Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$2,414
$290 in 24h
Trades
85
Unique wallets
33
Liquidity
$10,887
End date
2026-11-01
First seen
2026-10-02
last 11-01 07:57
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-4.3¢
(top1%: 2% YES on $900
vs crowd: 6% YES on $1.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $82 | $534 | $452 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 13 | $22 | $1.0K | $1.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $5 | $186 | $181 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $1 | $22 | $20 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 8 | $14 | $886 | $872 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $0 | $187 | $186 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| Below median | 3 | $1 | $5 | $4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $3 | $0 | +$3 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 12 | $90 | $703 | $613 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +650 | $76 | $76 | 7 | 10-11 07:30 |
| Harmful-Amenity 0xf9b0…a817 | No | +504 | $488 | $488 | 8 | 10-31 20:43 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +380 | $9 | $9 | 12 | 10-31 20:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x56e7…7c0b | No | +257 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 10-26 09:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xf0ed…87b1 | No | +167 | $157 | $157 | 2 | 10-26 09:44 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +140 | $132 | $132 | 2 | 10-26 09:44 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +120 | $105 | $105 | 2 | 10-30 18:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | +50 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-30 19:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 10-30 19:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +48 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-30 19:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | +46 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-30 19:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | +46 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 10-30 19:46 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 10-30 19:46 |
| 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-30 19:46 |
| 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 10-30 19:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | Yes | +24 | $1 | $3 | 2 | 10-30 19:46 |
| Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-30 19:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d10…dca1 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-30 19:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xbba8…beb9 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-30 18:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xef13…63d9 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-02 21:15 |
| Perfect-Neighbourhood 0x8d85…726f | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 10-18 20:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | No | +18 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 10-30 19:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x52c7…7b7a | Yes | +13 | -$1 | $1 | 3 | 10-31 02:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +11 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-30 18:23 |
| Energetic-Mansion 0xc185…7020 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-30 18:23 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 11-01 07:57 |
| Different-Windshield 0xb220…5f71 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 11-01 07:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x6608…a502 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-20 01:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x422e…4411 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-30 19:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | +4 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-30 19:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-30 19:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xe09f…d33d | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-26 08:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xd648…6af4 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-01 04:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 07:57:54 | Different-Windshield 0xb220…5f71 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xdeb7bd… |
| 11-01 07:57:54 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdeb7bd… |
| 11-01 04:09:30 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x49decc… |
| 11-01 04:09:30 | (anonymous) 0xd648…6af4 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x49decc… |
| 10-31 20:43:04 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x02f2a4… |
| 10-31 20:43:04 | Harmful-Amenity 0xf9b0…a817 | No | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0x02f2a4… |
| 10-31 20:42:57 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xcedfee… |
| 10-31 20:42:57 | Harmful-Amenity 0xf9b0…a817 | No | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0xcedfee… |
| 10-31 20:42:49 | Harmful-Amenity 0xf9b0…a817 | No | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0x17ed5d… |
| 10-31 20:42:49 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x17ed5d… |
| 10-31 20:39:39 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8278ec… |
| 10-31 20:39:39 | Harmful-Amenity 0xf9b0…a817 | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x8278ec… |
| 10-31 20:26:49 | Harmful-Amenity 0xf9b0…a817 | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0xec37f9… |
| 10-31 20:26:49 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xec37f9… |
| 10-31 20:26:40 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5eea6f… |
| 10-31 20:26:40 | Harmful-Amenity 0xf9b0…a817 | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x5eea6f… |
| 10-31 20:26:34 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x63da18… |
| 10-31 20:26:34 | Harmful-Amenity 0xf9b0…a817 | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x63da18… |
| 10-31 02:40:10 | (anonymous) 0x52c7…7b7a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x642c02… |
| 10-31 02:40:10 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x642c02… |
| 10-31 02:40:10 | (anonymous) 0xf35c…8934 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x642c02… |
