Icy-Patriot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$38

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.8%

Resolved

Trades

259

lifetime

Volume

$2.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 06-15 16:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Tech

53% — —

Crypto

29% 51% +$38

Other

17% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	25	$479	250	250	+0	open	—	04-24 18:30
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	6	$391	200	200	+0	open	—	04-15 08:44
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$203	104	104	+0	open	—	04-01 17:31
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	2	$190	100	100	+0	open	—	06-04 08:52
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	4	$133	70	70	+0	open	—	06-15 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$42	50	50	+0	Up	+$40	05-13 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	3	$25	16	14	+2	Up	+$1	05-08 13:59
btc updown 5m 1776626700	3	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	04-19 19:30
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-18 09:30
btc updown 5m 1776509100	2	$17	11	11	+0	open	—	04-18 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$15	16	0	+16	Up	+$1	05-08 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$15	15	0	+15	Up	+$0	05-09 10:39
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 24?	2	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	04-22 10:00
btc updown 5m 1776628500	3	$14	9	7	+2	open	—	04-19 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	05-09 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 09:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$13	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$11	12	0	+12	Down	+$1	05-08 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$11	11	0	+11	Down	+$0	05-08 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$10	13	0	+13	Down	+$3	05-09 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-08 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$8	9	9	+0	Up	+$6	05-13 04:19
btc updown 5m 1776508500	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-18 10:39
btc updown 5m 1776509700	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	04-18 11:00
btc updown 5m 1776508200	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	04-18 10:34
btc updown 5m 1776505500	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-18 09:48
btc updown 5m 1776509400	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-18 10:54
btc updown 5m 1776507600	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-18 10:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 16:47:31	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x294458…
06-15 16:35:12	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x115c94…
06-07 05:43:46	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	SELL	53	97¢	$52	0xf7be20…
06-04 08:52:42	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x1fc4cf…
05-31 18:38:29	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x629833…
05-31 10:21:34	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	BUY	70	93¢	$65	0xcdb153…
05-14 04:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x12272c…
05-14 04:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3cde84…
05-14 03:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x174b05…
05-13 15:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb258d0…
05-13 09:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd148c1…
05-13 09:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbcacdd…
05-13 09:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4ea62c…
05-13 09:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x8bd3cc…
05-13 04:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa81f08…
05-13 04:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9f013e…
05-13 04:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x53f9ec…
05-13 04:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	50	82¢	$41	0x39cae2…
05-13 04:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2aa4f3…
05-13 04:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	74¢	$7	0x5968ce…
05-13 04:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x147f02…
05-12 12:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x974ec4…
05-12 12:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x93b689…
05-12 12:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9b0637…
05-12 12:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x20cb4c…
05-12 12:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x9424a2…
05-12 12:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xbc0d00…
05-12 12:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x09d5e9…
05-12 09:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb241aa…
05-12 09:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x4ba192…
05-12 09:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0433b8…
05-12 08:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9f581a…
05-12 03:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x1c9d3c…
05-12 03:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x72120f…
05-12 02:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd56e15…
05-12 02:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7dcb42…
05-11 16:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5554b1…
05-11 16:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x4a0393…
05-11 16:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x26e0fb…
05-11 16:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xc6323a…
05-11 16:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x9cc188…
05-11 16:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd78261…
05-11 13:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x511834…
05-11 12:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0xc2be76…
05-11 12:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6d1807…
05-11 12:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x23793c…
05-11 11:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	39¢	$1	0x5fd82f…
05-11 11:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb9a89e…
05-11 11:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0xed64ba…
05-11 11:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x1086fc…
05-11 11:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x0a22fc…
05-11 11:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xb3f885…
05-11 11:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc5ede9…
05-11 10:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0x559fcb…
05-11 10:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd32bcb…
05-11 10:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3193f8…
05-11 10:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe01451…
05-11 10:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	67¢	$2	0xb09396…
05-11 10:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6216aa…
05-11 07:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe96810…
05-11 07:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x340517…
05-11 07:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd43551…
05-11 07:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0x4ef2c1…
05-11 07:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xfa059d…
05-11 07:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xbd9410…
05-11 07:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x44e4ed…
05-11 07:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x74d630…
05-11 07:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8c2ade…
05-11 07:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x9eb83d…
05-11 07:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x65f8ec…
05-11 07:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x47015c…
05-11 07:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa0ee26…
05-11 07:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x451bf5…
05-11 07:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf797f6…
05-11 07:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x5fe4e4…
05-11 07:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6962d3…
05-11 07:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x1be06a…
05-11 07:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x51543d…
05-10 02:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1dd0c3…
05-10 02:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xef0625…
05-10 02:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xdec338…
05-10 02:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xcc5eda…
05-10 02:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc65f23…
05-10 02:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf6fb70…
05-10 01:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6cfd93…
05-10 01:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xbcdd21…
05-10 01:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc4d7a7…
05-09 12:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0x1af16b…
05-09 12:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xc3a2c6…
05-09 12:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x02c2d5…
05-09 12:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xe3480d…
05-09 12:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb1fdb7…
05-09 11:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xba42e8…
05-09 11:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x4e9336…
05-09 11:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xbc9a76…
05-09 11:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x7b43b7…
05-09 11:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xfe458f…
05-09 11:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x2b29a9…
05-09 11:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xabc0be…
05-09 11:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0f55d7…