…
10-30 20:00:10	Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of October 26 above $400?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x755c37…
10-30 20:00:10	Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of October 26 above $345?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x396201…
10-30 20:00:09	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of October 26 above $210?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xc1169b…
10-30 20:00:09	Will Micron (MU) close above $1,080 end of October?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x7c6bd6…
10-30 19:58:24	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 on October 30?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x08a03a…
10-30 18:25:22	Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xdc50f5…
10-30 18:23:52	Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x413ecd…
10-30 18:08:12	Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of October 26 above $345?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x7853f4…
10-30 18:08:12	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $345 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x0ed35e…
10-30 17:47:10	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xb8dca8…
10-30 17:47:10	Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of October 26 above $400?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x2287b1…
10-30 17:23:21	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x870da2…
10-30 17:06:58	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 on October 30?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1f7279…
10-30 15:13:27	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x03ae2e…
10-30 14:30:34	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x9b01c8…
10-30 14:00:25	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $785 on October 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6c27db…
10-30 13:40:22	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on November 2?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xefc032…
10-30 13:25:09	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of October 26 above $210?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xab9bdd…
10-30 12:40:54	msft close above 550 on november 2 2026	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xf2a0bb…
10-30 12:40:54	msft close above 540 on november 2 2026	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x51d68c…
10-30 12:40:13	msft close above 540 on november 2 2026	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe9678e…
10-30 12:40:13	msft close above 550 on november 2 2026	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x6ff743…
10-30 12:33:13	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on November 2?	Yes	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x2c5c0d…
10-30 12:14:39	spy closes above 750 on november 2 2026	No	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0x8b4175…
10-30 12:14:39	spy closes above 735 on november 2 2026	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x18b618…
10-30 11:26:25	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x32efe2…
10-30 08:37:54	nba cha was 2026 10 30 1h total 114pt5	Under	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xce1d87…
10-30 08:37:54	nba cha was 2026 10 30 1h total 113pt5	Over	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x8c241c…
10-30 05:41:33	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $785 on October 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdde40f…
10-30 05:41:31	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 on October 30?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xab53ce…
10-30 02:53:04	spy closes above 780 on october 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x200458…
10-30 02:53:03	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $785 on October 30?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x7f2f82…
10-30 02:41:27	amzn close above 260 on october 30 2026	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x1919f0…
10-30 02:41:01	amzn close above 260 on october 30 2026	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x48f308…
10-30 02:39:51	amzn close above 255 on october 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xf35f6b…
10-30 02:39:49	amzn close above 260 on october 30 2026	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x7eb491…
10-30 02:31:27	msft close above 560 on october 30 2026	No	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x85fa7c…
10-30 02:31:16	msft close above 560 on october 30 2026	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x07669c…
10-30 02:05:25	googl close above 300 on october 30 2026	No	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0x672d31…
10-30 02:04:48	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $290 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x13f854…
10-30 02:04:46	googl close above 300 on october 30 2026	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x513881…
10-30 01:19:48	bitcoin above 76400 on october 29 2026 10pm et	Yes	SELL	26	88¢	$23	0xe5e8ec…
10-30 01:02:45	bitcoin above 76400 on october 29 2026 10pm et	Yes	BUY	26	75¢	$20	0x1bdb6c…
10-30 00:43:51	Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x7a7d6f…
10-30 00:03:43	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x533fe9…
10-30 00:03:40	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be at least $6.00T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	0¢	$0	0x8968f6…
10-30 00:03:40	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x75e52c…
10-30 00:03:40	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5d4c36…
10-30 00:03:40	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x1c41ae…
10-30 00:03:40	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be less than $3.50T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x0b976f…
10-30 00:03:40	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x033198…