Realized P&L (7d)
-$75
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
92.2%
Resolved (7d)
350
Trades (7d)
1,027
8,237 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$4.21K
$22.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$1.45K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-08
last 11-08 09:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 86 days
Categories
Crypto
88% 53% -$390
Other
11% 51% -$138
Politics
1% 0% $0
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Sports
0% 100% +$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 1346 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +531 $419 86¢ $457 +$37 11-07 10:17
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +442 $197 52¢ $229 +$32 11-07 08:16
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +442 $254 48¢ $213 -$41 11-07 08:16
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +532 $116 14¢ $74 -$41 11-07 10:17
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +100 $70 60¢ $60 -$11 11-07 01:36
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +100 $32 40¢ $40 +$9 11-07 01:36
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +41 $23 74¢ $30 +$7 11-04 06:06
Tom Holland as Spider-Man? No +50 $26 59¢ $29 +$3 11-03 23:58
Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? Yes +33 $28 86¢ $29 +$1 11-06 08:44
Will Memphis Tigers Win the 2026 American Conference? No +39 $30 68¢ $27 -$3 11-06 03:38
Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel? Yes +33 $25 79¢ $26 +$1 11-08 08:56
Will Drake London have 5.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +40 $25 57¢ $23 -$2 11-06 16:40
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026? No +25 $20 79¢ $20 $0 11-07 16:59
Will Drake Maye have 3,799.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +24 $18 74¢ $18 +$0 11-06 12:53
Will Drake London have 5.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +41 $16 42¢ $17 +$1 11-06 16:40
Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +20 $16 80¢ $16 $0 11-05 18:00
Will Caleb Williams have 21.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +20 $12 79¢ $16 +$4 11-06 04:30
Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +20 $14 74¢ $15 +$1 11-06 04:11
Tom Holland as Spider-Man? Yes +34 $16 41¢ $14 -$2 11-03 23:58
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of 2026? No +20 $12 65¢ $13 +$1 11-06 17:16
Will Memphis Tigers Win the 2026 American Conference? Yes +39 $10 32¢ $12 +$2 11-08 07:15
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +44 $21 26¢ $12 -$9 11-04 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up — +10 $8 100¢ $10 +$2 11-08 10:42
Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years? Yes +20 $12 45¢ $9 -$3 11-07 14:59
Will Syracuse have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? No — +11 $7 68¢ $8 +$1 11-08 08:06
Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? No +52 $10 14¢ $7 -$3 11-07 12:13
Will Nebraska have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? No +13 $5 54¢ $7 +$2 11-06 23:18
Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel? No +33 $8 21¢ $7 -$1 11-08 08:56
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of 2026? Yes +20 $8 35¢ $7 -$1 11-06 17:16
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +9 $4 76¢ $7 +$3 11-03 22:01