| 10-30 19:46:19 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | Yes | SELL | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x64d3fb… |
| 10-30 19:46:19 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x64d3fb… |
| 10-30 19:46:15 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xdde87f… |
| 10-30 19:46:15 | (anonymous) 0x422e…4411 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xdde87f… |
| 10-30 19:46:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x407435… |
| 10-30 19:46:12 | (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x407435… |
| 10-30 19:46:10 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x6d1770… |
| 10-30 19:46:10 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x47cd04… |
| 10-30 19:46:10 | Harmful-Amenity 0xf9b0…a817 | No | BUY | 224 | 95¢ | $213 | 0x6d1770… |
| 10-30 19:46:10 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | BUY | 46 | 95¢ | $44 | 0x3162a8… |
| 10-30 19:46:10 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x6d1770… |
| 10-30 19:46:10 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x15aae0… |
| 10-30 19:46:10 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 36 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x3162a8… |
| 10-30 19:46:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x3162a8… |
| 10-30 19:46:10 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x14c09d… |
| 10-30 19:46:10 | (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | Yes | BUY | 44 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x6d1770… |
| 10-30 19:46:10 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x14c09d… |
| 10-30 19:46:10 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $29 | 0x15aae0… |
| 10-30 19:46:10 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x6d1770… |
| 10-30 19:46:10 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 4 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x82dc90… |
| 10-30 19:46:10 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x6d1770… |
| 10-30 19:46:10 | (anonymous) 0xf35c…8934 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x6d1770… |
| 10-30 19:46:10 | (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | No | BUY | 18 | 95¢ | $17 | 0x47cd04… |
| 10-30 19:46:10 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | BUY | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x14c09d… |
| 10-30 19:46:10 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | BUY | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0x82dc90… |
| 10-30 19:46:10 | (anonymous) 0x5d10…dca1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x6d1770… |
| 10-30 18:25:22 | (anonymous) 0x2c2c…0d1a | No | SELL | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0xdc50f5… |
| 10-30 18:25:22 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0xdc50f5… |
| 10-30 18:23:52 | (anonymous) 0x2c2c…0d1a | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x413ecd… |
| 10-30 18:23:52 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xab0a39… |
| 10-30 18:23:52 | Energetic-Mansion 0xc185…7020 | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xab0a39… |
| 10-30 18:23:52 | (anonymous) 0xbba8…beb9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x413ecd… |
| 10-26 09:44:20 | (anonymous) 0x56e7…7c0b | No | BUY | 257 | 97¢ | $250 | 0x1703c3… |
| 10-26 09:44:20 | Knotty-Leverage 0xe958…66b7 | No | SELL | 257 | 97¢ | $250 | 0x1703c3… |
| 10-26 09:44:03 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 120 | 95¢ | $114 | 0x6f7a73… |
| 10-26 09:44:03 | Knotty-Leverage 0xe958…66b7 | No | SELL | 137 | 95¢ | $130 | 0xafe95c… |
| 10-26 09:44:03 | (anonymous) 0xf0ed…87b1 | No | BUY | 137 | 95¢ | $130 | 0xafe95c… |
| 10-26 09:44:03 | Knotty-Leverage 0xe958…66b7 | No | SELL | 120 | 95¢ | $114 | 0x6f7a73… |
| 10-26 08:52:47 | (anonymous) 0xe09f…d33d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0xf53113… |
| 10-26 08:52:47 | (anonymous) 0x52c7…7b7a | Yes | SELL | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0xf53113… |
| 10-20 01:03:23 | Knotty-Leverage 0xe958…66b7 | No | BUY | 15 | 96¢ | $14 | 0x79cccc… |
| 10-20 01:03:23 | (anonymous) 0x52c7…7b7a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x79cccc… |
| 10-20 01:03:23 | (anonymous) 0x6608…a502 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x79cccc… |
| 10-18 20:04:56 | Perfect-Neighbourhood 0x8d85…726f | Yes | SELL | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x7ae23a… |
| 10-18 20:04:56 | Perfect-Neighbourhood 0x8d85…726f | No | SELL | 0 | 68¢ | $0 | 0x120957… |
| 10-18 20:04:56 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 0 | 68¢ | $0 | 0x120957… |
| 10-18 20:04:56 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x7ae23a… |
| 10-11 07:30:40 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 12¢ | $12 | 0x5ebbb7… |
| 10-11 07:30:40 | Knotty-Leverage 0xe958…66b7 | No | BUY | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0x5ebbb7… |
| 10-10 17:37:22 | Knotty-Leverage 0xe958…66b7 | No | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x821612… |
| 10-10 17:37:22 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0x821612… |
| 10-09 22:55:25 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x10733c… |
| 10-09 22:55:25 | (anonymous) 0xf0ed…87b1 | No | BUY | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0x10733c… |
| 10-09 22:55:25 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x10733c… |
| 10-09 20:08:20 | Knotty-Leverage 0xe958…66b7 | No | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x0b2764… |
| 10-09 20:08:20 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0x0b2764… |
| 10-09 18:07:04 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 100 | 86¢ | $86 | 0x9d2d9e… |
| 10-09 18:07:04 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 14¢ | $14 | 0x9d2d9e… |
| 10-07 20:07:59 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0x607af6… |
| 10-07 20:07:59 | Knotty-Leverage 0xe958…66b7 | No | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x607af6… |
| 10-07 00:40:02 | Knotty-Leverage 0xe958…66b7 | No | BUY | 100 | 85¢ | $85 | 0x434447… |
| 10-07 00:40:02 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 15¢ | $15 | 0x434447… |
| 10-02 21:15:39 | (anonymous) 0xef13…63d9 | No | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0xd705de… |
| 10-02 21:15:39 | Perfect-Neighbourhood 0x8d85…726f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xd705de… |