Lavish-Threat — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.5%

Resolved (90d)

155

Trades (90d)

169

630 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$835

$6.71K lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 10-31 21:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 97 days

Categories

Politics

68% 100% +$697

Crypto

17% 100% +$2

Other

15% 92% +$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ph win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	42	$1.5K	107,793	107,793	+0	No	+$195	04-14 08:15
will the indian national congress inc win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	28	$1.0K	202,045	202,045	+0	No	+$202	04-24 15:11
will la u win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	48	$955	69,659	69,659	+0	No	+$72	04-13 10:08
will cr win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	26	$418	50,836	50,836	+0	No	+$66	04-02 05:00
will conservative win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	28	$330	36,961	36,961	+0	No	+$87	04-08 05:15
will la u win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	10	$121	40,206	40,206	+0	No	+$40	03-18 05:58
will magali brunel be the next mayor of toulon	14	$101	19,642	19,642	+0	No	+$22	03-25 05:35
will cr win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	14	$88	21,237	21,237	+0	No	+$34	03-15 07:46
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	3	$37	20	20	+0	No	+$2	03-31 08:08
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	3	$28	30	0	+30	No	+$2	03-24 10:34
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 440 459	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-19 10:11
donald trump of truth social posts march 13 march 20 180 199	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-19 05:25
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 0 39	2	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	03-30 05:54
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	3	$19	15	5	+10	No	-$1	10-09 21:01
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 65 89	2	$18	10	10	+0	No	+$1	03-23 11:22
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 200plus	2	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	03-16 16:09
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$15	10	5	+5	Yes	+$0	05-07 12:55
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 40 64	2	$14	15	0	+15	No	+$1	04-08 03:22
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	3	$14	10	5	+5	No	-$1	10-09 21:01
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	4	$13	15	15	+0	Yes	-$4	04-07 14:39
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 0 39	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-31 14:21
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	10-09 21:01
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 240plus	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-30 03:20
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 115 139	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-01 15:06
donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 160 179	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-24 12:21
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 180 199	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-27 04:48
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 460 479	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-19 10:09
Will CZ post 120-139 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	08-25 20:37
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	08-27 15:42
Will CZ post 140-159 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-07 03:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 21:46:19	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x59cf08…
10-31 21:46:10	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x54daae…
10-31 21:46:04	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf9ef7f…
10-31 21:45:40	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfbb46f…
10-30 19:46:49	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1cc184…
10-30 19:46:24	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x19ab6d…
10-30 19:46:19	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf0fa08…
10-30 19:46:04	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb8ead7…
10-30 19:45:58	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9d172c…
10-30 19:45:54	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa62e31…
10-26 21:27:00	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6c3f3b…
10-26 21:26:53	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x259f14…
10-24 21:02:33	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0f3f00…
10-24 21:02:15	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x174fcf…
10-24 21:01:42	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6126d1…
10-24 21:01:36	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbf4cf9…
10-24 21:01:30	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2c548e…
10-24 21:01:26	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe5ad8e…
10-24 21:01:20	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbbaa6f…
10-24 21:01:14	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x77d3a8…
10-24 21:00:42	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x56b35e…
10-24 21:00:38	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf0edb5…
10-24 21:00:32	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x894b5f…
10-17 00:56:53	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7a1bee…
10-17 00:56:30	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8dae04…
10-17 00:56:26	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2e6725…
10-17 00:56:18	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xea038d…
10-17 00:56:11	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf68c0f…
10-17 00:56:06	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x09fe9a…
10-17 00:55:59	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x90c447…
10-17 00:55:32	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa67f6d…
10-17 00:55:26	elon musk of tweets october 17 october 19 2026 240plus	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4ac463…
10-17 00:55:14	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xef5da6…
10-17 00:54:56	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x181aa6…
10-14 10:08:58	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x807c90…
10-14 10:08:35	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb03455…
10-14 10:08:28	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc703a4…
10-14 10:08:20	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8a44a6…
10-14 10:07:58	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd41da8…
10-14 10:07:50	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7713b4…
10-14 10:07:40	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x30be9e…
10-14 10:07:32	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd1fae3…
10-12 19:08:18	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb754fc…
10-12 19:07:56	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0a7de5…
10-10 18:58:25	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x058159…
10-10 18:58:19	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7731e7…
10-10 18:58:07	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb91858…
10-10 18:57:37	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x35489d…
10-10 18:57:28	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xdfdbbf…
10-09 21:03:02	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x99a9ab…
10-09 21:02:55	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe91e62…
10-09 21:02:25	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd796e6…
10-09 21:01:23	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7f41f3…
10-09 21:01:14	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6ac3d7…
10-09 21:01:07	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4d8eb8…
10-08 22:54:29	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x478bb8…
10-08 22:54:17	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc2aef5…
10-08 22:54:03	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x0808a2…
10-08 22:52:20	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x04fac5…
10-08 22:52:00	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x2995a3…
10-08 22:51:45	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x22c06b…
10-08 17:09:17	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd6ad4a…
10-07 08:11:39	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0d8424…
10-07 08:11:27	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x76fa45…
10-07 08:11:20	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x10c1bb…
10-07 08:11:11	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf62aa5…
10-07 08:10:26	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1d6dec…
10-07 08:10:09	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb5bbd6…
10-07 08:10:02	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x42c1a7…
10-07 08:09:53	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xec9a09…
10-04 07:05:20	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x35ff72…
10-04 07:05:10	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd6a828…
10-04 07:05:04	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x628df1…
10-04 07:04:50	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x787b17…
10-04 07:04:41	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2b10cd…
09-30 07:06:59	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaa8d29…
09-30 07:05:38	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5b8557…
09-30 07:05:33	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb9aef4…
09-29 15:14:09	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x1725d7…
09-29 05:12:02	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc1e848…
09-29 05:11:50	Will CZ post 200+ posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb55c37…
09-29 05:11:44	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x595b24…
09-29 05:11:33	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x28347d…
09-29 05:11:15	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2836ff…
09-29 05:11:06	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x799754…
09-29 05:10:59	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x06d6e3…
09-29 05:10:51	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe00981…
09-29 05:10:38	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5c3f83…
09-29 05:08:27	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6bd27d…
09-21 16:49:09	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc873f7…
09-21 16:49:02	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf4df5e…
09-21 16:48:54	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3609d8…
09-21 16:48:44	Will CZ post 200+ posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xce8b71…
09-21 16:48:27	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe87cc8…
09-18 02:55:52	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf2defb…
09-18 02:55:43	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd78223…
09-18 02:55:34	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x730ac5…
09-18 02:55:24	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x014cf2…
09-18 02:55:15	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaf2e67…
09-18 02:55:06	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe3aaed…