Realized P&L
-$193
Unrealized P&L
+$795
Hit rate
11.4%
Resolved
8
Trades
1,864
lifetime
Volume
$174.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$93
Open exposure
$14.0K
7 positions
First seen
2026-03-15
last 06-29 19:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
71% 86% $-45
Other
27% 0% $-148
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 133 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -12,251 $-10,033 86¢ $-10474 $-442 06-11 14:01
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +3,283 $1,632 60¢ $2.0K +$322 06-29 19:48
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -812 $-579 84¢ $-678 $-100 06-09 11:15
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +409 $-612 100¢ $409 +$1,020 06-19 16:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -500 $-232 70¢ $-348 $-115 06-26 04:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -520 $-319 30¢ $-159 +$160 06-25 16:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +1,080 $57 $6 $-51 06-15 18:27